497
FXUS65 KABQ 040004 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
504 PM MST WED DEC 3 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 446 PM MST WED DEC 3 2025
- ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, MAKING FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL AND
LOW VISIBILITY. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE HEAVIEST IN THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER.
- STRONG NORTHWEST CROSSWINDS WILL CREATE DIFFICULT TRAVEL ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR LARGE AND HIGH-
PROFILE VEHICLES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 AM MST WED DEC 3 2025
THE UPPER LOW IS MOVING EAST ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AZ PER THE
LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS NEAR 553DAM AT 500MB
PER SOME 18Z UPPER AIR DATA ACROSS THE REGION. AT THE SAME TIME, A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT IS PLODDING WEST INTO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN AND WILL RESULT IN A GUSTY EAST CANYON/GAP WIND INTO THE RIO
GRANDE AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEYS LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING
UPPER LOW IS ALREADY BRINGING SNOW-COVERED ROADWAYS AND DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN NM, BUT
FURTHER DETERIORATION IS EXPECTED AS PRECIPITATION INCREASES IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THEN SHIFTS EAST ACROSS NM THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. OUR FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS DIDN'T CHANGE MUCH FROM
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST CYCLE AND JUSTIFY THE WINTER HIGHLIGHTS
THAT ARE EITHER ALREADY IN EFFECT OR WILL GO INTO EFFECT LATER
TODAY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 0.5" ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
ABQ METRO, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 1-2" POSSIBLE EAST OF TRAMWAY.
MORNING COMMUTES WILL BE IMPACTED BY SNOW-COVERED AND ICY ROADWAYS
THURSDAY, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE SANTA FE METRO, LOS
ALAMOS, TAOS AND ALBUQUERQUE'S EAST MOUNTAIN COMMUNITIES. COLD
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY 10-15 DEGREES
BELOW AVERAGE. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY
NIGHT, WHICH WILL BE ONE OF THE COLDEST NIGHTS SO FAR THIS SEASON
FOR MANY LOCALES WITH LOW TEMPERATURES GENERALLY 0-10 DEGREES
BELOW AVERAGE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1128 AM MST WED DEC 3 2025
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES FRIDAY WITH SOME WARMING,
ALTHOUGH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. THE
JETSTREAM WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE PACIFIC NW TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN NM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY,
BRINGING STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO THE PEAKS OF THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND EVENTUALLY DOWN TO THE HIGHLANDS OF EASTERN NM
SATURDAY MORNING. 700MB WINDS SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO REACH UP TO
BETWEEN 40-50KTS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING FROM NEAR CLINES CORNERS
NORTH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS TO THE CO
BORDER. WIND HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, BUT WITH A WARMING
TREND AS PRESSURE HEIGHTS INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO AN EXPANDING
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SOCAL AND THE DESERT SW.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 446 PM MST WED DEC 3 2025
WIDESPREAD AVIATION IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE THRU THURSDAY MORNING AS
A WINTER STORM MOVES EAST ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NM. A CENTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR IFR ACROSS NORTHERN NM
WITH A CONVECTIVE SIGMET ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL NM. MT OBSCURATIONS,
ICING, AND TURBULENCE HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED IN THE AIRSPACE THE
PAST COUPLE HOURS. SNOW WILL FOCUS ALONG THE CENTRAL MT CHAIN AND
ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS OF EASTERN NM TONIGHT WITH IFR EXPECTED THRU
AT LEAST 14Z. CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE SLOWLY FROM WEST TO EAST
THURSDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1128 AM MST WED DEC 3 2025
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. AN UPPER LOW AND BACKDOOR COLD FRONT COMBO
WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NM TODAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY AND GOOD CHANCES FOR WETTING
PRECIPITATION. MOSTLY POOR VENT RATES WITH CONTINUED HIGHER
HUMIDITY AND COLDER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY IN THE WAKE
OF THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW. STRENGTHENING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL BRING WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
NORTHERN NM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, INCLUDING THE EASTERN
HIGHLANDS. A NOTABLE WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS FORECAST FROM
EARLY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING
ABOVE AVERAGE. VENT RATES WILL BE MOSTLY POOR FROM EARLY TO MID
NEXT WEEK AS PRESSURE HEIGHTS INCREASE AND TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS
ARE THE RULE IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 25 37 20 39 / 30 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 20 33 11 37 / 70 20 0 0
CUBA............................ 20 33 13 37 / 80 10 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 18 39 11 45 / 30 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 21 37 16 42 / 50 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 19 40 12 45 / 50 5 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 23 38 15 42 / 50 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 26 41 23 46 / 40 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 22 39 19 43 / 40 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 21 47 16 53 / 40 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 24 51 20 57 / 40 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 17 29 8 35 / 80 30 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 22 34 17 37 / 90 20 0 0
PECOS........................... 18 35 18 42 / 90 10 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 19 30 13 35 / 90 10 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 11 24 9 29 / 90 10 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 9 28 3 35 / 100 10 0 0
TAOS............................ 20 33 10 37 / 90 20 0 0
MORA............................ 13 36 14 43 / 100 10 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 25 39 16 43 / 80 20 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 23 34 20 37 / 80 10 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 24 36 16 39 / 80 10 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 28 38 25 42 / 80 10 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 30 41 21 44 / 70 10 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 30 43 19 46 / 70 10 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 29 42 21 45 / 70 10 0 0
BELEN........................... 30 44 18 46 / 70 10 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 28 42 22 45 / 70 10 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 29 43 16 45 / 70 10 0 0
CORRALES........................ 28 42 20 46 / 70 10 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 29 43 18 45 / 70 10 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 26 37 22 41 / 80 10 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 29 42 21 45 / 70 10 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 31 48 23 52 / 40 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 21 34 19 37 / 80 10 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 24 35 21 38 / 80 10 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 21 35 17 39 / 90 10 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 21 37 14 40 / 80 10 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 17 32 17 35 / 90 10 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 23 37 19 41 / 80 10 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 23 39 19 42 / 80 10 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 30 45 24 48 / 70 20 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 24 40 25 44 / 70 20 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 16 34 14 42 / 80 5 0 0
RATON........................... 18 35 12 45 / 90 5 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 19 39 12 46 / 90 5 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 16 35 14 43 / 90 10 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 21 38 20 48 / 80 10 0 0
ROY............................. 20 34 16 45 / 90 10 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 24 40 17 48 / 90 20 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 24 38 24 45 / 90 20 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 23 41 20 50 / 80 40 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 26 40 25 53 / 70 50 0 0
PORTALES........................ 26 41 26 54 / 60 40 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 27 42 24 52 / 80 20 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 31 44 23 58 / 40 10 0 0
PICACHO......................... 27 42 24 55 / 50 10 0 0
ELK............................. 24 43 22 57 / 40 10 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM MST THURSDAY FOR NMZ203-
210>212-214-216-221-223-228-229.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM MST THURSDAY FOR NMZ213-215-227.
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...42
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