575  
FNUS71 KPHI 040039  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 14 FIRE...JBMDL FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
839 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 EDT ON MAY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO RECOVER/INCREASE TONIGHT AS  
THE WIND ALSO DIMINISHES. IT WILL TURN WARMER AND STILL DRY ON MONDAY,  
HOWEVER A SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AT TIMES.  
THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN THE DEW POINTS GRADUALLY INCREASING, ALTHOUGH  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE 25-30 PERCENT MONDAY DURING  
PEAK HEATING. AN EVEN WARMER DAY TUESDAY WITH A GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY  
BREEZE, HOWEVER DEW POINTS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE.  
 
ANOTHER SERIES OF SYSTEMS BRINGING SHOWERS MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
INTO THURSDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM POTENTIALLY MOVES IN FOR NEXT WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................5 TO 7.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH INCREASING TO UP  
TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 4 4 7 11 15 19 23 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 51 50 49 48 46 46 46 45  
RH..............41 44 50 52 54 58 60 63 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15  
ADI.............5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (76100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (118600  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 123 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 23 20 18 15 13 15 17 19 16 14 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 47 51 58 63 66 68 70 72 72 73 74  
RH..............63 65 63 49 39 36 32 30 29 29 28 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 18 20 21 22 22 22 21 21 20 20  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.6 5.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.0 6.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 21 22 24 26 26 23 23 21 21 21  
ADI.............7 17 32 55 86 114 123 108 109 98 98 96  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 21 37 76 127 152 137 139 125 126 119  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD VGD EXL VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (75800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................103 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 9 8 8 8 8 11 13 16 21 27 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 70 67 63 60 59 58 58 57 57 56 57  
RH..............31 36 42 50 58 62 67 67 72 75 77 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 13 14 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S S SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 13 12 13 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16  
ADI.............103 8 5 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..76 14 5 5 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 33  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (83900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (123900  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................12 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 152 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 25 22 20 19 17 18 19 20 24 28 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 60 63 67 72 76 79 80 81 83 83 82  
RH..............75 69 65 59 51 45 39 36 37 34 33 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 17 20 20 21 22 23 25 26 29 30  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.9 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 15 16 17 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 4.1 5.3 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 22 22 21 21 24 26 30 31 32 33  
ADI.............12 29 37 50 57 64 89 114 139 143 147 152  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 19 25 34 42 51 84 124 171 174 178 181  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL  
 
 
FORECASTER...GORSE  
REQUESTED BY...CAPTAIN HOWARD MCGOLDRICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2612600.0/PHI  
.DELDT 05/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HMCGOLDRIC@COMCAST.NET  
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