098  
FNUS71 KRNK 291748  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK UNIT 1...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
148 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MARCH 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SUNNY, DRY AND BREEZY THROUGH TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP  
INTO THE LOW 20% RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON, AND AFTERNOON HIGH  
TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE LOW 60S. SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS  
HAVE BEGUN TO GUST, AND GUSTS BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO  
CONTINUE UNTIL THE EVENING, AFTER WHICH WINDS WILL START TO  
DECREASE. MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE MONDAY WITH CONTINUED BROAD  
SOUTHERLY FLOW, SO WILL NOT SEE MINIMUM RH TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS  
LOW AS THIS AFTERNOON. WILL ALSO SEE INCREASING CLOUD COVER OVER  
THE BURN SITE TOMORROW, AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS BY  
THE AFTERNOON, THOUGH AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR  
LESS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (58200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (77300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................78 TO 102.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 8 8 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 60 61 62  
RH..............27 27 24 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 5.2 5.2 5.1  
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S  
MIXNG WIND SPD..14 15 17 17  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1  
ADI.............78 92 102 101  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.67 80 89 88  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (55800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................76 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........26 21 44 60 52 61  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............60 55 50 48 47 46  
RH..............25 28 33 37 40 53  
20 FT WIND......S 6 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 13 13 14 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 900 700 600 500 500  
MIXING WIND......S 15 S 9 S 7 S 7 S 7 SW 8  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............76 4 3 3 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.64 8 5 4 4 4  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON, DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................3 TO 40.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........65 69 61 61 70 63  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 20 30 30 30 40  
TEMP............47 48 55 62 66 69  
RH..............59 67 56 53 51 48  
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 12 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 1500 2700 2900 2600  
MIXING WIND......SW 8 SW 7 SW 9 SW 12 SW 14 SW 16  
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 1 1  
ADI.............3 5 17 26 33 35  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 3 13 31 40 42  
 
 
FORECASTER...SAVA  
REQUESTED BY...ROBBIE CLAYTOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608363.0/RNK  
.DELDT 03/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT.CLAYTOR@USDA.GOV  
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