703
FNUS72 KILM 122105
FWSILM
SPOT FORECAST FOR R1 SUPPORT...NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
505 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH SUDDEN SHIFTING WINDS POSSIBLE
BOTH AHEAD OF AND WITHIN ANY STORM. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS IS EXPECTED FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHT
AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY BEFORE CONDITIONS DRY OUT THEREAFTER.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT IS LOW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX MIXING HGT......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (26611 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........1.
MAX ADI.............32.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.50 PERCENT.
TIME (EDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........78
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........CHC
CHC OF THDR (%).50
CHC OF LTNG (%).50
TEMP............90
RH..............60
20 FT WIND DIR..N
20 FT WIND SPD..2
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7
STABILITY.......B
LVORI...........1
ADI.............32
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.27
VENTRATE CAT....PR
SFC PRES (IN)...988
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN MIXING HGT......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 12 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (3142 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........9.
MIN ADI.............3.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.60 PERCENT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........80 80 90 88 86 84 87 84 78 84 79 82
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF THDR (%).50 60 50 50 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
CHC OF LTNG (%).50 60 50 50 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............87 84 80 78 77 75 75 74 73 73 72 72
RH..............68 77 90 92 94 96 98 99 98 99 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW E E SE E E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 10 8 8 8 7 8 7 6 6
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 6 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
ADI.............4 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.23 20 11 9 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...988 988 992 992 992 001 001 001 996 996 996 996
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING.
MAX MIXING HGT......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (32287 MPH-FT).
MAX LVORI...........8.
MAX ADI.............39.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.50 PERCENT.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........80 73 75 72 78 73 63 68 74 78 79 80
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 20 20 20 30 30 30 50 50 50 50
CHC OF LTNG (%).30 30 20 20 20 30 30 30 50 50 50 50
TEMP............71 70 73 74 77 79 80 81 82 82 84 81
RH..............100 100 100 100 95 93 92 88 86 83 79 84
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 4 4 5 7 7 8 7 8 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 9 9
STABILITY.......B B A B B B B B B B B B
LVORI...........8 8 8 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 4
ADI.............7 7 9 14 18 23 27 35 34 34 39 39
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 7 11 14 18 21 28 28 28 32 32
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SFC PRES (IN)...996 996 000 000 000 003 003 003 002 002 002 000
FORECASTER...WEINER
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS CRATE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617266.0/ILM
.DELDT 07/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL THOMAS.CRATE@NCPARKS.GOV
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