195
FNUS71 KPHI 190938
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR FEMA NJ-TF1 FSE TRAINING EVENT...NJ-TF1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
538 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR REGION LATER THIS MORNING. IT IS
FORECAST TO ARRIVE AT THE EVENT SITE BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON EDT.
WITH THE FRONT, EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ABRUPT SHIFT AND
INCREASE IN THE WINDS. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD OVER OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD
SETTLE SOUTH OF OUR AREA WEDNESDAY, THEN RETURN AS A WARM FRONT
LATER FRIDAY OR ON SATURDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............51 DECREASING TO 40.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6
TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING INCREASING TO 24 TO 32 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (79400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 75 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91 92 94 87 87 90 89 94 90 88 85 74
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC ARS SCH SCH LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RNF FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 20 20 20 60 70 90 60 60 10 0
TEMP............50 51 51 52 52 52 53 51 50 49 48 49
DEWPOINT........50 51 51 52 52 50 47 46 44 43 41 40
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 93 80 83 80 80 77 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 9 13 16 17 17 15 14 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 9 17 23 28 29 29 26 26 25 24
SURFACE WND DIR.SE S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
SURFACE WND SPD.5 5 6 9 13 16 17 17 15 14 10 8
SURFACE WND GST.9 8 9 17 23 28 29 29 26 26 25 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 6 10 16 28 32 32 31 28 24 22
ADI.............5 4 4 8 21 52 71 75 70 62 72 68
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 3 6 14 47 71 79 73 63 56 54
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............37 DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE EVENING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5
MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6
TO 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................64 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........43 29 26 15 19 9 5 12 8 14 13 31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 49 49 47 46 45 45 44 42 41 41 41
DEWPOINT........39 37 37 36 35 34 33 33 33 32 32 32
RH..............68 63 63 65 65 65 63 65 70 70 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 10 10 10 10 9 7 7 7 7 7
SURFACE WND DIR.NW NW W W W W W W W W W W
SURFACE WND SPD.6 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
SURFACE WND GST.21 16 10 10 10 10 9 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W NW NW NW W W W SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 16 14 15 14 12 10 7 7 6 6 7
ADI.............64 7 6 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 16 12 9 7 5 4 2 2 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN HADGKISS
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2610708.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHADGKISS@NJTF1.ORG
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