881  
FNUS73 KBIS 221214  
FWSBIS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MINOT AFB RX 2026...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND  
714 AM CDT WED APR 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CLOUD COVER OVER THE BURN AREA WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING,  
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY, BEFORE BRIEFLY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN  
THE AFTERNOON. A PSEUDOSTATIONARY WARM FRONT SLOWLY LIFTING ACROSS  
THE AREA TODAY WILL PROMOTE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRY  
WEATHER, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. A HIGH OF 81 DEGREES IS EXPECTED  
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING AS LOW AS  
25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS MORNING  
WILL STRENGTHEN AND TURN EAST SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH  
SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH IN THE  
LATE AFTERNOON. WITH THIS PERIOD OF STRONGER WINDS OVERLAPPING  
WITH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON NEAR CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND  
SOMEWHAT DIMINISH OVERNIGHT, BUT WITH REMAIN SOMEWHAT BREEZY WITH  
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 12 TO 18 MPH. LOWS TONIGHT ARE FORECAST  
AROUND 51, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERING TO AS HIGH AS 55  
PERCENT.  
 
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA  
INTO THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THURSDAY, PROMOTING WIDESPREAD CLOUDY  
COVER, LOW CHANCES FOR PRECPITATION, WINDY CONDITIONS, AND COOLER  
TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON THURSDAY ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND 62,  
WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING AS LOW AS 34 PERCENT.  
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH  
WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING WESTERLY WITH SPEEDS  
UP TO 27 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR  
PRECPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON, BEFORE DIMINISHING THROUGH THE EVENING. WHILE INITIALLY  
FAVORED TO FALL AS RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY, RAIN  
MAY BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW THURSDAY EVENING AS TEMPERATURES  
CONTINUE TO COOL. OVERALL PRECPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT,  
WITH VERY LITTLE CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10  
TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (78700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (113400  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........57 60 63 66 68 71 71 71 71 72 72  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 38 43 52 63 67 72 77 79 81 81  
RH..............89 82 70 56 43 36 30 25 25 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 9 11 12 14 16 18 19 20 19  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 13 15 19 22 24 26 26 27 27  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 9 12 14 18 21 24 28 31 31  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..2 3 4 9 14 26 38 62 79 113 119  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO  
12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15  
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (91900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........65 59 52 51 45 37 36 35 47 58 58 62  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 80 76 71 67 65 62 60 59 57 56 54  
RH..............25 28 33 39 47 48 50 51 49 49 51 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 16 15 13 12 12 12 11 11 10 11 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 25 24 22 20 20 19 18 18 18 19 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S SE SE SE S W W W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 25 20 17 18 17 17 15 15 15 18 18  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..92 45 15 11 10 10 9 6 6 6 9 14  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 20 TO 27  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 30 TO  
35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (124000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
LATE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (154200 KNOT-FT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 45 42 38 35 38 44 51 54 57 60 62  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 52 54 56 58 59 60 60 59 58 56 53  
RH..............50 54 55 51 47 45 44 42 42 42 43 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W SW SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 15 17 19 20 21 22 23 25 26 26  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 24 26 27 28 30 31 32 33 35 37  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.4 2.6 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 25 30 30 30 31 32 35 37 38 39  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..14 17 28 66 90 106 124 126 133 140 146 154  
 
 
FORECASTER...ADAM  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611284.0/BIS  
.DELDT 04/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.ROGERS@FWS.GOV  
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