421
FXUS65 KABQ 262310 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
410 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 410 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
- WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS 5 BELOW BELOW ZERO WILL POSE A
RISK TO PEOPLE, PETS, PLANTS, AND PIPES IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TONIGHT.
- FREEZING FOG IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER
PECOS RIVER VALLEY IN CHAVES COUNTY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
TOMORROW MORNING, DROPPING VISIBILITY TO 1/2 A MILE OR LESS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ACROSS NEW MEXICO TODAY. YET,
DESPITE THE AMPLE SUNSHINE, THE WIDESPREAD SNOW ON THE GROUND AND
THE COLDER MODIFIED AIRMASS IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE STATE
TODAY. SOME AREAS SUCH AS ROSWELL, CLOVIS, AND PORTALES WILL BE
GOING ON 96 HOURS AND COUNTING WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE STATE, HIGHS LOOK TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 30S
AND LOW 40S. OVERALL, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 35
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TO 5 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO.
SYNOPTICALLY, LONGWAVE TROUGHING REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER EASTERN
CONUS, WHILE RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE PACIFIC COAST. THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SHORTWAVE FEATURE THAT CLIPPED NEW MEXICO LAST
NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO USHER IN DRIER NORTHWESTERLY AIR INTO THE
REGION, ALONG WITH SOME SLIGHTLY BREEZIER WNW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.
PRESSURE HEIGHTS WILL GENERALLY BE RISING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS A WESTERN RIDGE APPROACHES THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST,
RAISING TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY. SOME SPARSE UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THIS EVENING, WHICH MAY ALSO LIMIT THE
MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF RADIATIONAL COOLING FOR TONIGHT. AS A RESULT,
TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER IN SOME
AREAS. COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CHAVES
COUNTY PLAINS, DEBACA COUNTY, ROOSEVELT COUNTY, AND CURRY COUNTY
FOR TONIGHT WHERE TEMPERATURES MAY BE AS COLD AS 5 BELOW ZERO.
ACROSS THE STATE THERE WILL BE WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE TEENS AND
SINGLE DIGITS, BUT UNLIKE LAST NIGHT, ONLY VERY LOCALIZED
LOCATIONS WILL SEE NEGATIVE WIND CHILLS OR TEMPERATURES. FREEZING
FOG IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOWER PECOS RIVER
VALLEY IN CHAVES COUNTY, WHERE VISIBILITY DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS MAY FALL TO HALF A MILE OR LESS. AFTER THE FOG
ERODES IN THE MORNING, TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABLE TO HEAT UP
ENOUGH IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO FOR HIGHS TO CLIMB ABOVE
FREEZING FOR THE FIRST TIME IN SEVERAL DAYS. HIGHS FOR THE REST OF
THE STATE WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
THE WESTERN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL TRANSLATE EAST ACROSS THE STATE
ON WEDNESDAY, LEADING TO ANOTHER DAY OF WARMING TEMPERATURES (HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S). IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE RIDGE, A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO AND BRING
INCREASED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. A 1010 TO 1015 MB LEE SIDE SURFACE
LOW WILL ALSO AID IN CREATING SOME BREEZY WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS AND EAST-CENTRAL AREAS. A BACKDOOR FRONT THEN LOOKS TO
PUSH THROUGH EASTERN NEW MEXICO EARLY ON THURSDAY MORNING,
SHIFTING WINDS NORTH AND COOLING TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES. A
SECONDARY BACKDOOR PUSH (ASSOCIATED WITH AN ARCTIC FRONT DIGGING
INTO THE MIDWESTERN US) LOOKS TO MAKE IT THROUGH WEST TEXAS ON
FRIDAY, BUT THERE IS STILL SOME DISPARITIES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE ON WHETHER IT WILL EXTEND INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
ENSEMBLE CLUSTER ANALYSIS INDICATES INCREASED CHANCES OF UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING THROUGH THE WEEKEND, CONTINUING THE WARMING TREND
AND KEEPING THINGS DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 410 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
PREDOMINATELY VFR CONDITIONS, LIGHT WINDS, AND SOME HIGH CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT WITH TWO EXCEPTIONS. FIRST, BRISK DRAINAGE WIND AT KSAF
TUESDAY MORNING. SECOND, TODAY'S SNOWMELT WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW CLOUDS/MIST AND FREEZING FOG IN THE
LOWER PECOS RIVER VALLEY FROM FORT SUMNER SOUTHWARD, INCLUDING
KROW. MIST AND FREEZING FOG SHOULD BURN OFF MID TO LATE TUESDAY
MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1244 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR NEW MEXICO.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO USHER IN SOME DRIER AIR INTO THE
REGION, LOWERING MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE LOW 20S AND TEENS
FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HUMIDITY RECOVERS SLIGHTLY FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
VENTILATION RATES WILL GENERALLY BE POOR AREAWIDE THROUGHOUT THE
NEXT SEVEN DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SOME SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS IN EASTERN AND
NORTHERN AREAS FROM BREEZIER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY. DESPITE SOME
SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO IN THE MID TO LATE WEEK
PERIOD, MOST AREAS WILL SEE A WARMING TREND GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 16 42 17 46 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 5 44 8 49 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 11 44 15 48 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 8 48 11 52 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 16 47 20 51 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 9 49 12 54 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 14 47 18 54 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 22 46 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 19 48 23 51 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 16 58 18 59 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 18 60 22 61 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 5 38 11 43 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 16 41 21 44 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 15 46 18 50 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 12 40 16 44 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 8 32 12 37 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 1 39 4 43 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 3 42 8 46 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 13 47 16 54 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 8 47 12 50 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 17 42 21 45 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 12 42 16 44 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 23 46 26 47 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 19 47 22 49 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 16 49 19 50 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 19 48 22 49 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 11 46 13 47 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 18 47 20 49 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 12 48 14 49 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 17 49 20 50 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 14 47 16 48 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 21 44 24 45 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 19 47 22 49 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 17 49 19 50 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 18 41 22 43 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 19 41 23 43 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 12 42 16 46 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 4 44 8 47 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 13 38 16 43 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 13 43 17 46 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 12 42 16 46 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 16 44 22 47 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 18 45 24 49 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 13 45 16 50 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 10 47 13 50 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 9 49 11 54 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 13 48 16 52 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 19 47 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 13 47 16 50 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 11 51 15 55 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 16 49 16 54 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 9 47 13 54 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 11 42 16 48 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 9 42 10 48 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 4 45 11 48 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 2 36 11 41 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 14 48 21 52 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 14 52 21 57 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY
FOR NMZ235>238.
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...71
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