648
FNUS72 KRAH 211205
FWSRAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR RARO 1 & 2...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
805 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT THIS NWS OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SSELY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A BACKDOOR FRONT.
FLOW WILL TURN NELY AND A BIT GUSTY POST-FRONTAL THIS EVENING. SCATTERED
CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTHEAST
5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 66 52 29 19 16 23 31 40 63
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
TEMP............71 75 78 82 86 88 90 90 91 89
RH..............84 76 69 61 53 48 44 44 41 44
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 7 6 6 7 8 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 1.8 2.5 3.8 5.1 6.4 7.2 6.6 5.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 8
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH 6
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
BECOMING LIGHT BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........57 75 78 89 86 85 82 82 82 87 92 97
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 70 80 80 70 70 70 40 40 30 30
TEMP............87 84 80 76 73 70 69 68 67 66 66 65
RH..............48 53 62 71 81 90 90 93 93 97 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E E N N N NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 2 3 6 8 7 6 3 3 3 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 12 15 14 14 13 10 8 7 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 1.5 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 14 13 10 9 9 8 8 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........98 99 99 90 88 90 91 86 85 79 81 82
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 70 70 70 70
TEMP............65 65 65 69 72 73 76 77 80 81 81 81
RH..............97 97 93 97 90 87 82 79 72 69 69 69
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.1 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 9
FORECASTER...LUCHETTI
REQUESTED BY...JASON HAYWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614210.0/RAH
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JASON.HAYWOOD@NCPARKS.GOV
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