560
FXUS65 KABQ 141728 AAB
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1128 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1116 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2026
- HAZARDOUS CROSSWINDS WILL CREATE DIFFICULT TRAVEL FOR LARGE AND
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN NM.
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATENING RAPID FIRE SPREAD FROM ANY NEW
SPARK RETURNS TO NM TODAY AND THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL NM, AND A MAJORITY OF THE STATE
FRIDAY.
- A HARD FREEZE IS FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN THIRD OF NM. TAKE PRECAUTIONS
TO PROTECT EARLY BLOOMING PLANTS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2026
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, HIGHLIGHTED
BY A 557DM H5 LOW SWIRLING JUST EAST OF LAS VEGAS, NV TONIGHT.
ANCHORED BY A SAMPLED 95KT 250MB JETMAX ON ITS SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY, THIS UPPER LOW IS BRINGING CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW ACROSS NORTHEASTERN AZ AND NORTHWESTERN NM. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT AND FAVOR WEST FACING
SLOPES OF THE CHUSKA AND TUSAS MTS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. THE MAIN SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACT WILL BE FROM STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS CURRENTLY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NM, BUT FORECAST TO SPREAD TO AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AIDED BY DEEP VERTICAL
MIXING TAPPING INTO H7 WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KTS AND A 997MB MSLP
SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN CO, PEAK GUSTS AT THE SURFACE OF 35 TO
50 MPH WILL THREATEN HAZARDOUS CROSSWINDS FOR AREA HIGHWAYS OF
EASTERN NM. A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE HOISTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THESE FAVORED AREAS INCLUDING THE SACRAMENTO MTS (RUIDOSO) AND AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40 AND ALONG AND EAST OF I-25, ALSO INCLUDING
CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES. RAPID FIRE SPREAD FROM ANY NEW SPARKS
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL, SEE FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION. MUCH OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM SOCORRO TO ABQ TO
SANTA FE AND TAOS WILL BE STUCK IN BETWEEN THE UNIMPRESSIVE
PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRONGER WINDS TO THE EAST
TUESDAY.
WINDS CALM TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRIER CONDITIONS MOVING IN, WHICH WILL
ALLOW FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES TO BOTTOM OUT NEAR OR
BELOW FREEZING FOR MANY WESTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS. WARMER
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S HOLD ONTO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND EASTERN PLAINS. BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1233 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2026
THURSDAY SEES THE NEXT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM CROSS INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN CONUS BRINGING INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO NM.
TEMPERATURES WARM UP ALONGSIDE ANOTHER BOUT OF HAZARDOUS CROSSWINDS
FOR AREA HIGHWAYS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE FAVORS THIS SYSTEM OPENING TO A TROUGH WITH
ITS AXIS CROSSING NM FRIDAY. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS
WILL BE FAVORED FRIDAY, WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH AND
PEAK GUSTS TO 50+ MPH ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEASTERN
PLAINS WILL BE FAVORED. ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THIS LATE WEEK SYSTEM
WILL FAVOR AREAS TO THE NORTH IN THE CO ROCKIES, LEAVING MUCH OF NM
HANGING OUT TO DRY.
A SHARP SWITCH TO MUCH DRIER AND COLDER NORTHWESTERLY AND NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL BE USHERED IN BEHIND A POTENT COLD FRONT LATE FRIDAY.
THIS SETS THE STAGE FOR A SHARP COOL DOWN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY FOR A HARD FREEZE ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTION OF THE STATE, WITH LOWS NEAR FREEZING
IN ALBUQUERQUE AND THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THIS WILL THREATEN
MANY OUTDOOR PLANTS THAT UNDERWENT THEIR EARLY GREEN UP BACK DURING
MARCH'S UNPRECEDENTED HEATWAVE. TEMPERATURES WARM UP SUNDAY AFTER
ANOTHER MORNING FREEZE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN THIRDS OF THE
STATE, ALONGSIDE A MODEST UPTICK IN MOISTURE ARRIVING MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1116 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2026
LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NM LATE THIS MORNING.
THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, THOUGH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE. MVFR CIGS AROUND KGUP EARLIER THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE
TO GRADUALLY RISE. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING. GUSTS
BETWEEN 35 AND 45KT WILL BE COMMON ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN, WHILE GUSTS UP TO 30KT WILL BE COMMON ALONG AND
WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. LESS WIND IS ON TAP FOR
WEDNESDAY, THOUGH BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE FAVORED ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL NM IN THE AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1233 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2026
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 50 MPH ALONGSIDE
MARGINALLY CRITICAL HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. FINE FUELS IN SOME AREAS
OF THE EAST-CENTRAL PLAINS MAY HAVE GREENED UP A BIT FROM LAST
WEEK'S LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALLS, NOTABLY IN ROOSEVELT AND CURRY
COUNTIES. MEANWHILE, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL STRETCH
WESTWARD INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WHERE WINDS WILL BE A BIT LESS
AND HUMIDITY A BIT HIGHER. NORTHWESTERN NM WILL RECEIVE COLDER
TEMPERATURES ALONGSIDE LIGHT VALLEY AND MID-ELEVATION RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW.
ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURNS THURSDAY
AFTER A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE WINDS WEDNESDAY. VERY DRY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PICK UP THURSDAY YIELDING AT LEAST ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AREAWIDE, WITH CRITICAL FAVORING THE NORTHEASTERN
PLAINS WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 45 MPH WILL
RESIDE. THESE CONDITIONS SPREAD TO A MAJORITY OF NM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AS WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH SPREAD ALONGSIDE HUMIDITY FALLING TO
NEAR OR BELOW 10 PERCENT YET AGAIN. THE STRONGEST GUSTS OF 45 TO 50+
MPH WILL FAVOR THE NORTHEASTERN PLAINS AND CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AGAIN.
A POTENT COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM PASSING
JUST NORTH OF NM OVER THE CO ROCKIES WILL USHER IN A SHARP COOL DOWN
BEHIND NORTHWESTERLY AND NORTHERLY WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING. DUE TO THE STORM SYSTEM'S FORECAST TRACK, ANY PRECIPITATION
WILL STAY NORTH OF THE STATE LINE WITH FEW EXCEPTIONS IN THE TUSAS
AND NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MTS FRIDAY. WINDS ABATE SATURDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK UP SUNDAY AND HIGHER HUMIDITY ARRIVING
MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 59 31 65 33 / 60 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 52 23 61 22 / 80 5 0 0
CUBA............................ 57 28 61 31 / 50 5 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 57 24 64 25 / 40 5 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 54 28 60 30 / 20 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 60 26 65 26 / 20 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 59 31 61 30 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 65 36 65 37 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 59 32 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 64 30 68 28 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 68 34 73 32 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 45 23 53 25 / 70 0 5 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 57 36 60 40 / 30 0 5 0
PECOS........................... 60 30 61 35 / 10 5 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 53 28 58 33 / 30 0 10 0
RED RIVER....................... 43 24 48 26 / 30 0 10 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 51 22 54 21 / 20 0 5 5
TAOS............................ 57 25 62 25 / 30 0 5 0
MORA............................ 58 29 61 33 / 5 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 64 34 68 33 / 20 0 5 0
SANTA FE........................ 59 34 62 37 / 20 5 5 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 62 33 66 34 / 20 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 66 41 68 43 / 5 5 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 69 42 70 42 / 5 5 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 70 38 72 39 / 5 5 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 68 40 71 40 / 10 5 0 0
BELEN........................... 73 37 73 34 / 5 5 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 68 39 70 40 / 10 5 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 71 35 73 34 / 5 5 0 0
CORRALES........................ 69 40 72 40 / 10 5 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 71 36 72 36 / 5 5 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 64 39 66 41 / 10 5 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 67 41 71 41 / 10 5 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 75 42 74 40 / 5 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 60 37 63 39 / 10 5 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 63 37 64 39 / 10 5 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 63 35 65 34 / 5 5 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 67 29 66 27 / 5 5 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 62 33 62 35 / 5 5 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 67 33 65 35 / 5 5 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 66 35 64 36 / 0 5 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 69 41 67 41 / 0 5 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 63 38 61 41 / 10 10 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 63 29 61 31 / 0 0 5 0
RATON........................... 67 29 67 30 / 0 0 10 0
SPRINGER........................ 68 30 67 29 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 62 31 64 34 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 73 40 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 68 35 67 36 / 0 0 5 0
CONCHAS......................... 78 39 76 39 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 74 40 71 39 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 81 42 78 43 / 0 5 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 80 45 77 44 / 10 10 0 0
PORTALES........................ 82 45 78 42 / 5 10 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 79 42 76 39 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 83 47 81 43 / 0 5 0 0
PICACHO......................... 74 42 73 41 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 70 38 71 37 / 10 5 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NMZ104-123-125-
126.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NMZ223-226>236-240.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...34
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