373  
FNUS71 KRNK 151801  
FWSRNK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEARD MOUNTAIN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
201 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON OCTOBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR AND COOL, WITH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE  
FOR THE WV MOUNTAINS. EXPECT GOOD RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS  
TEMPERATURES DROP. TOMORROW MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 27  
TO 30 PERCENT ZONE. GUSTY WINDS DECREASE TONIGHT, BUT BECOME  
GUSTY AGAIN THURSDAY. IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE FORECAST  
PERIOD.  
 
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 TO 23.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........11 9 10 9 8 2 3 5 4 3 3 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 63 60 58 57 55 54 52 52 49 48 46  
RH..............44 55 61 66 67 71 73 78 78 84 85 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6  
MIXNG WIND DIR..N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..14 14 14 13 10 8 7 6 6 6 5 5  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6  
ADI.............23 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.17 10 13 10 11 7 6 4 4 3 3 3  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14  
TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (75500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 100 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 4 3 0 3 4 6 8 7 6 6 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 44 44 47 54 59 65 68 69 71 70 69  
RH..............87 84 80 74 55 43 34 30 28 27 28 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.1  
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N  
MIXNG WIND SPD..5 3 5 7 9 12 14 16 17 17 16 15  
LVORI...........6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............2 4 5 8 19 36 57 79 96 100 94 73  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 2 6 15 29 46 66 83 87 82 61  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................1 TO 29.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 6 6 4 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 58 54 51 49 48 47 45 44 42 37 33  
RH..............34 43 49 56 60 63 67 70 73 77 82 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 11 11 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
MIXNG WIND SPD..13 9 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 6  
ADI.............29 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.23 7 5 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................2 TO 18.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 2 2 2 3 3 5 6 8 12 15 19  
WEATHER COV.....PTY WID PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 34 39 45 50 57 62 66 69 71 72 71  
RH..............90 93 80 68 58 47 39 34 31 29 29 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW W W W SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 5 4 2 2 2 4 4 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.9  
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N NW W W W W  
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5  
LVORI...........7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............2 4 4 5 7 10 11 13 15 16 18 17  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 2 4 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 13  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...HANES  
REQUESTED BY...VICC DISPATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2523610.2/RNK  
.DELDT 10/15/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL VAVIC@FIRENET.GOV  
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