304  
FNUS72 KILM 300246  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOTSU CENTER ISL...DOD ARMY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
1046 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK, THOUGH NOT NEAR  
AS HOT AS RECENT DAYS. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL GRADUALLY RISE  
WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT THAT PUSHES THROUGH ON FRIDAY  
NIGHT. TEMPERATURES COULD ACTUALLY WIND UP BELOW NORMAL THIS  
COMING WEEKEND.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX MIXING HGT......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (44821 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........6.  
MAX ADI.............49.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 67 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............80 81 81 83 85 87 88 88 89 89 89 88  
RH..............95 94 93 87 82 77 76 75 74 74 75 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 16  
STABILITY.......C C C C C C C C C C C C  
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............10 12 20 26 35 43 48 49 49 47 44 39  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9 11 15 21 29 37 44 45 44 41 37 32  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...997 997 001 001 001 002 002 002 000 000 000 995  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIN MIXING HGT......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (13036 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........4.  
MIN ADI.............12.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 70 70 72 74 76 76 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 40  
TEMP............87 86 85 84 84 83 83 82 82 82 81 81  
RH..............79 82 85 86 88 90 90 90 90 91 92 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.2 0.9 M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW M M M M M M M M M  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 M M M M M M M M M  
STABILITY.......D D D  
LVORI...........3 4 4 M M M M M M M M M  
ADI.............17 13 12 M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.24 18 13 M M M M M M M M M  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR M M M M M M M M M  
SFC PRES (IN)...995 995 995 995 995  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCALORA  
REQUESTED BY...K CRAWFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2518819.0/ILM  
.DELDT 07/29/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRENT.K.CRAWFORD.CIV@ARMY.MIL  
 
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