698
FNUS71 KAKQ 291600
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR TADEN RX BURN...VA DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1200 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFFSHORE MONDAY WITH A WEAK WARM FRONT
LIFTING ACROSS NORTHERN VA. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRING SOME MORNING
CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. OTHERWISE, WARMER AND
BREEZY. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 40-45%. A
SOUTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 8 TO 12 MPH DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9775 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (110054 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 98 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69 62 56 51 45 43 51 54 54 53 54
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............49 50 53 57 61 64 66 67 69 69 70
RH..............77 77 69 59 51 48 47 47 44 45 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 8 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 13 16 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 16 18 20 22 23 24 25 25 24
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............13 17 29 43 56 70 83 93 97 98 94
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 12 22 34 48 66 85 104 109 110 105
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 12
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (64284 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (7129 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................67 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........47 48 30 15 19 22 21 19 18 16 15 13
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............71 69 66 64 63 62 61 61 60 59 58 58
RH..............44 47 52 58 60 65 67 67 69 72 75 75
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 16 13 12 12 12 12 12 10 12 12 12
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............67 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.64 30 7 7 8 10 9 9 9 8 8 8
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 22
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9545 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (124429 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 95 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 13 13 12 11 10 13 15 18 19 19 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............57 57 58 62 66 70 73 76 79 81 81 81
RH..............80 80 80 70 61 53 49 45 41 39 39 41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 13 15 18 18 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.8 5.0 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 15 17 18 18 18 18 20 22 22
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............8 14 17 29 43 55 69 77 83 89 95 94
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 10 12 22 34 48 71 92 114 119 124 121
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD
FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSIAH DONALDSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608184.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSIAH.DONALDSON@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
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