220
FNUS71 KPHI 110852
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR JB MDL RANGE 65/JUMP CIRCLE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
452 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING TO OUR NORTH WILL BRING
ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION LATER FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BRIEFLY BUILDS IN FOR SATURDAY, THEN LOW PRESSURE WITH A WARM FRONT
ARRIVES LATER SUNDAY WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSING OUR AREA
DURING MONDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (46800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 63 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 38 38 44 52 57 71 72 83 67 75 73
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............52 52 52 57 63 68 71 73 75 76 76 73
RH..............83 83 86 77 67 61 57 55 52 50 52 55
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 13 16 18 21 24 24 24 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 14 18 18 22 23 22 23 20
ADI.............9 14 14 14 17 33 39 54 63 55 43 32
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 6 9 11 22 27 38 47 39 37 25
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................20 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO
50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH TO WEST OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (12500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................14 TO 26.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........67 70 82 73 83 77 62 59 71 65 75 83
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 30 30 30 10 10 10 20 20 20 50
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 30 10 10 10 20 20 20 50
TEMP............71 67 64 64 64 65 65 66 66 66 66 65
RH..............59 70 78 78 81 78 78 75 75 73 73 70
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 13 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.24 22 21 20 21 22 23 23 23 23 23 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.0 1.9 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 16 18 20 20 21 18 20 18 18 18
ADI.............25 14 14 21 22 22 23 25 26 25 21 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 13 16 22 25 31 35 34 38 32 31 40
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................50 TO 60 PERCENT IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 22
TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING
TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (83000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................26 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 73 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88 93 100 98 97 95 94 92 91 88 86 83
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30
TEMP............63 60 56 54 51 49 48 46 45 45 45 45
RH..............67 69 74 69 66 61 56 55 51 47 45 41
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 16 17 18 20 20 18 18 17 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.24 26 28 29 26 31 29 28 28 28 28 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.3 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 2.1 3.5 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 28 30 30 31 30 28 24 24 22 20
ADI.............26 43 57 72 71 73 73 70 64 48 57 59
VRATE KT-FT/1K..42 41 54 80 76 77 81 81 78 45 67 83
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR GD GD
FORECASTER...DESILVA
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HOLMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605387.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEVEN_HOLMES@FWS.GOV
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