742
FXUS65 KABQ 151122
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
422 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 415 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL BE ON TAP THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. NUMEROUS HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS WILL BE IN
JEOPARDY TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY ALONG AND
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL CREATE DIFFICULT
CROSSWINDS FOR LARGE AND HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1237 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
LOW STRATUS CONTINUES TO EXPAND INTO SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NM
EARLY THIS MORNING. LOW CHANCES FOR PATCHY FREEZING FOG PERSIST
THROUGH THIS MORNING, INCLUDING AROUND ROSWELL. BEST CHANCES WILL
BE TOWARD SUNRISE. OTHERWISE, HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
OVERHEAD THROUGH TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THE BAGGY TROUGH/WEAK LOW
ADVANCING TOWARD NM. A WEAK LEE SIDE SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHEAST NM, ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASE IN WESTERLY WINDS
(10-20 MPH) ACROSS EASTERN NM. THE DOWNSLOPING SHOULD ALLOW FOR
TEMPERATURES TO WARM 10-20 DEGREES FROM YESTERDAY'S READINGS AND
OUST ANY REMAINING STRATUS BY LATE MORNING. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES
TO YESTERDAY, OR PERHAPS A FEW DEGREES COOLER, WILL BE ON TAP
ELSEWHERE.
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS NM THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT THEN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL TAKE SHAPE ON TUESDAY ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. FAVORED NORTHWEST FLOW LOCALES (FMN,
AEG, CQC, ETC) WILL GET BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS SHOULD
CLEAR OUT EARLY IN THE MORNING, SO PLENTY OF SUN WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB SEVERAL MORE DEGREES ACROSS THE EAST AND A
FEW DEGREES ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. A FEW RECORDS WILL BE IN
JEOPARDY ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1237 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
ON WEDNESDAY, A 170KT JET WILL RACE FROM THE PACNW TOWARD CO, WITH
THE NOSE OF THE JET REACHING NORTHERN NM BY LATE DAY WEDNESDAY. H7
WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO BETWEEN 40 AND 50KT BY LATE AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN, THEN INCREASE
FURTHER (60+KT) WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. A 996-999MB
LEE SIDE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON. THUS,
WINDS ACROSS THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS AND MUCH OF EASTERN NM WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH WIND ADVISORIES POTENTIALLY
NEEDED OVER THE MOUNTAINS, BUT PEAK WINDS MAY OCCUR WEDNESDAY
EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY MAY
DEVELOP AIDING IN BRINGING THE STRONGER MOMENTUM TO THE SURFACE.
THERE REMAINS A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) THAT ERRATIC WESTERLY WIND
GUSTS BETWEEN 50-60MPH WILL IMPACT THE I-25 CORRIDOR BETWEEN RATON
AND LAS VEGAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD BE DANGEROUS FOR HIGH-
PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELLING ALONG THIS ROUTE. THE DOWNSLOPE
COMPONENT TO THE WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL HELP TEMPERATURES
WARM FURTHER. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL, EXCEPT ACROSS THE EAST WHERE HIGHS MAY BE UP TO 25 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. SEVERAL HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS WILL BE IN
JEOPARDY.
A BACKDOOR FRONT REMAINS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY. LESS WIND AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE FOR EASTERN NM, WITH LITTLE
CHANGE NOTED ACROSS THE WEST. 40-50KT WESTERLY FLOW AT H7 RETURNS
ON FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER LEE SIDE SURFACE TROUGH (~1000MB)
DEVELOPS. SEVERAL RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST. LITTLE
CHANGE TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER ON SATURDAY, WITH BREEZY TO LOCALLY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND RECORD TO NEAR-RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER BACKDOOR FRONT IS IN STORE FOR SUNDAY, THOUGH EVEN AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, FORECAST HIGHS REMAIN 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. STILL NO PRECIPITATION IN STORE FOR THE LAND OF
ENCHANTMENT FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 420 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
LOW STRATUS (IFR) AND PATCHY FREEZING FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NM, TO INCLUDE KROW, K4MR
AND KCVS. SOME AREAS MAY DROP BELOW ONE HALF MILE IN FZFG THROUGH
15Z, TO INCLUDE K4MR WHICH IS ALREADY AT 3/8SM. THESE LOW CLOUDS
AND FOG SHOULD DIMINISH IN COVERAGE BETWEEN 15Z AND 17Z.
MEANWHILE, CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM OVERHEAD THROUGH THE
DAY. A DEEPENING LEE SIDE SURFACE LOW WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW BREEZES
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS NEAR 20-25KT ARE
LIKELY. THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1237 AM MST MON DEC 15 2025
DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES REMAIN ON TAP FOR THE NEXT
7 DAYS. RECORD TO NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST. WINDS WILL
INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY, ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS, BUT WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY DEVELOPS. WIND
GUSTS MAY TOP 60 MPH ACROSS THE PEAKS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS. GUSTY WINDS WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY ALONG AND EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY. MINIMUM RH
EACH AFTERNOON BETWEEN 10 AND 35% WILL BE COMMON. THE STRONGER
WINDS AND LOWER RH WILL ALLOW FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN BOTH WED AND
FRI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 53 25 52 27 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 57 19 53 22 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 55 23 51 26 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 59 17 59 20 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 59 25 57 27 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 61 19 59 21 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 60 25 56 26 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 58 33 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 59 28 57 28 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 66 25 64 25 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 69 29 70 28 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 53 21 52 23 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 55 31 55 33 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 59 29 61 29 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 53 24 53 27 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 49 22 48 25 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 55 14 55 17 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 57 19 57 23 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 62 27 61 28 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 60 26 60 27 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 56 30 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 57 28 57 29 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 57 35 58 36 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 58 33 60 34 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 60 29 62 31 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 59 31 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 59 26 61 26 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 60 31 60 32 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 59 25 62 26 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 59 30 60 30 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 59 24 61 25 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 57 32 57 33 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 59 31 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 60 32 64 33 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 55 31 54 31 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 56 32 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 58 29 57 30 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 60 24 59 24 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 56 29 56 29 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 57 30 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 58 29 58 29 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 60 35 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 58 36 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 63 27 61 28 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 65 24 66 25 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 65 23 68 24 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 64 29 65 30 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 68 33 68 34 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 65 28 67 30 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 66 27 71 29 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 68 33 69 31 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 68 28 71 28 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 64 33 70 33 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 63 31 71 29 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 62 30 72 30 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 57 30 73 30 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 66 38 70 36 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 65 35 68 33 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...34
LONG TERM....34
AVIATION...34
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