973
FNUS71 KAKQ 171054
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CSGL 6H LONGLEAF...NCWRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
554 AM EST TUE FEB 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
MORNING INVERSION BREAKS BY 11 AM. DECREASING CLOUDS LATE THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING BECOME SW 5
TO 10 MPH. MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAINLY IN THE LOW TO MID
50% RANGE.
LOOKING AHEAD, BECOMING BREEZY TOMORROW, WITH SOME STRONGER SW
GUSTS EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER,
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN IN THE 55-60% RANGE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1265 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (37490 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 47 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........32 28 23 34 40 40 55
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 53 56 58 61 61 59
RH..............65 60 57 54 51 52 57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 11 11 11 11 11 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.5 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 13 14 14 13 10
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............20 29 38 45 47 40 16
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.15 22 29 35 37 31 12
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1494 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 TO 6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........62 66 66 67 72 77 80 79 68 70 80 75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 52 50 49 48 47 47 46 45 46 46 47
RH..............63 73 80 77 80 83 83 86 93 93 96 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW S S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 8
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 9
ADI.............5 3 2 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3794 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103269 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 74 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71 80 79 80 81 82 82 83 86 88 91 91
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............49 50 53 56 59 62 65 67 68 68 68 67
RH..............96 96 93 90 83 78 70 65 63 61 61 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 10 12 13 15 16 16 15 13 11
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 14 18 21 23 25 27 26 23 23 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.7 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 14 21 26 29 29 28 28 26 24 21
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 9 19 38 57 68 72 74 62 58 57 43
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 5 15 38 65 85 93 103 74 67 69 48
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR GD FR
FORECASTER...MONTEFUSCO
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER PRINCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602880.0/AKQ
.DELDT 02/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JENNIFER.PRINCE@NCWILDLIFE.GOV
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