899
FXUS65 KABQ 261124
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
424 AM MST THU FEB 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 405 AM MST THU FEB 26 2026
- BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL CREATE
DIFFICULT CROSSWINDS.
- RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST IN MANY LOCATIONS THIS
WEEKEND AS LOWER ELEVATION TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 70S AND
MID 80S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM MST THU FEB 26 2026
A BACKDOOR FRONT HAS NUDGED INTO NORTHEASTERN NM TONIGHT AND WILL
SLIDE SOUTHWARD DOWN THE EASTERN PLAINS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING. THE PRESSURE AND TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FRONT ISN'T PARTICULARLY STRONG, BUT IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP HIGH
TEMPS BELOW RECORD LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON EASTERN NM. BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN NM ONCE
AGAIN, BUT 700MB WINDS ARE MUCH WEAKER THAN YESTERDAY SO NOT
EXPECTING MAX GUSTS TO BE AS HIGH IN AREAS LIKE THE CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS. QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY AS NORTHWEST FLOW
REMAINS OVER NEW MEXICO. WINDS WON'T BE QUITE AS STRONG AS THE PAST
COUPLE DAYS AND TEMPERATURES WILL RISE A COUPLE OF DEGREES IN MOST
AREAS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM MST THU FEB 26 2026
IT WILL BE A PLEASANT AND EXCEPTIONALLY WARM WEEKEND AROUND THE LAND
OF ENCHANTMENT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 70S AND 80S
AREAWIDE EVERYWHERE EXCEPT THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WHERE HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 60S. THERE WILL BE LIGHT WESTERLY BREEZES EACH DAY, WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILING.
THE RIDGE THAT WILL DOMINATE THE GREAT BASIN THIS WEEKEND WILL BEGIN
TO BREAK DOWN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A MOISTURE-STRAVED PACIFIC TROUGH
EJECTS INTO CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. BOTH THE GEFS AND EPS HAVE
TRENDED MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THIS TROUGH, BRINGING IT INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS AND EVENTUALLY OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO BY TUESDAY/TUESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS STILL A LOW CHANCE (~15%) THAT THE TROUGH STALLS OUT
AS IT CUTS OFF OVER NORTHERN MEXICO BUT THAT APPEARS LESS LIKELY
NOW. LIGHT RAIN/SNOW WILL FAVOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN NM, WITH
SEASONABLY HIGH SNOW LEVELS (8-9,000 FEET). AND VERY MINOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. LIS OF -1 TO -3C ALSO SUGGEST THERE COULD BE A FEW
RUMBLES OF THUNDER ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THIS STORM PASSES
THROUGH. THE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE LATER INTO THE
WEEK, WITH ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 405 AM MST THU FEB 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A
LIGHT NORTHERLY BREEZE IS PRESENT IN EASTERN NM IN THE WAKE OF A
WEAK COLD FRONT, WITH VERY LIGHT WINDS ELSEWHERE TONIGHT. STRONG
NORTHWEST BREEZES ARE LIKELY IN MOST AREAS BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 30 KTS COMMONPLACE AROUND THE
REGION. HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM IN FROM THE WEST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1231 AM MST THU FEB 26 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWEST BREEZES WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD ELEVATED
AND LOCALIZED NEAR-CRITCAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY IN CENTRAL
NM THEN IN EASTERN NM ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL TREND LOWER
TODAY INTO FRIDAY WITH SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES IN PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NM FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE VERY DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH
RECORD BREAKING WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER EACH DAY. MOISTURE BEGINS TO
INCREASE MONDAY AS A PACIFIC TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
SCATTERED RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL FAVOR THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE STATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF A FEW
STORMS IN EASTERN NM AS WELL. VENTILATION WILL BE A MIXED BAG OVER
THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH FAIR TO GOOD VENTILATION GENERALLY
PREVAILING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 68 32 67 32 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 65 23 63 26 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 64 32 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 69 27 70 26 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 66 35 68 34 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 70 28 72 27 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 67 35 71 35 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 71 41 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 67 37 70 37 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 75 35 79 36 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 80 39 84 40 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 58 24 57 26 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 64 39 65 41 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 66 37 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 60 31 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 51 25 53 25 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 57 19 58 17 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 64 24 65 26 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 64 33 67 35 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 70 32 73 35 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 66 37 67 38 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 69 33 71 34 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 70 43 73 44 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 74 41 75 42 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 75 38 77 39 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 73 41 75 41 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 78 35 77 36 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 73 39 76 41 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 76 35 77 35 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 73 40 76 40 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 76 36 77 35 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 69 39 71 42 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 73 40 76 41 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 80 43 80 44 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 66 40 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 66 41 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 67 38 70 39 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 71 33 73 31 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 65 33 67 36 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 69 39 70 40 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 69 39 71 41 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 73 43 76 47 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 68 45 70 46 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 65 29 66 32 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 71 26 70 27 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 72 27 73 27 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 68 31 70 35 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 69 35 72 39 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 69 32 71 36 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 77 34 79 37 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 75 38 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 77 35 78 37 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 76 39 77 42 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 77 37 78 40 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 78 39 79 41 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 83 43 85 43 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 79 45 81 46 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 77 43 82 44 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...16
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