300  
FNUS52 KILM 171302  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
902 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A STALLED FRONT AND WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT  
NORTH AND DISSIPATE LEAVING ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE TO TAKE  
CONTROL. ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND POTENTIAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
WILL BRING SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE WEEK WITH BETTER MEASURABLE  
RAIN CHANCES.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
 
NCZ105>110-180215-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-  
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,  
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,  
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH  
902 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 73 96  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 60 93 51  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) SW 5 SW 5 SW 10 G21  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SW 6 SW 6 G18 SW 12 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 3 PM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 71/0600 2000 79/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
DSI 2 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4200 5400  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 15 SW 24  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 63000 129600  
ADI EARLY 32 FAIR 9 POOR 84 GOOD  
ADI LATE 65 GOOD 10 POOR 95 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 5 RAIN 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F C  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT THROUGH TONIGHT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ087-096-099-180215-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
902 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 73 95  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 49 89 49  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 SW 10 G24  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SW 4 SW 6 G18 SW 11 G27  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 2 PM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 70/0600 2000 77/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
DSI 2 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 4900 5300  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 15 SW 23  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 73500 121900  
ADI EARLY 33 FAIR 7 POOR 90 GOOD  
ADI LATE 80 GOOD 11 POOR 100 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 7 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY B F C  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE PRESENT THROUGH TONIGHT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-180215-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,  
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, RED HILL, LORIS, AND AYNOR  
902 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 20  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 20 0 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 87 73 94  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 63 91 54  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) SW 5 SW 5 SW 8 G19  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SW 6 SW 6 G17 SW 10 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 2 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM 3 PM  
PRECIP END 6 PM CONTINUING  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 73/0800 2000 78/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
DSI 2 3  
MIXING HGT (FT) 3900 5700  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 15 SW 22  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 58500 125400  
ADI EARLY 43 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 76 GOOD  
ADI LATE 59 GEN GOOD 10 POOR 91 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180215-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
902 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 0  
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
MAX/MIN TEMP 88 73 92  
MIN/MAX RH (%) 55 91 54  
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 SW 9 G22  
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) SW 5 SW 6 SW 11 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 2 PM  
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 71/0600 2000 77/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
DSI 2 2  
MIXING HGT (FT) 5000 5600  
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 23  
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 80000 128800  
ADI EARLY 34 FAIR 9 POOR 77 GOOD  
ADI LATE 76 GOOD 11 POOR 101 VERY GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 1  
MIN VSBY EARLY 6 RAIN 7 7  
MIN VSBY LATE 6 RAIN 7 7  
TURNER STABILITY B F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS  
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759  
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab SC Page
Main Text Page