014  
FNUS71 KPHI 250819  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWARTSWOOD RXB...NEW JERSEY FOREST FIRE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
419 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE INITIALLY CENTERED OVER THE REGION WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE  
THROUGH TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE  
AREA WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THROUGH THURSDAY  
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN AGAIN BUILD IN FOR THE  
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 14 TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................1 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 108 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 59 60 70 67 69 59 52 47 46 40 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 30 32 35 39 44 47 50 51 53 53 54  
RH..............81 81 75 69 59 51 45 42 41 38 39 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N SW S SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 5 7 9 13 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N NE SE S S SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 2 2 3 6 8 12 14 18 17 20  
ADI.............1 3 2 3 8 17 30 41 69 97 95 108  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 1 2 5 12 21 37 51 71 71 81  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (67300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (10500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................93 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 57 77 80 77 92 93 94 96 94 90 79  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............52 51 48 45 43 42 39 40 40 40 41 41  
RH..............43 44 51 53 55 55 62 62 67 73 73 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 13 12 13 14 16 14 15 15 15 15 16  
ADI.............93 6 5 6 6 7 6 7 7 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..67 12 11 12 15 19 14 15 16 16 14 13  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 26  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (91100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 126 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 75 77 58 59 59 54 49 44 46 48 50  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............41 41 43 46 50 54 58 62 65 66 67 67  
RH..............82 86 86 79 71 64 57 52 48 48 47 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 16 16 17 20 20 21 22 22 22 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 17 21 23 22 25 26 26 26 26 26  
ADI.............7 18 24 46 61 59 60 109 126 94 90 86  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 12 17 31 41 43 64 77 91 84 77 71  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...MPS  
REQUESTED BY...KEN LUNDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607688.0/PHI  
.DELDT 03/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KENNETH.LUNDEN@DEP.NJ.GOV  
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