362
FXUS65 KABQ 122323 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
423 PM MST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 416 PM MST MON JAN 12 2026
- A SERIES OF BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS WILL BRING BRISK NORTHEAST
WINDS AND COOLING TO EASTERN NM ON WEDNESDAY, FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
- OTHERWISE, ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO PERSIST.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
AN UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN MX IS MOVING EAST AND SPREADING HIGH
CLOUDS NORTH OVER SOUTHEAST NM, WHILE AN UPPER HIGH STRENGTHENS
OVER NORTHERN CA AND EXPANDS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE RESULT ACROSS OUR AREA THROUGH TUESDAY
IS FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH A CONTINUED WARMING TREND THAT
WILL SEE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE AVERAGE MOST AREAS BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. WITH A LITTLE MORE SNOW MELT TODAY, SUFFICIENT WATER
VAPOR MAY GET TRAPPED IN THE NEAR-SURFACE TEMPERATURE INVERSION TO
PRODUCE PATCHES OF FREEZING FOG ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN NM
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, THE 12Z MODEL DATA AND ASSOCIATED
MOS AREN'T SUPPORTIVE OF FOG DEVELOPMENT AND NO FOG HAS BEEN
REPORTED THE PAST TWO MORNINGS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE IN DETERMINISTIC FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
A WEST COAST RIDGE AND CENTRAL/EASTERN US TROUGH WILL BE THE
PATTERN GOING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
KEEPING NM DRY. A SERIES OF BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS WILL IMPACT
EASTERN NM WITH BRIEF COOLING AND BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY, FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE 12Z MODEL DATA HAS BACKED-OFF
ON THE STRENGTH OF THE FRIDAY FRONT AND COLD AIR ADVECTION IS
UNIMPRESSIVE ON ALL THREE FRONTS. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE ABOVE AVERAGE AREAWIDE WITH FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS
PERSISTING.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 423 PM MST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST NM THROUGH MID DAY TUESDAY.
THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE OF LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FREEZING FOG
DEVELOPING ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST NM, INCLUDING KFMN TONIGHT WHERE
SNOWMELT OCCURRED. CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAF ATTM,
BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. BREEZY NORTHERLY DRAINAGE WINDS WILL
AGAIN IMPACT KSAF TOWARD SUNRISE AND THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS ON TUESDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1047 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS. A WARMING/DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE, WITH TEMPERATURES
RISING ABOVE AVERAGE MOST AREAS BY TUESDAY. TWO BACKDOOR COLD
FRONTS WILL PROVIDE BRIEF COOLING PERIODS ACROSS EASTERN NM, THE
FIRST ON WEDNESDAY AND THE SECOND ON FRIDAY. A STABLE ATMOSPHERE
WILL PRODUCE POOR VENTILATION MOST AREAS THROUGH NEXT MONDAY,
EXCEPT FOR BEHIND THE BACKDOOR FRONTS ACROSS EASTERN NM.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 13 44 19 49 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 14 53 19 55 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 16 48 20 49 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 10 48 14 52 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 18 51 19 52 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 12 53 15 53 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 17 49 20 53 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 27 54 29 50 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 23 52 25 50 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 18 60 22 61 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 20 64 24 65 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 22 50 23 49 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 26 50 31 47 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 24 55 26 50 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 14 49 18 47 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 15 44 17 39 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... -3 50 11 45 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 9 53 14 50 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 23 58 25 52 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 20 56 23 54 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 27 51 29 48 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 23 52 26 50 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 31 53 33 52 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 27 55 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 24 58 27 56 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 29 56 31 55 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 18 55 22 55 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 27 56 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 18 56 22 55 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 26 57 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 19 56 24 55 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 29 52 31 50 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 27 56 30 55 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 27 58 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 29 50 29 48 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 27 50 28 49 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 23 52 26 51 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 17 55 19 53 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 25 52 27 48 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 23 54 26 52 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 25 56 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 27 59 31 58 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 27 55 31 50 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 25 53 24 44 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 19 55 22 49 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 17 55 21 50 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 25 59 26 51 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 29 61 32 51 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 24 58 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 24 66 29 59 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 25 63 30 55 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 24 66 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 26 66 33 58 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 24 66 31 60 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 22 65 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 22 63 31 60 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 27 65 33 57 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 24 64 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...34
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