227
FNUS71 KRNK 061006
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR HANGING ROCK FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
606 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
GOING TO SEE CLOUDY SKIES THIS MORNING, A FEW SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS
BY MIDDAY, BECOMING MORE SCATTERED IN THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE SITE
EARLY THIS EVENING, WITH OFF AND ON SHOWERS INTO THURSDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY
(95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN
THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING BACK TO 50 PERCENT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................17 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 62 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 76 69 100 100
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............10 50 50 50 50 40 30 40 40 50 50
TEMP............64 61 60 62 63 66 69 71 73 74 73
RH..............68 79 85 85 82 77 72 68 67 67 72
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 12 12 11 11 12 12 11 11 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 21 21 22 21 21 19 19 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.0 3.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
MIXNG WIND SPD..15 15 16 17 18 20 21 21 21 21 20
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 3
ADI.............17 22 27 31 35 45 53 59 62 58 50
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 19 26 30 36 55 73 87 98 84 68
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 18 MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (48600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 TO 43.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........89 86 100 88 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....SCT NUM CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50 60 50 60 80 70 70 100 90 100 90 70
TEMP............73 71 70 68 67 66 66 65 65 65 64 64
RH..............72 75 80 86 88 88 90 91 90 89 91 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 3 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 13 12 11 11 10 10 7 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW W W W W SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..17 14 10 7 5 3 3 3 5 6 8 8
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
ADI.............43 15 9 7 4 3 3 3 4 5 7 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.56 26 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT TO 20
PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (22900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1 TO 31.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 94 91 88 83 79 85 89 79 74 72
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............60 50 40 50 50 70 70 40 40 30 20 10
TEMP............62 61 60 60 59 59 59 59 60 60 60 60
RH..............94 95 97 99 100 98 98 94 91 89 85 84
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 10 11 11 12 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SE E E NE NE NE N N N NE NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..6 3 1 2 6 8 10 12 12 12 10 8
LVORI...........6 8 8 9 8 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............5 3 1 4 9 19 25 30 31 29 22 19
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 2 1 3 7 15 20 25 26 24 18 16
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...SAM GRIFFITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612869.0/RNK
.DELDT 05/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL D10OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV
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