546  
FNUS72 KMHX 251337  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SO...USMC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
937 AM EDT THU APR 25 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT NOW  
WELL OFFSHORE. CURRENT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 5-10 MPH WILL REMAIN  
STEADY THROUGH THE DAY. MIN RHS FALL TO BETWEEN 45-50%.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO  
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 49679 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 3.  
ADI.................MAX 60.  
STABILITY CLASS.....1.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.06 TO 30.10 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 17 20 22 24 29 32 34  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............67 70 73 75 75 75 74 72  
RH..............73 63 55 50 48 48 51 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 4 3 4 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 3.1 4.5 6.9 7.2 6.1 4.0 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N N NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 7 7 8 8 9  
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............17 28 32 57 59 60 39 33  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.13 21 26 47 50 49 32 26  
SFC PRES (IN)...010 010 010 009 007 006 006 006  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10  
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 5520 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 6.  
ADI.................MIN 6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.07 TO 30.20 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 42 42 41 36 36 39 44 48 54 57 56  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............70 67 64 61 59 57 56 55 54 54 53 53  
RH..............61 68 75 78 83 86 86 90 86 90 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.2 0.5 0.6 1.9 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 12 15 15 15 14 13 12 10 12 12  
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
ADI.............24 8 8 10 10 10 6 8 8 7 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.19 14 6 9 29 31 17 9 6 6 11 12  
SFC PRES (IN)...007 008 010 013 015 017 018 019 019 019 019 020  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 53014 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 6.  
ADI.................MAX 64.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.21 TO 30.27 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........50 49 39 26 16 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............53 55 62 68 72 73  
RH..............93 90 70 59 51 48  
20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 E 7 E 8 E 9  
20 FT WIND GUST. 9 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1300 2400 3400 4400 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12 NE 13 NE 14 E 12 E 12 E 14  
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 22 41 48 59 64  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.13 17 33 39 50 53  
SFC PRES (IN)...30.21 30.25 30.27 30.27 30.26 30.24  
 

 
FORECASTER...SIMMS  
REQUESTED BY...NORTON.BAKER@USMC.MIL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412443.0/MHX  
.DELDT 04/25/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NORTON.BAKER@USMC.MIL  
 
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