497
FNUS52 KILM 151828
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
MUCH COOLER AIR TO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND, ALONG WITH A STIFF WIND
OUT OF THE NORTH.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW TO MODERATE.
NCZ105>110-160730-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH,
SOUTHPORT, AND SUNSET BEACH
228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 60
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 64 86 57 67
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 52 88 64
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 SW 8 G18 N 13 G22
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G18 W 8 G19 N 12 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 75/1000 1900 NONE
DISPERSION POOR GOOD
DSI 2 1
MIXING HGT (FT) 4600 3900
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 16 N 24
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 73600 93600
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 36 FAIR 10 POOR 44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 59 GEN GOOD 23 FAIR 63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 4 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 5 FOG 7
MIN VSBY LATE 5 FOG 7 7
TURNER STABILITY F B E D
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM
RH 99 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-160730-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 50
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 63 87 57 66
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 47 84 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 S 6 G18 N 11 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 G20 W 9 G20 N 12 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 73/1000 1900 NONE
DISPERSION VERY POOR FAIR
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 4900 4300
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 17 N 24
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 83300 103200
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 32 FAIR 9 POOR 54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 74 GOOD 21 FAIR 68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 8 1 4 3
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 5 FOG 7
MIN VSBY LATE 5 FOG 7 7
TURNER STABILITY F B E D
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SCZ054>056-058-059-160730-
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-
NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS,
GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET, CONWAY, RED HILL, LORIS, AND AYNOR
228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 86 58 68
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 48 85 56
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6 G17 N 13 G24
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 G17 W 7 G20 N 12 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1800 74/1000 1900 NONE
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 4900 4300
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 14 N 22
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 68600 94600
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 32 FAIR 9 POOR 53 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 68 GOOD 21 FAIR 63 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 4 3
MAX LVORI LATE 9 1 4 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 4 FOG 7
MIN VSBY LATE 4 FOG 7 7
TURNER STABILITY F B E D
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
66 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM
RH 97 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-160730-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
228 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
CHANCE THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
MIN/MAX TEMP 62 87 56 66
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 46 83 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5 N 11 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 G17 NW 8 G20 N 12 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME) 1900 72/1000 1900 NONE
DISPERSION VERY POOR FAIR
DSI 2 2
MIXING HGT (FT) 5200 4700
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH) SW 16 N 21
VENT RATE (MPH-FT) 83200 98700
ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 28 FAIR 9 POOR 56 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 74 GOOD 22 FAIR 62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 3 3
MAX LVORI LATE 8 1 3 2
MIN VSBY EARLY 7 5 FOG 7
MIN VSBY LATE 5 FOG 7 7
TURNER STABILITY F B E D
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
FORECASTER...RGZ
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