440  
FNUS72 KMHX 090842  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR C 23 WHITE OAK RD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
342 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION.  
 
SEA FOG ADVECTING OVER THE AREA ON THE TABLE IN EARLY MORNING,  
UNTIL ~11Z. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TODAY BRINGING WITH IT A  
BRIEF WINDOW OF SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS THE FRONT PASSES  
~15-18Z. SHOWERS FORECAST TO BE LIGHT, QPF A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS.  
SWERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT 10-15KT QUICKLY BECOMING NERLY  
BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, FURTHER VEERING TO  
BECOME NEERLY THIS EVENING. EXPECTING WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT TO  
BE WEAKER THAN PREFRONTAL, BUT MAY BECOME A LITTLE GUSTY WHEN  
THE NEERLY SURGE ARRIVES OVER FIRE AREA OVERNIGHT.  
 
AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK WITH MULTIPLE FRONTS IMPACTING THE AREA AS THE UPPER LEVEL  
PATTERN BECOMES MORE AMPLIFIED. BETTER CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD  
PRECIPITATION MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 13  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 25069 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 3.  
ADI.................MAX 24.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.03 TO 30.12 INHG.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 86 88 88 82 71 65 60  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............64 65 66 66 66 66 65 62  
RH..............81 78 75 73 65 58 54 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW NW N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 9 9 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 13 13 12 10 9  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
ADI.............22 24 21 22 23 23 16 10  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.18 22 20 22 22 25 14 7  
SFC PRES (IN)...003 004 005 006 007 008 010 012  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 9660 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 3.  
ADI.................MIN 8.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.15 TO 30.26 INHG.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........48 43 41 37 36 43 57 65 71 83 89 90  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 57 55 53 52 50 49 47 46 45 45 44  
RH..............62 64 64 61 61 63 66 74 76 79 79 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 9 14 14 14 14 14 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 15 17 18 17 16 17 17 17 17 18  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............8 11 13 12 12 19 18 19 19 19 19 21  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.10 16 19 24 33 31 21 33 33 33 33 34  
SFC PRES (IN)...015 018 021 024 026 026 026 025 024 024 024 026  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 28979 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 4.  
ADI.................MAX 30.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.29 TO 30.35 INHG.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 94 94 96 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 42 42 42 43 43 43 43 42 42 41 41  
RH..............82 86 86 86 86 86 82 82 86 86 85 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N NE N N N N N NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 17  
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 3  
ADI.............30 30 28 30 30 28 29 29 29 29 28 28  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.28 29 25 27 28 26 27 28 27 26 25 26  
SFC PRES (IN)...030 033 034 035 035 034 032 030 029 029 029 030  
 
 
FORECASTER...BOWEN  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2502589.0/MHX  
.DELDT 02/09/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.L.NELSON@USDA.GOV  
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