704  
FNUS71 KRNK 311205  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CANE CREEK...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
805 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A TREND OF WARM AND HUMID WEATHER FOR THIS WEEK DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY  
WINDS. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A VERY LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD COVER INCREASES TOMORROW (WEDNESDAY). IN ADDITION,  
TOMORROW WILL HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WITH  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AROUND 60%. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN OR  
AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORM.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (72000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 94 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 32 32 35 38 43 46 56 61 56  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 20 10  
TEMP............54 57 63 68 70 73 74 74 74 74  
RH..............86 79 66 57 54 50 47 47 48 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 10 11 11 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 2.0 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.4 5.3 4.8 4.6  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 6 9 13 14 14 14 15 16 17  
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 8 25 51 66 78 87 94 93 52  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 6 20 42 56 68 76 83 80 82  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 TO 36.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........58 60 35 24 20 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 67 64 62 60 59  
RH..............54 64 70 76 81 84  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 4 SW 3 SW 3 W 2 W 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 8 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 800 900 800 700 600  
MIXING WIND......SW 16 SW 14 SW 15 SW 15 SW 13 SW 6  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 4 5  
ADI.............36 8 7 7 6 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.42 12 14 14 10 4  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 14 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (42100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 46 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........29 40 46 57 75 75  
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 60 60  
TEMP............58 58 66 75 77 77  
RH..............87 90 75 57 50 51  
20 FT WIND......W 2 W 1 SW 2 SW 3 S 4 S 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 6 7 8 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 1800 3900 5100 3900  
MIXING WIND......SW 2 W 3 W 12 W 13 W 7 SW 8  
LVORI...........6 6 3 1 2 2  
ADI.............1 3 26 46 22 23  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 2 20 48 37 33  
 
 
FORECASTER...GROVER  
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA JOHNSTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608679.0/RNK  
.DELDT 03/31/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL D2OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV,ROBB.DAVIS@NCAGR.GOV  
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