281
FXUS62 KRAH 220445
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
100 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* DRIER, COOLER, LESS HUMIDITY SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
* SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES RETURN WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY LATE WEEK.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 100 AM SATURDAY...
1) DRIER WEATHER, ALONG WITH LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES, IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MID-WEEK. PM SHOWER AND STORM
CHANCES RETURN MID TO LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 100 AM SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1... DRIER, COOLER, LESS HUMIDITY SUNDAY INTO MID-WEEK.
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY RETURN LATE
WEEK.
A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES SUNDAY INTO MID-WEEK. THIS WILL MEAN COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER
FOR OUR REGION AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE MIDWEST
SUNDAY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BY WEDNESDAY. COOLER AND DRIER AIR
WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S SUNDAY, AND LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE 60S.
MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH DEW
POINTS DIPPING INTO THE 50S BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. SOME RETURN
MOISTURE WILL RAISE THE DEW POINTS BACK INTO MOSTLY 60S BY
WEDNESDAY. DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE 83-88 RANGE EACH DAY
WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S (NORTH-CENTRAL TO SE).
A CHANCE OF MAINLY PM SHOWERS/STORMS WILL RETURN AS EARLY AS
WEDNESDAY (20-30 PERCENT), AND MORE LIKELY THURSDAY (40-60 PERCENT
CHANCE). HIGHS WILL RETURN TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S BY
LATE WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AS OF 750 PM FRIDAY...
24 HOUR TAF PERIOD: A LINE OF STORMS WILL IMPACT KRDU AND POSSIBLY
KRWI THIS EVENING, WITH A LARGER AREA OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED
SHOWERS/STORMS LIKELY TO IMPACT KGSO, KFAY, KRDU, AND KRWI FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS COULD DEVELOP NEAR
KINT BETWEEN ISSUANCE AND MIDNIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOWER THERE.
CIGS SHOULD COME DOWN TO MVFR AND IFR THIS EVENING, THEN LIKELY
LOWERING FURTHER TO LIFR OVERNIGHT. VSBYS SHOULD ALSO DROP BELOW
VFR, GENERALLY IN THE 1-4 SM RANGE MOST SITES. CIGS WILL BE SLOW TO
LIFT ON SATURDAY, WITH SUB-VFR POSSIBLE INTO THE EARLY-MID
AFTERNOON, LATEST NORTHEAST (KRWI). THERE COULD BE SOME ISO/SCT
SHOWERS/STORMS SAT AFT, MAINLY AT KRDU, KFAY, AND KRWI, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS STILL SOMEWHAT LOW AT THIS TIME.
OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR ANY
SITES SATURDAY NIGHT, ALTHOUGH IF PRECIPITATION IS HEAVY ENOUGH,
THERE COULD BE LOCAL RESTRICTIONS. DRY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
RETURNS TO ALL TERMINALS WEDNESDAY.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR NCZ023>025-039>043-
073>078-083>086-088-089.
DISCUSSION...BADGETT
AVIATION...10/GREEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page