463  
FNUS72 KILM 150047 AAA  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR QUARRY...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
847 PM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 EDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE FOG POTENTIAL INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 3 AND PROVIDES THE  
THREAT FOR FOG POTENTIAL OF 5SM OR LOWER. THE INDEX RANGES  
BETWEEN 0 AND 3...  
0 = NONE  
1 = LOW  
2 = MODERATE  
3 = HIGH  
 
(CORRECTION TO THE WORDING IN THIS PARAGRAPH)  
FOR THIS REGION, A FOG POTENTIAL INDEX OF 2 BY MIDNIGHT WILL  
FURTHER INCREASE TO A 3 DURING THE PREDAWN WED HRS AS SFC WINDS  
GO PERIODICALLY CALM. ANY FOG AFTER SUNRISE, SHOULD DISSIPATE  
BETWEEN 8AM AND 9AM.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2948 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........8.  
MIN ADI.............3.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 45 29 32 31 24 20 25 23 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 79 78 77 77 76 75 75 74 74  
RH..............81 85 87 90 90 93 94 95 96 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 12 10 8 7 7 7 7  
STABILITY.......E F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 8  
ADI.............9 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.20 13 9 7 5 4 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...003 003 003 005 005 005 002 002 002 001  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO  
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (25161 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........6.  
MAX ADI.............33.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 32 31 36 27 26 23 27 35 27 25 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 0  
TEMP............74 74 77 80 85 88 89 90 90 90 91 89  
RH..............96 95 91 83 69 64 61 59 59 61 59 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE N NE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.6 3.1 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.4 2.7 2.6 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6 7 9 9 9  
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A A A A B B  
LVORI...........6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2  
ADI.............8 8 8 16 27 28 28 28 30 33 30 30  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 6 13 21 22 22 22 23 25 24 24  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...001 001 005 005 005 005 005 005 002 002 002 998  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIN MIXING HGT......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (4290 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........6.  
MIN ADI.............4.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........8 4 3 8 3 0 2 2 1 1 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............88 86 83 81 80 79 79 79 78 77 76 76  
RH..............65 68 77 82 85 87 88 89 90 94 94 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9  
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.22 22 13 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...998 998 997 997 997 000 000 000 997 997 997 997  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (36987 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........6.  
MAX ADI.............45.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 0 0 1 1 3 6 8 10 11 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 76 79 82 86 90 91 92 92 92 91 90  
RH..............94 94 90 82 73 65 62 61 62 62 62 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 8 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 12 14 15  
STABILITY.......A A A A A A A B B B B B  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............7 7 9 16 26 36 35 39 41 45 44 41  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 7 12 20 28 27 31 33 37 36 32  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...997 997 998 998 998 999 999 999 995 995 995 994  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOEHLER  
REQUESTED BY...SAFETY OFFICER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617378.0/ILM  
.DELDT 07/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL THOMAS.CRATE@NCPARKS.GOV  
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