805  
FXUS63 KLBF 052326  
AFDLBF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE  
626 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- AREAS OF PATCHY FROST ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHWEST  
NEBRASKA AND THE NORTHERN SANDHILLS, AS OVERNIGHT LOW DROP AT  
OR BELOW 35 DEGREES.  
 
- COOL, DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THIS WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS MOSTLY  
IN THE 70S.  
 
- TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM TO NEAR SEASONAL ON MONDAY AND  
REMAIN SO THROUGHOUT THE WEEK FOR MOST OF THE REGION. CHANCES  
OF APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION RETURN MID TO LATE WEEK.  
 
 
   
SYNOPSIS  
 
ISSUED AT 206 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025  
 
AN CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW SITS OVER CENTRAL ONTARIO, BRINGING BROAD  
UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES  
REGION. THE SLOW MOVING LOW HAS STALLED AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER  
THE WESTERN CONUS. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS OBSERVED ACROSS  
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS, USHERING IN COOLER TEMPERATURES  
FROM THE NORTH. A BAND OF STRATUS CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTH  
ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR, WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO THE  
NORTH.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/  
 
ISSUED AT 206 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025  
 
A CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE THE MAIN DRIVER FOR THIS  
WEEKEND'S WEATHER PATTERN, KEEPING TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HIGHS THIS WEEKEND GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 70S,  
THOUGH A FEW LOCATIONS COULD BREAK INTO THE LOW 80S ACROSS  
NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, THE  
UPPER LEVEL LOW BEGINS TO TRACK EAST, ALLOWING UPPER LEVEL RIDGING  
TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT  
WARMER WITH HIGHS STILL MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. THE HIGH  
PRESSURE SYSTEM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND ADVANCING RIDGE KEEP A DRY  
WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEKEND, WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS  
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.  
 
ONE THING OF NOTICE IN THE SHORT TERM IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF  
PATCHY FROST TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA AND THE NORTHERN  
SANDHILLS. OBSERVED TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WERE A FEW DEGREES  
COOLER THAN GUIDANCE, BRINGING LOWS INTO THE UPPER 30S ACROSS  
NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA. TONIGHT, SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY  
CLEAR, WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG  
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS. WITH THIS IN MIND,  
HAVE CONTINUED TO KEEP THE FORECAST LOWS TOWARDS THE LOWER END OF  
GUIDANCE OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, EVEN WITH THE LOWER TEMPERATURES  
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST, THERE IS A CHANCE THAT OVERNIGHT LOWS  
COULD STILL GO A FEW DEGREES COLDER. WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST, LOWS  
ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO THE MID 30S FOR A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT ACROSS  
NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA, WITH THE COOLEST LOWS AROUND 34 DEGREES. AS  
LOWS DROP BELOW 35, AREAS OF PATCH FROST ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP,  
GENERALLY IN THE 2 TO 3 HOURS PRIOR TO SUNRISE. THOSE WITH SENSITIVE  
PLANTS OR ANIMALS MAY WANT TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY  
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA. WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN COLDER  
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT, HAVE DECIDED TO FOREGO ANY FROST HEADLINES AT  
THIS TIME, AS CONFIDENCE IN WIDESPREAD AND LINGERING FROST, AS WELL  
AS TEMPERATURES BELOW 32, REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 206 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025  
 
BY MONDAY, AN INTERESTING PATTERN DEVELOPS IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW.  
THE NORTHERN POLAR JET CONTINUES TO BUILD A RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION,  
WHILE A SOUTHERN SUBTROPICAL JET DEVELOPS TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHERN  
CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTUALLY HELPS BUILD A HIGHER AMPLITUDE RIDGE  
ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS, INCLUDING WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL  
NEBRASKA. WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION,  
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S, WHICH ARE  
NEAR OUR SEASONAL HIGHS THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE SOUTHERN JET IS  
EXPECTED TO BRING ENOUGH OF A JET STREAK TO SUPPORT DIVERGENCE ALOFT  
ACROSS THE REGION, DESPITE THE OVERALL RIDGE. WITH THIS IN PLACE,  
CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS  
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA,  
THOUGH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN  
NEBRASKA.  
 
WITH THE SUBTROPICAL TROUGH REMAINING TO OUR WEST, AND A STRONGER  
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE POLAR JET ARRIVING BY MID WEEK, CHANCES OF  
PRECIPITATION INCREASE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.  
CURRENT ENSEMBLES ARE IN GENERALLY FAIR AGREEMENT ON PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES MID TO LATE WEEK, WITH AROUND A 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
WETTING PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.  
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM, AS  
THIS DOES APPEAR TO BE OUR NEXT CHANCES OF APPRECIABLE RAINFALL  
ACROSS THE REGION.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING  
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. WINDS QUICKLY  
WEAKEN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH SUNSET, BECOMING LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW.  
 
 
   
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
SYNOPSIS...RICHIE  
SHORT TERM...RICHIE  
LONG TERM...RICHIE  
AVIATION...BROWN  
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