568
FXUS65 KABQ 130811
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
111 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 102 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
- SEVERAL WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS WILL CREATE BRISK NORTHEAST
WINDS AND COOLING OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY, FRIDAY,
SATURDAY, AND MONDAY. DESPITE THESE FRONTS, DRY CONDITIONS WITH
MOSTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST AREAWIDE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 102 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
FLOW ALOFT WILL AMPLIFY OVER NORTH AMERICA THIS WEEK WITH A 590DM H5
RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST AND A SERIES OF DEEP H5 LOWS DIVING SOUTH
INTO THE EASTERN U.S. DRY NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE OVER NM WITH MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER TODAY. HIGH TEMPS WILL WARM
A FEW MORE DEGREES WITH SLIGHT WEST/NORTHWEST BREEZES AND PATCHY
CIRRUS. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTH INTO EASTERN NM LATE
TONIGHT WITH NORTH WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH CLOSER TO THE NM/TX
LINE THRU WEDNESDAY. TEMPS WILL TREND SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER OVER
EASTERN NM BUT REMAIN A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 102 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
SURFACE FLOW WILL VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST THURSDAY
WITH A STRONG WARMING TREND AGAIN FOR EASTERN NM. A REINFORCING
TROUGH SLIDING DOWN THE GREAT PLAINS THURSDAY WILL HELP TO FORCE
ANOTHER COLD FRONT THRU NM THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE FRONT HAS
TRENDED WEAKER BUT A PERIOD OF BREEZY NORTH WINDS IS STILL POSSIBLE
OVER EASTERN NM. MAX TEMPS WILL TREND COOLER BUT STILL A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID JANUARY. DRY NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH SLOW WARMING OVER THE AREA. THE
NEXT BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY ENTER EASTERN NM BY MONDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1005 PM MST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST NM THROUGH MID DAY TUESDAY.
THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE OF LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FREEZING FOG
DEVELOPING ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST NM TONIGHT, INCLUDING KFMN,
WHERE SNOWMELT OCCURRED. CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAF
ATTM, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. BREEZY NORTHERLY DRAINAGE
WINDS WILL AGAIN IMPACT KSAF TOWARD SUNRISE AND THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUESDAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN NM TUESDAY EVENING SWITCHING WINDS
AROUND TO THE NORTH.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 102 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
THERE ARE NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH LIGHT
WINDS ON MOST DAYS, ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN NM. A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT ENTERING EASTERN NM TONIGHT WILL CREATE BREEZY NORTH WINDS
THRU WEDNESDAY. WESTERLY BREEZES WILL RETURN TO EASTERN NM THURSDAY
WITH WARMER TEMPS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS THRU THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT MAY ARRIVE OVER EASTERN NM MONDAY. VENT RATES WILL REMAIN
POOR FOR MOST OF THE REGION THRU THE WEEKEND WITH SOME POCKETS OF
FAIR TO GOOD VALUES OVER EASTERN NM.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 40 19 46 23 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 52 19 54 18 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 48 19 49 21 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 50 15 54 15 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 52 21 52 23 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 54 17 55 16 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 49 19 54 22 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 54 29 51 29 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 52 26 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 61 23 61 21 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 64 24 64 23 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 51 23 49 21 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 50 30 47 28 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 55 25 50 25 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 49 25 47 25 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 43 18 39 20 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 47 10 44 9 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 52 17 50 16 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 58 24 52 25 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 56 23 54 21 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 51 29 47 28 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 52 25 50 25 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 54 32 52 32 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 55 30 54 31 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 57 28 56 26 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 56 30 54 29 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 56 23 55 21 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 56 30 54 28 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 56 23 55 22 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 56 29 55 27 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 56 25 55 24 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 52 31 50 30 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 56 30 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 58 30 58 28 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 50 30 47 28 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 51 30 49 29 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 53 27 50 26 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 56 23 53 19 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 52 27 48 26 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 54 27 51 26 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 56 28 52 26 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 59 31 57 30 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 54 30 49 30 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 54 25 44 23 / 0 5 0 0
RATON........................... 57 23 48 19 / 0 5 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 56 20 49 18 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 60 26 51 24 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 63 33 50 30 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 59 28 51 24 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 66 30 58 25 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 64 31 54 28 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 68 31 57 26 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 67 34 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 66 33 57 28 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 65 30 58 26 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 63 31 60 28 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 66 33 56 30 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 64 30 56 26 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...34
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page