816
FXUS63 KLBF 262343
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
643 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS ARRIVE LATER TONIGHT. SPORADIC RAIN
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY, WITH THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING, SOME SNOW COULD MIX IN WITH RAIN
SHOWERS, WITH NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
- STRONG, GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE
STRONGEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, WHEN GUSTS COULD
APPROACH 50 MPH AT TIMES.
- COOLER WEATHER SETTLES IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM SLIGHTLY HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 247 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ACROSS THE WESTERN DAKOTAS INTO
EASTERN WYOMING. GUSTY WINDS ARE OBSERVED AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS
SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA, WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH OUT OF
THE SOUTH. AS THE FRONT CROSSES INTO NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA LATER
THIS EVENING, WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. GUIDANCE HAS CONTINUED
TO TREND TOWARDS A DRIER FORECAST ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA, SO HAVE
LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAIRLY GUSTY TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE PANHANDLE, WITH
SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH LASTING THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS THE
SANDHILLS AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA. ANOTHER THING TO KEEP AN EYE ON
TONIGHT IS THE PATCHY FOG POTENTIAL AGAIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. IF FOG IS ABLE TO DEVELOP, IT WILL LIKELY BE
PATCHY IN NATURE AND MOSTLY ISOLATED TO LOWER LYING REGIONS. ACROSS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA, WINDS REMAIN AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT,
WHICH SHOULD HELP LIMIT A MORE WIDESPREAD FOG CONCERN TONIGHT.
RAIN CHANCES REMAIN THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON MONDAY, WITH SPORADIC
SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO BE FOR AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY 61, HOWEVER, WITH THE DRIER
FORECAST, THIS IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION.
AS THE FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION, THE BEST CHANCES FOR WETTING
RAINFALL APPEARS TO BE AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY 183 LATE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THOUGH THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS RAIN, WILL STILL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE ON SNOW POTENTIAL FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS, COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S
MAY ALLOW FOR SOME SNOW TO MIX IN WITH THE PRECIPITATION, MOSTLY
OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING COMMUTE. HOWEVER, WITH SOIL TEMPERATURES
STILL REMAINING IN THE 50S, GUSTY WINDS, AND RECENT RAINFALL, DO NOT
BELIEVE THAT ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR AT THIS TIME.
AS THIS SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH, WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE
NORTHWEST, AND GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON. AT
THIS TIME, THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE, SANDHILLS, AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA, WITH GUSTS UP TO
AND EXCEEDING 30 MPH.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 247 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
TUESDAY, THE FRONT TRACKS TO THE EAST OF THE REGION, HOWEVER, SOME
WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION IS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. AGAIN, MAY SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW MIXING IN WITH
PRECIPITATION IN THE MORNING, BUT AT THIS TIME, NO IMPACTS ARE
EXPECTED. MAINLY JUST EXPECTING THIS TO BE SOME LIGHT, REMNANT RAIN
SHOWERS. HOWEVER, WITH THE LOW TO THE EAST AND A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND STRONGER IN THE LATEST
FORECAST, AND THE ECMWF EXTREME FORECAST INDEX AND SHIFT OF TAILS
INDICATE A VERY WINDY DAY ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL. WITH THESE
STRONGER WINDS NOW IN THE FORECAST, EXPECTING THAT WE COULD SEE
STEADY NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH, WITH
GUSTS POSSIBLY UP TO 50 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS MAY
CAUSE SOME DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR EAST-WEST ROADS ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IT WILL ALSO
BE QUITE COOL ON TUESDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
THIS COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES WILL GIVE THE
WIND A BIT OF A BITE, MAKING THE AIR FEEL LIKE HIGHS ARE IN THE 30S
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE ON WEDNESDAY, WITH ANOTHER DAY
OF HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WINDS REMAIN A LITTLE BREEZY ON
WEDNESDAY, WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO AROUND 25 MPH.
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, TEMPERATURES REMAIN SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN
SEASONAL, WITH HIGHS REMAINING IN THE 50S BOTH DAYS. OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GET A BIT COOLER, AS WELL, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING INTO THE 20S THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM
SLIGHTLY, WITH HIGHS POTENTIALLY RETURNING TO THE 60S. HOWEVER, AT
THIS POINT, WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST TRENDS AS MUCH DEPENDS
ON HOW THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW EVOLVES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 643 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2025
FOR THE KLBF TERMINAL: EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. CEILINGS WILL BECOME IFR OVERNIGHT RANGING FROM 500 TO
800 FT AGL. CEILINGS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 1200 TO 2000 FT AGL
MONDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THE KVTN TERMINAL: CEILINGS WILL REMAIN
MVFR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH CEILINGS RANGING FROM 1200
TO 2000 FT AGL. CEILINGS WILL THEN IMPROVE TO 2500 TO 5000 FT
AGL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RICHIE
LONG TERM...RICHIE
AVIATION...BUTTLER
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