411  
FNUS71 KBOX 122139  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLETON BRUSH FIRE...MEMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA  
539 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON MARCH 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FAIRLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS  
EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW  
SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL  
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
EASTERLY WINDS TONIGHT DECREASE FROM 5 TO 10 MPH TO 3 TO 5 MPH.  
WINDS SHIFT FROM THE EAST TO THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY, INCREASING  
TO BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY  
NIGHT, DROPPING TO 3 TO 5 MPH. EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE FRIDAY  
WITH SPEEDS RANGING FROM 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT IS BETWEEN 80 AND 85 PERCENT.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THURSDAY IS BETWEEN 45 TO 50  
PERCENT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ON FRIDAY ARE 60 TO 65  
PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............17 INCREASING TO 26.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...23.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................3 TO 6.  
CEILING (KFT).......13 DECREASING TO 6.0.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........68 96 91  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............42 34 31  
DEWPOINT........16 21 26  
RH..............34 58 81  
HEAT INDEX (F)..38 30 23  
20 FT WIND......E 6G10 E 5G9 E 9G18  
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4G6 E 3G5 E 5G11  
SURFACE WIND....E 6G10 E 5G9 E 9G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 1400 900  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 E 8 E 9  
LVORI...........2 3 4  
ADI.............5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 10 7  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...15 10 8.0  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............26.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...25.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (37800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4 TO 9 INCREASING TO 31 TO 40.  
CEILING (KFT).......6.0 DECREASING TO 5.0 UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON,  
THEN INCREASING TO 6.0 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 7.0 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 8.0.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........88 88 74  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............30 37 42  
DEWPOINT........27 25 27  
RH..............88 61 55  
HEAT INDEX (F)..25 32 37  
20 FT WIND......E 5G8 E 7G13 SE 8G16  
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3G5 E 4G8 SE 5G10  
SURFACE WIND....E 5G8 E 7G13 SE 8G16  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2500 3400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 12 SE 13  
LVORI...........6 2 1  
ADI.............4 25 32  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 25 38  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...6.0 5.0 5.0  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............29.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...26.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO  
8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................2 TO 8.  
CEILING (KFT).......9.0 INCREASING TO 10 EARLY, THEN DECREASING TO  
9.0 DECREASING TO 7.0 DECREASING TO 5.0  
DECREASING TO 3.5 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........74 62 73  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............40 35 33  
DEWPOINT........27 30 31  
RH..............59 82 92  
HEAT INDEX (F)..35 31 26  
20 FT WIND......SE 7G14 E 5G8 NE 8G15  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4G8 E 3G5 NE 5G9  
SURFACE WIND....SE 7G14 E 5G8 NE 8G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 800 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 E 6 NE 8  
LVORI...........3 5 6  
ADI.............8 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...9.0 9.0 4.0  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............33 INCREASING TO 37 EARLY.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
EARLY.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................2 TO 4 INCREASING TO 10 TO 17 THROUGH EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......4.5 INCREASING TO 6.0 EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 7.0 EARLY INCREASING TO 8.0  
LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 12 INCREASING  
TO 15 EARLY INCREASING TO 20 DECREASING TO 15  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 4 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........71 72 61  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............34 40 47  
DEWPOINT........32 35 38  
RH..............92 82 71  
HEAT INDEX (F)..31 38 44  
20 FT WIND......NE 3G6 NE 3G7 E 6G9  
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 2G4 NE 2G4 E 4G5  
SURFACE WIND....NE 3G6 NE 3G7 E 6G9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1400 2100  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 E 6 SE 6  
LVORI...........6 4 3  
ADI.............2 11 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 7 10  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
CEILING (KFT)...4.5 12 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...FT  
REQUESTED BY...BILL DECOLA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2506227.0/BOX  
.DELDT 03/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BILL.DECOLA@MASS.GOV  
 
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