319
FNUS73 KBIS 141000
FWSBIS
SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAWBERRY ISLAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
500 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY IS FOUND OVER THE SITE OF THE
WILDFIRE THIS MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR TWO THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 61. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST AROUND 83, WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DROPS AS LOW AS 46 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS
MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND ORGANIZE OUT OF THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, BECOMING BREEZY
WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO AROUND 14 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING, BECOMING
LIKELY OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE
FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE
ANTICIPATED. HUMIDITY RECOVERY WITH ONGOING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT IS
EXPECTED TO BE AS HIGH AS 100 PERCENT. TUESDAY WILL BE MUCH
COOLER, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES PEAKING UP TO AROUND 65. WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND ONGOING SHOWERS, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON IS ONLY AS LOW AS 64 PERCENT. BREEZY NORTHEAST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY, WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH FORECAST.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (57800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49 62 72 55 42 40 34 34 50 45 44 33
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............66 65 64 67 70 73 76 78 80 81 82 81
RH..............75 78 78 73 66 59 54 50 47 46 46 47
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 13 14
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 15 17 18 18 19 20 19 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E NE NE NE E E E E NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 13 15 14 14 14 14 14 15 16
DISPR KT-FT/1K..8 7 8 16 21 23 29 40 46 52 56 58
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY WITH
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 49 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (59500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (12500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........33 27 36 33 33 42 34 52 75 84 93 96
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 50 50
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 10 20 20 20 30 20 20 40 60 60
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30
TEMP............80 78 75 71 67 64 62 61 60 59 59 58
RH..............49 52 58 66 75 81 84 87 90 93 90 93
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 16 16 17 18 17 16 17 17 18 20
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 21 22 22 22 21 21 22 22 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.5 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 20 20 21 20 18 20 20 21 22
DISPR KT-FT/1K..60 52 42 27 13 13 16 17 17 28 27 29
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................53 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (67800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........99 100 99 98 98 93 90 87 87 87 87 80
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 70 30 30 30 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............57 56 57 57 57 58 58 59 60 61 62 63
RH..............93 97 100 98 97 92 87 82 76 72 68 66
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..19 20 19 19 18 18 17 17 17 16 15 16
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 22 21 21 21 22 22 21 20 20
DISPR KT-FT/1K..24 26 31 37 42 43 48 55 62 67 68 66
FORECASTER...ADAM
REQUESTED BY...DAVID KANNAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517955.0/BIS
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ZACHARY.THOMPSON@USDA.GOV,D_KANNAS@YAHOO.COM,JACOB.THELEN@USDA.GOV
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