752  
FNUS71 KPHI 211126  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DAGMAR DALE RX...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
726 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TODAY BEFORE SHIFTING  
OFFSHORE. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE SOUTH OF THE AREA ON  
WEDNESDAY, THEN APPROACH AS A WARM FRONT ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. AN  
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIKELY THEN ARRIVE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.  
 
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S RANGE  
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE  
MORNING, WILL TRANSITION TO SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 5-10 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. DESPITE LOW RH VALUES, DUE TO RATHER LIGHT WINDS, NO FIRE  
WEATHER HEADLINES ARE WARRANTED TODAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION FROM NORTH IN THE  
MORNING, TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (41800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................14 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 6 10 16 20 38 38 40 33 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 33 38 42 45 47 49 51 52 53  
RH..............55 47 37 30 27 25 24 22 22 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 3.4 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE SW SW W SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 3 3 6 6 7 8 9 9  
ADI.............14 25 20 21 37 39 45 53 55 53  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 17 14 15 26 27 32 37 42 40  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (35100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................5 TO 36.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 65 65 76 86 88 85 93 92 89 93 93  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 30 30 30 50 50 50 60  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 30 30 30 50 50 50 60  
TEMP............52 51 48 47 44 43 42 39 41 40 40 41  
RH..............25 29 39 42 49 55 60 67 65 70 73 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 10 13 14 13 12 14 15 14 13  
ADI.............36 5 5 7 8 9 8 8 9 10 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 11 5 6 9 8 11 9 13 10 10 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (28200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................9 TO 42.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 87 92 87 85 86 87 86 83 78 73 70  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............50 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............41 41 43 44 46 49 51 53 55 56 57 57  
RH..............76 79 76 76 73 68 66 66 64 62 59 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 8 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.1 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 1.8 2.1 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 18 17 15 15 12 9 8 6 6 5  
ADI.............9 21 42 38 31 36 29 24 22 13 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 15 28 26 21 25 20 17 16 9 9 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...DESILVA  
REQUESTED BY...BRETT GORE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611059.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRETT_GORE@FWS.GOV,MATTHEW_WATSON@FWS.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab PA Page
The Nexlab NJ Page
The Nexlab DE Page
The Nexlab MD Page
Main Text Page