768
FXUS65 KABQ 201124 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
424 AM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 402 AM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
- SPORADIC AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EASTERN NM WILL CREATE DIFFICULT CROSSWINDS AND ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
- ADDITIONAL WIND GUSTS OF 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9,500 FEET THROUGH THIS MORNING.
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER PERSISTS WITH NUMEROUS HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS CHALLENGED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORM OF LOWER ELEVATION RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL BEGIN TO RETURN CHRISTMAS EVE FOR WESTERN NEW
MEXICO AND THEN SPREAD SLOWLY EAST INTO CENTRAL NM BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER NM TODAY
AND THEN WEAKEN SOME SUNDAY AS THE JET STREAM BEGINS TO RETREAT
NORTHWARD. BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE
SURFACE AGAIN TODAY, BUT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN AND PEAKS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS WHERE A
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9AM. OTHERWISE, WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES CHALLENGING DAILY RECORDS AT A NUMBER OF LOCALES. A
WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO FAR EASTERN NM LATE TODAY AND
PROVIDE SOME RELATIVE COOLING GOING INTO SUNDAY, BUT HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL FORECAST TO BE AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
PRESSURE HEIGHTS WILL TREND UP MON/TUE AS AN UPPER HIGH, CURRENTLY
OVER THE FAR EASTERN PACIFIC NEAR THE BAJA PENINSULA, MOVES EAST
ACROSS MX AND INTO CENTRAL TX. 500MB HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO REACH
UP TO BETWEEN 582-585DAM ACROSS CENTRAL NM MON/TUE, WHICH WOULD
CHALLENGE DAILY RECORD HEIGHTS PER THE KABQ SOUNDING CLIMATOLOGY.
THESE ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PRESSURE HEIGHTS WILL CORRELATE WITH
CONTINUED RECORD WARMTH AND HIGH TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE 15-30
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. THE UPPER HIGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
AND GIVE WAY TO INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER OUR REGION
WED/THU AS A POTENT WEST COAST TROUGH TAKES SHAPE AND BEGINS TO
DRIFT INLAND OVER CA. STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER NM ON WED/THU
WILL BRING PACIFIC MOISTURE ADVECTION AND BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL ENTER THE FORECAST ACROSS
WESTERN NM, WITH OROGRAPHIC FORCING BEING THE DRIVER. THE AIRMASS
IS FORECAST TO BE ON THE WARMER SIDE, WITH HIGH SNOW LEVELS THAT
WILL CONFINE SNOW TO ROUGHLY 9KFT AND HIGHER AND BRING RAIN
BELOW. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DROPS OF THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
MODEL SPREAD WITH THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE EASTWARD BOUND UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH/LOW, SO WILL REFRAIN FROM GETTING INTO THOSE DETAILS
AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 402 AM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AND ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. STRONG WESTERLY FLOW REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL
RESULT IN GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ALONG/EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN THIS MORNING. AREAS OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL PREVAIL
THIS MORNING UNTIL WINDS PICK UP AT THE SURFACE WITH DAYTIME
MIXING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1201 AM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TODAY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM, WHERE BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND
LOW HUMIDITY ARE FORECAST. ERCS ARE ROUGHLY AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR ACROSS EASTERN NM, OTHERWISE WE'D CONSIDER A RED FLAG
WARNING. OTHERWISE, EXPECT WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST AND EVEN INCREASE A COUPLE OF DEGREES
MON/TUE AS PRESSURE HEIGHTS INCREASE OVER THE REGION WITH AN UPPER
HIGH MOVING SOUTH FROM MX INTO TX. VENT RATES WILL DIP AND BECOME
MOSTLY POOR MON/TUE AS A RESULT. STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL BRING PACIFIC MOISTURE WED/THU THAT WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING HUMIDITY AND CHANCES FOR WETTING PRECIPITATION, MAINLY
ACROSS WESTERN NM.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 58 32 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 56 22 58 24 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 58 30 60 31 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 61 27 61 27 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 59 32 61 32 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 64 27 65 27 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 63 32 65 31 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 66 39 66 38 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 63 35 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 70 29 70 27 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 72 32 74 31 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 51 26 51 28 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 56 35 56 36 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 59 32 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 55 33 54 34 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 46 29 46 32 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 53 21 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 58 25 57 27 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 59 31 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 64 30 63 30 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 58 36 57 36 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 61 32 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 64 42 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 67 38 65 37 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 69 35 66 35 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 67 37 64 37 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 71 32 66 31 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 68 36 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 69 32 66 31 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 69 35 66 35 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 69 33 66 32 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 63 39 61 39 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 67 36 64 36 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 74 38 70 36 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 59 36 59 37 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 61 37 60 38 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 62 34 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 64 29 65 29 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 59 32 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 64 37 64 37 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 64 37 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 66 40 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 63 41 65 43 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 62 25 56 36 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 64 25 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 67 25 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 64 31 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 69 27 56 42 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 69 27 57 36 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 75 30 66 38 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 69 32 65 40 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 76 29 65 40 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 74 31 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 75 30 65 38 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 74 31 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 79 37 66 34 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 74 38 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 74 38 72 39 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NMZ213-214-223.
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11
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