916
FNUS52 KILM 181834
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTHWARD OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BRINGING DRY WEATHER, BREEZY NE WINDS, AND BELOW-
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH WILL SETTLE OVERHEAD ON SATURDAY, THEN
WILL SLIP OFFSHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY
RETURNING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
NCZ105>110-191200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 79 56 80
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 8 G20 N 8 G20 NE 7 NE 6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 9 G20 NE 6 NE 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 2000 63/0900 1800 64/0900
DISPERSION GOOD FAIR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 44 93 43
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5580 6010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 NE 7
VENTILATION RATE 77000 41470
ADI EARLY 65 GOOD 58 GEN GOOD 32 FAIR 42 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 59 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 1 6 2
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NCZ096-099-191200-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO, WHITEVILLE,
TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 54 78 55 80
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 7 NE 5 NE 4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 4 NE 8 NE 3 NE 3
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 2000 61/0900 1800 63/0900
DISPERSION FAIR POOR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 43 94 41
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5680 5410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 NE 6
VENTILATION RATE 78380 31110
ADI EARLY 46 GEN GOOD 60 GEN GOOD 36 FAIR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 67 GOOD 2 VERY POOR 34 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 7 2
REMARKS...BROTAK STACK PRESENT.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NCZ087-191200-
ROBESON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF LUMBERTON
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 53 77 54 80
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 7 NE 8 NE 6 NE 5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 9 NE 4 NE 3
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 2000 60/0900 1800 62/0900
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 42 94 40
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5580 5120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 NE 3
VENTILATION RATE 83420 17660
ADI EARLY 44 GEN GOOD 45 GEN GOOD 40 FAIR 28 FAIR
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 52 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 9 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 1 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-191200-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 57 77 56 80
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 7 NE 9 G20 NE 7 NE 7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 9 NE 6 NE 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 2000 63/0900 1800 65/0900
DISPERSION GOOD FAIR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 88 45 90 46
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5700 5920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 E 12
VENTILATION RATE 72100 68080
ADI EARLY 53 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD 36 FAIR 53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 5 1 5 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ032-033-039-191200-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS, AND KINGSTREE
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 57 78 56 81
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 8 NE 6 NE 6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 8 NE 5 NE 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 2000 62/0900 1800 64/0900
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 90 42 90 43
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5710 5680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 E 8
VENTILATION RATE 72230 45720
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 43 GEN GOOD 38 FAIR 49 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 58 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 6 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-191200-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, AND DILLON
234 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2019
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD AMOUNT CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIN/MAX TEMP 56 78 54 81
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 6 NE 8 NE 6 NE 5
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 9 NE 4 NE 3
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION 2000 62/0900 1800 63/0900
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR
MAX/MIN RH (%) 93 40 91 39
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5740 5250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 E 3
VENTILATION RATE 79210 18110
ADI EARLY 49 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD 40 FAIR 31 FAIR
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 58 GEN GOOD 3 VERY POOR 28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 1 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
21
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