469
FXUS62 KRAH 022157
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
557 PM EDT TUE JUN 02 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 140 PM TUESDAY...
1) WARMING TREND THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRY THROUGH
SATURDAY, WITH DIURNAL SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 140 PM TUESDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1... WARMING TREND THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRY
THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH DIURNAL SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURNING EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
NNWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS A MID-
LEVEL LOW SLOWLY PULLS AWAY FROM THE CAROLINA COAST. AT THE SFC,
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OVER CENTRAL NC THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING
OFFSHORE FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. FLOW WILL GRADUALLY TURN SLY
DURING THIS TIME, WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID 90S
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. LUCKILY, PWAT WILL REMAIN LOW AND DEW
POINTS WILL LARGELY MIX OUT INTO THE LOWER TO MID 50S EACH AFTERNOON
KEEPING HEAT INDEX VALUES TOLERABLE DURING THIS PERIOD.
BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
BREAKDOWN WHILE PWAT SURGES BACK TO NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL. AS SUCH,
DIURNAL, SUMMER-LIKE CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE (LOWEST CHANCES ON
SUNDAY) DURING THIS PERIOD. RAIN AND ASSOCIATED CLOUDS WILL LIKELY
DAMPEN HIGHS MONDAY/TUESDAY INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
AS OF 557 PM TUESDAY...
TAF PERIOD: DECAYING CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN PIEDMONT MAY
BRING A BRIEF SPRINKLE TO INT THIS EVENING ALONG WITH CIGS AROUND
5KFT, BUT THIS WOULD BE SHORT LIVED. ELSEWHERE, AND IN THE WAKE OF
THIS WEAK CONVECTION, VFR WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WEAKENING/BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT, WITH
OCCASIONAL NORTHEASTERLY GUSTS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK BEYOND 00Z THURSDAY: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. INCREASING STORM CHANCES WITH NON-VFR WEATHER POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...NTL
AVIATION...LEINS
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