338
FNUS71 KAKQ 132037
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOWDY RX BURN...VA DEPT OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
337 PM EST TUE JAN 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
INCREASING CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PIEDMONT ON WEDNESDAY
WITH SW WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH AND RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND
50 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
LIGHT SHOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WELL.
A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY, WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT POSSIBLY
ENDING AS SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY MORNING. SW WINDS VEER AROUND TO
THE NW AND INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY, WITH
GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH FORECAST.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17825 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (46805 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................20 TO 40.
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 79 83 86 88 91 90
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 10 10 10
TEMP............48 50 53 53 53 53 51
RH..............54 52 48 48 48 50 54
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 12 12 11 11 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 16 17 18 18 17
LVORI...........2 2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............20 26 32 36 39 40 31
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.17 25 33 39 44 46 31
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR PR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO
7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 22 TO
29 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (74520 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (6899 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 TO 38.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........88 87 86 86 86 83 79 76 65 54 43 38
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RS RS RS SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............49 47 46 45 44 43 41 40 37 34 31 30
RH..............58 63 65 68 70 65 65 59 59 58 58 55
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW NW N N N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 8 8 16 19 18 16 16 18 18 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 12 13 17 22 26 28 29 28 28
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............10 8 8 8 9 19 30 36 38 38 37 18
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.17 6 7 8 10 24 46 72 74 72 69 72
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73600 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................62 TO 82.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........38 21 19 17 15 16 17 18 17 16 15 13
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............28 27 25 27 29 31 32 33 34 33 32 30
RH..............55 53 52 42 35 32 30 29 27 29 30 32
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.7 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 24 23 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 21
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............81 80 62 64 65 64 64 65 65 66 67 82
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.73 74 84 92 100 102 105 109 111 114 118 92
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD VGD GD
FORECASTER...IYER
REQUESTED BY...JOSIAH DONALDSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528837.0/AKQ
.DELDT 01/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSIAH.DONALDSON@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page