298  
FNUS71 KAKQ 190848  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLE MARSH...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
448 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY DESPITE ONSHORE FLOW WITH  
MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE 40-45% RANGE. THE WIND IS  
EXPECTED TO BE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY  
AFTERNOON, AND TREND MORE TO THE EAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2  
PM THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4485 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (18285 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 TO 23.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 45 36 26 15 5 5 6 6 9 13 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 38 39 42 45 48 49 49 49 50 49 48  
RH..............76 79 76 65 55 47 44 44 44 42 44 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 9 9 11 11 11 9 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6  
LVORI...........4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............3 8 8 13 18 23 21 18 15 14 12 11  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 5 9 14 18 16 14 12 10 9 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (919 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 TO 9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........16 16 16 15 14 12 12 11 11 10 8 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 44 43 43 43 43 43 42 42 42 42 42  
RH..............51 62 70 73 73 76 76 82 82 82 86 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5  
ADI.............9 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15  
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1035 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (22885 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 TO 30.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 6 5 4 4 4 7 9 12 13 15 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 42 43 47 50 54 56 57 57 57 56 55  
RH..............86 89 86 74 66 57 53 49 49 51 53 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 7 9 11 13 12 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 7 9 12 14 15 16 17 17  
LVORI...........5 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............2 5 6 7 8 11 16 23 29 30 30 28  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 3 5 8 12 17 22 22 22 21  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606425.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHAWN_TURNER@FWS.GOV  
 
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