466
FXUS65 KGGW 142228
AFDGGW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
328 PM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES:
- SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- PERIODS OF STRONG WEST WINDS BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT, MOVING
EASTWARD, CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY.
- CHANCES FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEGINNING WEDNESDAY.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
TODAY AND TOMORROW: TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL BE SEASONALLY
WARM, IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S, WHICH COULD SEE RAPID SNOW MELT. A
FREEZE THAW CYCLE MAY BE IMPACTFUL AND DISRUPT MORNING COMMUTES.
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDING AND HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHWEST.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM. SIMILAR TO
LAST WEEK, THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS AND
CHANCES FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION TO A WIDESPREAD AREA. WE'RE AGAIN
SEEING AGREEMENT IN A PUSH OF MOISTURE FROM THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER
BY MIDWEEK. THIS EVENT WILL LIKELY BE JUST AS UNCERTAIN, AS EVEN
SLIGHT DIFFERENCES IN POSITIONING AND TIMING WILL BE CHANCE
FORECASTS SIGNIFICANTLY. FOR THIS SYSTEM THE NAME OF THE GAME
WILL BE WINDS RATHER THAN WINTERY IMPACTS. AS OF RIGHT NOW, A HIGH
WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PHILLIPS COUNTY TUESDAY FROM 5PM
TO 11AM AND LIKE LIKELY BE EXPANDED - WINDS SPREAD EAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LOOK TO BE TRENDING STRONGER EACH RUN.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
BLENDED HRRR FOR DAY 1 WINDS, AND NBM90 FOR DAY 1 WIND GUSTS.
BLENDED 25% NBM90 FOR DAY 2-3 WINDS AND 50% FOR WIND GUSTS.
LOWERED DAY 1 MAX TEMP WITH 50% NBM10, AND 25% FOR DAY 1 MIN TEMP.
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT PRECIP AND TEMPERATURES: MODERATE CONFIDENCE
ON TEMPS, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN NO PRECIP.
TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND TEMPERATURES: MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND PRECIP: LOW CONFIDENCE.
AVIATION
LAST UPDATED: 2100Z
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR
DISCUSSION: DRY WEATHER AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE TAF
CYCLE. CLOUDS FEW TO BKN ABOVE 10000 FT ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS: LLWS WILL BE PRESENT OVER OR IN THE VICINITY OF ALL TAF
SITES FOR A MAJORITY OF THE TAF CYCLE. WEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 10
KTS WILL GENERALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING, AND BACK TO THE
SOUTH BRIEFLY. BY TUESDAY, WEST WINDS WILL RETURN AND INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY.
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS-NORTHERN PHILLIPS-SOUTHWEST
PHILLIPS.
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
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