086  
FNUS74 KMRX 231048  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR THE CEDARS - DRY CREEK RX FIRE...VA DCR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
648 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 23.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
..LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MINIMUM RH COULD GET  
INTO THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE LATER TODAY, WITH LITTLE  
IMPROVEMENT INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE TOMORROW. FLOW DURING THE  
DAY WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH OUTSIDE OF THIS FORECAST  
RANGE, INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION LATE TOMORROW INTO  
EARLY SATURDAY.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 2 2 1 2 2 6 4 5 13 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 45 48 53 63 69 73 75 78 79 79 81  
RH..............86 89 86 71 50 40 35 33 30 28 26 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 4 6 7 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.4 3.9 6.1 7.1 7.8 8.1 8.0 7.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 3 5 8 9 9 9 9 10 9  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 9 9 8 6 11 26 11 21 16 29 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............79 77 74 66 63 60 58 57 55 54 52 52  
RH..............26 30 35 48 54 62 67 69 74 77 83 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.9 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 17  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 15 17 15 13 11 14 16 19 21 24 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 50 53 58 65 71 75 77 79 80 80 80  
RH..............80 86 83 69 54 46 38 35 32 31 31 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 4 6 7 10 11 12 12 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.6 5.0 6.4 7.1 6.8 5.7 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 7 10 13 15 16 17 17 16 14  
 
 
FORECASTER...KERRIE SIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...LAURA YOUNG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611453.0/MRX  
.DELDT 04/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAURA.YOUNG@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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