615  
FNUS74 KMRX 011754  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAINBOW FALLS SAR...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
154 PM EDT SAT AUG 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON AUGUST 01.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
 
 
LATEST RADAR TRENDS DEPICT THAT ON-GOING RAIN IN THE AREA WILL  
CONTINUE STEADILY FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO. AFTER, THE PROBABILITY  
OF RAIN WILL STILL EXIST, HOWEVER, IT WILL BE MORE SO SCATTERED  
COVERAGE FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE AN ADDITIONAL UPTICK IN RAIN  
CHANCES LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE AN  
INCREASED CHANCE OF SOME LIGHTNING WITH THE ACTIVITY LATER THIS  
EVENING. SLIGHT DOWNSLOPE ENHANCEMENT OF SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL  
ALLOW FOR WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25-35MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
23 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........81 84 83 54  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 70 40 20  
TEMP............61 62 62 64  
DEWPOINT........58 58 59 59  
RH..............90 87 90 84  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.15 14 14 15  
SURFACE WND GST.22 23 23 23  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
33 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........52 67 73 77 80 81 74 72 78 85 85 86  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 60 60 60 70 80 60 60 50 40 20  
TEMP............62 62 62 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 60  
DEWPOINT........59 59 59 59 59 59 60 60 60 60 60 59  
RH..............90 90 90 93 93 93 97 97 97 97 97 96  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.18 21 24 26 28 25 24 24 25 21 21 20  
SURFACE WND GST.25 29 30 31 33 32 32 32 32 31 29 26  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 87 68 70 73 60 46 46 46 46 49 52  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 30 40 50 40 40 50 70 50  
TEMP............60 60 60 59 60 61 62 63 63 63 65 63  
DEWPOINT........59 59 59 59 59 59 58 58 58 58 58 58  
RH..............96 96 96 100 96 93 87 84 84 84 78 84  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.20 20 18 16 14 11 11 10 11 10 10 9  
SURFACE WND GST.25 25 24 21 20 18 20 20 21 21 21 18  
 

 
FORECASTER...KYLE SNOWDIN  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE GRIES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2618786.0/MRX  
.DELDT 08/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page