489  
FNUS72 KMHX 161241  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MELVIN HRB...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
841 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT AND  
CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER WHILE MOVING OFFSHORE  
WEDNESDAY. A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE AREA FRIDAY  
INTO SATURDAY.  
 
RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 25 PERCENT FOR MOST INLAND AREAS  
TODAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2  
TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 49794 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 2.  
ADI.................MAX 49.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)............1 2 3 3 3 2 1  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............59 62 64 66 68 68 68  
RH.................40 36 34 32 31 32 33  
20 FT WIND DIR.....N NE E SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD.....6 4 2 1 2 5 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.... 5 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)......3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR....N N N NW NW W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD....14 9 6 2 3 6 8  
LVORI..............1 1 2 2 2 2 1  
ADI................49 35 25 11 16 22 30  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..50 37 21 10 13 23 32  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 1724 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 3.  
ADI.................MIN 5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%)............2 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 2 1  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............66 63 60 58 58 57 57 56 56 55 55 54  
RH.................37 43 49 55 55 59 59 64 64 66 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR.....S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD.....8 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST....14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)......2.8 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR....SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD....8 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7  
LVORI..............2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI................25 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..23 12 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 42895 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 5.  
ADI.................MAX 42.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%)............3 16 13 15 21 21  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............53 53 62 72 75 75  
RH.................74 86 67 49 46 46  
20 FT WIND.........SW 7 W 7 W 8 W 7 SW 6 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST....14 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT).......300 300 1500 2700 3700 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND.....SW 7 SW 7 W 12 W 14 W 12 SW 12  
LVORI..............3 5 3 1 1 1  
ADI................4 5 23 41 41 41  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..2 2 18 36 43 41  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...AUSTIN  
REQUESTED BY...HENRY PHELPS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1906294.0/MHX  
.DELDT 04/16/19  
.EMAIL HENRY.PHELPS@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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