073  
FNUS71 KPHI 212145  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 65...JB MDL FIRE DEPT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
545 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON JUNE 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH WESTERLY WINDS DIMINISHING.  
A SEA BREEZE SHOULD REMAIN TO THE EAST AND CLOSER TO THE COAST THIS  
EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AND ARRIVE MONDAY AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR IN THE FORM OF A LINE BETWEEN ABOUT  
4-7 PM, WITH SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM LINGERING MONDAY NIGHT.  
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS DURING MONDAY WILL INCREASE WITH SOME GUSTS  
25-30 MPH. SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER TUESDAY MORNING, OTHERWISE DRIER  
CONDITIONS.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO  
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................82 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........45 41 43 31 31 48 42 39 43 41 54 72  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............84 82 80 76 73 71 69 69 67 67 65 65  
RH..............32 35 39 45 51 55 61 61 68 68 73 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W W W SW SW S S S E  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 5 5 3 3 3 2 3 2 1 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 9 7 7 6 5 6 7 6 5 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW W W W W W SW SW S S S E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 5 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 2.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6  
ADI.............82 7 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..63 26 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 18 TO  
25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 70 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........71 71 81 71 68 66 69 59 69 65 69 72  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 10 10 20 10 20 30 40 40 50 50  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 20 10 20 30 40 40 50 50  
TEMP............65 68 71 74 75 77 79 79 80 81 81 81  
RH..............75 70 68 66 66 67 64 67 69 67 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 7 8 10 12 12 13 13 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 10 14 17 20 22 24 26 29 30 31  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 6 8 10 12 13 14 16 17 18 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.3 3.5 3.2 3.1 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 12 15 18 20 21 21 21 24 24  
ADI.............3 6 7 18 33 48 43 70 54 51 58 51  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 4 12 23 35 43 60 63 58 64 50  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD FR GD FR  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT EARLY IN THE  
EVENING INCREASING 90 PERCENT, THEN AFTER 3 AM DECREASING  
TO 30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH TO WEST WIND SHIFT OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 9  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................6 TO 42.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........74 78 89 85 88 98 95 90 87 82 85 81  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 50 40 60 70 90 80 70 60 50 40 30  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 40 60 70 90 80 70 60 50 40 30  
TEMP............78 75 73 72 71 70 70 70 70 70 70 70  
RH..............71 82 90 93 97 100 100 100 100 100 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 13 12 12 12 10 9 8 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 25 25 23 21 22 20 15 14 15 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.17 17 15 15 14 13 13 12 9 8 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 20 16 16 15 13 12 10 9 9 9  
ADI.............42 24 18 14 14 13 11 10 9 6 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 29 17 9 10 8 5 5 5 4 4 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9  
TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (56100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................0 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 74 71 67 67 67 68 70 71 71 71 71  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 30 50 50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 50 50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............70 69 68 71 74 76 77 79 80 81 82 82  
RH..............93 97 100 90 82 76 71 64 62 60 58 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 12 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 12 9 12 14 15 15 16 16 15 15  
ADI.............5 5 13 18 29 41 47 54 60 47 22 0  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 10 12 21 31 39 47 56 54 52 50  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GORSE  
REQUESTED BY...CAPTAIN HARASYM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2615929.0/PHI  
.DELDT 06/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAELHARASYM@YAHOO.COM  
 
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