348
FXUS65 KABQ 010709
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
- AREAS OF FREEZING FOG AND LOW VISIBILITY THROUGH MID SUNDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.
- NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY.
- FLURRIES MAY DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, OTHERWISE, DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
LOW CLOUDS, MIST AND PATCHY AREAS FREEZING FOG BEHIND SATURDAY'S
MORNING BACKDOOR FRONT NEVER ENDED UP BURNING OFF ACROSS THE LOWER
PECOS RIVER VALLEY FROM SANTA ROSA TO ROSWELL, AND THE CAPROCK
ACROSS CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTY. BASED ON THE OBSERVATIONS AND
CAMERAS IN SANTA ROSA, ROSWELL, AND CLOVIS DECIDED TO ISSUE A
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ZONES THROUGH 8 AM
MST SUNDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FREEZING FOG SHOULD FINALLY BURN
OFF MID TO LATE SUNDAY MORNING THANKS TO STRONGER WEST-SOUTHWEST
FLOW. THE GRADUAL WARMUP CONTINUES FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM ON
SUNDAY AS THE UPPER HIGH OVER ARIZONA MOVES EAST WITH A MORE
SIGNIFICANT WARMUP ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO A MUCH LOWER
COVERAGE MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS. WINDS WILL GET A TOUCH BREEZY ACROSS NORTHEAST NM
DUE TO A WEAK SURFACE LEE TROUGH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE
DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR A MAJORITY WITH
LOWER ELEVATIONS TOPPING OUT IN MID 50S TO LOW 60S, AND SOME MID 60S
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM. THE LOWER PECOS RIVER VALLEY NEAR ROSWELL
WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 50S DUE THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW
CLOUDS/MIST THIS MORNING. THE WARMUP PEAKS AREAWIDE ON MONDAY AS THE
UPPER HIGH/RIDGE FLATTENS AND SHIFTS EAST TO OVER THE GREAT PLAINS
DUE TO A WEAK TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY 8
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE WITH HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DISTURBANCE MOVING OVERHEAD. BREEZY WEST WINDS WITH PEAK GUSTS OF 30
TO 40 MPH ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM ON THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF A SURFACE
LEE LOW OVER NORTHEAST NM. BREEZY NORTH WINDS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST
NM ON THE NORTHERN FLANK OF THE SURFACE LEE LOW. THE WEAK UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE LEE LOW EXITS EAST INTO TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT
ALLOWING A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT TO PUSH THROUGH EASTERN NM.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN NM COOL DOWN CLOSE TO AVERAGE ON
TUESDAY DUE TO THE WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT MONDAY NIGHT. SIMILAR HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM AS A REX BLOCK
DEVELOPS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST. A DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN THE REX BLOCK AND LONGWAVE TROUGHING ACROSS
THE EASTERN 2/3RD OF THE CONTINENTAL U.S. WILL SLIDE DOWN THE
ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS
DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN A FEW SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES ACROSS
NORTHEAST AND FAR EAST CENTRAL NM. HIGH TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN TO
NEAR AVERAGE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM AND SLIGHTLY BELOW
AVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN NM ON WEDNESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS
DISTURBANCE. HIGH TEMPERATURES QUICKLY REBOUND TO AROUND 5 TO 12
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE WITH CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS LATE NEXT WEEK
AS THE REX BLOCK SLOWLY BREAKS DOWN AND THE UPPER HIGH PORTION OF
THE FORMER BLOCK PIVOTS EAST OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
WITH THE UPPER LOW OF THE FORMER BLOCK MEANDERING JUST OFF THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN CA AND BAJA CA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1001 PM MST SAT JAN 31 2026
LOW STRATUS CLOUDS AND MIST (BR) WERE BROUGHT INTO THE EAST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING BY A
COLD FRONT. LOOK FOR IFR CONDITIONS (CEILINGS BETWEEN 500 AND
1000 FT) TO PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT, ESPECIALLY FROM
KCVN TO KROW. LOCALIZED AREAS OF LOWER CEILINGS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE (200-400FT) IN THIS CORRIDOR BEFORE CLEARING SKIES
RETURN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. REMAINING AREAS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO WILL STAY VFR WITH JUST A FEW HIGH, FAIR WEATHER CIRRUS
CLOUDS. MODERATE BREEZES OF 10-20KT WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY IN THE EASTERN PLAINS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
MAINLY DRY WITH NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.
MUCH WARMER ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE STATE. THE WARMUP PEAKS AREAWIDE ON MONDAY WITH SOME BREEZY
WEST WINDS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AREAS AND BREEZY NORTH WINDS ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST AREAS. COOLING DOWN TO NEAR AVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS TUESDAY AND ALL AREAS WEDNESDAY AS A DISTURBANCE CLIPS THE
EASTERN PART OF THE STATE. A LOW CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES
ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL AREAS LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. MILDER TEMPERATURES QUICKLY RETURN LATE NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS EAST AND DOMINATES THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. FAIR TO
GOOD VENTILATION ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST AREAS SUNDAY.
MORE WIDESPREAD AREAS OF GOOD TO LOCALLY VERY GOOD VENTILATION
ACROSS THE HIGHLANDS, EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PLAINS MONDAY. FAIR
TO LOCALLY GOOD VENTILATION ACROSS THE HIGHLANDS TUESDAY AND GOOD TO
VERY GOOD VENTILATION ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY BEFORE
GENERALLY POOR VENTILATION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 54 28 55 25 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 55 21 55 17 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 55 25 55 23 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 59 20 60 18 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 58 23 56 21 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 59 21 61 19 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 60 25 58 23 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 57 32 60 31 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 57 27 57 26 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 64 26 64 26 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 67 30 67 32 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 49 22 49 17 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 52 32 54 29 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 56 28 57 25 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 49 26 50 22 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 43 16 46 16 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 48 6 49 6 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 52 20 54 19 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 59 28 58 22 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 58 25 61 25 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 54 30 56 29 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 55 27 58 27 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 57 35 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 58 34 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 60 28 63 27 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 59 32 62 31 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 59 26 62 28 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 59 31 63 30 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 59 25 62 27 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 60 30 63 30 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 59 25 62 29 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 56 34 58 31 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 58 32 62 31 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 60 32 65 34 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 54 31 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 53 32 55 30 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 55 28 56 27 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 59 20 60 22 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 54 28 55 27 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 56 29 58 27 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 57 29 58 28 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 57 32 59 33 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 55 28 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 56 25 57 22 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 59 23 61 21 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 62 21 65 21 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 60 27 63 24 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 62 34 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 59 27 65 26 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 66 26 68 28 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 64 33 67 29 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 66 28 70 28 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 62 31 67 32 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 63 29 68 31 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 61 25 69 31 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 53 26 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 63 33 69 34 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 61 30 66 31 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NMZ233-
235>238.
SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...52
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