787  
FNUS72 KILM 031652  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOTSU A5-6...DOD ARMY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
1152 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON MARCH 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND DOWN FROM THE NORTH TODAY.  
ONCE THE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON,  
WINDS WILL VEER TO THE ESE AND SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT. AS  
A RESULT, TEMPERATURES WILL START TO WARM UP TODAY, A TREND THAT  
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. LOW RAIN CHANCES  
POSSIBLE FOR THE WEEKEND.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS HIGH.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO  
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (20969 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........5.  
MAX ADI.............26.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 51 27 47 40 34 30 33 48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 63 66 68 69 69 69 67 65  
RH..............90 79 73 72 68 68 66 72 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 3 5 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.6 1.4 2.1 1.7 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W SW SW SW S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 6 6 8 8 9 9 9  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B E  
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............6 6 14 17 26 15 25 20 6  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 5 11 13 21 11 20 16 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...030 033 033 033 031 031 031 026 026  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2230 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........9.  
MIN ADI.............4.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........62 55 52 58 63 64 66 67 63 58 54 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 58 57 56 56 55 55 55 54 54 54 54  
RH..............83 93 92 93 96 98 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7  
STABILITY.......E F F F F F F F F F F B  
LVORI...........4 6 6 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 8  
ADI.............7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 8  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...026 028 028 028 030 030 030 028 028 028 026 026  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MAX MIXING HGT......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (29817 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........8.  
MAX ADI.............37.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 82 77 72 67 62 56 51 47 44 40 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 54 57 61 64 67 68 69 70 70 68 66  
RH..............100 98 93 88 77 71 68 66 66 66 69 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 9 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B B E  
LVORI...........8 8 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............7 6 7 10 15 21 27 34 35 36 37 8  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 4 8 12 16 21 27 28 29 30 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...026 029 029 029 032 032 032 029 029 029 025 025  
 
 
FORECASTER...31  
REQUESTED BY...KCRAWFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604611.0/ILM  
.DELDT 03/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRENT.K.CRAWFORD.CIV@ARMY.MIL  
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