145  
FNUS74 KMRX 121441  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STUMP FIELD RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
941 AM EST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 12.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND MILDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS WEEK AS A RIDGE  
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE LOW, ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.  
 
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND  
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN FOR MID-WEEK. RAIN ON WEDNESDAY  
WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
AND THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........20 16 14 13 4 3 8 5 4 3 4 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............23 26 30 35 39 43 45 45 46 44 41 37  
RH..............77 65 53 43 39 33 29 31 30 33 39 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 7 4 7 8 6 7 9 7 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 33 32 31 30 28 28 28 28 27 27 27  
RH..............54 58 58 63 66 71 68 68 68 68 68 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N SE E NE E NE E E SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W SW SW NW NW NW W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........9 7 4 3 2 1 2 2 3 5 8 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............26 30 36 42 47 52 54 55 54 52 49 45  
RH..............71 66 56 46 40 35 34 32 35 38 44 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 5 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 7 9 12 12 12 10 9 9 8  
 

 
FORECASTER...LYLE WILSON  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER MCTAGGART  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528825.0/MRX  
.DELDT 01/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.MCTAGGART@USDA.GOV,MATTHEW.DERSTINE@USDA.GOV  
 
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