389
FXUS65 KABQ 252346 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
446 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 446 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
- FREEZING FOG IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT TRAVEL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST AREAS LATE THIS EVENING UNTIL MID MORNING ON
MONDAY, THEN AGAIN IN THE ROSWELL AREA MONDAY NIGHT.
- WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
WILL DROP AS LOW AS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO POSING A RISK TO
PEOPLE, PETS, PLANTS, AND PIPES.
- THE RECENT OUTBREAK OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON,
AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING STORM SYSTEM, VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST TONIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES VARYING FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO TO THE TEENS ABOVE ZERO. WITH THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE WE ARE CONTINUING COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES AND
EXTREME COLD WARNINGS IN MANY CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOCATIONS,
WHERE WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AS LOW AS 15 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO. WE UNDERCUT GUIDANCE ON HIGH TEMPERATURES ALONG AND EAST OF
THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY, DUE TO
SEVERAL INCHES OF FRESH SNOW COVER THAT WILL TAKE AT LEAST THAT
LONG TO MELT. NEW MEXICO'S NORTHEAST PLAINS, WHERE TEMPERATURES
FELL BELOW FREEZING THURSDAY EVENING, WILL FINALLY CLIMB ABOVE
FREEZING ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS, WHERE
TEMPERATURES FELL BELOW FREEZING FRIDAY AFTERNOON, READINGS WILL
FINALLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
A WEAK DISTURBANCE CLIPPING NORTHEAST NM IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL ALSO BRING LIGHT SNOW TO LOCATIONS NEAR THE CO BORDER FROM
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS EASTWARD TONIGHT, BUT LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
UNDER DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT, THE WEEK AHEAD WILL FEATURE
WARMING TEMPERATURES UNTIL THURSDAY WHEN A BACKDOOR FRONT WILL
INTRODUCE COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTHEAST, THEN TO MORE OF
THE EASTERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY. NORTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE
FORECAST AREA WILL CLIMB ABOVE AVERAGE STARTING WEDNESDAY, BUT
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST AREAS WILL REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE
THROUGH THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD AS SEVERAL INCHES OF FRESH
SNOW THERE GRADUALLY MELTS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 446 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
A CLIPPER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER COLORADO WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST
AND CLIP FAR NORTHEAST NM OVERNIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AT KFMN
WILL TAPER OFF MID THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST
BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE. THE SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SOME GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS TO NORTH CENTRAL NM AND THE MIDDLE RGV, INCLUDING
KSAF, KAEG AND KABQ, THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING
OFF BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY. MEANWHILE, THE SHORTWAVE WILL BRING
SOME SNOW TO THE NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS NEAR THE CO
BORDER AND VERY FAR NORTHEAST NM, INCLUDING RATON PASS, THIS
EVENING. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS FROM THIS
LIGHT SNOW. SNOW ACROSS VERY FAR NORTHEAST NM TAPERS OFF EARLY
MONDAY MORNING WITH A WEAK NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT. FINALLY, LIGHT
SOUTH WINDS AND FRESH SNOWPACK WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
LIFR CONDITIONS FROM FREEZING FOG ACROSS THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY
AND THE CAPROCK OF SOUTHEAST NM MONDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1224 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
AFTER GUSTY WINDS AND GOOD OR BETTER VENTILATION OVER WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL AREAS TODAY, POOR VENTILATION WILL BE WIDESPREAD
THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD. BRIEF NORTHEAST WIND SHIFTS ARE FORECAST
ON THE EASTERN PLAINS TUESDAY AND MORESO THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 14 37 14 42 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... -1 38 4 43 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 8 36 12 43 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 4 40 7 48 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 9 39 17 47 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 6 42 9 50 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 7 38 13 45 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 17 38 22 46 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 13 39 19 47 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 11 50 15 58 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 16 52 18 60 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... -3 31 5 38 / 5 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 11 33 17 40 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 7 37 16 46 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 5 33 12 38 / 20 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 0 26 8 31 / 30 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... -6 32 1 38 / 20 0 0 0
TAOS............................ -1 34 3 42 / 20 0 0 0
MORA............................ 7 42 15 47 / 5 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 7 39 9 47 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 12 33 17 41 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 9 34 13 42 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 20 39 24 46 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 19 41 19 48 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 16 44 18 50 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 19 42 19 49 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 11 42 12 47 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 16 41 18 47 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 13 42 14 49 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 16 42 17 48 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 14 42 15 48 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 18 37 21 43 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 18 42 18 48 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 17 44 18 49 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 14 34 19 40 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 15 34 19 41 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 9 35 14 43 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 3 37 7 44 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 7 32 14 40 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 10 35 14 43 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 8 35 12 43 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 9 35 14 43 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 8 32 15 41 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... -2 39 13 45 / 40 0 0 0
RATON........................... -2 42 10 47 / 30 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ -1 46 9 49 / 20 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 4 40 14 48 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 3 42 20 49 / 40 0 0 0
ROY............................. 1 39 14 48 / 10 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 4 42 12 51 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 4 39 17 48 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 1 38 11 48 / 5 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 1 30 11 45 / 5 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ -1 30 9 43 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 0 33 4 47 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... -2 26 0 36 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 4 33 11 45 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 4 36 11 49 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST MONDAY FOR NMZ212-216>218-
221>234-239.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MST MONDAY FOR NMZ235>238-240.
SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...71
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