868  
FNUS72 KRAH 211028  
FWSRAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE WEEK CERTIFICATION BURN...NC STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC  
628 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JUNE 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THIS NWS OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL NC THIS MORNING. HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW AND EXTEND FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MIDDLE  
ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH SATURDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.  
RH..................86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING RAPIDLY TO BETWEEN  
4500 AND 5000 FT AGL BY NOON, THEN PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON  
AT 5600-6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................5 INCREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 77 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 60 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........1 2 3 3 3 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 77 81 84 87 86  
RH..............86 60 51 46 40 40  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 9 NW 11 NW 11 NW 11 NW 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 19 20 19 19 19  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2400 4500 5600 6400 6400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 NW 20 NW 24 NW 24 NW 24 NW 22  
LVORI...........4 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............5 42 74 74 80 60  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65.  
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 17 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5  
TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................60 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........3 10 10 13 26 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 80 74 71 69 67  
RH..............41 52 64 71 76 78  
20 FT WIND......NW 10 NW 6 NW 5 NW 3 N 3 N 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 8 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....6400 300 300 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 NW 8 NW 5 NW 5 N 6 N 5  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............60 3 3 2 2 2  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87.  
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 INCREASING TO 17 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10 DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........44 46 50 53 54 56  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............66 70 77 82 85 86  
RH..............81 73 56 47 45 45  
20 FT WIND......N 3 NE 3 NE 4 N 4 N 4 N 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 900 2400 3500 4300 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 NE 8 N 6 N 6 NW 6 NW 5  
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 2  
ADI.............3 14 14 14 19 19  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 7 6 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...STRICKLER  
REQUESTED BY...FIRE MANAGEMENT OFFICER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1911184.0/RAH  
.DELDT 06/21/19  
.EMAIL THOMAS.CRATE@NCPARKS.GOV  
 
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