076  
FNUS72 KGSP 230621  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT BALD WEST...BIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
221 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY LIMITED POTENTIAL TODAY FOR RH BELOW 40%, AT LEAST AT THE HIGHER  
ELEVATIONS WHERE THE BURN SITE IS. INTERMITTENT SPRINKLES LASTING  
THROUGH MID-MORNING MAY LEAVE TRACES RAIN ON THE GROUND THAT WILL  
INTERFERE WITH, OR AT LEAST DELAY, AFTERNOON DRYING.  
 
HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY. GENERALLY EXPECT A W WIND IN THE  
MORNING, TURNING TO THE NW, AND THEN N BY EARLY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS  
OF 20-24MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. APPROXIMATELY A 25% CHANCE OF GUSTS  
>25MPH. GUSTS SHOULD PERSIST LONGER AFTER SUNSET THAN IS TYPICAL,  
BUT DIE DOWN BY MIDNIGHT.  
 
MUCH, MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY, WITH AFTERNOON RH  
LIKELY TO TANK TO 25% OR LOWER...WITH A 50% CHANCE THAT RH WILL FALL  
BELOW 20%, AT LEAST BRIEFLY, DURING PEAK HEATING. HOWEVER, WINDS ON  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON BE MUCH LIGHTER, WITH ONLY SPORADIC GUSTS EXPECTED,  
AND NOT GETTING ABOVE 12-13MPH.  
 
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS, CONTACT THE OFFICE AND A METEOROLOGIST WILL  
DISCUSS WITH YOU.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8  
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO  
20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7595 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (47415 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................16 TO 54.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........7100 DECREASING TO 3500 EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
INCREASING TO 4500 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
INCREASING TO 19800 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10 DECREASING TO 2.56 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 10 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...26.43.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 61 38 25 16 14 12 13  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 55 56 55 56 56 55 55  
DEWPOINT........52 51 49 47 45 42 38 35  
RH..............91 86 79 74 65 60 53 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 22 21 22 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 18 17 18 18  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............30 33 49 51 50 49 54 53  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.27 31 40 42 43 42 47 46  
CEILING (HFT)...3.0 8.0 45 22 35 118 198 203  
VISIBILITY (SM).2.6 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...653 656 658 659 660 661 661 662  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
22 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9  
TO 13 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (38093 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2877 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................47 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........18500 DECREASING TO 17100 LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 21900 OVERNIGHT.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...26.64.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........11 17 18 23 61 71 80 82 62 58 43 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 49 44 42 40 39 39 38 36 36 35 35  
DEWPOINT........32 29 28 26 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 17  
RH..............45 46 52 53 55 56 55 55 56 55 52 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 22 21 18 17 15 15 13 12 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 17 17 17 17 17 16 15 14 13 9  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............47 13 12 8 12 12 12 11 10 9 6 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.38 31 15 11 10 10 9 11 7 5 4 3  
CEILING (HFT)...201 218 224 187 185 171 190 224 219 231 248 250  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...664 665 667 668 669 670 670 670 670 669 669 669  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 7  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2416 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (21406 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................4 TO 26.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........15200 INCREASING TO 16400 LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN DECREASING TO 15500 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 30000 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 14800.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10 IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...26.69.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 57 59 63 61 59 62 66 69 66 63 60  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 35 36 39 43 48 51 54 56 57 58 57  
DEWPOINT........17 15 13 15 17 19 20 21 20 21 23 24  
RH..............46 42 39 37 34 31 28 27 24 24 26 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.5 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............4 7 7 7 8 11 16 22 25 26 24 18  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 2 3 6 8 13 18 21 21 20 17  
CEILING (HFT)...170 152 164 163 188 205 164 155 300 300 300 148  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...670 671 673 675 676 677 676 674 672 670 669 669  
 

 
FORECASTER...MPR  
REQUESTED BY...KODY STONER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607159.0/GSP  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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