331  
FNUS71 KAKQ 040353  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 14B & 17C...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
1153 PM EDT FRI APR 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON APRIL 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE PARKED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN AND A LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST CONTINUE TO BRING WARM WEATHER  
AND SW WINDS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT, WINDS WILL BE AROUND  
5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING  
THE DAY SATURDAY TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MAX RH VALUES  
TONIGHT WILL BE AROUND 80%, DROPPING TO 45-50% SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT AND SUNNY ON SATURDAY. A  
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10235 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................11 TO 12.  
 
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........13 17 22 29 36 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 69 68 67 66 66  
RH..............68 68 70 73 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 14 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 17 16 16  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............11 11 12 11 11 11  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.10 10 10 10 10 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12189 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (74060 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 67 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 24 14 10 7 4 5 7 9 11 13 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 66 66 69 72 75 77 79 82 81 81 81  
RH..............75 75 75 70 66 62 56 52 47 49 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 17 17 16 16 17 17 18 18 18  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............11 15 18 30 37 42 51 60 67 67 67 48  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 14 16 22 28 34 46 60 74 72 70 66  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD FR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (47954 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (14489 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................53 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 11 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........14 14 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 21 27 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............79 78 76 75 73 72 71 70 69 68 67 66  
RH..............50 52 56 58 59 61 64 66 68 70 75 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 10 11 12 12 12 13 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 14 15 18 18 19 19 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 16 16 17 18 20 20 21 22 23 24  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............53 11 11 11 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.47 30 14 15 16 17 18 20 22 25 28 31  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (35535 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104764 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................28 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 78 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 53 67 67 67 67 77 86 96 96 96 96  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 50 50 50 50 50 50 90 90 90 90  
TEMP............66 67 67 69 72 74 76 77 77 76 74 71  
RH..............78 78 78 73 64 59 58 56 58 60 64 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 16 17 17 17 16 16 15 13 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 22 23 25 25 25 23 23 22 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 26 28 30 30 30 28 25 23 21 18  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3  
ADI.............28 44 48 59 70 78 75 70 64 53 44 35  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.36 41 47 65 85 104 99 91 82 64 48 35  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD FR FR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHILCOTE  
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HOLMES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608963.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 04/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEVEN_HOLMES@FWS.GOV  
 
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