094
FNUS72 KILM 211011
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
611 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
VERY LIGHT SOUTH WINDS THIS MORNING UNTIL THE SEA BREEZE MOVES THROUGH
11AM-12PM. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE
BUT THESE MAY STAY WEST OF THE SITE ALTOGETHER. WINDS WILL BECOME SE
~10 MPH WITH GUSTS ~18 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY UNTIL SUNSET.
A PASSING SHOWER/STORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH FOG.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (42575 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........9.
MAX ADI.............53.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 55 49 35 22 8 9 10 12 16 12 10
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............68 69 71 76 79 82 84 84 84 84 83 83
RH..............100 99 97 81 71 62 59 62 61 61 61 62
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N SW S S S S SE SE S S
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 1 2 3 6 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.1 1 1 2 3 4 7 9 13 13 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.8 2.9 3.7 3.9 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 7 7 7 9 12 13 14 15
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A B B B B B
LVORI...........9 9 9 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 4 6 16 27 34 34 40 46 50 53 52
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 4 13 21 26 27 33 38 40 43 42
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR
SFC PRES (IN)...005 005 007 007 007 008 008 008 004 004 004 001
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2474 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........8.
MIN ADI.............3.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........10 13 17 21 26 30 36 42 48 55 62 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............82 80 77 76 74 73 73 72 72 71 71 70
RH..............65 69 77 84 87 91 94 95 96 96 96 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 1
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 13 13 13 12 12 12 9 8 7 7
STABILITY.......E F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
ADI.............10 10 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.33 26 8 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...001 001 003 003 003 006 006 006 006 006 006 006
FORECASTER...WARNER
REQUESTED BY...ADAM MCCULLOUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614207.0/ILM
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ADAM_MCCULLOUGH@FWS.GOV
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