675  
FNUS71 KPHI 201030  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 61...JBMDL FIRE DEPARTMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
630 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MAY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND  
WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE STALLING TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY.  
SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES SETTLE IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE  
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF  
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR TO END THE WEEK AND CONTINUE RIGHT INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........PREVAILING WEST WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY AND VARIABLE  
IN AND AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (96300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (68100  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 162 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 7 1 1 2 8 2 38 53 61 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW LOW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 40 70  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 40 70  
TEMP............74 77 81 85 89 92 94 94 93 91 89  
RH..............71 67 60 55 48 43 39 37 41 44 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 9 9 10 10 11 12 12 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.2 1.8 3.0 4.5 5.7 6.9 7.8 8.1 7.5 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 16 18 20 22 22 22 21 17  
ADI.............13 20 32 59 97 125 162 108 79 101 68  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 13 22 41 72 96 131 149 155 134 68  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD EXL VGD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 70 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT  
EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT  
LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT  
DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT DECREASING  
TO 30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 13  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................5 TO 35.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE UP TO 4  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
INCREASING TO NORTH UP TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 81 90 86 91 95 77 84 77 85 91 87  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............80 70 90 80 80 60 40 30 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 70 90 80 80 60 40 30 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............85 81 77 75 73 71 69 67 65 64 61 60  
RH..............59 67 76 82 84 87 84 87 84 78 78 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW N NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 5 5 3 6 5 5 6 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 12 9 9 9 10 9 9 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W NW N NW N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 4 3 3 2 4 3 3 4 3 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 9 7 5 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 10 9 9 9 12 13 12 10 10 10 12  
ADI.............35 9 6 6 6 5 8 8 7 7 7 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 7 4 8 10 12 14 12 8 8 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...MJL  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW DECKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614095.0/PHI  
.DELDT 05/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CROMNCE817@GMAIL.COM  
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