695
FXUS63 KLBF 111114
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
514 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH 50S TODAY AND
THURSDAY, WITH A WARMING TREND INTO THE MID 60S SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.
- MAINLY DRY THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 256 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026
TODAY, A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE
WESTERN U.S. THE UPPER FLOW WILL BE ZONAL ACROSS THE REGION,
WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS IN THE AFTERNOON. AS
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF WY AND CO,
A BREEZY SOUTH WIND OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL DEVELOP FOR AREAS NEAR
AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 83. HIGHS SLIGHTLY WARMER FROM 52 TO 57,
USING THE WARMER NBM 50TH PERCENTILE.
TONIGHT, A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA
NEAR THE NEBRASKA/SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. THIS WILL BE LOCATED
AHEAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. LOWS FROM 25 TO 30.
THURSDAY, BEHIND A COLD FRONT, NORTHWEST WINDS TURN NORTHERLY
10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS 55 TO NEAR 60. AN
UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION, WITH A SLIGHT
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 256 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026
OVERALL UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION, WITH THE
SOUTHERN STREAM QUITE ACTIVE, DEEPENING THE BASE OF AN UPPER
TROUGH ACROSS BAJA MEXICO ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS, OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS ON SATURDAY. UPPER
RIDGING THEN STRENGTHEN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION ON TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOW 60S FRIDAY AND NEAR 60
SATURDAY, WARMING FURTHER TO THE MID AND POSSIBLY UPPER 60S
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THESE HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO REACH AROUND 25
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING PERIOD WILL BRING LIMITED
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTH WHICH IS
STILL SUPPORTED BY THE GEFS ENSEMBLE. THE GEFS INDICATES A 10
TO 30 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF RECEIVING AT LEAST A TENTH OF AN
INCH LIQUID SOUTH OF I80, WHILE THE ECMWF SHOWS THESE
PROBABILITIES MUCH FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL
KANSAS. OVERALL, THE POTENTIAL FOR A WETTING RAIN HAS DECREASED
AND IS VERY LOW.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 514 AM CST WED FEB 11 2026
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING, WITH
CEILINGS NEAR 10K FT AGL. DURING THE AFTERNOON, SCATTERED TO
BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS. CEILINGS WILL LOWER FURTHER OVER
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS EVENING WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST
CEILINGS RANGING FROM 8000 TO 10000 FT AGL AT THE KVTN TERMINAL.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 19012G20KT BY 19Z AND
CONTINUE UNTIL 23Z AT THE KLBF AND KVTN TERMINALS. WINDS
QUICKLY DIMINISH EARLY EVENING.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...ROBERG
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