997
FXUS62 KILM 021808
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
108 PM EST MON MAR 2 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED THE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW FOR THE 18Z TAFS. RAIN
CHANCES HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND DOWN FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SIGNIFICANT WARMUP BEGINS WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
SIGNIFICANT WARMUP BEGINS WEDNESDAY AND
CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
EXTENDED PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL WEATHER STARTS ON
WEDNESDAY AS BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ESTABLISHED AND WAA
KICKS IN. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN ROUGHLY 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL,
AROUND 60F EACH NIGHT AND 80F EACH AFTERNOON (OUTSIDE OF
IMMEDIATE COASTLINE WHERE SEA BREEZE WILL KEEP TEMPS 5-10
DEGREES COOLER) WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S. GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED
TOWARDS THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE JUST OFFSHORE BECOMING STRONGER AND
HAVING MORE INFLUENCE OVER OUR AREA. THEREFORE, POPS HAVE BEEN
LOWERED COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS WITH ONLY ISOLATED STORM
CHANCES ALONG AND WEST OF I-95 FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. RIDGE
WEAKENS A BIT AFTER SATURDAY. INTERMITTENT SEA FOG MAY IMPACT
THE BEACHES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE WARM, MOIST AIR
TRAVELS OVER THE COOL WATERS, PARTICULARLY FOR HORRY AND
BRUNSWICK COUNTY BEACHES.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING IFR OVERNIGHT AGAIN. MVFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WE
COULD SEE BRIEF VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE LOWER CIGS
RETURN OVERNIGHT.
EXTENDED FORECAST...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF THE COAST AND
ALLOWS VFR TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
MARINE
THROUGH TUESDAY...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT, PERHAPS 20 KT NEAR 20
NM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME E-SE TUESDAY AT SPEEDS OF 10 KT OR
LESS. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4
FT TUESDAY.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...OUTSIDE OF SEA FOG POTENTIAL
LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS IN STORE
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. LIGHT WINDS WEDNESDAY
BECOME SOUTH- SOUTHWESTERLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY,
GENERALLY IN THE 5-10 KT RANGE. SEAS LINGER AROUND 3-4 FT AS A
10 SEC E SWELL. DENSE SEA FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOCAL
COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS WARM, MOIST AIR
TRAVELS OVER THE COOL WATERS.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...VAO
DISCUSSION...VAO
AVIATION...31
MARINE...VAO/31
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