696
FNUS71 KAKQ 161343
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 33...FORT WALKER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
943 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
AROUND 100 DEGREES AND THE HEAT INDEX REACHING UPWARDS OF 108
DEGREES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE SOUTHWESTERLY BELOW 10MPH,
HOWEVER, ANY THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY COULD POTENTIALLY CREATE
GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS, THOUGH THE BETTER
RAIN CHANCE WILL ARRIVE LATER WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. MIN RHS WILL DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S TODAY WITH
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES AROUND 85 PERCENT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (91600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................14 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 116 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 5 6 14 22 30 32 35 38
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30
TEMP............85 89 92 95 97 98 100 100 99
RH..............66 59 52 45 43 40 38 38 39
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 7 8 8 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 12 14 14 14 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.3 3.2 4.7 6.2 7.7 7.0 6.3 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 10 13 15 17 17
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............14 20 28 49 73 103 113 116 109
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 14 19 34 57 86 91 92 84
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
2 TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (52500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................73 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........43 49 54 49 43 38 36 33 31 28 26 23
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............96 93 90 87 84 83 82 81 80 80 79 78
RH..............45 51 58 63 70 72 74 77 79 77 79 82
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 6 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 12 11 8 6 6 8 8 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW N N E
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 13 10 10 9 9 7 3 1 0 0 1
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 6
ADI.............73 9 7 4 4 4 3 2 1 0 0 1
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..53 24 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
12 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (94400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 102 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........24 25 37 47 54 63
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 50 50
TEMP............77 81 87 93 95 96
RH..............85 79 68 55 49 48
20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 8 11 14 12
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1100 2500 4100 5900 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 SW 12 SW 13 SW 16 SW 18 W 15
LVORI...........5 4 1 1 1 1
ADI.............2 16 43 77 82 63
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 11 29 56 94 67
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...PEGRAM
REQUESTED BY...CURTIS GARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418175.0/AKQ
.DELDT 07/16/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CURTIS.E.GARNETT.CIV@ARMY.MIL
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