030
FXUS65 KABQ 062334 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
434 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 425 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
- THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR DRY AND WARMER WEATHER FOR MOST OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY,
LEADING TO SNOWMELT ACROSS MIDSLOPE AND HIGH TERRAIN AREAS.
- THERE IS A GREATER THAN 60% CHANCE THAT NORTHWEST WINDS BECOME
STRONG AGAIN OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH TERRAIN AND NEARBY HIGHLANDS
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. DIFFICULT TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE FOR
LARGE AND HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
A GUSTY PACIFIC COLD FRONT CROSSING WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF
THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING, AND A BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT THAT WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS
TONIGHT, WILL CAUSE HIGH TEMPERATURES TO FALL A FEW TO AS MUCH AS
9 DEGREES ON SUNDAY COMPARED TO TODAY'S READINGS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN REBOUND A FEW TO 7 DEGREES ON MONDAY AS A
WARMING TREND COMMENCES. UNDER DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, GUSTY
WINDS WILL RETURN SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS MAINLY IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, BUT WINDS WON'T BE AS STRONG AS TODAY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 1206 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
MUCH LIKE TODAY, WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
OVER EAST CENTRAL AREAS ON TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
EXITING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
STRENGTHENS THE FLOW ALOFT OVER NM. THE STRONGEST WINDS ON TUESDAY
MAY REACH 45 MPH AROUND CLINES CORNERS, AND POTENTIALLY AS FAR
SOUTHEAST AS CLOVIS AND PORTALES THANKS TO A DEVELOPING LEE-SIDE
SURFACE TROUGH. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS MAY LINGER OVER EAST
CENTRAL AREAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH CROSSES THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES, AND THE LEE-SIDE
SURFACE TROUGH PERSISTS.
OTHERWISE, THE WARMING TREND WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY MOST PLACES. MODELS ARE TRYING TO RESOLVE A BACK
DOOR FRONT THAT MAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO PARTS OF THE
EASTERN PLAINS AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY, BUT MORE LIKELY IN THE WAKE
OF THE SECOND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO EXIT THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD PEAK MOST PLACES ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AROUND 7 TO 19 DEGREES ABOVE 1991-2020
AVERAGES. AT THIS TIME, THE NATIONAL BLEND OF MODELS HAS
TEMPERATURES COOLING FURTHER IN THE EAST ON FRIDAY, AND IN MANY
WESTERN LOCATIONS TOO, AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE
CENTRAL US, AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OFF THE WEST
COAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 425 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
WIDESPREAD TURBULENCE CONTINUES WITH ANOTHER CENTER WEATHER
ADVISORY IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND NEARBY PLAINS.
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THRU TONIGHT BEFORE
RELAXING VERY SLOWLY THRU SUNDAY. MT WAVE ACTION AND LOCALIZED
SURFACE WIND GUSTS UP TO 30KT ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MT CHAIN IN THE MEANTIME.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1206 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS. AREAS OF POOR VENTILATION ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE SUNDAY AND MONDAY, THEN BECOME WIDESPREAD TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY EXCEPT FOR POCKETS OF VENTILATION IMPROVEMENT POSSIBLE
WITH THE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE EAST. VENT RATES MAY IMPROVE
FURTHER IN SOME AREAS THURSDAY, ONLY TO DROP AGAIN AS POOR
VENTILATION BECOMES WIDESPREAD AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 23 45 23 46 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 10 43 10 46 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 20 43 20 47 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 18 50 18 52 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 23 48 24 52 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 20 51 19 54 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 23 50 23 53 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 29 51 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 25 49 26 53 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 23 59 23 63 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 26 65 26 68 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 11 38 13 43 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 23 41 25 45 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 21 45 23 51 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 18 39 18 42 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 13 32 14 36 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 8 38 8 42 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 15 41 13 44 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 18 46 19 50 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 20 48 20 52 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 25 43 26 46 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 22 43 22 48 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 31 49 31 52 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 28 51 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 26 54 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 29 53 27 55 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 23 52 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 27 52 26 54 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 22 53 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 27 53 25 55 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 24 53 23 54 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 28 47 29 49 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 28 52 26 54 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 30 58 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 26 43 26 46 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 26 44 27 48 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 23 45 23 49 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 18 47 17 51 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 21 42 23 45 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 26 47 25 52 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 26 48 25 52 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 30 54 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 31 49 30 53 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 19 43 20 50 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 18 46 18 53 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 16 48 17 54 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 19 46 21 52 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 28 51 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 22 48 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 25 55 23 57 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 26 52 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 26 55 24 58 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 30 56 28 59 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 28 57 26 60 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 27 56 24 60 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 33 60 27 63 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 33 59 28 64 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 29 60 27 64 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...42
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