376
FXUS65 KABQ 061122 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
422 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 420 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
- A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND BRING
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
- OTHERWISE, FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- A PATTERN CHANGE TO COOLER, WINDY, AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS IS
IN STORE FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1204 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
AND NM LATER TODAY, GIVING WAY TO INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AND PACIFIC MOISTURE ADVECTION TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS A PACIFIC
LOW MOVES EAST TOWARD THE BAJA PENINSULA. AS A RESULT, THE WARMING
TREND WILL CONTINUE TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. PACIFIC MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL
RESULT IN INCREASING CLOUD COVER FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH VERY WEAK FORCING AND A TOP-
DOWN MOISTENING PROCESS BRINGING SPRINKLES AND/OR FLURRIES TO
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. LITTLE-TO-NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1204 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
THE PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MX ON SUN/MON, WITH
CLOUD COVER AND LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION EXTENDING ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. OTHERWISE, FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS
AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NM, WITH A LEE SIDE TROUGH BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE EASTERN PLAINS ON MONDAY. INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION PREVIOUSLY FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY IS ABSENT FROM THE 00Z
MEDIUM RANGE SOLUTIONS NOW AS A WEST COAST TROUGH LIFTS WELL NORTH
OF NM AND ANOTHER, MORE POTENT, TROUGH DROPS SOUTH OFFSHORE OF
SOCAL. THE COOLER AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR MID WEEK ARE
NOW DELAYED UNTIL FRI/SAT/SUN OF NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF
PROGRESSIVELY DEEPER UPPER LEVEL LOWS IMPACT THE WEST COAST AND TURN
EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 420 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AND ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD, WITH THE DEVELOPMENT AND GRADUAL LOWERING OF VFR CIGS
OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE, MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1204 AM MST FRI FEB 6 2026
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY, BUT
PACIFIC MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL BRING INCREASED HUMIDITY AND LOW
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY, MAINLY TO
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. A DEEPENING LEE SIDE TROUGH ON MONDAY
WILL BRING AN UPTREND IN WIND SPEEDS AND ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THE EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PLAINS. AN APPROACHING
PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BRING INCREASED HUMIDITY, STRONGER WINDS AND
CHANCES FOR WETTING PRECIPITATION FRI/SAT OF NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 60 32 61 29 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 62 24 60 22 / 0 0 5 0
CUBA............................ 58 30 58 27 / 0 0 10 5
GALLUP.......................... 61 23 60 20 / 0 0 5 0
EL MORRO........................ 60 32 58 30 / 0 5 10 0
GRANTS.......................... 63 24 61 22 / 0 0 10 0
QUEMADO......................... 62 32 59 29 / 0 0 20 0
MAGDALENA....................... 61 39 59 36 / 0 0 30 5
DATIL........................... 59 33 57 32 / 0 0 20 0
RESERVE......................... 66 31 65 29 / 0 0 20 5
GLENWOOD........................ 70 34 69 31 / 0 0 20 10
CHAMA........................... 55 26 52 23 / 0 0 5 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 56 36 55 33 / 0 0 5 0
PECOS........................... 60 31 58 30 / 0 0 10 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 57 31 54 29 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 49 28 46 25 / 0 0 5 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 56 15 52 14 / 0 0 5 0
TAOS............................ 60 25 58 24 / 0 0 5 0
MORA............................ 62 30 60 28 / 0 0 5 0
ESPANOLA........................ 63 28 63 27 / 0 0 5 0
SANTA FE........................ 58 36 57 33 / 0 0 10 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 59 32 59 30 / 0 0 5 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 62 41 62 39 / 0 0 10 5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 63 38 63 37 / 0 0 10 5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 65 35 65 34 / 0 0 10 5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 63 37 64 36 / 0 0 10 0
BELEN........................... 63 31 64 30 / 0 0 20 5
BERNALILLO...................... 64 36 65 35 / 0 0 10 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 64 31 65 30 / 0 0 10 5
CORRALES........................ 64 36 65 35 / 0 0 10 5
LOS LUNAS....................... 63 33 64 32 / 0 0 10 5
PLACITAS........................ 60 38 60 37 / 0 0 10 5
RIO RANCHO...................... 63 36 64 35 / 0 0 10 0
SOCORRO......................... 66 38 66 36 / 0 0 20 5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 58 36 57 35 / 0 0 20 5
TIJERAS......................... 58 37 58 35 / 0 0 20 5
EDGEWOOD........................ 61 32 60 31 / 0 0 10 5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 64 26 62 25 / 0 0 10 5
CLINES CORNERS.................. 60 32 58 31 / 0 0 10 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 62 35 60 33 / 0 0 20 5
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 62 35 60 33 / 0 0 20 5
CARRIZOZO....................... 64 38 63 38 / 0 0 30 10
RUIDOSO......................... 61 39 59 37 / 0 0 30 10
CAPULIN......................... 60 30 62 29 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 64 26 64 26 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 65 24 67 25 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 65 31 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 66 36 71 38 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 64 31 66 33 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 72 31 74 32 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 69 33 69 35 / 0 0 10 5
TUCUMCARI....................... 74 33 75 35 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 72 37 72 40 / 0 0 10 10
PORTALES........................ 73 36 73 39 / 0 0 10 10
FORT SUMNER..................... 70 32 71 35 / 0 0 10 10
ROSWELL......................... 68 35 68 38 / 0 0 10 10
PICACHO......................... 70 38 69 39 / 0 0 10 10
ELK............................. 71 37 69 36 / 0 0 10 10
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11
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