370  
FXUS65 KABQ 250003 AAA  
AFDABQ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM  
603 PM MDT THU SEP 24 2020  
   
AVIATION
 
 
00Z TAF CYCLE  
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RECORD AND NEAR RECORD  
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL LEAD TO UNSEASONABLY STRONG  
ATMOSPHERIC MIXING WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY  
ACROSS THE EAST WHERE THERE WILL ALSO BE A LEE-SIDE SURFACE TROUGH.  
 
44  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION...251 PM MDT THU SEP 24 2020
 
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
CALM AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RECORD  
AND NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR MANY LOCALES  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A DRY AND GUSTY BACKDOOR FRONT WILL DESCEND  
INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. DRY AND COOLER WEATHER  
IS ANTICIPATED NEXT WEEK, AS BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS DIP INTO THE  
REGION FROM THE NORTHEAST STARTING WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...  
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN, WITH THE  
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST THROUGH NEW MEXICO IN THE SHORT TERM. THE  
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND BONE DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL RULE THE  
WEATHER THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND BEYOND. FEEBLE HIGH BASED  
CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE TRYING TO GROW OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST  
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL LIKELY ONLY PRODUCE A LITTLE  
VIRGA. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE COMFORTABLY COOL WITH A CLEAR SKY AND  
LIGHT WINDS. FRIDAY WILL BE VERY WARM TO HOT WITH NEAR RECORD OR  
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE! AROUND TWO DOZEN SITES COULD  
SET RECORD HIGHS.  
 
LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...  
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL LEAD TO DRIER AND WARMER  
WEATHER FOR NEW MEXICO, WITH MANY LOCALES REACHING NEAR RECORD AND  
POSSIBLY EXCEEDING RECORD TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY. A DRY BACKDOOR  
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DESCEND INTO EASTERN NM ON SUNDAY, DROPPING  
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS BY 10-15 DEGREES AND SEVERAL  
DEGREES ACROSS THE RGV. GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED IN THE WAKE OF  
THIS FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTS AND EASTWARD, WITH GAP WINDS  
REACHING THE RGV ON MONDAY. MOVING INTO TUESDAY, A POTENT STORM  
SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE MIDWEST, SETTING THE STAGE FOR TIGHT UPPER  
LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS AMPLIFIED  
SETUP WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES TO  
IMPACT NM THROUGH THE WEEK. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL AS  
ADDITIONAL BACKDOOR FRONTS DIP DOWN FROM SOUTHEAST CO WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR  
TO BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE CWA AS WE MOVE TOWARD THE WEEKEND.  
 
CHJ/12  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. AN  
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE OVER THE GREAT SOUTHWEST FOR THE  
FORESEEABLE FUTURE, BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES EVERYWHERE THROUGH SATURDAY. MANY RECORD HIGHS COULD BE  
BROKEN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE DOWN  
THE EASTERN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT AND PROVIDE SOME COOLING TO THE  
EAST SUNDAY. A STRONGER FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT WILL PROGRESS WEST ALL  
THE WAY TO THE ARIZONA BORDER BY SUNRISE MONDAY. ANOTHER BACK DOOR  
COLD FRONT MAY ARRIVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, BRINGING BELOW  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE.  
 
CHJ  
 

 
   
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NM Page Main Text Page