272
FNUS72 KILM 211017
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR PHELPS POWER...NCWRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
617 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE EASTERN US THIS WEEK WHILE
STRONG LOW PRESSURE DRIFTS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. VERY DRY
AIR ALOFT WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. STEADY NORTH WINDS, DRY WEATHER, AND COOL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL
PICK UP AGAIN THIS WEEKEND AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM
THE NORTH.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (62230 MPH-FT).
TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46 52 64 71 73 72
RH..............86 75 52 34 29 32
20 FT WIND......N 3 N 5 N 8 N 7 N 7 N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 13 12 11 8
MIX HGT (FT)....400 800 2100 3300 3600 3500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 16 N 16 N 17 N 16 N 15
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 14 34 56 58 52
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (3719 MPH-FT).
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 4 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67 58 54 51 48 45
RH..............39 56 65 71 78 84
20 FT WIND......N 3 N 2 N 2 N 1 N 1 N 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 4 2 2 3
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 400 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 10 N 9 N 9 N 9 N 9
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.13 5 4 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (50711 MPH-FT).
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 43 56 66 72 72
RH..............87 88 57 39 31 32
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 3 N 3 N 6 N 6 N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 6 9 9 7
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 1300 2800 3700 4100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 N 9 N 12 N 14 N 13 N 12
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 15 38 47 47
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...HEWETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624217.0/ILM
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS.HEWETT@NCWILDLIFE.GOV
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