300  
FNUS71 KPHI 141602  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR SWAMP RX...DE FISH & WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
1102 AM EST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION INTO TONIGHT. AN  
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO OUR SOUTHWEST THROUGH END OF  
THE WEEK. A COUPLE OF SYSTEMS MAY IMPACT THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THEN CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS INTO THE  
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 TO 55 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................8 TO 16.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........84 88 89 90 92 94 94  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............49 50 50 50 51 50 49  
RH..............54 54 56 56 52 56 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 8 10 14 14 14  
ADI.............9 8 9 9 16 15 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 6 7 8 10 9 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY (60-80%) WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE (20-30%).  
CWR.................60 PERECNT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME WESTERLY BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 20  
TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (6200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................11 TO 34.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........97 98 98 97 94 93 95 96 94 97 96 92  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RS SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 40 40 60 50 50 30 30  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 40 40 60 50 50 30 30  
TEMP............47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 36 35  
RH..............60 65 68 70 73 79 82 85 85 85 85 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 12 13 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 13 13 13 14 16 18 21 23 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.1 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 18 17 17 17 17 22 21 25 23  
ADI.............11 11 12 12 12 15 15 15 24 23 34 26  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 7 9 9 9 11 11 27 30 46 34  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (137900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (148900  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................46 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 102 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 70 53 44 34 40 46 51 51 51 53 55  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 31 30 31 33 33 32 32 32 32 31 30  
RH..............78 69 66 58 47 43 43 41 41 39 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 20 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 18 18 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 29 29 30 30 30 30 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.9 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 26 29 29 29 28 28 28 29 30 31 32  
ADI.............46 49 68 72 77 77 81 84 89 94 99 102  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 43 73 83 93 99 108 117 127 138 149 151  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD EXL  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOEFLICH  
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON NELSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600145.0/PHI  
.DELDT 01/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRANDON.NELSON@DELAWARE.GOV  
 
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