202
FXUS62 KILM 072351
AFDILM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
651 PM EST SAT FEB 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED FOR THE 00Z TAFS. MARINE DISCUSSION
UPDATED FOR LOWERING GALE WARNING NORTHERN WATERS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD
WEATHER THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD
WEATHER THIS WEEKEND.
SLIGHTLY COLDER AND WINDIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER SE NC
TONIGHT, WARRANTING A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WIND CHILLS NEAR 10
DEGREES. WINDS LOOK TO GO CALMER FOR NE SC AS THE JET ALOFT EXITS
OUR SOUTHERN AREAS MORE QUICKLY, RESULTING IN SPOTS WITH WIND CHILLS
IN THE TEENS BUT ELSEWHERE NEAR 20. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL START
TO BUILD IN SUNDAY MORNING BUT ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH
WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SOME MOISTURE FROM THE MIDWEST
BEHIND THE HIGH COULD MAKE ITS WAY DOWN SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDS THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE DAY AND
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THESE CLOUDS SHOULD AID IN INHIBITING STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH LOWS NEAR IF A BIT WARMER
THAN WHAT THEY WERE SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH THE LACK OF WIND, NO COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY IS EXPECTED. SHOULD THE CLOUDS BE LESS ROBUST OR
CLEAR OUT BEFORE SUNRISE, OUR TRADITIONALLY COOLER SPOTS COULD DROP
BY 5-10 DEGREES FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR. N TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS BY
SUNRISE. GUSTY CHARACTER HAS ALREADY DIMINISHED WITH SUNSET.
LIGHTER WINDS SHOULD BE IN PLACE BY SUNDAY MORNING AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD.
EXTENDED FORECAST...FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS FROM SHALLOW FOG COULD
DEVELOP LATE MON NIGHT AND AGAIN TUE NIGHT. INTERMITTENT SEA
FOG COULD ALSO IMPACT THE COASTAL TERMINALS TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.
MARINE
THROUGH SUNDAY...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED A LITTLE FASTER THAN
EXPECTED SO GALE WARNING HAS BEEN LOWERED TO SMALL CRAFT
NORTHERN WATERS. EXPECT N TO NW WINDS INVOF 20 TO OCCASIONALLY
25 KT THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 POSSIBLE BECOMING MORE
NORTHERLY AT 15 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS DIMINISHING
AT 25 KT. MUCH LIGHTER WINDS SHOULD BE IN PLACE BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH STARTS TO MOVE OVERHEAD. SEAS 2-5 FT WILL
BECOME 2-3 FT SUNDAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...SUB-SCA CONDITIONS THIS PERIOD WITH
SFC HIGH PRESSURE TO START FOLLOWED BY A COLD FROPA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH GUSTS UP TO ~20 KT MOST LIKELY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SEA FOG STARTING TUESDAY NIGHT AND UNTIL THE FROPA AS WARMER AND
MOISTER AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOVES IN OVER THE CHILLY NEARSHORE
WATERS.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR NCZ087-096-099-105>110.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR AMZ250-252-254-
256.
WHAT HAS CHANGED...ILM
KEY MESSAGES...LEW
DISCUSSION...LEW
AVIATION...LEW
MARINE...MAS/LEW/31
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