215  
FNUS72 KMHX 041236  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COLE...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
836 AM EDT THU OCT 4 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT  
WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO THE AREA  
FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WEEKEND AS HIGH  
PRESSURE REBUILDS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT  
WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 9 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 54049 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 6.  
ADI.................MAX 41.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........29.92 TO 30.04 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%)............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8  
WEATHER COV........  
WEATHER TYPE.......  
TSTM COV...........  
TEMP...............71 77 81 84 86 88 89 89 87  
RH.................90 76 69 63 57 54 52 50 55  
20 FT WIND DIR.....SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD.....2 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.... 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)......1.2 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR....SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD....2 3 5 7 8 9 9 8 7  
LVORI..............6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI................4 10 15 24 33 41 39 35 29  
HAINES INDEX.......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1000..3 8 14 25 40 54 50 43 35  
STABILITY CLASS....F F F B B B B B B  
 

 
FORECASTER...LONKA  
REQUESTED BY...CHUCK SCOTT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1816524.0/MHX  
.DELDT 10/04/18  
.EMAIL D7OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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