310
FNUS71 KRNK 191047
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR BACK CREEK WILDFIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
547 AM EST WED NOV 19 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0630 EST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT THROUGH THE DAY WITH RH
STAYING ELEVATED AFTER WETTING RAINS TUESDAY EVENING. 20 FOOT
AND MIXING WINDS STAY LIGHT TODAY. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS DEVELOP
TONIGHT WITH RH RECOVERING TO 100 PERCENT. THURSDAY SHOULD
HAVE A LITTLE MORE CLOUDS THAN TODAY WITH RH AGAIN REMAINING
ELEVATED AT THE BURN SITE. ANOTHER WETTING RAIN ARRIVES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 1 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (14400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 TO 18.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........67 62 52 50 52 47 53 61 58 52 57 56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 41 42 46 48 51 53 54 55 55 55 54
RH..............95 100 99 90 85 80 77 74 73 73 75 76
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST. 1 1 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.0 2.8 1.7 1.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 3 5 6 5 3 2 1
LVORI...........9 9 9 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 4
ADI.............4 4 3 3 5 9 14 18 16 13 5 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 3 3 4 7 12 17 15 10 4 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE
IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO
6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................0 TO 3.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........52 76 96
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE FOG NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0
TEMP............51 45 43
RH..............85 93 96
20 FT WIND......N 1G6 N 0G4 N 0G2
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1200 1200
MIXING WIND......W 1 S 5 S 6
LVORI...........6 6 8
ADI.............0 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 5 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................6 TO 8.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 89 89 91 92 92 93 93 86 79 72 73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 41 42 44 48 50 52 53 54 55 55 54
RH..............95 99 100 95 86 81 76 73 71 70 71 74
20 FT WIND DIR..N SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
MIXNG WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5
LVORI...........6 8 8 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............7 7 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 5 5 5 4 5 6 7 6 6 6 7
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...MARCUS SEWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526163.1/RNK
.DELDT 11/19/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARCUS.SEWELL@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page