514
FNUS71 KPHI 031151
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 11 - FIRE...JBMDL FIRE AND EMERGENCY SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
751 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR TODAY RESULTING IN A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WITH THE OFFSHORE LOW. WINDS WILL GUST TO
20 TO 30 MPH AS A RESULT WITH DEEP MIXING LEADING TO MINIMUM RH
VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS INCREASED
POTENTIAL FOR FIRE SPREAD TODAY AS A RESULT THOUGH AREAS WHERE
FUELS REMAIN MOIST WILL HAVE MORE LIMITED POTENTIAL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20
TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (38800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (142300 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
ADI.................57 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 138 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 4 16 24 35 39 33 29 25 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 48 51 53 55 56 58 59 60 62
RH..............53 47 41 38 34 32 30 28 27 24
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 14 15 15 15 16 15 15 14
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 21 23 25 26 26 26 25 24
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 7 8 9 9 9 10 9 9 8
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 13 14 15 16 16 16 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.5 6.2 7.1 7.4 7.7 7.8 8.0 7.8 7.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 23 24 25 26 28 28 26
ADI.............57 72 99 110 117 124 131 138 137 127
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 63 118 142 155 169 179 193 187 164
VENTRATE CAT....PR GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........WEST TO SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (132200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
(18700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE EVENING.
ADI.................110 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 LATE
IN THE EVENING.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
AROUND 4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........25 12 5 12 14 18 20 25 28 31 35 34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 57 55 52 51 50 49 48 48 47 47 46
RH..............29 33 37 43 44 48 52 56 56 60 58 63
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 7 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 10 8 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.13 10 6 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.3 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W W W SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 15 12 10 12 12 13 13 14 15 15 15
ADI.............110 10 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..132 19 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
VENTRATE CAT....VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO
20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (120900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 184 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........26 16 9 6 7 7 10 14 17 13 10 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 49 51 58 63 66 69 70 72 73 74 74
RH..............60 63 66 51 43 38 35 34 31 30 30 30
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 12 13 14 16 17 18 18 20 18 18
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5
EYE LVL WND GST.7 8 7 8 8 10 10 11 11 12 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.9 6.0 6.7 7.2 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 20 23 25 25 25 24 22 21 21 21
ADI.............7 17 25 61 119 168 184 184 173 159 155 151
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 7 17 42 86 131 148 151 143 130 126 121
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD EXL VGD VGD VGD VGD
FORECASTER...AKL
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW WEEKLY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612553.0/PHI
.DELDT 05/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.WEEKLY1@GMAIL.COM,MATTHEW.WEEKLY.1@US.AF.MIL
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