348
FXUS64 KMRX 041734
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
134 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 133 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
- THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. LOW
DEW POINTS AND A TOUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO START, THEN
GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING HUMIDITY.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT CERTAINTY IS
LOWER DUE TO MODEL DISCREPANCIES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 133 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
CURRENTLY ANOTHER SUNNY DAY WITH MODERATE TEMPERATURES AND LOWER DEW
POINTS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BRINGING THIS
WEATHER WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST, WHILE THE SURFACE
HIGH WILL SLOWLY EDGE OFF OF THE CAROLINA COASTS BY THIS WEEKEND. AS
A RESULT OF THE BLOCKING HIGH, OUR AREA WILL BE IN A DRY PATTERN
WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS.
MOVING INTO NEXT WEEK, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WILL
TRY TO MERGE WITH THE NORTHERN FLOW ACROSS THE US/CANADA BORDER
REGION. ODDS ARE GOOD THAT PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA
AS EARLY AS SUNDAY, BUT THE WEAK FLOW PAIRED WITH A POSSIBLE WEST TO
EAST FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER US OR TO THE NORTH, MAKES ANY DETAILS AT
THIS TIME FAIRLY UNCERTAIN. RETURN FLOW WILL BRING INCREASED
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE, DECREASING THE STABILITY NEXT WEEK.
WITH NO MAJOR STRONG SYNOPTIC LEVEL FORCING HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK
EXPECT THE MODELS TO CONTINUE TO HAVE A HARD TIME WITH REGARDS TO
EXACT LOCATION OF THE PLACES THAT WILL GET PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 133 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 60 85 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 61 86 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 59 84 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 57 86 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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