925
FNUS71 KAKQ 250929
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR YORK RIVER RX BURN...DCR STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
529 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WHILE SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS REMAIN BELOW 10MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES TODAY WILL
BE IN THE 30-35% RANGE. OUR PRODUCTS NO LONGER INCLUDE HAINES
INDEX; HOWEVER, DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD, THE HAINES INDEX
WOULD LIKELY BE LOW. EXPECT MORE CLOUDS, SLIGHTLY HIGHER MIN RHS
AROUND 45%, AND SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY AFTER MID-DAY. NEXT RAIN CHANCE WILL BE WITH A COLD FRONT
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (114 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (32314 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 40.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 15 25 44 40 34 42 31 31 32 32 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 33 36 41 45 50 53 55 58 59 59 59
RH..............88 95 87 76 63 52 45 39 35 35 37 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 3 3 5 5 6 8 9 11 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.6 3.5 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 1 1 3 7 9 8 6 5 7 9 12
LVORI...........6 8 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
ADI.............1 1 1 4 12 23 26 24 22 29 39 40
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.0 0 0 2 9 17 20 19 18 24 32 31
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (23919 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2415 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 TO 31.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........45 45 67 68 61 50 53 53 45 41 37 33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 54 53 51 51 51 51 51 51 49 51 50
RH..............49 59 64 71 74 77 80 80 83 89 83 86
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 9 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 10 9 7 7 7 7 7 8 8
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 6 5 6
ADI.............31 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.23 15 11 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 21 TO
25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2530 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (94759 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 87 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 25 21 27 32 37 37 38 38 39 39 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 51 52 56 61 65 67 70 73 74 75 76
RH..............86 86 86 77 67 58 56 51 48 46 46 45
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 11 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 11 13 14 15 16 18 16 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.1 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 15 21 25 25 23 21 22 23 23
LVORI...........6 5 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 8 10 20 47 71 81 80 77 83 87 81
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 4 15 37 60 76 81 81 91 94 82
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MUCH COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...PEGRAM
REQUESTED BY...ERIK MOLLEEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607721.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIK.MOLLEEN@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page