357  
FNUS74 KMRX 061724  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALUM CAVE SAR...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
124 PM EDT THU AUG 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON AUGUST 06.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE AREA AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE  
IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS OR SO. THE HIGHEST (70 TO 80  
PERCENT) CHANCE OF RAIN IS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM WITH A LESSER CHANCE  
OF LIGHTNING. COVERAGE SHOULD DECREASE NEAR AND AFTER SUNSET WITH  
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO 60 DEGREES OR LESS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT  
OUTSIDE OF STORMS THAT COULD PRODUCE STRONG GUSTS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........79 74 72 65  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 80 60 50  
TEMP............63 64 63 63  
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 61  
RH..............90 87 90 93  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 3 3  
SURFACE WND GST.8 7 7 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 71 73 84 87 86 74 72 72 59 51 60  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 10  
TEMP............63 61 60 60 60 59 59 59 59 59 59 58  
DEWPOINT........60 60 60 60 59 58 58 58 58 57 57 57  
RH..............90 97 100 100 96 96 96 96 96 93 93 96  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 4 5 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 9 9  
SURFACE WND GST.6 7 8 10 12 13 13 13 14 14 13 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRANDON WASILEWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...LAUREN YODER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2619087.0/MRX  
.DELDT 08/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV  
 
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