423  
FNUS72 KILM 112150  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAWFORD RXB...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
450 PM EST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EST ON FEBRUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT WITH  
THE RAIN ENDING. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS THURSDAY WITH MINIMUM RH  
VALUES IN THE MID 20S POSSIBLE. HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD FRIDAY WILL  
CONTINUE LIGHT WINDS AND DRY WEATHER.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIN MIXING HGT......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (6042 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MIN ADI.............5.  
 
TIME (EST) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........30 10 13 10 6 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 42 41 38 36 35  
RH..............61 61 62 67 70 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 14 13 12  
STABILITY.......F F F F F F  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............7 7 7 6 6 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 11 8 8 7 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...998 003 003 003 005 005  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (56161 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........4.  
MAX ADI.............68.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 3 3 3 4 9 12 14 15 12 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 33 35 41 46 49 52 55 56 57 57 54  
RH..............74 76 75 62 53 46 39 35 32 32 31 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.8 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 17 16 15 15 14 14 15 15 13  
STABILITY.......B B B B B B B B B B B B  
LVORI...........3 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............12 12 12 34 43 46 51 52 57 64 68 30  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 5 9 26 34 37 41 42 46 53 56 24  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...005 011 011 011 014 014 014 009 009 009 006 006  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIN MIXING HGT......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (2175 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MIN ADI.............3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 9 13 17 22 22 22 22 22 22 23 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 48 45 42 40 39 37 36 35 34 33 32  
RH..............41 45 49 54 60 61 63 64 65 67 69 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 7 7 8 8 10 12 12 13 13 13  
STABILITY.......F F F F F F F F F F F F  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............5 4 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 3 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...006 010 010 010 012 012 012 014 014 014 017 017  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (31817 MPH-FT).  
MAX LVORI...........4.  
MAX ADI.............41.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 16 14 11 9 7 5 3 2 2 1 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 30 34 37 41 44 47 50 51 53 54 50  
RH..............74 75 66 58 50 45 41 37 35 34 32 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE N N N N N N NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 13 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 9  
STABILITY.......A A B B B B B B B B A A  
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............12 11 15 21 27 31 35 37 38 38 41 25  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 7 11 16 21 25 27 30 30 31 32 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
SFC PRES (IN)...017 020 020 020 025 025 025 021 021 021 018 018  
 

 
FORECASTER...OLIVA  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SPIVEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602499.0/ILM  
.DELDT 02/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.SPIVEY@NCAGR.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab SC Page Main Text Page