685
FNUS74 KMRX 182109
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ABRAMS CREEK SAR...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
509 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON JULY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW
HOURS UNTIL ACTIVITY DIMINISHES NEAR 8 TO 9 PM EDT OR SO.
CURRENTLY, THERE IS A SMALL SHOWER WITH THUNDER/LIGHTNING ABOUT TO
PASS OVER WEARS VALLEY. IT SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN ELKMONT
AND GATLINBURG WITHIN THE NEXT 30 TO 45 MINS. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF
PERIOD OF NO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, HOWEVER, THERE'S A LARGER
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER ROAN COUNTY, THAT MAY MAKE IT TO
THE TRAILHEAD IN THE NEXT 2 TO 2.5 HOURS. THERE'S A POSSIBILITY
THAT IT WEAKENS BEFORE IT ARRIVES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............76.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (EDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........49
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40
TEMP............85
DEWPOINT........76
RH..............75
SURFACE WND DIR.W
SURFACE WND SPD.4
SURFACE WND GST.8
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............74 DECREASING TO 71 OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........34 40 27 27 26 38 26 19 31 38 36 51
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 40
TEMP............84 81 80 77 75 75 74 74 74 73 73 73
DEWPOINT........76 75 74 73 73 72 71 71 71 71 71 71
RH..............77 82 82 88 94 90 90 90 90 93 93 93
SURFACE WND DIR.W W SW W SW SW N N N N N N
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
SURFACE WND GST.7 7 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............73 INCREASING TO 76 LATE IN THE MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 58 35 44 53 47 44 58 50 72 82 66
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 30 30 30 40 40 70 70 70 70
TEMP............73 72 73 74 78 79 81 83 84 85 86 84
DEWPOINT........71 71 72 74 75 76 76 77 77 77 77 76
RH..............93 97 97 100 91 91 85 82 80 77 75 77
SURFACE WND DIR.N N SW SW W W W W W W NW W
SURFACE WND SPD.0 0 1 1 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4
SURFACE WND GST.3 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 7
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS
REQUESTED BY...LE RANGER JOHN DODSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2617694.0/MRX
.DELDT 07/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV
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