922
FXUS62 KRAH 241801
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
201 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* NOTHING APPRECIABLE.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 115 PM SATURDAY...
1) THE PERSISTENT PATTERN OF DRY AND LARGELY SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 115 PM SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1... THE PERSISTENT PATTERN OF DRY AND LARGELY
SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL WEATHER PATTERN WILL FEATURE HIGH AMPLITUDE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN GULF NORTH INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES WITH A GENERAL NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH MONDAY. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AND FLATTEN AS IT
SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST REACHING THE EASTERN U.S. COAST BY EARLY IN THE
WEEKEND. MOISTURE-STARVED DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE NEAR OR ACROSS OUR
AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH LITTLE IMPACT.
AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY WILL
SHIFT SOUTH INTO THE MID ATLANTIC FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A
REINFORCING CANADIAN HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH POTENTIALLY ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH EXTENDING INTO
OUR REGION FOR SATURDAY.
IT'S WORTH NOTING THAT AS THE RIDGE FLATTENS AND SHIFTS EAST LATE
IN THE WEEK/WEEKEND AND THE FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND EVEN
SOUTHWESTERLY, DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT RESULTING
IN MORE CLOUDS. THERE WILL ALSO BE THE NEED TO CONSIDER LIMITED
NON-ZERO RAIN CHANCES LATE NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 200 PM SATURDAY...
24 HOUR TAF PERIOD: VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD LARGELY PREVAIL THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH CLOUD BASES GENERALLY ABOVE 3 KFT AND
FEW TO SCATTERED IN COVERAGE. HOWEVER, BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR STRATUS
ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN EARLY SUN MORNING, MAINLY AT KINT AND KGSO.
EXPECT NELY WINDS TO PREVAIL, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS INTO THE TEENS
TO 20 KTS WITH DAYTIME HEATING TODAY AND SUN.
OUTLOOK: ASIDE FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED SMALL CHANCE OF SUB-VFR
CEILINGS IN NELY FLOW THIS WEEKEND, DRY, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BLAES
AVIATION...10/MWS
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