788
FXUS64 KMRX 031747
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
147 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 146 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
- A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE REST
OF THE WEEK. LOW DEW POINTS WILL KEEP WEATHER GENERALLY PLEASANT.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT CERTAINTY IS
LOWER DUE TO MODEL DISCREPANCIES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 146 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
CURRENTLY A SUNNY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING A BIT BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS AND DEW POINTS IN THE 40/50'S
KEEPING ANY MUGGINESS AT BAY. QUIET WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE SITS OVER THE REGION AND THE HIGHER DEW POINTS STAY OFF
WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MODERATE TEMPERATURES AND LOWER DEW
POINTS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS WELL THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND
ALLOWING OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DROP INTO THE 50/60'S MOST MORNINGS.
LATE IN THE WEEKEND THE PATTERN TRIES TO GET BROKEN UP BY A LOW
TRYING TO STRENGTHEN OVER TEXAS AND MOVE EASTWARD. SOME
DISCREPANCIES ON HOW FAR EAST THIS SYSTEM CAN GO BEFORE IT BEGINS TO
MOVE OFF FURTHER TO THE NORTH AS THE RIDGE LOOKS TO TRY AND REMAIN
IN PLACE. THE LOW WILL TRY AND BRING IN A SURFACE FRONT WHICH COULD
END UP DRAPED ACROSS THE TENNESSEE OR OHIO VALLEY NEXT WEEK.
WHEREVER THIS FRONT ENDS UP WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR ENHANCED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THE WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
ALONG WITH IT. BUT IT GETS A BIT UNCERTAIN WITH REGARDS TO THE
LOCATION OF THE ATTACHED LOW AND SOME OTHER WEAK SYSTEMS LOOKING TO
TRY AND MOVE UNDER THE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE
UNITED STATES. WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES PRESENT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK, BUT ONCE WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND THE PICTURE SHOULD
HOPEFULLY BECOME CLEARER AND RAIN CHANCES CAN BE TRIMMED DOWN TO THE
MORE LIKELY PERIODS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 146 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 59 84 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 57 84 61 87 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 57 83 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 53 84 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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