137  
FNUS71 KRNK 280800  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LICK MOUNTAIN RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
400 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AT THE BURN LOCATION. NEW  
PRECIPITATION OF AROUND 0.10 INCHES OF RAINFALL FELL ON FRIDAY, WHICH  
WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER TODAY AS MINIMUM RH VALUES  
DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20% RANGE. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND  
20-25 MPH IN THE MORNING HOURS SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGHOUT THE DAY TO  
AROUND 10-15 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY  
LESS AT AROUND 5-10 MPH THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY  
LOOK TO CLIMB TO AROUND 4.6 KFT. MIXING HEIGHTS THIS HIGH COMBINED WITH  
GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD TO HIGH DISPERSIONS AT THE BURN LOCATION.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 15  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (48500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................66 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 112 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 11 10 5 3 2 4 4 4 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............26 28 32 36 39 42 44 46 47 47  
RH..............70 65 54 46 41 36 32 30 28 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 18 18 17 17 16 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.8 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.4  
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..26 24 22 21 20 20 18 17 15 13  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............112 110 100 97 97 99 97 91 79 66  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.92 91 83 81 81 83 82 78 67 56  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................50 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 4 4 7 7 4 6 5 4 8 12 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 42 38 35 34 31 30 29 28 27 27 26  
RH..............29 33 41 46 50 56 59 63 65 67 67 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NE E NE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 6 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 2.5 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4  
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N  
MIXNG WIND SPD..10 9 7 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
ADI.............50 4 3 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.42 22 6 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING  
TO 13 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................0 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 121 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 38 39 38 35 32 31 29 28 27 25 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............26 26 27 32 39 46 51 55 58 60 61 60  
RH..............71 73 71 62 49 39 33 29 28 26 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..N SW S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 6 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.3 4.3 5.3 5.6 6.0 6.4  
MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..0 0 0 3 7 10 12 13 13 15 16 17  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............0 0 0 4 15 29 47 61 76 92 109 121  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.0 0 0 3 12 23 38 52 67 82 98 110  
   
OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY APRIL 04 THROUGH FRIDAY APRIL 10
 
 

 
FORECASTER...BUNKER  
REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN URFFER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608167.1/RNK  
.DELDT 03/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL COLLEEN.URFFER@USDA.GOV  
 
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