518
FXUS65 KABQ 122321 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
421 PM MST FRI DEC 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 410 PM MST FRI DEC 12 2025
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY MILD WEATHER (OUTSIDE OF A COOLER SUNDAY)
PERSISTS THROUGH AT LEAST LATE NEXT WEEK ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.
- BREEZY WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
MOST DAYS (EXCEPT TODAY AND SUNDAY) WILL CREATE SOME DIFFICULT
CROSSWINDS FOR LARGE AND HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONGEST WINDS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1055 AM MST FRI DEC 12 2025
A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN NM EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE RESULT HAS BEEN COOLER HIGHS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY'S
NEAR RECORD TO RECORD BREAKING WARMTH BUT TODAY'S HIGHS ARE STILL
AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID DECEMBER. TEMPERATURES
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM ARE STILL AROUND RECORD WARM FOR MID
DECEMBER AND 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW
REMAINS OVER THE STATE SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER
THE GREAT BASIN. EASTERN NM WARMS BACK UP AROUND 5 TO 8 DEGREES
COMPARED TO TODAY DUE TO ANOTHER SURFACE LEE TROUGH RESULTING IN
DOWNSLOPE WEST AND NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
NM. WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND TORRANCE AND EASTERN
GUADALUPE COUNTY WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME A LITTLE WINDY WITH MAX
GUSTS OF AROUND 45 MPH DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. A STRONGER BACKDOOR FRONT, ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES, ENTERS NORTHEAST NM SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE PUSHING THROUGH ALL OF EASTERN NM SATURDAY EVENING.
SOME GUSTY NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS BEHIND THIS FRONT
WITH MAX WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH. THE BACKDOOR FRONT
SQUEEZES THROUGH THE GAPS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. STILL LOOKING AT AN AT
MOST MODERATE GAP WIND ACROSS SANTA FE, EASTERN ABQ AND CARRIZOZO.
MAX GAP WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1055 AM MST FRI DEC 12 2025
SATURDAY NIGHT'S BACKDOOR FRONT COOLS TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL
AND ESPECIALLY EASTERN NM ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 5
TO 10 DEGREES COOLER COMPARED TO SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL NM (STILL
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE) AND AROUND 15 TO 25 DEGREES COOLER
COMPARED TO SATURDAY ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND
THE BACKDOOR FRONT WILL RESULT IN SOME LOW CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NM THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND THUS THE COOLEST HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THIS PART OF THE STATE, 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW
AVERAGE FOR MID DECEMBER. NO IMPACT TO TEMPERATURES, COMPARED TO
SATURDAY, ACROSS NORTHWEST NM AS THE AXIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
MOVES OVER THE STATE.
A BAGGY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE DESERT SW MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH THE ONLY NOTICABLE FEATURE
DURING THIS TIME BEING SOME MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE STATE
SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. DOWNSLOPE WEST WINDS WARMS
TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN NM BACK UP TO AROUND 10 TO 20 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE ON MONDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL AROUND 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM. DRY NORTHWEST
FLOW ON TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH BECOMING STRONGER ZONAL
FLOW MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH AMONG THIS ZONAL
FLOW MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN
GENERALLY BREEZY WEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN. LOCALLY WINDY ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT EASTERN HIGHLANDS WITH MAX GUSTS OF AROUND 45
TO 50 MPH. NBM 90TH PERCENTILE WINDS DO SHOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA
IN THIS ZONE, SO THIS BEARS WATCHING AS WE GET CLOSER. NEAR RECORD
TO RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES FOR MANY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
COOLER, BUT STILL DECENTLY ABOVE AVERAGE, ACROSS EASTERN NM THURSDAY
BEHIND A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT. STILL NEAR RECORD TO RECORD WARM
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 410 PM MST FRI DEC 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AND ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD, WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL
RESULT IN A NORTHEAST WIND SHIFT AT KTCC AND KROW SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TO BETWEEN 15-20KTS BEHIND THE FRONT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1055 AM MST FRI DEC 12 2025
DRY WEATHER WITH NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK. VERY MILD TO WARM THROUGH SATURDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. COOLER ACROSS
CENTRAL AND ESPECIALLY EASTERN AREAS SUNDAY BEHIND A STRONGER
BACKDOOR FRONT SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WARM UP TO
WELL ABOVE NORMAL READINGS MONDAY AND BEYOND. NEAR RECORD TO RECORD
WARM FOR MOST MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS
THURSDAY. BREEZY TO LOCALLY GUSTY WEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WEDNESDAY COULD RESULT IN SOME ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDTIONS DUE TO BEING IN A DECENTLY LONG DRY
STRETCH, BUT ERCS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW THE 50TH
PERCENTILE. VENTILATION GENERALLY POOR, EXPECT FOR SOME FAIR TO
LOCALLY GOOD VENTILATION ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SAN AUGUSTIN
PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 25 55 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 20 58 21 56 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 25 57 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 16 62 15 60 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 29 61 28 61 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 16 63 15 60 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 29 62 26 62 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 34 65 31 57 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 31 63 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 25 70 25 64 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 30 74 28 67 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 24 53 25 50 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 36 58 33 52 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 34 62 27 56 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 29 56 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 27 49 25 47 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 15 55 10 53 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 19 57 15 55 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 32 62 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 27 62 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 35 58 31 54 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 29 60 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 39 62 34 56 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 34 64 32 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 31 66 29 59 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 33 65 31 57 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 26 64 24 57 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 33 65 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 27 65 25 58 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 32 65 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 28 65 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 37 62 32 55 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 33 65 31 57 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 32 68 30 60 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 35 58 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 35 60 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 31 61 26 55 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 25 64 22 57 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 32 60 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 32 62 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 32 62 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 37 65 33 60 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 39 61 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 30 62 23 53 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 27 65 22 54 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 25 69 20 57 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 32 66 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 35 66 26 51 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 30 69 24 50 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 29 73 27 55 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 35 73 27 53 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 33 72 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 35 69 27 49 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 33 70 26 49 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 31 75 25 51 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 33 74 31 51 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 37 73 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 35 72 26 53 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...11
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