121
FNUS71 KRNK 301004
FWSRNK
SPOT FORECAST FOR LICK MOUNTAIN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
604 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
OBSERVATIONS FROM RAWS WV-MOF-SZ DQ INCORPORATED INTO THE FORECAST.
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUE TO BRING INCREASED MOISTURE INTO THE BURN AREA, AND WILL
HOLD MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES AT ABOUT 45 PERCENT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE IN SPEED BY LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 15 MPH. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHERN GREENBRIER COUNTY AND THE SURROUNDING AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING, THOUGH ANY SHOWERS WILL BE BRIEF, WITH RAINFALL TOTALS
LESS THAN 0.10". HIGHER RECOVERY OF RH IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT,
REACHING ABOVE 90 PERCENT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT NOW, INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, INCREASING TO
60 PERCENT DURING LATE AFTERNOON, DECREASING TO
20 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO
17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (38400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................1 TO 37.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 63 74 70 68 74 71 72 75 80 81 75
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 20 30 40 40 40 40 60 40 30 20
TEMP............39 39 40 45 50 54 58 59 61 62 62 62
RH..............58 64 69 67 63 58 56 56 54 54 55 59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 10 12 13 14 15 15 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..2 1 2 6 10 15 16 16 16 17 17 16
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............1 2 2 6 20 31 35 37 37 37 37 33
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 5 15 33 39 44 44 43 43 36
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 TO 27.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63 56 49 65 31 28 31 35 36 46 30 28
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............62 62 60 57 56 55 53 52 52 51 51 50
RH..............59 60 69 72 76 79 81 83 85 87 88 89
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW W
MIXNG WIND SPD..13 9 7 8 10 12 10 8 6 5 5 5
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
ADI.............27 4 3 4 4 5 5 4 3 2 2 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.30 8 4 5 6 9 8 5 4 3 3 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 23 TO
25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (99600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (102600
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 81 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49 40 57 46 50 54 51 47 54 54 54 54
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30
TEMP............50 50 50 53 58 64 68 71 73 74 75 74
RH..............91 93 92 89 79 68 60 55 51 48 46 46
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 12 14 16 18 18 18 18 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..3 3 5 8 13 17 20 22 23 24 25 24
LVORI...........7 6 6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............2 4 4 14 32 39 51 81 67 73 76 73
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 2 3 11 25 47 67 86 104 115 121 118
FORECASTER...FILLO
REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN URFFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608411.1/RNK
.DELDT 03/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL COLLEEN.URFFER@USDA.GOV
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