113  
FNUS74 KMRX 131017  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CNF_NZ_JACKSON FARM PILE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
617 AM EDT MON APR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 13.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 80 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON, AS  
ANOTHER DAY WITH LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND BREEZY WEST-  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IS EXPECTED. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE  
WELL TO OUR NORTH WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN MID TO HIGH LEVEL  
CLOUDS. THESE CLOUDS WILL HELP PROVIDE A SUBTLE INCREASE TO  
MINIMUM RH RELATIVE TO YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT RETURNS  
MAY ALSO BE NOTICED ON RADAR IMAGERY, HOWEVER, DUE TO THE VERY DRY  
AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE THE PROBABILITY OF  
PRECIPITATION MAKING IT TO THE SURFACE IS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10  
PERCENT. IF ANY RAIN DOES SURVIVE TO THE SURFACE, IT WILL BE BRIEF  
AND VERY, VERY LIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 49 56 52 53 64 71 66 63 59 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............66 68 69 70 72 74 75 77 77 77 78  
RH..............46 45 44 44 43 41 40 33 35 33 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 12 13 14 13 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.4 3.7 4.9 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.6 5.5 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 21 22 21 17 15 16 13 12  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO  
9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........54 54 38 42 32 36 27 35 26 31 21 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............77 76 73 69 68 67 66 65 64 63 62 61  
RH..............32 32 37 42 42 43 45 46 48 50 52 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 6 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W S SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 5 3 5 6 6 8 8 9 8 8  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12  
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 27 39 34 32 30 32 35 37 32 26 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 60 61 65 69 74 77 79 80 81 82 82  
RH..............53 55 56 52 49 44 43 41 41 39 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 6 6 6 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 7 10 13 13 14 14 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.5 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.4 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 10 14 17 17 16 15 14 13 12  
 
 
FORECASTER...KYLE SNOWDIN  
REQUESTED BY...C. WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2609790.4/MRX  
.DELDT 04/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
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