771
FNUS72 KILM 221803
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNSON RX 3/22...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
203 PM EDT SUN MAR 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MON, WITH NEAR RECORD
HIGHS TODAY. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MON WILL HAVE LIMITED
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH RESULTING IN JUST ISOLATED CONVECTION
POSSIBLE. DRIER AND COOLER AIR TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA MON NIGHT
INTO WED. THE NEXT WARMING TREND EXPECTED LATE WED THRU FRI.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS NONE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (107854 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............122.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........25 45 32 31 2 1 4 2 3 2 3 2
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 57 57 63 69 73 78 81 85 85 86 85
RH..............96 95 98 89 69 59 53 51 45 45 44 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW N S W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST.3 4 3 4 5 7 8 11 14 15 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.7 3.9 5.1 5.5 5.1 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W SW SW W W W W SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 7 7 9 12 14 16 20 21 21
STABILITY.......A A B B B B B B B B C C
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 7 6 7 8 18 39 64 94 122 87 78
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 3 2 3 6 14 31 53 82 108 106 85
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD GD
SFC PRES (IN)...986 986 989 989 989 991 991 991 986 986 986 980
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
MIN MIXING HGT......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (8614 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MIN ADI.............7.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 9 25 17 6 7 7 8 8 2 10 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............81 77 73 70 69 67 67 66 66 65 64 64
RH..............52 58 63 66 68 69 69 71 70 71 73 74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.19 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 17 17 17 16 16 17 16 17 17 16
STABILITY.......E E E F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
ADI.............13 12 12 8 8 7 7 8 7 8 8 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.31 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 9 10 10 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...980 980 981 981 981 983 983 983 981 981 981 978
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX MIXING HGT......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (107776 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............85.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 21 6 4 16 19 17 32 51 71 60 65
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 20 20
TEMP............64 64 64 67 74 78 82 84 84 82 79 75
RH..............73 74 76 74 62 55 51 47 47 48 55 59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 17 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.6 4.9 5.5 3.3 2.8 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW W W W W W NW NW N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 16 21 22 21 20 21 20 18 18 18
STABILITY.......B B B B B C C C C D D D
LVORI...........3 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............17 16 17 42 55 57 69 85 84 46 42 38
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 10 12 32 43 49 70 102 108 60 51 42
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD VGD VGD GD FR FR
SFC PRES (IN)...978 978 978 978 978 979 979 979 978 978 978 987
FORECASTER...HOEHLER
REQUESTED BY...ZACH WEST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607073.0/ILM
.DELDT 03/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ZWEST@TNC.ORG
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