643  
FNUS72 KRAH 072129  
FWSRAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH-LEIGH WOODS...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC  
529 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THIS NWS OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER THE CAROLINAS AHEAD OF A MOISTURE-  
STARVED COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS NC THURSDAY NIGHT. CANADIAN  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW AND BUILD ACROSS AND OFFSHORE THE MIDDLE  
ATLANTIC FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................6 TO 31.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 13 17 19 27 39 45 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 73 77 80 82 83 83 82  
RH..............63 57 50 45 41 41 41 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 7 7 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.1 2.3 3.6 4.5 4.7 4.7 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
LVORI...........4 2 2 2 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............6 16 16 16 31 31 31 10  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO  
10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 3  
AM.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................1 TO 10.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........44 61 61 67 58 65 63 65 59 62 70 73  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 75 70 67 66 65 64 63 63 61 60 60  
RH..............49 60 71 78 78 78 78 72 65 65 64 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S N N N N N N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW N N N N NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 5 6 3 9 10 10 10 10  
LVORI...........2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............10 10 1 1 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 4  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...CARROLL  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL FRYE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623369.0/RAH  
.DELDT 10/07/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.FRYE@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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