958  
FNUS71 KAKQ 140836  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
436 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND, AND A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH  
OF THE REGION, WILL KEEP A COOL, MOIST NE ONSHORE FLOW IN PLACE TODAY.  
LOWS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED ALL DAY, WITH FOG AND DRIZZLE POSSIBLE THIS  
MORNING. MIN RH VALUES WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH ALL DAY DUE TO THE COOL  
ONSHORE FLOW, ALONG WITH LIMITED MIXING HEIGHTS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FOG IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8970 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (16329 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................12 TO 19.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 95 85 85 85  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 46 47 48 49 49 50 50 50 49  
RH..............97 96 95 93 91 89 87 86 86 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE ENE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 15 15 14 13 13 12 10  
LVORI...........5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5  
ADI.............17 17 17 18 19 19 19 17 15 12  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.10 11 12 13 14 15 16 14 11 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (690 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............8.  
ADI.................1 TO 8.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........75 78 80 82 85 87 88 89 90 81 72 63  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 48 48 48 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 48  
RH..............89 93 93 93 96 96 96 100 100 100 100 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 5 2 2 5 6 5 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........5 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 8  
ADI.............8 3 1 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG EARLY, THEN PARTLY SUNNY  
(45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 12  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1035 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (19320 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................2 TO 25.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........85 85 55 41 37 35  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............48 49 54 59 64 65  
RH..............96 96 90 80 70 68  
20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 4 SE 6 SE 8 S 9 S 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 9 12 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 500 1000 1700 1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 NE 5 NE 6 E 6 S 6 S 9  
LVORI...........8 7 6 4 3 3  
ADI.............2 5 6 7 12 20  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 2 5 9 15  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...CALEB JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2506488.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 03/14/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CALEB-JONES@FWS.GOV  
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