191  
FNUS71 KRNK 150808  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
408 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 EDT ON JULY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY TODAY, WITH SUNSHINE, THOUGH SMOKE ALOFT FROM UPSTREAM WILDFIRES  
IN CANADA WILL FILTER THE SUNLIGHT AT TIMES. STILL EXPECT  
LOWER RH TODAY AND THURSDAY. WINDS STAY LIGHT.  
 
FRIDAY SHOULD SEE SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS BUT STILL  
VERY WARM. COULD HAVE SOME ISOLATED STORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 3 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5AM  
SKY (%).........4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............63  
RH..............95  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4  
MIXNG WIND DIR..W  
MIXNG WIND SPD..3  
LVORI...........4  
ADI.............2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
0 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 1 TO  
2 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (14100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................0 TO 21.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........6 9 3 3 14 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 71 78 83 87 90  
RH..............88 74 62 53 47 42  
20 FT WIND......SE 2 N 2 N 1 N 1 W 2 W 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 2 2 4 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1500 3300 4400 4400  
MIXING WIND......W 3 NW 3 N 7 NE 5 N 0 SW 1  
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............1 3 13 21 0 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 2 10 16 0 4  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................2 TO 16.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........22 11 20 32 18 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............86 83 78 76 74 72  
RH..............47 55 59 62 66 71  
20 FT WIND......SW 3 S 3 SW 2 SW 2 NE 1 N 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 2 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 400 500 500 400 400  
MIXING WIND......SW 5 SW 7 W 5 W 3 NW 5 NW 5  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............16 3 2 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 3 2 2 2 2  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (29700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................2 TO 40.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........12 21 33 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 78 85 90  
RH..............70 70 56 42  
20 FT WIND......NE 2G5 NW 1G5 W 2G5 SW 3G6  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 5200 8400  
MIXING WIND......NW 5 N 3 SE 5 S 3  
LVORI...........3 3 2 1  
ADI.............2 8 27 36  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 6 22 31  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...PERRY  
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617252.5/RNK  
.DELDT 07/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.COLLETT@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV  
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