916  
FNUS52 KILM 181834  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTHWARD OVER  
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BRINGING DRY WEATHER, BREEZY NE WINDS, AND BELOW-  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH WILL SETTLE OVERHEAD ON SATURDAY, THEN  
WILL SLIP OFFSHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY  
RETURNING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-191200-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 79 56 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 8 G20 N 8 G20 NE 7 NE 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 9 G20 NE 6 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 2000 63/0900 1800 64/0900  
DISPERSION GOOD FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 44 93 43  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5580 6010  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 NE 7  
VENTILATION RATE 77000 41470  
ADI EARLY 65 GOOD 58 GEN GOOD 32 FAIR 42 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 59 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 37 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ096-099-191200-  
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO, WHITEVILLE,  
TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 78 55 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 7 NE 5 NE 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 4 NE 8 NE 3 NE 3  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 2000 61/0900 1800 63/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR POOR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 43 94 41  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5680 5410  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 NE 6  
VENTILATION RATE 78380 31110  
ADI EARLY 46 GEN GOOD 60 GEN GOOD 36 FAIR 35 FAIR  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 67 GOOD 2 VERY POOR 34 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 7 2  
 
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-191200-  
ROBESON-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF LUMBERTON  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 53 77 54 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 7 NE 8 NE 6 NE 5  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 9 NE 4 NE 3  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 2000 60/0900 1800 62/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 42 94 40  
DSI 2 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5580 5120  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 NE 3  
VENTILATION RATE 83420 17660  
ADI EARLY 44 GEN GOOD 45 GEN GOOD 40 FAIR 28 FAIR  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 26 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 9 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 8 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-191200-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,  
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,  
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 57 77 56 80  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 7 NE 9 G20 NE 7 NE 7  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 9 NE 6 NE 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 2000 63/0900 1800 65/0900  
DISPERSION GOOD FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 88 45 90 46  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5700 5920  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 E 12  
VENTILATION RATE 72100 68080  
ADI EARLY 53 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD 36 FAIR 53 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 3 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 1 5 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
89 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ032-033-039-191200-  
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS, AND KINGSTREE  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 57 78 56 81  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 8 NE 6 NE 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 8 NE 5 NE 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 2000 62/0900 1800 64/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 90 42 90 43  
DSI 2 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5710 5680  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 E 8  
VENTILATION RATE 72230 45720  
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 43 GEN GOOD 38 FAIR 49 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 58 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 4 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 6 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-191200-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON  
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 78 54 81  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 8 NE 6 NE 5  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 9 NE 4 NE 3  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
INVERSION 2000 62/0900 1800 63/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 93 40 91 39  
DSI 2 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5740 5250  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 E 3  
VENTILATION RATE 79210 18110  
ADI EARLY 49 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD 40 FAIR 31 FAIR  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 58 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 28 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH  
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
21  
 
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