972  
FNUS72 KGSP 172032  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ICEWATER SPRING SHELTER...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
432 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON JULY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS AS OF 420 PM  
FRIDAY. THERE IS VERY LITTLE FLOW IN THE ATMOSPHERE TO STEER STORMS  
IN ANY PARTICULAR DIRECTION, THOUGH THERE SHOULD BE A SLIGHT PREFERENCE  
FOR NEW STORMS TO FORM ON THE NORTH SIDE OF ANY EXISTING/DISSIPATING  
SHOWER OR STORM. CREWS THIS EVENING WILL NEED TO BE PREPARED TO SHELTER  
FROM THUNDERSTORMS. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL (POSSIBLY RESULTING IN AS MUCH  
AS 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR) AND CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING  
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS, BUT STORMS ALSO MAY PRODUCE BRIEF GUSTS  
OF 40 TO 50 MPH. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS, EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
CEILING (FT)........1500.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 5PM  
SKY (%).........91  
WEATHER COV.....DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80  
CHC OF THDR (%).60  
TEMP............68  
RH..............96  
APARNT TMP (F)..68  
SURFACE WND DIR.W  
SURFACE WND SPD.3  
SURFACE WND GST.6  
CEILING (HFT)...15  
VISIBILITY (SM).10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ENDING BY 10 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WINDS NEAR 5 MPH.  
CEILING (FT)........AS LOW AS 1900 FT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
GENERALLY ABOVE 8000 FT OTHERWISE.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....LIKELY UNLIMITED EXCEPT WHEN HEAVY RAIN IS  
NEARBY.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........90 89 87 72 69 48 41 40 33 43 34 37  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 60 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 50 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............67 66 65 64 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 62  
RH..............93 95 96 97 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 99  
APARNT TMP (F)..67 66 65 64 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 62  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW W SW W SW N SE SW W NW W  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 3  
SURFACE WND GST.6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7  
CEILING (HFT)...19 23 84 250 110 81 95 110 250 95 64 34  
VISIBILITY (SM).9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
STORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (FT)........GENERALLY 1500 TO 3000 FEET, POSSIBLY LOWER  
DURING THUNDERSTORMS.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....GENERALLY UNLIMITED BUT POSSIBLY AS LOW AS  
1 MILE DURING THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 43 37 40 63 63 71 71 76 82 78 76  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 30 50 60 60 60 70 70 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 20 30 40 40 50 60 50 50  
TEMP............61 62 62 62 66 67 68 68 69 70 69 68  
RH..............99 99 100 100 97 95 90 86 86 84 89 89  
APARNT TMP (F)..61 62 62 62 66 67 68 68 69 70 69 68  
SURFACE WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 3 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 12  
CEILING (HFT)...29 24 19 27 34 42 9.0 9.0 9.0 25 42 58  
VISIBILITY (SM).7 7 8 9 9 10 10 9 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...JCW  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE GRIES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2617612.0/GSP  
.DELDT 07/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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