787
FNUS72 KMHX 091508
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR PUDDIN HILL BURN...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1008 AM EST THU JAN 9 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION.
THE PRIMARY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE GUSTY NW WINDS TODAY,
WHICH WILL OVERLAP WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. MIN RH VALUES
WILL FALL TO 30-35% THIS AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH NW WIND GUSTS
20-25 MPH.
GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND, BUT WILL OVERLAP WITH AN
INCREASED RISK OF WETTING PRECIPITATION AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IMPACTS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. COLD AND DRY NEXT WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH, WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 20
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 105569 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 2.
ADI.................MAX 71.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SFC PRESSURE........30.08 TO 30.14 INHG.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............31 33 36 38 38 39 38 35
RH..............55 45 36 34 34 32 34 40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 13 12 11 10
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 18 18 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 3.9 3.8 3.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 24 23 22 21 21 15
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............71 71 69 65 60 56 53 16
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.105 106 103 98 86 78 72 7
SFC PRES (IN)...014 013 011 010 009 008 008 010
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENT RATE...........MIN 4024 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 3.
ADI.................MIN 7.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SFC PRESSURE........30.12 TO 30.16 INHG.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............33 32 31 31 29 28 28 27 27 26 26 25
RH..............45 49 53 53 58 63 63 65 65 65 65 68
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 9 14 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 6 5 4 6 5 5 5 4 5 4 4
SFC PRES (IN)...012 014 015 015 015 015 016 016 016 016 016 016
FORECASTER...DAIL
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SIMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500339.0/MHX
.DELDT 01/09/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KEVIN.SIMPSON@NCAGR.GOV
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