800
FXUS65 KABQ 261732
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1032 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1025 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
- FREEZING FOG IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT TRAVEL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST AREAS LATE THIS EVENING UNTIL MID MORNING ON
MONDAY, THEN AGAIN IN THE ROSWELL AREA MONDAY NIGHT.
- WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
WILL DROP AS LOW AS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO POSING A RISK TO
PEOPLE, PETS, PLANTS, AND PIPES.
- THE RECENT OUTBREAK OF SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON, AND
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
LARGE SCALE TROUGHING PATTERN REMAINS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CONUS WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE POLAR JET CLIPPING
NORTHEASTERN NM. SO WHILE WINTER WEATHER HAS EXITED A MAJORITY OF
THE STATE AND MANY AREAS SAW CLEAR SKIES TOWARD THE END OF SUNDAY,
THE NORTHEASTERN PLAINS FROM RATON TO CLAYTON ARE SEEING AN
ADDITIONAL LIGHT DUSTING OF SNOW TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE SHOULD BE
EXITING INTO TX COME SUNRISE LATER THIS MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A LOW
TO MODERATE CHANCE FOR FREEZING FOG DEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NM. SOME LOOKS TO HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER ISOLATED
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY AND THE FOOTHILLS WITHIN THE
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY. ADDITIONAL EXPANSION OF THIS IS MOST LIKELY
WITHIN THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY FROM FORT SUMNER SOUTHWARD TO ROSWELL.
FREEZING FOG IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THESE SAME AREAS AGAIN
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
ELSEWHERE, THE COMBINATION OF FRESH COLD SNOW ON THE GROUND AND THE
REMNANTS OF THE NOW SLIGHTLY MODIFIED ARCTIC AIRMASS IS ALLOWING
WIND CHILLS TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE-DIGITS TO BELOW ZERO OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS OF NM. IN FACT, CLOVIS IS ALREADY REPORTING A WIND
CHILL OF -12F AND ROSWELL IS REPORTING -5F THIS HOUR WHERE EXTREME
COLD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. BREEZY TO WINDY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE
ALSO REACHING ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM THIS HOUR WITH
SOME LOCATIONS FROM FARMINGTON TO SANTA FE TO CLINES CORNERS TO
RUIDOSO REPORTING GUSTS OF 20-30MPH. DESPITE THE LOWER AMOUNTS OF
SNOW OBSERVED IN THESE AREAS (ASIDE FROM THE 30+ INCHES ATOP SIERRA
BLANCA NEAR RUIDOSO!) THESE VERY DRY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO
DIP WIND CHILLS A GOOD AMOUNT TONIGHT AS WELL. COLD WEATHER
ADVISORIES DO EXTEND ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PLAINS, CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS AND INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM SANTA FE TO TAOS,
INCLUDING AT GRANTS.
THE BITTER COLD FINALLY WARMS UP A TAD BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. MANY
AREAS WILL SEE AT LEAST A FEW DEGREE WARMUP RELATIVE TO SUNDAY'S
READINGS, BUT HIGHS AREAWIDE WILL REMAIN 10F-15F BELOW NORMAL. IN
FACT, THOSE EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THAT SAW SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL SEE LITTLE TO NO
WARMUP WITH HIGHS REMAINING 25F-30F BELOW NORMAL IN THE MID-TO-UPPER
20S. MONDAY NIGHT WILL SEE LESS WINDS, BUT LOW TEMPERATURES FALL
INTO THE SINGLE-DIGITS FOR MANY WESTERN AND NORTHERN VALLEY LOCALES
AS WELL AS OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL PLAINS FROM CLOVIS TO FORT SUMNER
TO ROSWELL AGAIN. ANOTHER ROUND OF COLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED AGAIN. TUESDAY FINALLY SEES A MORE NOTABLE WARMUP
WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO CLIMB ANOTHER 5F TO 10F AREAWIDE INTO THE 40S
AND 50S. AREAS AROUND ROSWELL TO CLOVIS WILL FINALLY REACH ABOVE
FREEZING!
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
A FLATTENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES WEST TO EAST ACROSS NM
WEDNESDAY, CONTINUING THE WARMING TREND. A WEAK SHORTWAVE THEN LOOKS
TO CROSS NORTHERN NM THURSDAY PLATEAUING THE WARMING TREND, BRINGING
LITTLE TO NO HOPE FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH IT. THEREAFTER, A
MORE NOTABLE COLD FRONT HAS A MODERATE CHANCE TO BACK INTO EASTERN
NM FRIDAY. GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SPORTING ANOTHER
POTENT 520DM H5 POLAR LOW INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND MIDWEST REGION.
AN ASSOCIATED VORTLOBE STRETCHING WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS
WILL SEND SOUTHWARD THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT, BUT THERE ARE
DISPARITIES WITH ITS STRENGTH AND LOCATION. THE MAIN TAKEAWAY AT THE
TIME OF THIS WRITING IS THAT THE MAJORITY OF ANY CANADIAN OR ARCTIC
AIRMASS LOOKS TO STAY WELL EAST OF THE STATE, LEAVING ONLY A MODEST
COOL DOWN INTO THE 30S AND 40S ACROSS NM FOR FRIDAY. LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION IS ALSO FAVORED WITH THIS LATE WEEK WEATHER FEATURE AS
WELL. IN FACT, DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AND
INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT HOPE FOR SHOWERS REACHING INTO
SOUTHERN NM NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1025 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
FREEZING FOG HAS SLOWLY BEEN ERODING ALONG THE LOWER PECOS RIVER
VALLEY IN CHAVES COUNTY THIS MORNING. SOME LOWER VISIBILITIES
STILL REMAIN NEAR KROW, BUT CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES SHOULD BE VFR
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. LIGHT TO BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS FOR MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS NEW MEXICO TODAY. SOME HIGH
COULDS WILL BE STREAMING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. FREEZING FOG IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
PECOS RIVER VALLEY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING, DROPPING CONDITIONS TO
LIFR AT KROW AND WITH VISIBILITIES OF 1/2 A MILE OR LESS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1208 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS, GIVEN THE BELOW
NORMAL COLD AND SNOW ACROSS A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE STATE. A
SIGNIFICANT DROP IN DEWPOINTS AND HUMIDITY IS ADVANCING THROUGH
WESTERN, NORTHERN, AND CENTRAL NM TONIGHT AND INTO THIS MORNING
HOWEVER. BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS DO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY. DRY CONDITIONS, A STEADY WARMING TREND THAT PLATEAUS
THURSDAY, MELTING SNOW IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS, AND SLIGHT
IMPROVEMENTS TO HUMIDITY AFTER TODAY ARE THE RULE THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 37 16 42 17 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 38 5 44 8 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 36 11 44 15 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 40 8 48 11 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 40 16 47 20 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 42 9 49 12 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 40 14 47 18 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 39 22 46 25 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 40 19 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 50 16 58 18 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 53 18 60 22 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 32 5 38 11 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 33 16 41 21 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 37 15 46 18 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 34 12 40 16 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 27 8 32 12 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 32 1 39 4 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 35 3 42 8 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 42 13 47 16 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 40 8 47 12 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 34 17 42 21 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 35 12 42 16 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 39 23 46 26 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 40 19 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 42 16 49 19 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 41 19 48 22 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 41 11 46 13 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 41 18 47 20 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 41 12 48 14 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 42 17 49 20 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 41 14 47 16 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 37 21 44 24 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 41 19 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 43 17 49 19 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 34 18 41 22 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 35 19 41 23 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 36 12 42 16 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 37 4 44 8 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 29 13 38 16 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 35 13 43 17 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 34 12 42 16 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 35 16 44 22 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 35 18 45 24 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 39 13 45 16 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 42 10 47 13 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 45 9 49 11 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 39 13 48 16 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 40 19 47 21 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 38 13 47 16 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 42 11 51 15 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 38 16 49 16 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 36 9 47 13 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 27 11 42 16 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 31 9 42 10 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 31 4 45 11 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 24 2 36 11 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 37 14 48 21 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 40 14 52 21 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY
FOR NMZ235>238.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...25
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