707
FXUS65 KABQ 312337 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
437 PM MST WED DEC 31 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 424 PM MST WED DEC 31 2025
- SLICK TRAVEL WILL BE PRESENT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH-CENTRAL NM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
- WEST AND NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH NEW YEAR'S DAY, AND
UP TO 55 MPH FRIDAY WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CROSSWINDS ON NORTH-
TO-SOUTH ORIENTED HIGHWAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM MST WED DEC 31 2025
2025 IS CLOSING OUT ON A QUIET NOTE AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
CRESTS OVER THE STATE TODAY. A WIDESPREAD OPAQUE LAYER OF HIGH
CIRRUS COVERS NEARLY ALL OF THE STATE, BUT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS
STILL REACHING THE GROUND ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM UP TODAY.
THICKER BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES CURRENTLY OVER AZ WILL STEADILY
PROGRESS EASTWARD OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. EVENTUALLY, SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE BEING
TRANSPORTED NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A 558DM H5 LOW OFF THE SOCAL COAST
WILL ENTER WESTERN NM TONIGHT AS WELL. THE WARMER SOURCE REGION FOR
THIS MOISTURE WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS RATHER HIGH AROUND ~10,000FT,
THUS LIMITING SNOW POTENTIAL TO ONLY THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE
CHUSKA'S, TUSAS, JEMEZ, AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MTS THURSDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD FOR SOME VALLEY
LOCATIONS OF WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND NORTHERN NM TO SEE A FEW FLURRIES
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SURFACE DEWPOINTS INCREASE RAPIDLY.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT HIGHLIGHTED BY 40-50KT H7 WINDS OVER THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL BE AIDED BY A MODEST 1002MB MSLP SURFACE
LOW OVER NORTHEASTERN NM IN PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EASTERN
NM. CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA TO CLOVIS WILL BE SEE A CORRIDOR OF
STRONG WESTERLY GUSTS REACHING 40-50MPH. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE
NECESSARY FOR ONE OR MORE OF THESE FORECAST ZONES THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, BUT WILL PUNT ANY NEEDED ISSUANCE TO THE NEXT FORECAST
PACKAGE TONIGHT. NEVERTHELESS, GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE A
CONCERN FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH-TO-SOUTH ORIENTED
HIGHWAYS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM MST WED DEC 31 2025
CONDITIONS STEADILY CLEAR OUT THRU THE DAY FRIDAY AS WHAT'S LEFT OF
THE H5 LOW OPENS AND CROSSES NORTHERN NM. WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY
THRU THE DAY AS WELL, STAYING STRONG ALONG THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS
WHERE ANOTHER WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY FOR GUSTS OF 50+ MPH.
THE FIRST WEEKEND OF 2026 WILL SPORT WONDERFUL YET ABNORMALLY WARM
WEATHER AS THE NEXT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES ACROSS THE STATE.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB 15F TO 20F ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE 50S
AND 60S AREAWIDE, WITH A FEW LOW 70S ACROSS EASTERN NM.
THEREAFTER, ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BE EVOLVING OFF THE WEST COAST
OF THE CONUS BRINGING IN PERIODS OF LOW POPS INTO THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST. MORE APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL FAVOR THE
LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK WHEN THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM COMES
ASHORE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 424 PM MST WED DEC 31 2025
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE ALOFT APPROACHES CALIFORNIA TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO INCREASED MOISTURE STREAMING INTO NEW
MEXICO FROM THE SOUTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND GRADUALLY
LOWER INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH SPOTTY TO SCATTERED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS EVENTUALLY DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS
OF THE STATE. PERIODIC MVFR CONDITIONS (CEILINGS AT OR LESS THAN
3,000 FT AND/OR VISIBILITY AT OR LESS THAN 5 MILES) WILL BE COMMON
OVER WESTERN TO NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO, ESPECIALLY
IN THE PRE-DAWN TO LATE MORNING HOURS, WITH SPOTTY IFR CONDITIONS
(CEILINGS LESS THAN 1,000 FT AND/OR VISIBILITY LESS THAN 3 MILES)
OVER NORTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE STATE DURING THIS TIME. ALSO, WINDS
WILL INCREASE IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 40 KT BEING CONCENTRATED OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN INTO THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1203 PM MST WED DEC 31 2025
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ARISE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL NM AS STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ARISE. HOWEVER,
HUMIDITY ONLY FALLING TO ~30% WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR.
OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT ALONGSIDE ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH THIS
COMING WEEKEND. WINDS AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES BEGIN TO PICKUP
AGAIN NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 31 46 36 52 / 40 60 40 30
DULCE........................... 24 44 29 48 / 30 70 60 50
CUBA............................ 29 47 32 47 / 20 70 50 50
GALLUP.......................... 29 51 34 52 / 60 60 30 20
EL MORRO........................ 36 49 36 48 / 60 60 40 30
GRANTS.......................... 30 55 33 53 / 40 60 20 20
QUEMADO......................... 37 54 33 52 / 60 60 20 30
MAGDALENA....................... 41 57 37 55 / 30 40 10 10
DATIL........................... 39 53 35 51 / 40 50 10 10
RESERVE......................... 35 57 30 62 / 60 50 20 30
GLENWOOD........................ 37 62 34 64 / 70 50 30 30
CHAMA........................... 26 42 29 42 / 30 60 50 60
LOS ALAMOS...................... 35 47 37 47 / 5 40 30 50
PECOS........................... 33 52 35 51 / 0 20 10 30
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 31 47 33 47 / 10 20 10 30
RED RIVER....................... 27 40 29 39 / 10 20 10 30
ANGEL FIRE...................... 20 46 26 44 / 5 20 10 30
TAOS............................ 23 50 31 50 / 5 20 10 20
MORA............................ 32 54 34 50 / 0 20 10 30
ESPANOLA........................ 28 54 33 55 / 0 30 20 40
SANTA FE........................ 35 50 38 50 / 5 40 20 40
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 31 51 35 53 / 5 40 20 40
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 41 54 41 57 / 10 30 20 30
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 37 56 37 59 / 10 30 20 20
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 35 58 35 62 / 10 30 10 20
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 37 57 38 60 / 10 30 20 20
BELEN........................... 32 59 31 62 / 20 30 10 20
BERNALILLO...................... 37 58 38 60 / 10 30 20 30
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 31 58 31 61 / 20 30 20 20
CORRALES........................ 36 58 38 60 / 10 30 20 20
LOS LUNAS....................... 33 59 32 61 / 20 30 10 20
PLACITAS........................ 39 53 40 55 / 10 30 20 30
RIO RANCHO...................... 37 57 38 59 / 10 30 20 20
SOCORRO......................... 38 63 36 65 / 20 30 5 5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 36 50 38 51 / 10 40 20 30
TIJERAS......................... 37 50 38 52 / 10 30 20 30
EDGEWOOD........................ 34 53 38 54 / 5 30 20 20
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 27 55 35 55 / 5 20 20 20
CLINES CORNERS.................. 33 51 35 51 / 0 10 10 10
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 35 55 36 55 / 5 30 10 20
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 34 56 36 56 / 5 20 10 10
CARRIZOZO....................... 38 59 36 60 / 5 30 10 10
RUIDOSO......................... 42 55 39 53 / 10 20 10 5
CAPULIN......................... 29 60 30 57 / 0 5 5 5
RATON........................... 26 61 29 59 / 0 10 5 5
SPRINGER........................ 24 62 30 60 / 0 5 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 31 58 35 55 / 0 10 5 5
CLAYTON......................... 33 66 35 65 / 0 0 0 5
ROY............................. 30 64 36 61 / 0 5 5 5
CONCHAS......................... 27 69 37 70 / 0 5 5 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 35 63 43 62 / 0 5 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 29 71 40 70 / 0 5 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 33 69 43 67 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 31 70 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 30 68 44 67 / 0 5 5 0
ROSWELL......................... 34 71 41 70 / 5 10 5 0
PICACHO......................... 43 67 41 65 / 5 10 5 0
ELK............................. 42 65 36 65 / 5 10 5 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...52
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