593  
FNUS71 KRNK 241245  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PHILPOTT LAKE...USACE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
745 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CHILLY THIS MORNING, ALONG WITH CONTINUED BREEZY CONDITIONS. NW  
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY, BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN AT  
20MPH OR LESS. WILL SEE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND INTO THE AFTERNOON,  
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE TEENS AND  
SINGLE DIGITS, WHICH WILL RESULT IN MIN RH VALUES IN THE 15 TO 20  
PERCENT RANGE BY LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
 
WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST, AND BECOME  
INCREASINGLY GUSTY AFTER SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTS INTO THE 20 AND  
30MPH RANGE WILL BE COMMON THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TEMPERATURES MUCH  
WARMER INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S BY THE AFTERNOON...MIN RH AT THAT  
TIME AROUND 30 PERCENT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12  
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (38700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................35 TO 50.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 56 68 66 65 60 66 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 35 38 41 43 44 45 45  
RH..............44 36 32 28 27 27 27 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 11 10 10 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.1  
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW W W W W SW SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..15 13 12 10 10 12 13 13  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............50 39 36 35 37 40 44 42  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.40 35 34 35 36 39 45 40  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................8 TO 14.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........67 70 73 68 72 78 87 95 92 92 94 85  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............42 40 37 36 37 37 37 37 37 37 38 38  
RH..............34 37 43 46 46 46 47 46 47 48 48 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 12 13 14 16 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..14 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 15 14 13 12  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............9 9 10 10 10 10 14 14 10 9 8 8  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.10 11 12 12 14 17 16 15 15 14 13 12  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (79200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................14 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 82 70 72 74 71 67 64 61 59 56 55  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............39 39 40 43 47 51 53 55 57 57 57 56  
RH..............54 54 57 55 50 47 44 43 42 43 44 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.4  
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W SW SW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..12 12 13 15 17 18 20 21 22 23 22 18  
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............14 14 23 34 56 48 54 60 60 58 52 39  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 11 22 39 54 64 78 91 86 78 65 44  
 

 
FORECASTER...GRUVER  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEWART  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603722.0/RNK  
.DELDT 02/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.W.STEWART@USACE.ARMY.MIL  
 
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