534  
FNUS52 KILM 091332  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
832 AM EST THU JAN 9 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND BREEZY TODAY AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE  
NORTH. A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A BIT OF MUCH-NEEDED  
PRECIPITATION LATER FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY, INCLUDING SOME OF  
THE WINTRY VARIETY INLAND. COLD AND DRY WEATHER WILL THEN RETURN  
INTO MID NEXT WEEK.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-100545-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
832 AM EST THU JAN 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 15 41  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 28 77 32  
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 9 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 9 G19 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 22/0600 1800 30/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4500 2100  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 22 W 8  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 99000 16800  
ADI EARLY 67 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 13 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 83 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN LIKELY AND FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
30S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-100545-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
832 AM EST THU JAN 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN  
LAL 1 1 1  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 18 40  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 26 73 33  
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 24/0600 1800 28/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4500 2000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 21 W 8  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 94500 16000  
ADI EARLY 69 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 12 POOR  
ADI LATE 80 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN, FREEZING RAIN AND A CHANCE OF SLEET. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
90 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
97 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
71 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-100545-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS,  
GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
832 AM EST THU JAN 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN  
LAL 1 1 1  
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 20 42  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 27 67 36  
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) N 8 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 8 G17 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 25/0600 1800 31/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4400 2000  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) NW 21 NW 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 92400 14000  
ADI EARLY 65 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 13 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE 77 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 2 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 2  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-100545-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
832 AM EST THU JAN 9 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE RAIN  
LAL 1 1 1  
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 20 39  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 27 69 37  
WIND20FT/EARLY (MPH) NW 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND20FT/LATE (MPH) NW 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 29/0900 1800 33/1000  
DISPERSION VERY POOR  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
DSI 2 1  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4200 1900  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) N 20 W 7  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 84000 13300  
ADI EARLY 64 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 11 POOR  
ADI LATE 74 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 3 3  
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 6 RAIN  
TURNER STABILITY C F B  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN, FREEZING RAIN AND A CHANCE OF SLEET. LOWS  
AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
100 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
98 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH  
75 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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