938
FXUS65 KABQ 111102 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
402 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 352 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
- LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE EXISTS THAT PATCHES OF FREEZING FOG WILL
RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND
WESTERN VALLEY LOCATIONS EARLY THIS MORNING.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING
ABOVE AVERAGE AREAWIDE BY MID WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1248 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
AN H5 LOW PIVOTING EAST ACROSS NORTHWEST MX AND AN H5 RIDGE BUILDING
ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL FOCUS A COL OVER NM TODAY. MAX TEMPS WILL
TREND SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER WITH LIGHT WINDS AND FASTER SNOWMELT.
LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH STRONG TEMP INVERSIONS AGAIN
ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST. NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH
EVEN WARMER TEMPS. A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST NM
AND ALLOW FOR SLIGHT WEST/SOUTHWEST BREEZES ACROSS THE PLAINS. YET
ANOTHER NIGHT OF STRONG TEMP INVERSIONS WILL OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT OVER
THE NORTH AND WEST.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE
AMPLIFIED ACROSS NORTH AMERICA AS A 170KT SUBTROPICAL JET ENTERING
THE NORTH PACIFIC CRASHES INTO THE ALEUTIANS. THE H5 RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST BUILDS TO NEAR 590DM OVER NORTHERN CA WHILE AN H5
TROUGH DEEPENS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON A 140KT POLAR JET.
TUESDAY WILL CONTINUE TRENDING WARMER OVER NM WITH SLIGHT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST BREEZES OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. THE WAVIER UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN WILL FORCE A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS
INTO EASTERN NM BY WEDNESDAY. WARMER TEMPS WILL RETURN TO EASTERN
NM THURSDAY WITH A WEAK LEESIDE TROUGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE. A REINFORCING POLAR JET AND 1034MB SURFACE HIGH MOVING
SOUTH THRU THE GREAT PLAINS FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO FORCE A STRONGER
COLD FRONT INTO EASTERN NM. TEMPS WILL TREND COLDER AGAIN FOR THE
WEEKEND AREAWIDE. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A PERIOD OF LIGHT
SNOW ALONG THE CENTRAL MT CHAIN WITH THE COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ATTM.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 352 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
THERE IS A 5% CHANCE OF IFR FREEZING FOG IN A FEW VALLEY LOCALES
EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, LIGHT WINDS AND SKC WILL DOMINATE
THE AIRSPACE THE NEXT 24 HRS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE BREEZY NORTH
DRAINAGE WINDS AT KSAF DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1248 AM MST SUN JAN 11 2026
THERE ARE NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THRU TUESDAY WITH
DAILY TEMP INVERSIONS, LIGHT WINDS, WEAK MIXING, POOR VENT RATES,
AND ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST. A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT WILL ENTER EASTERN NM WEDNESDAY WITH A BRIEF COOL DOWN AND
BREEZY NORTH WINDS. WARMING WILL RETURN THURSDAY WITH BREEZY WEST
WINDS FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER COLD FRONT FRIDAY. TEMPS ARE LIKELY TO
COOL BELOW NORMAL AGAIN FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 40 17 43 18 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 48 13 52 15 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 41 15 46 18 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 45 6 47 9 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 42 13 49 17 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 45 8 50 12 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 42 10 48 15 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 42 22 46 26 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 41 17 47 21 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 49 12 55 16 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 56 16 58 18 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 42 17 48 19 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 40 23 46 28 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 43 20 53 24 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 40 21 46 24 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 34 12 43 13 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 39 -6 46 1 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 42 10 50 13 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 47 19 54 22 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 44 14 52 19 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 41 21 48 26 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 43 18 50 23 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 44 26 48 29 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 46 23 51 26 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 48 19 52 24 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 46 22 50 27 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 46 12 49 17 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 47 23 51 26 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 46 13 50 19 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 48 21 52 25 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 47 14 49 20 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 44 24 47 27 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 46 23 50 27 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 49 20 52 25 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 40 23 45 27 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 42 24 45 27 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 44 18 47 24 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 46 9 51 18 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 42 20 48 24 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 44 18 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 46 19 50 23 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 49 23 53 26 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 45 23 51 27 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 39 18 49 22 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 41 16 53 19 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 43 12 51 16 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 47 20 56 24 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 46 24 55 27 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 46 18 53 23 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 55 19 59 22 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 50 20 56 24 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 55 21 60 23 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 54 23 59 25 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 54 21 58 23 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 52 17 56 19 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 53 19 57 22 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 50 22 57 27 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 48 18 57 24 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...42
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