198
FNUS72 KMHX 161221
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OUTLAW BURN...WMF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
721 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON DECEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION.
DRY, ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS
TODAY AND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT OFFSHORE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD, CLEAR SKIES AND DRY WEATHER WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE. LIGHT SW'RLY WINDS GENERALLY 10 MPH OR LESS
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO PUSH OFFSHORE.
THESE WINDS THEN PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK. MIN RHS IN UPPER 20%S
THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WITH LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE, FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE LOWER.
MIN RH'S IMPROVE TO 40-50% WEDNESDAY AND 60%+ THURSDAY AMIDST
STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW. A WETTING RAINFALL
IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY THIS
WEEK AS A FRONT IMPACTS THE AREA.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 16445 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 2.
ADI.................MAX 21.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
SFC PRESSURE........30.17 TO 30.26 INHG.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............28 31 36 40 43 46 47 46 45 43
RH..............53 47 36 33 29 27 27 29 32 38
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 9 8 8 9 9 8 8
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............8 8 15 17 15 18 21 20 14 6
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 8 12 13 12 14 16 16 11 3
SFC PRES (IN)...025 026 026 025 023 021 019 018 017 017
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MIN 3334 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 4.
ADI.................MIN 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
SFC PRESSURE........30.16 TO 30.20 INHG.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 1 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............42 36 34 32 31 31 31 32 31 31 30 29
RH..............41 56 61 66 69 69 69 66 69 69 75 78
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 10 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
ADI.............4 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SFC PRES (IN)...018 018 019 019 020 019 018 018 017 017 016 016
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MAX 26219 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 4.
ADI.................MAX 34.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........30.11 TO 30.17 INHG.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 12 31 36 40 46 51 57 61 65 69 71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............29 30 33 38 44 48 50 53 56 57 57 55
RH..............81 81 78 70 57 54 54 52 49 49 51 57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 6 8 9 9 9 8 7 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 14 14 14 14 14 9 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W SW SW W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 15 15 16 16 17 15 10 9
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 3
ADI.............9 9 10 10 11 20 28 34 33 18 8 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 5 7 11 16 22 26 26 15 5 4
SFC PRES (IN)...015 015 016 017 017 016 014 013 012 011 011 011
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...COLBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527781.0/MHX
.DELDT 12/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CMARSHBURN26@GMAIL.COM
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