124
FXUS63 KLBF 181732
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1232 PM CDT SUN AUG 18 2019
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 AM CDT SUN AUG 18 2019
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE ACROSS NEBRASKA TODAY, DRIFTING
INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BY THIS EVENING.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT EAST
TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF STRATUS ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CLEAR OUT ACROSS THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST LATE MORNING, AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHS TODAY WILL BE COOLER THAN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS, RANGING
FROM 75-77 ACROSS THE EAST TO NEAR 80 FAR WEST AND SOUTHWEST.
STRATUS WILL RETURN TO MUCH OF WESTERN NEBRASKA TONIGHT, AFTER
MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION, FOG IS ALSO INDICATED BY SOME OF THE
MODELS AND MOS GUIDANCE. PATCHY FOG WAS INTRODUCED ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA LATE TONIGHT UNTIL MID MORNING
MONDAY.
ON MONDAY, STRATUS AND FOG WILL LIFT, WITH CLEARING SKIES IN THE
WEST BY LATE MORNING AND THE SOUTHEAST MID AFTERNOON. A RETURN
SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, WITH HIGHS CONTRASTING FROM
91-95 WESTERN SANDHILLS, TO MID 80S EAST.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 AM CDT SUN AUG 18 2019
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS FORECAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, AS A COLD
FRONT STALLS OUT OVER NORTHERN KANSAS. SOME LIKELY POPS FORECAST
TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE WEST AND SOUTH. AT LEAST A 20-30 PERCENT
CHANCE WEST AND SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
HIGHS TUESDAY REACH THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90, COOLING BACK INTO
THE UPPER 70S WEDNESDAY, THEN GRADUALLY WARMING UP INTO THE MID
AND UPPER 80S BY SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT SUN AUG 18 2019
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A STRATUS LAYER ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AS A RESULT, KLBF WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 20Z. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR KLBF
THIS AFTERNOON WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG IS
POSSIBLE EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THIS WILL BRING MVFR TO LOCALIZED IFR
CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. THERE IS A CHANCE THIS COULD IMPACT KLBF,
HOWEVER, AT THIS TIME WILL LEAVE MENTION OF IFR CEILINGS OUT.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...THORNE
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