561  
FNUS71 KPHI 271643  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TYLER UNIT 1...SILVIX  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
1243 PM EDT MON APR 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAKENING SYSTEM ARRIVES FROM THE WEST LATER TUESDAY WITH MINIMAL  
CHANCES FOR A FEW SHOWERS. A STRONG COLD FRONT ALONG WITH LOW PRESSURE  
WILL THEN CROSS OUR REGION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS OR A PERIOD OF RAIN. THE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE ON THE LIGHT  
SIDE THROUGH TUESDAY, THEN INCREASE SOME OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST DURING  
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 10  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (33700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 47 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 22 44 51 58 63 68 73 74 74 75  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............45 49 52 57 61 64 65 65 66 66 65  
RH..............79 71 63 53 46 41 41 41 40 40 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 7 8 10 12 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10  
ADI.............5 6 16 28 42 44 44 46 46 47 47  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 11 19 28 30 32 34 34 34 34  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................3 TO 37.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........69 62 56 57 58 59 61 64 66 66 67 67  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 61 59 57 55 53 52 51 50 49 49 48  
RH..............44 48 51 55 61 66 69 71 74 77 80 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 8 8 7 7 6 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7  
ADI.............37 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 19 11 9 7 5 5 5 4 4 4 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (56700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................0 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 65 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 68 68 72 77 81 83 85 87 87 87 87  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............49 50 51 54 57 60 62 63 64 64 64 63  
RH..............80 80 77 71 64 60 58 56 54 54 52 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 9 12 13 15 16 17 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.2 2.8 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 10 12 14 16 18 18 20 20  
ADI.............3 10 12 19 27 34 48 63 65 43 22 0  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 8 13 18 24 33 44 57 52 47 41  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GORSE  
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611832.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHANNON@SILVIXFORESTRY.COM  
 
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