161
FXUS65 KABQ 022311 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
411 PM MST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 404 PM MST MON FEB 2 2026
- OVERALL PLEASANT WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES FORECAST THROUGH THE
NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH MODEST TEMPERATURE FLUCTUATIONS ACROSS EASTERN
NM LATE THIS WEEK.
- A DUSTING AND SNOW FLURRIES MAY DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST NM
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE, DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUE AREAWIDE.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM MST MON FEB 2 2026
OVERALL PLEASANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH ONLY MINOR SENSIBLE WEATHER
IMPACTS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NM TO START THE WORK
WEEK. A MODEST SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING UT/CO WILL CLIP
NORTHEASTERN NM TONIGHT. THIS IS BRINGING BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY TO
WESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH MODEST GUSTS OF
15 TO 25 MPH, LOCALLY HIGHER TO THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. THESE WINDS
WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN NM. IN THE
MEANTIME, THE FREEZING FOG THAT DEVELOPED ALONG THE PECOS RIVER NEAR
ROSWELL TO ARTESIA IS NEARLY BURNED OFF THIS HOUR, AND NOT EXPECTED
TO RETURN TONIGHT. GIVEN THE PERSISTENT SNOW ON THE GROUND AND PRIOR
DAYS STILL BEING COOLER, DID COME DOWN ON TODAY'S FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 40S TO LOW 50S NEAR AND SOUTH OF ROSWELL.
YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOOKS TO PUSH SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
ROCKIES ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A LARGE REX-BLOCK PATTERN ALONG
THE PACIFIC COAST. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF BREEZY TO
LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG THE HIGHLANDS DUE TO THE LEE-SIDE
SURFACE LOW SETTING UP EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO'S.
WINDS QUICKLY TURN NORTHERLY TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN NM. THIS WILL BE A
MODEST COLD FRONT BRINGING A MODEST EAST CANYON WIND THRU THE GAPS
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO SANTA FE,
ALBUQUERQUE, AND LOCALLY STRONGER AT CARRIZOZO. COOLER TEMPERATURES
FILL INTO EASTERN NM AS WELL.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM MST MON FEB 2 2026
WEDNESDAY SEES THE COLD FRONT WASHOUT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FALLING
BACK INTO THE 50S FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NM. THIS MIGHT END UP BEING
FAIRLY CONSISTENT FOR ROSWELL GIVEN THE SUPPRESSED HIGH TEMPERATURES
THERE FROM THE STILL MELTING SNOW IN THE AREA. CALM CONDITIONS AND A
GENERAL WARMING TREND TAKE HOLD THEREAFTER THRU THE REST OF THE WEEK
AS THE RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REX-BLOCK PATTERN TO THE WEST OF
THE REGION SLIDES OVER NM AND FLATTENS.
THE EXTENDED PERIOD FEATURES BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
RETURNING TO THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT AS GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
ADVERTISING A PACIFIC LOW CROSS THE REGION LATE NEXT WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 404 PM MST MON FEB 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO WITH JUST HIGH, FAIR WEATHER CIRRUS CLOUDS MOVING
OVERHEAD. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE BEING OBSERVED,
ESPECIALLY IN THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS (KCQC TO KSXU) WHERE GUSTS OF
30 TO 35 KT ARE OCCURRING. A COLD FRONT IS ALSO ENTERING
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND PUSHING INTO EAST CENTRAL AREAS WHERE
ADDITIONAL GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KT WILL OCCUR FROM THE NORTH. WINDS
WILL SETTLE DOWN TOWARD DAWN TUESDAY WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE (10 TO
20 KT) BEING COMMON THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHILE SKIES GRADUALLY
CLEAR. LOW LAYER MOISTURE WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT IN THE PECOS VALLEY TUESDAY MORNING, SO VISIBILITY IS
MODELED TO STAY AT 6 MILES OR MORE AROUND KROW AND SURROUNDING
AREAS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1156 AM MST MON FEB 2 2026
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FAVORING THE HIGHLANDS ADJACENT TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN WHERE BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE PRESENT
EACH AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT BRINGS A NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY WIND
SHIFT TO EASTERN AND CENTRAL NM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
BEFORE WINDS WASH OUT AND TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY. LIGHT WINDS,
AFTERNOON BREEZES, AND A GENERAL WARMING TREND ARE THE RULE THURSDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 24 55 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 16 55 17 54 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 22 53 22 49 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 13 57 17 54 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 25 55 26 50 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 15 58 17 52 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 25 56 24 53 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 31 57 30 49 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 28 56 27 48 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 26 65 25 62 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 30 70 28 68 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 18 48 18 47 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 29 51 27 45 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 24 53 22 47 / 0 0 10 10
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 24 49 22 45 / 0 0 5 5
RED RIVER....................... 19 41 16 37 / 0 0 10 10
ANGEL FIRE...................... 12 46 9 42 / 0 0 10 10
TAOS............................ 18 52 18 49 / 0 0 0 5
MORA............................ 22 55 19 47 / 0 0 10 10
ESPANOLA........................ 23 58 22 53 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 29 52 27 47 / 0 0 0 5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 27 55 24 49 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 34 58 33 53 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 32 60 31 55 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 26 62 27 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 31 62 30 55 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 23 61 21 55 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 30 62 28 55 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 22 62 22 56 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 29 62 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 24 61 23 55 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 32 57 32 51 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 31 62 30 55 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 32 64 31 58 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 30 52 28 47 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 31 54 29 48 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 26 56 26 48 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 21 57 22 50 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 25 52 24 44 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 26 57 25 48 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 27 57 27 49 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 32 60 31 53 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 30 56 28 45 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 21 53 21 42 / 0 0 10 10
RATON........................... 19 56 20 46 / 0 0 10 5
SPRINGER........................ 19 60 20 49 / 0 0 10 10
LAS VEGAS....................... 23 57 21 47 / 0 0 0 10
CLAYTON......................... 28 59 29 48 / 0 0 10 10
ROY............................. 23 57 25 48 / 0 0 10 10
CONCHAS......................... 25 64 28 55 / 0 0 0 10
SANTA ROSA...................... 27 62 29 50 / 0 0 0 10
TUCUMCARI....................... 26 62 28 55 / 0 0 0 10
CLOVIS.......................... 30 60 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 29 62 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 27 60 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 32 57 30 55 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 32 61 32 52 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 29 62 28 50 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...52
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