863
FNUS71 KRNK 090815
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
415 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MORNING FOG WILL GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES LATER THIS
MORNING. EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE BY THE MID AFTERNOON, ALONG
WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT.
GREATEST THREATS WITH ANY STORMS ARE LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS, AND
HIGH RAIN RATES LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. OVERALL
COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED, AND RAINFALL
AMOUNTS GENERALLY A QUARTER INCH OR LESS, BUT COULD BE UP TO AN
INCH FROM ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS.
RH'S WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, NOT DROPPING
BELOW THE 60% RANGE. WINDS WILL STAY OUT OF THE WEST TODAY AND
TOMORROW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY, INCREASING TO
70 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, DECREASING TO
50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (32100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 TO 38.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 44 38 28 23 25 53 71 78 73 65
WEATHER COV.....SCH PTY SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNF FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 20 30 60 70 60 50
TEMP............69 70 72 74 75 77 78 79 79 80 78
RH..............94 93 93 86 82 80 75 72 72 67 73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W
MIXNG WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 12
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............4 6 9 14 22 29 24 26 30 36 38
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 5 7 11 17 23 26 27 30 36 37
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 TO 36.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........56 23 6 19 6 22
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE
CWR.............30 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 75 72 70 69 67
RH..............74 80 84 87 88 91
20 FT WIND......W 4 W 3 W 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 8 7 6
MIX HGT (FT)....2700 500 500 500 500 500
MIXING WIND......W 12 NW 10 W 6 W 5 W 7 W 6
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6
ADI.............36 5 3 2 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.32 6 3 2 3 3
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING,
INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (67000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 63 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........28 19 39 51 77 67
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0 0 0 10 30 50
TEMP............66 70 75 77 79 81
RH..............92 87 80 74 68 65
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 W 3 W 5 W 5 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 10 11 13 14
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 2600 4500 5000 2000
MIXING WIND......W 5 W 5 W 12 W 15 W 15 W 20
LVORI...........6 5 3 3 1 1
ADI.............2 5 39 61 62 49
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 4 30 69 75 40
FORECASTER...SAVA
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY CURTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617019.0/RNK
.DELDT 07/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARCUS.SEWELL@USDA.GOV,PHILIP.BRASS@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV,LINDSEY.CURTIN@USDA.GOV,JACOB.JOHNSON2@USDA.GOV
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