432
FXUS65 KABQ 271126 AAB
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
426 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 421 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
- WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS 15 BELOW BELOW ZERO WILL POSE
A RISK TO PEOPLE, PETS, PLANTS, AND PIPES IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TONIGHT.
- FREEZING FOG IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER
PECOS RIVER VALLEY IN CHAVES COUNTY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
TOMORROW MORNING, DROPPING VISIBILITY TO 1/2 A MILE OR LESS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
IT'S A FAIRLY TRANQUIL NIGHT ACROSS THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT AS A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE COMES ASHORE THE WESTERN CONUS. SOME BREEZY
WESTERLIES REMAIN TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND
EAST-CENTRAL PLAINS THIS HOUR. TEMPERATURES IN THESE AREAS ARE
FORECAST TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE-DIGITS TO NEAR 10F NEAR SUNRISE AND
IT WON'T TAKE MUCH TO DROP WIND CHILLS EVEN FURTHER. ROSWELL REMAINS
BITTER COLD GIVEN THE HIGHER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS REMAINING THERE. THE
CURRENT TEMPERATURE HAS ALREADY FALLEN TO 0F AT TIME OF THIS WRITING
AND IS FORECAST TO DIP SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW ZERO. WIND CHILLS HERE
HAVE ALREADY FALLING TO -10F OR BELOW. THUS THE CURRENT SLATE OF
COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES AND EXTREME COLD WARNING FOR CHAVES COUNTY
PLAINS REMAINS ON TRACK. WILL MONITOR THE NEED FOR EXPANSION TO
SANTA FE AND GRANTS DEPENDENT ON DRAINAGE WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
THE RIDGE AXIS SLIDES OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH LESSER WINDS
FORECAST TODAY RELATIVE TO MONDAY. HIGHS CLIMB FURTHER INTO THE 40S
TO NEAR 50F FOR MOST LOWER AND MID-ELEVATION AREAS. THE EXCEPTION
WILL REMAIN FOR AREAS WITH SNOW ON THE GROUND STILL, NOTABLY CHAVES
COUNTY AND ROSWELL WHERE FORECAST HIGHS ARE STILL IN THE 30S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
THE RIDGE FLATTENS AS IT CROSSES WEST TO EAST ACROSS NEW MEXICO
WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMB FURTHER INTO THE UPPER 40S AND 50S
FOR LOWER AND MID-ELEVATION AREAS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOOKS TO CLIP
NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN NM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH
LITTLE TO NOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES. THIS WILL PLATEAU THE WARMING
TREND BRINGING A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT MOST AREAS, NOTABLY ACROSS
EASTERN NM. FORECAST HIGHS AS SUCH REMAIN FAIRLY SIMILAR TO WHAT IS
FORECAST WEDNESDAY. ROSWELL IS LIKELY THE EXCEPTION HERE WITH A MORE
NOTABLE WARM-UP GIVEN MUCH OR ALL OF THE SNOW WILL HAVE MELTED BY
THIS POINT.
AN AMPLIFIED JET PATTERN WILL REDEVELOP WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS AND A TROUGHING PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS FRIDAY
AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A MODEST COLD
FRONT TO BACK INTO EASTERN NM. THERE'S LOW PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL
IN THIS PATTERN ACROSS EASTERN NM, WITH A MODEST DIP IN TEMPERATURES
MOST LIKELY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 421 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR PREVAILS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FREEZING FOG BRINGING LIFR
CONDITIONS TO KROW THIS MORNING. THIS IS EXPECTED TO LIFT AND BURN
OFF PAST SUNRISE TO ABOUT 16Z. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT MOST
AREAS WITH HIGH CIRRUS PASSING OVER THE STATE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1224 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THRU THE NEXT 7 DAYS, NOTABLY THRU THE NEXT
2-3 DAYS WITH ABUNDANT SNOW MELT ONGOING. PREVAILING WINDS LESSEN AS
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION. AN
ENSUING WARMING TREND ACCOMPANIES THE RIDGE THRU WEDNESDAY,
PLATEAUING THURSDAY. A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT ARRIVES THURSDAY WITH A
MODEST COLD FRONT ENTERING EASTERN NM THIS COMING WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 42 18 46 19 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 44 9 49 9 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 43 15 48 17 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 48 10 52 13 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 47 19 52 20 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 49 11 54 16 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 47 18 54 19 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 46 26 50 29 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 48 22 52 25 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 58 19 59 22 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 60 23 62 25 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 39 10 43 9 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 41 20 44 22 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 47 18 49 22 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 39 17 44 17 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 33 13 38 14 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 39 -10 43 8 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 42 8 46 11 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 47 15 53 21 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 47 12 50 15 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 42 21 44 23 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 42 17 44 19 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 47 26 48 29 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 47 23 49 26 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 49 20 51 22 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 48 23 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 47 14 48 17 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 47 22 49 23 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 48 16 50 18 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 49 21 50 23 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 48 18 49 19 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 43 24 45 26 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 48 23 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 48 21 51 25 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 41 21 44 24 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 42 23 44 25 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 43 16 46 21 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 44 7 47 16 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 39 17 44 21 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 44 17 46 23 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 44 16 46 23 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 44 23 47 26 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 47 23 48 29 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 45 16 50 21 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 47 13 51 18 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 49 11 54 17 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 49 16 54 20 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 47 21 54 28 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 47 15 49 23 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 50 14 57 23 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 49 16 54 27 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 49 12 56 25 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 45 15 49 27 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 43 11 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 47 12 48 20 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 33 9 39 17 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 49 21 52 29 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 53 20 57 27 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NMZ222-223-
235>237.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NMZ238.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NMZ238.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...24
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