256
FNUS71 KRNK 082254
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MOUNTAIN...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
554 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EST ON NOVEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA ON SUNDAY,
CAUSING WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
FROM THE WEST. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST A HEAD OF THE
FRONT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS, THOUGH AMOUNTS
MAY ONLY BE A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 1
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 TO 2.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........30 12 12 12 12 20 27 35 40 44 49 44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 57 55 53 51 50 49 49 49 49 48 47
RH..............54 57 61 65 70 73 75 76 77 78 81 83
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE NE N N
MIXNG WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT NORTHWEST INCREASING TO WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (99100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 86 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........38 33 37 40 44 49 54 59 58 57 56 56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............47 48 50 53 55 58 59 60 60 59 57 55
RH..............83 81 79 76 73 69 65 62 60 60 61 64
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 10 12 14 17 18 19 19 19 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.6 3.3 4.2 4.6 4.1 3.7 2.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W W W W W W
MIXNG WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 6 12 18 24 24 23 21 21
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............1 2 3 4 10 38 48 68 73 86 75 54
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 3 8 30 63 101 114 94 77 45
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRIZZLE
OR FLURRIES OVERNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (44800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO FAIR (23000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................14 TO 34.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........55 55 63 67 71 66 61 56 54 52 50 47
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RS RS RS SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............52 50 48 46 44 43 41 40 39 38 37 35
RH..............67 69 69 68 66 67 69 70 66 66 65 67
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.22 24 25 26 25 24 24 23 23 23 23 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..21 21 22 24 25 25 24 23 22 22 21 21
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............14 19 30 32 34 34 32 31 30 24 23 23
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 27 45 47 52 50 49 48 44 41 38 38
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
FLURRIES.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (89100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................48 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 90 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45 42 40 38 36 41 47 52 51 51 50 50
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............34 33 33 33 34 35 35 35 35 35 34 32
RH..............68 68 66 63 59 54 51 49 48 46 46 49
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 22 22 22 21 20 19 20 20 21 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 3.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..21 21 22 23 23 22 21 20 20 21 23 25
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............48 49 63 75 85 84 81 59 59 62 90 88
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.38 39 55 73 90 92 92 94 93 97 102 89
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...LYTE GILLESPIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525433.0/RNK
.DELDT 11/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.ORR@USDA.GOV,ADAM.CHRISTI@USDA.GOV,VAVIC@FIRENET.GOV,COLTEN.MOOR@USDA.GOV
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