200  
FNUS74 KMRX 181355  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
955 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON OCTOBER 19.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE...PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
IT WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE  
50S TO 60S. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS  
GENERALLY IN THE 40S. THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD  
RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE DRYING OUT LATE  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOMING MUCH COOLER FOR THE SECOND HALF OF  
THE WEEKEND.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT, THEN  
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...3600 FT MSL.  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....1873 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION..........23.  
 
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........27 26 26 29 33 36 37 39 39 40 41 42 42 43 44 48 56 64 72 80  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............51 50 49 48 47 46 46 45 44 47 51 55 59 62 65 66 67 67 66 65  
RH..............80 80 80 80 83 83 83 82 86 79 74 69 62 60 56 56 56 59 61 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 8 8 8 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
DISPERSION..........  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........84 85 87 89 91 93 94 94 95 96 97 98  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............63 61 60 59 58 58 57 57 56 56 55 55  
RH..............70 75 78 80 83 83 86 86 90 93 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...  
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..  
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....  
DISPERSION..........  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........98 98 98 98 98 98 85 85 85 85 85 85  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............54 55 57 58 59 60 61 61 61 61 59 56  
RH..............100 96 93 90 87 84 81 81 78 75 78 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 8 8 9 9 9 9 12 12  
 

 
FORECASTER...MATT ANDERSON  
REQUESTED BY...BENJI REECE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1817048.0/MRX  
.DELDT 10/18/18  
 
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