805
FNUS71 KRNK 270840
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR HOLLOW...U S FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
440 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0516 EDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A START TO THE DAY WITH PATCHY FOG IN SOME SPOTS,
WE ARE EXPECTING A DAY WITH MORE SUN THAN CLOUDS AND WITH
NO PRECIPITATION. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED PROGRESS
TOWARD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT, BUT NOT ARRIVE UNTIL AFTER
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. ON TUESDAY, COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT
THE DAY, BUT THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD HAVE STRONG
TO DAMAGING WINDS. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WORKWEEK BEFORE SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST
FOR THE WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT) THEN
(40-50 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (24500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 TO 35.
TIME (EDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 46 34 37 19 34 20 21 28 54 51 40 49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............64 64 64 66 69 72 75 77 79 80 81 82 81
RH..............91 92 92 91 88 79 71 66 59 56 54 53 53
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.0 4.2 5.1 5.6 5.3 5.2 4.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N NW W SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 5
LVORI...........7 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 1 2 2 1 2
ADI.............2 2 3 3 7 17 27 34 35 29 28 31 26
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 1 1 2 6 13 21 27 28 26 25 25 20
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 2 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 11.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........51 21 41 36 51 79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............80 75 72 69 69 67
RH..............56 70 78 82 85 89
20 FT WIND......N 1 N 1 SE 1 SE 1 S 2 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 400 400 400 400 500
MIXING WIND......SW 3 S 1 SW 1 W 2 W 3 W 2
LVORI...........2 4 4 5 5 7
ADI.............11 1 1 1 2 1
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 0 1 1 1 1
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT
IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT
MID-DAY INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (31800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 TO 35.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........80 79 69 57 59 84
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............10 60 50 40 40 80
TEMP............66 69 72 75 78 80
RH..............90 88 88 81 72 66
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 4 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 16 18 18 18
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 1400 2700 3200 2900
MIXING WIND......W 2 W 3 W 3 W 5 W 8 W 10
LVORI...........7 6 5 4 3 3
ADI.............1 3 6 14 27 34
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 2 4 13 25 31
FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER
REQUESTED BY...B. FOLTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617900.5/RNK
.DELDT 07/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MARTIN.ANGELO@USDA.GOV,ADAM.CHRISTIE@USDA.GOV,BRENT.FOLTZ@USDA.GOV
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