991  
FNUS74 KMRX 031550  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALUM CAVE SAR...GRSM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 EDT ON OCTOBER 03.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
 
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS,  
BUT EXPECTED TO TAPER WITH TIME. LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED OVER  
THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS. MID AFTERNOON TO EVENING HOURS A RISK  
EXISTS FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS, WITH A LOW RISK FOR THUNDER.  
WEATHER IS MOST LIKELY TO BE DRY OVERNIGHT. RAIN TO RETURN  
TOMORROW MORNING. LOTS OF LOW CLOUDS TO PERSIST THROUGH TOMORROW,  
WITH FOGGY CONDITIONS LIKELY ON THE MOUNTAIN SIDE.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS  
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............68.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 90 86 81 80 81  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 60 60 70 70  
TEMP............69 70 70 70 70 69  
DEWPOINT........69 69 69 69 69 68  
RH..............100 97 97 97 97 97  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W NW  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3  
SURFACE WND GST.5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............63.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........85 94 95 95 85 94 94 94 91 92 95 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 20 10 10 30 30 40 30 30 30 40  
TEMP............67 65 62 61 61 61 61 61 62 62 62 61  
DEWPOINT........65 63 62 61 61 61 61 61 62 62 62 61  
RH..............93 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
SURFACE WND DIR.NW NW SE SE S SE S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 1 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 5  
SURFACE WND GST.6 5 6 7 9 12 13 13 14 13 13 12  
 

 
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON  
REQUESTED BY...REHR-ZIMMERMANN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2623009.0/MRX  
.DELDT 10/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV  
 
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