432  
FNUS72 KRAH 221527  
FWSRAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCORMICK BURN...NCFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC  
1027 AM EST WED JAN 22 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THIS NWS OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE SATURDAY THROUGH  
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FROM  
THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY, MAINTAINING A NORTHEAST  
TRANSPORT WIND. A STRONG, SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM  
THE WEST LATE THURSDAY, THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH  
SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE  
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................29 DECREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 47 48 47  
RH..............35 25 25 27  
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 NE 5 NE 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 2200 2500 1800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 14 NE 10 NE 9 NE 5  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2  
ADI.............31 26 26 14  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................14 DECREASING TO 3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 1 1 5 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 38 35 33 31 30  
RH..............35 42 47 53 58 63  
20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 N 3 N 3 N 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 300 300 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 N 5 N 5  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3  
ADI.............14 3 3 3 2 2  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................5 INCREASING TO 14 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........7 INCREASING TO 9 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........26 41 57 56 59 66  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 29 37 44 49 50  
RH..............75 78 61 53 48 48  
20 FT WIND......N 4 N 3 N 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 500 700 1100 1400 1400  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 N 6 NE 7 NE 7 NE 7 NE 9  
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............2 6 8 8 13 14  
VISIBILITY (SM).7 10 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...SMITH  
REQUESTED BY...GARY MCLENDON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2000978.0/RAH  
.DELDT 01/22/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL GARY.MCLENDON@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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