297
FXUS64 KMRX 081212
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
712 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 640 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2026
- QUICK ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW FOR SOUTHWEST VA THIS MORNING ENDING
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
50S AND 60S IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY, THEN
AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK WITH RAIN BEING THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1238 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2026
A DEEP TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE EAST COAST SUNDAY. A WEAK RIDGE IS
OVER THE SOUTHEAST. SOME LIGHT SNOW IS LIKELY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE SUNDAY MORNING ENDING IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. AS NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES SOME MOISTURE WILL MAKE IT TO SW
VIRGINIA AND NE TENNESSEE FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. WITH LAKE MICHIGAN
MOSTLY FROZEN, MOISTURE SHOULD BE LIMITED BUT LIGHT SNOW IS STILL
LIKELY. PROBABILITIES ARE VERY LOW FOR 1 INCH. UP TO A HALF INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA WITH A DUSTING LIKELY. A
DUSTING IS LESS LIKELY IN NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. HREF KEEPS SNOW BELOW
HALF AN INCH.
OTHERWISE, DRY WEATHER WILL BE IN PLACE UNTIL THE NEXT SYSTEM
APPROACHES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL START
MONDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
50S AND 60S MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. MID AND
LATE WEEK A TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE EAST COAST WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
GREAT PLAINS. A STRONG SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE FRI/SAT BUT TEMPS SHOULD
BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 640 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2026
CLOUDS BEGINNING TO BUILD INTO TYS AND TRI THIS MORNING. ON RADAR
A STREAM OF MOISTURE SPANS SE FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. ACCORDING TO
OBS, NOTHING IS BEING REPORTED AT GROUND LEVEL JUST YET, BUT COULD
EVENTUALLY BRING LIGHT SNOW TO TRI THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR
CAN GENERALLY BE EXPECTED WITH CALM CONDITIONS OR LIGHT NELY
WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 51 33 64 40 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 43 29 57 38 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 43 29 56 38 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 35 23 49 32 / 20 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCD
AVIATION...KS
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