365
FNUS71 KPHI 211024
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR KITTATINNY VALLEY STATE PARK RXB...NJ FOREST FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
624 AM EDT SAT MAR 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA HEADING INTO THE DAY TODAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY RETURNING. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ARRIVES LATER SUNDAY, PULLING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR
TUESDAY, THEN A WARM FRONT IS NEARBY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 28 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (71900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................25 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 100 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 55 40 24 8 10 18 32 24 27 35
WEATHER COV.....ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 43 42 45 47 50 53 53 55 54 54
RH..............79 73 76 65 58 50 43 41 38 38 36
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 12 13 12 12 10 10 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 21 22 22 21 18 17 12 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 28 26 26 25 24 23 22 20 16
ADI.............25 42 83 82 91 95 100 100 100 87 74
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 28 57 57 63 66 71 72 72 63 54
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NORTH VEERING TO NORTHEAST, EAST, THEN SOUTHEAST.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3
TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................45 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........50 68 74 70 66 73 70 72 73 82 86 87
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............53 50 47 45 44 41 40 39 39 38 39 39
RH..............39 44 53 58 60 67 70 76 76 79 79 79
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E E E SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 5 6 8 10 9 14 14 14 14 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE E SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 7 6 5 3 5 5 6 7 9 10
ADI.............45 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 15 4 4 3 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (56400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 52 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85 73 77 71 69 65 65 65 65 70 74 79
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50
TEMP............39 40 41 43 47 52 56 60 63 65 66 65
RH..............82 82 82 82 76 66 59 55 52 50 50 52
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 17 17 17 17 20 20 18 17 15 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 17 18 20 21 21 22 20 17 15
ADI.............5 22 28 30 34 39 44 48 52 46 52 44
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 15 19 24 30 37 43 50 56 48 41 34
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR
FORECASTER...FITZSIMMONS
REQUESTED BY...TODD SACCHIERO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606889.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TODD.SACCHIERO@DEP.NJ.GOV
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