637  
FNUS73 KBIS 272109  
FWSBIS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER SOURIS WILDLIFE REFUGE FIRE...ND WATCH CENTER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND  
409 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 CDT ON JULY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THIS EVENING THERE ARE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 430PM AND 700PM, THE HIGHEST CHANCE WILL  
BE BETWEEN 430PM AND 6PM, BUT LOW CHANCES FOR A WETTING RAIN.  
WITH THESE SHOWERS ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.  
OTHERWISE WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE NORTHERLY AT 10MPH. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY SHOULD CLIMB FROM 39 PERCENT THIS EVENING TO 75 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK AT 90 EARLY THIS EVENING, BEFORE COOLING  
TO 65 OVERNIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 75  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20  
TEMP............88 88  
RH..............39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..37 27  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY SMOKE THROUGH THE  
NIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO  
10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........52 57 32 40 44 41 41 35 41 33 37 30  
WEATHER COV.....SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............88 87 84 80 75 73 71 69 68 67 66 65  
RH..............39 39 40 49 60 64 68 73 73 75 78 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E E E SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 5 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E E E SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 9 10  
DISPR KT-FT/1K..18 18 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...SMITH  
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA THOMAS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618442.0/BIS  
.DELDT 07/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WATCHCENTER@ND.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab ND Page
Main Text Page