776  
FNUS71 KAKQ 220944  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLIPPING GENTRY WMA...VA DWR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
444 AM EST THU JAN 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS MID TO LATE MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
EARLY THIS MORNING BECOME WESTERLY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES GENERALLY 35-40%. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE  
TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4485 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (47379 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................6 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 49 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........32 9 5 7 5 11 31 48 49 49  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 43 48 51 55 57 57 57 56 53  
RH..............64 57 51 48 43 40 38 38 40 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 7 7 8 7 6 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 11 12 13 13 14 13 12 9 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.0 1.3 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.8 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 14 15 15 15 14 13 9  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............6 12 20 36 43 49 49 46 39 10  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 9 15 29 37 45 47 43 35 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (919 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................1 TO 3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........54 41 32 31 22 21 22 35 26 42 42 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............50 45 43 41 39 37 36 35 34 33 32 32  
RH..............52 60 62 67 70 72 72 72 72 75 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..S N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI.............3 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1150 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (16329 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 TO 19.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 53 65 69 73 72 70 69 70 72 73 70  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RS RS RS RS RS RS RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............31 30 31 35 41 45 48 49 50 50 49 46  
RH..............75 78 78 69 57 47 40 37 36 36 37 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.4 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E E SE S SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 7  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............4 3 3 3 5 6 8 10 14 18 19 15  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 2 3 4 6 8 12 16 16 11  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...ROGERS  
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600834.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DYLAN.GAVAGNI@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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