169
FXUS62 KRAH 142321
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
720 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* NOTHING APPRECIABLE
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 300 PM MONDAY...
1) MOSTLY DRY, WITH MORE-SEASONABLE (LESS HOT) TEMPERATURES AND LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS THAT WILL TREND HIGHER BY THIS WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
AS OF 300 PM MONDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1... MOSTLY DRY, WITH MORE-SEASONABLE (LESS HOT)
TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS THAT WILL TREND HIGHER BY THIS
WEEKEND
AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG MID/UPR-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD EWD AND ACROSS
THE TN VALLEY AND SRN APPALACHIANS, WITH +2.5 TO 3 STANDARDIZED
HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN THE 850 TO 200MB LAYER AND 500 MB HEIGHTS NEAR
600 DAM BY WED, THEN WEAKEN WHILE RETROGRADING INTO THE LWR MS
VALLEY BY EARLY THIS WEEKEND.
DOWNSTREAM OF THE RIDGING ALOFT, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND
ACROSS NC THROUGH THU, THEN DRIFT OFFSHORE WHILE WEAKENING FRI INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE RELATED SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL BE DRY, WITH MORE-
SEASONABLE (LESS HOT) TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS THAT WILL
TREND HIGHER BY THIS WEEKEND. WHILE SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN A WARMING/MOISTENING AND DESTABILIZING AIRMASS BY
THIS WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY SUN, THE RELATIVE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
ACCOMPANY THE NEXT FRONTAL PASSAGE WHOSE TIMING IS GENERALLY FAVORED
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
AS OF 720 PM MONDAY...
GENERALLY LIGHT NE SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NE BEHIND A
BACKDOOR FRONT FRONT THIS EVENING; AND A PERIOD OF
GUSTINESS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SEVERAL HOURS IMMEDIATELY POST-
FRONTAL TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY AT INT/GSO. A BAND OF MVFR-BASED
STRATOCUMULUS MAY ALSO DEVELOP ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH ANY
ASSOCIATED CEILINGS LIKELY TO RESULT OVER THE SRN PIEDMONT AND
FOOTHILLS AND TO THE SOUTHWEST OF CNTL NC TAF SITES OVERNIGHT-TUE
MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK: DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC
AND FAVOR PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS IN CNTL NC FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO VFR WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHALLOW,
GROUND FOG AT RWI DUE TO LOCAL EFFECTS WED THROUGH FRI MORNING.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AS/MWS
AVIATION...BADGETT/MWS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page