553
FXUS62 KGSP 091708
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
108 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO MAJOR CHANGES.
UPDATED THE AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 18Z TAFS.
KEY MESSAGES
1. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL BURN
PERMITTING AUTHORITIES ON WHETHER YOU CAN BURN. IF YOU DO BURN,
USE EXTREME CAUTION SINCE FIRES CAN QUICKLY GET OUT OF HAND UNDER
THESE CONDITIONS.
2. DRY WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY RETURNING EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WITH FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS STICKING AROUND, PERMISSION FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS
AND EXTREME CAUTION ARE BOTH ADVISED IF ATTEMPTING OUTDOOR BURNING.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL BURN
PERMITTING AUTHORITIES ON WHETHER YOU CAN BURN. IF YOU DO BURN, USE
EXTREME CAUTION SINCE FIRES CAN QUICKLY GET OUT OF HAND UNDER THESE
CONDITIONS.
FINE FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY, AND WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO
FALL NEAR OR BELOW 25% ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON, A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR INCREASED FIRE DANGER REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. UNDER THESE CONDITIONS, OUTDOOR
FIRES WILL BE CAPABLE OF SPREADING QUICKLY ONCE STARTED, INCREASING
THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL BURN PERMITTING
AUTHORITIES ON WHETHER YOU CAN BURN TODAY. IF YOU DO BURN, USE
EXTREME CAUTION.
KEY MESSAGE 2: DRY WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY RETURNING EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WITH FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS STICKING AROUND, PERMISSION FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS
AND EXTREME CAUTION ARE BOTH ADVISED IF ATTEMPTING OUTDOOR BURNING.
DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK, KEEPING LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
VALUES ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO MOSTLY RANGE FROM
25% TO 30% EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MONDAY, AS
MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REBOUND SLIGHTLY. DESPITE THIS BRIEF
INCREASE IN HUMIDITY ON MONDAY, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
SHOULD RANGE FROM 30% TO 35% ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. THUS, FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL RETURN EACH DAY THANKS TO THE LACK OF RAINFALL
AS WELL AS LOW HUMIDITY. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS FOR
INCREASED FIRE DANGER MAY BE NEEDED FOR AT LEAST NORTHEAST GEORGIA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SOUTH CAROLINA FORESTRY COMMISSION HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG FIRE ALERT FOR THE SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.
AS FOR RAIN CHANCES, DON'T HOLD YOUR BREATH. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND COULD SQUEEZE OUT A
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS BUT CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL
NOT BE UNTIL THURSDAY WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES OUT OF THE
WEST. HOWEVER, SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ALSO LOOK
UNDERWHELMING WITH THIS FRONT, ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE CONVECTION
DEVELOP DURING PEAK HEATING ON THURSDAY BUT WITH THIS BEING DAY 7,
CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW (ESPECIALLY WITH THE NBM ONLY HAVING CHANCE
POPS).
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: DRY AND VFR WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH
THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. WIND DIRECTION AT KAVL WILL BE SE, WITH NE/ENE
WINDS EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND SPEEDS WILL
RANGE MOSTLY FROM 5-9 KTS THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS
GO LIGHT TO CALM AND VRB THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WIND
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT ON FRIDAY, BUT WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE
S/SSW LATE FRIDAY MORNING/EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK: VFR AND DRY THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...INCREASED FIRE DANGER UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010-
017-018-026-028-029.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
AR
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