319  
FNUS73 KBIS 141000  
FWSBIS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAWBERRY ISLAND...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND  
500 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY IS FOUND OVER THE SITE OF THE  
WILDFIRE THIS MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED  
SHOWER OR TWO THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES THIS  
MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 61. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS  
AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST AROUND 83, WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
DROPS AS LOW AS 46 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS  
MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND ORGANIZE OUT OF THE  
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, BECOMING BREEZY  
WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO AROUND 14 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT.  
 
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING, BECOMING  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE  
FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. WHERE  
THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE  
ANTICIPATED. HUMIDITY RECOVERY WITH ONGOING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IS  
EXPECTED TO BE AS HIGH AS 100 PERCENT. TUESDAY WILL BE MUCH  
COOLER, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES PEAKING UP TO AROUND 65. WITH  
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND ONGOING SHOWERS, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON IS ONLY AS LOW AS 64 PERCENT. BREEZY NORTHEAST  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY, WITH  
SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH FORECAST.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (57800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 62 72 55 42 40 34 34 50 45 44 33  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............66 65 64 67 70 73 76 78 80 81 82 81  
RH..............75 78 78 73 66 59 54 50 47 46 46 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 13 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 15 17 18 18 19 20 19 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E NE NE NE E E E E NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 13 15 14 14 14 14 14 15 16  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..8 7 8 16 21 23 29 40 46 52 56 58  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY WITH  
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 49 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (59500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (12500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 27 36 33 33 42 34 52 75 84 93 96  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 50 50  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 10 20 20 20 30 20 20 40 60 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30  
TEMP............80 78 75 71 67 64 62 61 60 59 59 58  
RH..............49 52 58 66 75 81 84 87 90 93 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 16 16 17 18 17 16 17 17 18 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 21 22 22 22 21 21 22 22 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.5 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 20 20 21 20 18 20 20 21 22  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..60 52 42 27 13 13 16 17 17 28 27 29  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................53 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (67800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........99 100 99 98 98 93 90 87 87 87 87 80  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 70 30 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............57 56 57 57 57 58 58 59 60 61 62 63  
RH..............93 97 100 98 97 92 87 82 76 72 68 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..19 20 19 19 18 18 17 17 17 16 15 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 22 21 21 21 22 22 21 20 20  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..24 26 31 37 42 43 48 55 62 67 68 66  
 

 
FORECASTER...ADAM  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID KANNAS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517955.0/BIS  
.DELDT 07/14/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ZACHARY.THOMPSON@USDA.GOV,D_KANNAS@YAHOO.COM,JACOB.THELEN@USDA.GOV  
 
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