986
FXUS63 KBIS 191712
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1212 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1209 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WERE COMMON
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 847 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THIS UPDATE. STILL LOOKS LIKE A WINDY AND
COOL DAY WITH WIND SPEEDS APPROACHING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS SOUTHWEST.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
NO CHANGE WITH THIS UPDATE OUTSIDE OF OBSERVED TRENDS THROUGH 11
UTC.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 328 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
A WINDY FRIDAY HIGHLIGHTS THE SHORT TERM FORECAST.
A COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING THE I-94 CORRIDOR AS OF 08 UTC, AND
WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SOUTH THROUGH THE MORNING. TEMPERATURES
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA HAVE ACTUALLY MIXED OUT INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S
EARLY THIS MORNING. A WINDY DAY IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 KTS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL WHERE GRADIENT WINDS ARE STRONGEST, WITH GUSTS
OF 25-30KTS WEST. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON,
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED WITH INCREASING SUBSIDENCE.
THE 00 UTC GLOBAL SUITE, AND THE CAMS THROUGH THE 06 UTC HRRR
SUGGEST A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING NORTH CENTRAL INTO THE
JAMES RIVER VALLEY WITH A SECONDARY MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 328 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
DRY WEATHER, AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
HIGHLIGHT THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
THE 00 UTC GLOBAL SUITE FAVORS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO BE
CENTERED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH DAKOTA SATURDAY AFTERNOON,
WITH RETURN FLOW COMMENCING ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THUS,
EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 40S FROM THE
TURTLE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY WITH WEAK MIXING,
TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S WEST WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS.
THEREAFTER, SPLIT UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS FAVORED EARLY TO MID NEXT
WEEK, SUPPORTING A DRY FORECAST WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 50S TO THE LOWER 60S.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1209 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018
VFR AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. WINDS
WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...AJ
SHORT TERM...PA
LONG TERM...PA
AVIATION...AJ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page