674
FXUS65 KABQ 141133 AAB
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
433 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 412 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
- PATCHY FREEZING FOG WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
THROUGH THIS MORNING.
- COOLER TODAY ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS, BUT OTHERWISE DRY AND
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL BE ON TAP THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. NUMEROUS HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS WILL BE IN JEOPARDY
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY ALONG AND
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL CREATE DIFFICULT
CROSSWINDS FOR LARGE AND HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 246 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
THE FREEZING FOG DOES NOT WANT TO ERODE AT CLAYTON, DESPITE THE
TURN TO A SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WIND, AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT HAVE
CONFIRMED THE LOW VISIBILITY. THEREFORE, A FREEZING FOG ADVISORY
IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM MST.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
THE BACKDOOR FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS AS WELL
AS THE GAPS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. A GUSTY EAST CANYON
WIND HAS BEEN NOTED AT ABQ AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS. LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG ARE STARTING TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN NM. SUSPECT FOG MAY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES, BUT UNSURE IF VISIBILITIES WILL BE LOW
ENOUGH FOR A LONG ENOUGH DURATION TO WARRANT A SHORT-FUSED
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. KCAO HAS ALREADY
REPORTED 1/4 MILE VSBY, THOUGH IT SEEMS TO BE THE OUTLIER COMPARED
TO SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS AND WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS FORECAST
OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS, VISIBILITIES SHOULD IMPROVE. NONETHELESS,
MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS SHOULD SEE LOW CLOUDS BY SUNRISE, AND
THESE LOW CLOUDS WILL BE SLOW TO ERODE TODAY, LINGERING LONGEST
AROUND KROW AND PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL NM. THANKS TO THESE
CLOUDS AND THE COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE UP TO 25 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY ACROSS
EASTERN NM. THUS, NO RECORDS WILL BE BROKEN IN THIS AREA AS HIGHS
SHOULD BE CLOSE TO MID DECEMBER NORMALS. HOWEVER, ACROSS WESTERN
NM WHERE THE FRONT HAD NO IMPACT, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UP TO
15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND A FEW SITES WILL NEAR RECORD HIGHS.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CREST OVER NM THIS EVENING THEN WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD AS A BAGGY TROUGH OR PAIR OF TROUGHS APPROACH NM
FROM THE WEST. THESE WEAK UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WILL CROSS NM
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, BUT OUTSIDE OF SOME CLOUDS, WILL PASS WITH
LITTLE FANFARE. RATHER, A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHEAST NM MONDAY MORNING, ALLOWING FOR DOWNSLOPE FLOW TO RETURN
TO THE PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB 10-15
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN NM. THIS REBOUND SHOULDN'T BE ENOUGH TO
JEOPARDIZE RECORDS, BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE A FEW MORE
DEGREES ON TUESDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH. A FEW LOCALES
WILL COME CLOSE TO RECORD TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN NM, AND A
FEW MAY TIE OR BREAK RECORDS ACROSS WESTERN NM WHERE RECORD TEMPS
ARE SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES STRONGER
FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A 170+KT H3 UPPER LEVEL JET RACES
TOWARD CO FROM THE PACNW. AT H7, WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 40
AND 50KT ACROSS NORTHERN NM, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND
JUST EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. WITH STRONG
DOWNSLOPING, TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. A FEW RECORDS WILL BE IN JEOPARDY. GIVEN THE
ANOMALOUSLY WARM TEMPERATURES, SUSPECT MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE
HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST AND THUS, WINDS WILL ALSO BE
STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF A FEW
WIND ADVISORIES ARE NEEDED WEDNESDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND JUST EAST
OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS SOUTH TO KCQC FOR GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH.
BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY LINGER INTO THE EVENING HOURS WEDNESDAY
ACROSS EASTERN NM.
ANOTHER BACKDOOR FRONT LOOKS TO PRESS INTO EASTERN NM ON THURSDAY,
DROPPING TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES (THOUGH HIGHS WILL STILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL), BUT ANOTHER LEESIDE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ON
FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY DOWNSLOPE
WINDS ACROSS EASTERN NM. AT THIS TIME, NUMEROUS RECORDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BROKEN. MORE OF THE SAME EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. IT
WON'T BE LOOKING A LOT LIKE CHRISTMAS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 7-10
DAYS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 412 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
LOW STRATUS AND PATCHY FREEZING FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS EASTERN
NM THIS MORNING. THE LOW STRATUS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND WESTWARD
THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 14Z THEN WILL SLOWLY ERODE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. THE STRATUS SHOULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS
ACROSS FAR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NM. IFR CIGS WILL BE COMMON,
THOUGH LOCALIZED LIFR IS LIKELY. KROW MAY ONLY DROP TO MVFR BUT
THERE ARE MODERATE CHANCES IT WILL DROP TO IFR. VSBY WILL VARY
BETWEEN 4 AND 6 MILES IN MOST EASTERN NM LOCALES EARLY THIS
MORNING, BUT A FEW SPOTS, LIKE KCAO MAY DROP TO 1/2 MILE AT TIMES.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS WESTERN NM WITH PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS. LOW CHANCES EXIST THAT LOW STRATUS MAY REDEVELOP SUNDAY
NIGHT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NM.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1251 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
DRY AND UNSEASONABLE WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE FOR THE NEXT
7-10 DAYS, THOUGH BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS WILL DROP TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS TODAY AND THURSDAY. STARTING TUESDAY,
MINIMUM RH VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 25 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON, EXCEPT
ACROSS NORTHWEST NM WHERE MINS NEAR 35% WILL OCCUR. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN
ON FRIDAY, MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN. THIS
WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE, THE MAIN
CONCERN IS POOR VENTILATION THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY, AND LIKELY
ACROSS WESTERN NM THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 56 28 52 26 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 58 23 56 20 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 55 27 56 24 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 60 21 59 17 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 59 28 59 25 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 59 22 61 20 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 62 27 60 24 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 56 32 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 57 29 59 27 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 66 25 66 24 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 68 27 69 28 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 52 23 52 22 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 53 33 55 31 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 56 30 60 29 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 52 23 53 23 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 47 19 48 19 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 53 8 55 11 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 55 22 56 21 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 58 29 62 28 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 57 27 60 26 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 54 31 57 30 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 55 27 57 28 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 57 33 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 57 32 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 59 29 61 30 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 57 31 59 31 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 58 26 59 25 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 58 31 61 30 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 58 25 60 25 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 58 29 60 29 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 58 25 60 24 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 56 32 58 32 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 57 31 60 32 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 59 32 61 32 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 54 30 55 30 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 55 32 56 31 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 56 29 58 29 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 56 23 60 23 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 53 29 56 28 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 56 31 58 30 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 57 29 58 29 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 58 33 60 36 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 54 33 58 36 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 55 27 61 27 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 55 23 64 23 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 57 22 66 22 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 56 30 65 30 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 52 34 67 33 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 51 26 65 28 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 55 27 66 28 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 53 32 68 33 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 54 30 68 28 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 50 29 64 33 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 50 26 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 50 26 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 50 26 61 32 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 51 30 67 38 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 53 28 66 35 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NMZ230.
SHORT TERM...34
LONG TERM....34
AVIATION...34
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