969  
FNUS52 KILM 180723  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
323 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TODAY WILL PRODUCE A GREATER  
CHANCE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS BUT HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME MORE  
ISOLATED OVER THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES. A COLD FRONT  
WILL ARRIVE AND BREAK THE HEAT NEXT TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.  
 
NCZ105>110-182330-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
323 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 95 76 94  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 SW 9 G22 SW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G22 SW 6 SW 8 G20  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.06 0.09  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2  
INVERSION 80/0800 2000 79/0700  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 50 95 54  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7780 7960  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 15  
VENTILATION RATE 143150 119000  
ADI EARLY 45 GEN GOOD 45 GEN GOOD 65 GOOD  
ADI LATE 66 GOOD 13 GEN POOR 66 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-182330-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,  
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,  
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
323 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 40 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 4  
MIN/MAX TEMP 96 75 95  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 4 SW 8 G21 SW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 G21 SW 5 SW 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.10 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2  
INVERSION 82/0900 1900 78/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 49 96 52  
DSI 3 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7610 8360  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 W 13  
VENTILATION RATE 122520 105750  
ADI EARLY 60 GEN GOOD 46 GEN GOOD 45 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 72 GOOD 10 POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 7 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-182330-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
323 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 96 75 95  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 4 SW 6 SW 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 SW 4 SW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.10 0.09  
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 1  
INVERSION 79/0800 1900 78/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 45 97 49  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7260 7190  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 14  
VENTILATION RATE 125240 99220  
ADI EARLY 47 GEN GOOD 44 GEN GOOD 51 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 78 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 61 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 8 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-182330-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
323 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3  
MIN/MAX TEMP 96 74 96  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 4 SW 7 SW 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 SW 4 SW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.10 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 1  
INVERSION 81/0900 1900 78/0800  
DISPERSION FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 46 97 49  
DSI 3 3  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 7580 7710  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 W 14  
VENTILATION RATE 122040 106400  
ADI EARLY 44 GEN GOOD 52 GEN GOOD 47 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 76 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 8  
MAX LVORI LATE 1 8 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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