831  
FNUS72 KILM 281748  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGBRANCH SOUTHEAST RXB...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
1248 PM EST WED JAN 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0100 EST ON JANUARY 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.  
AN INCREASING THREAT FOR A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM POSSIBLY  
AFFECTING THE AREA THIS WEEKEND, WITH SNOW THE PRIMARY PCPN TYPE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND  
14 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (5082 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MIN ADI.............6.  
 
TIME (EST) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 42 38 31 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 30 29 28 28  
RH..............53 55 58 61 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 14 14  
STABILITY.......F E F F F  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3  
ADI.............7 10 6 6 6  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 6 5 5 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...019 019 019 021 021  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO  
14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (50750 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MAX ADI.............61.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 42 42 18 13 16 18 11 7 3 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............27 27 29 33 36 39 42 44 45 45 44 43  
RH..............64 66 63 48 43 38 35 33 33 34 35 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE N N NW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 9 8 9 8 6 6 6 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 16 15 13 10 12 12 10 12 14 14  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B B B  
LVORI...........2 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............16 14 23 33 33 31 40 46 44 51 61 46  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 6 18 26 26 25 32 38 36 42 51 37  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...021 024 024 024 028 028 028 017 017 017 012 012  
 

 
FORECASTER...KEEBLER  
REQUESTED BY...ALAN MATTHEWS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601160.1/ILM  
.DELDT 01/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALAN.MATTHEWS@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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