824
FXUS64 KMRX 271831
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
131 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 128 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2026
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN THE FIRST OF THE WEEK, WITH SLIGHT CHANCES
PERSISTING THEREAFTER.
- WARMING TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGH TEMPS 15 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 128 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2026
NOT MUCH TO TALK ABOUT OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
COME THROUGH ON SUNDAY, NBM CURRENTLY HAS NO POPS, BUT WE WILL
SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS. TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
BEHIND THE FRONT, BUT STILL MILD, AND RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO
INCREASE AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH ZONAL FLOW AND ACROSS
OUR AREA. SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS HANG AROUND THROUGH
TUESDAY AS THIS DISTURBANCE SLOWLY PUSHES EAST. THE HIGHER POPS
ARE NORTH OF I-40 WITH LESSER POPS SOUTH OF I-40.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, TEMPERATURES RAMP UP AS RIDGING
STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. HIGH TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 70S WITH THE SOUTHERN TN VALLEY POSSIBLY HITTING 80 DEGREES BY
FRIDAY. NBM KEEPS SOME POPS IN PLACE DURING THIS TIME TO ACCOUNT
FOR A POTENTIAL SYSTEM COMING THROUGH DURING THIS TIMEFRAME.
OVERALL, NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS POINT IN TIME.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS FORECAST AT CHA AND TYS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MOSTLY VFR AT TRI, BUT WITH A TEMPO FOR MVFR CEILINGS
AND VSBY TOMORROW MORNING. SOME MODELS SHOW MVFR CONDITIONS AT CHA
AND TYS AS WELL BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCLUDE DURING THIS
ISSUANCE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 43 71 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 38 67 45 68 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 39 68 44 68 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 35 64 40 63 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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