031
FNUS71 KAKQ 031000
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY GROVE - NORTH 43/44...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
600 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT HAS STALLED JUST NORTH OF THE BURN SITE THIS
MORNING. SOME CLOUDS, AND HIGH RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING,
BUT THE SKY WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY BY LATE MORNING, WITH RH VALUES
DECREASING TO 45-50% THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING ARE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE, AND WILL BECOME SW AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH
LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY WILL BE SIMILAR
WITH THE NEXT WETTING RAIN EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY (25-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (23345 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100394 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................30 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 81 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 60 52 43 34 25 21 17 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 69 74 76 78 79 80 81 81
RH..............81 75 67 60 56 51 49 47 47
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 14 15 18 18 18 18 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.2 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 18 18 18 17 18 20 20
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............30 46 41 62 67 70 75 80 81
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.23 35 49 61 71 81 89 97 100
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (62099 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4255 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................60 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........12 10 8 8 8 7 9 10 11 20 28 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 76 74 73 71 70 69 67 66 66 65 64
RH..............50 54 57 59 63 66 68 73 75 75 78 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.14 11 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 14 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5
ADI.............60 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.62 29 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7359 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100164 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 84 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 35 34 29 24 19 17 14 12 16 14 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............64 64 64 67 71 75 79 81 83 84 84 83
RH..............81 84 84 78 68 62 54 51 47 46 44 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 9 12 13 14 16 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.5 4.2 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 15 15 15 15 15 16 17 20 21 21
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............5 15 20 33 43 52 53 62 70 78 84 84
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 11 15 25 33 41 53 67 83 92 99 100
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...BOBBY CLONTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608918.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BCLONTZ@TNC.ORG
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