123
FXUS65 KABQ 162347 AAA
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
447 PM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 433 PM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
- HIGH WINDS WILL FAVOR AREAS ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS AND CENTRAL HIGHLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH ERRATICALLY TIMED AND PLACED GUSTS OF 45
TO 60 MPH CREATING HAZARDOUS CROSSWINDS ON AREA HIGHWAYS.
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WITH NUMEROUS HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDS THREATENED ON TAP THRU THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1159 AM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
FAIRLY TRANQUIL AND BENIGN WEATHER HOLDS ONTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WESTERN EDGE OF A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE NOSES IN FROM THE WEST. SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE
PRESENT ALONG THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AIDED BY A WEAK 1005MB MSLP
SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHEASTERN NM THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY 10F TO 20F.
AFTER ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT TONIGHT, THE LEADING EDGE OF A 115KT H5
JETMAX WITH CROSS OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST FOCUSED OVER UT/WY/CO.
THE RIGHT EXIT AND GRADUALLY SOUTHERN PORTION OF THIS JETMAX WILL
CROSS NORTHERN NM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THRU THURSDAY MORNING. NUMERICAL
MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS FAIRLY AMPLIFIED MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY
CAPABLE OF PUSHING HIGH WIND GUSTS TO ERRATIC LOCATIONS AT ERRATIC
TIMES ALONG AND JUST LEE OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTS. A MORE
SUSTAINED PERIOD OF HIGH WIND GUSTS REACHING 55 TO 60 MPH WILL BE
SUPPORTED ALONG THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS INTO WESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY
FROM CLINES CORNERS TO VAUGHN ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 285. CROSS-SECTION
ANALYSIS SHOWS THESE WINDS MAY HOVER JUST OVER GROUND LEVEL AT
MANY LOCATIONS ALONG I-25 FROM LAS VEGAS TO RATON. GIVEN THE
CLOSENESS AND ERRATIC BEHAVIOR OF THIS TYPE OF WEATHER SETUP, HAVE
GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR FAVORED AREAS ALONG
THE EAST SLOPES OF AND SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MTS, AS WELL AS
THE ADJACENT NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS FROM RATON TO LAS VEGAS AND THE
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND GUADALUPE COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THRU
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL STEADILY TAPER OFF THRU THE DAY
THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT WILL BACK INTO NORTHEASTERN NM SHUTTING
DOWN THE HIGH WIND POTENTIAL. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO KNOCK BACK HIGH
TEMPERATURES 10F TO 15F INTO THE 50S THRU NORTHEASTERN NM, STILL
5F TO 10F ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 AM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
LIKELY RECORD HIGHS AT MANY LOCATIONS RETURNS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WITH DOWNSLOPE WESTERLIES FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT BACKS THRU EASTERN NM SUNDAY
AGAIN DROPPING HIGH TEMPERATURES AWAY FROM RECORD LEVELS BUT STILL
WELL ABOVE NORMAL THRU EASTERN NM. DRY, ABNORMALLY WARM WEATHER
PERSISTS MONDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND SLIDES EAST OF THE REGION
TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 433 PM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
JUST A FEW THIN HIGH FAIR WEATHER CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE CURRENTLY
BEING OBSERVED OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SURFACE
MOISTURE IS LOWER IN THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY, SO NO REDEVELOPMENT
OF LOW STRATUS OR FOG IS FORECAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT, LEADING TO BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOCUSED OVER THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND NEARBY HIGHLAND AREAS (KAXX, KRTN, KLVS,
KCQC, AND KSXU) WHERE THERE IS A MODERATE (50-70%) CHANCE OF
GUSTS OF 40 TO PERHAPS 50 KT. IN ADDITION TO MOUNTAIN WAVE
ACTIVITY NEAR THE PEAKS, LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO BE
COMMON DOWNSTREAM IN THE EASTERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1159 AM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
ABNORMALLY DRY AND WARM WEATHER PERSISTS THRU THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY ALL AFTERNOONS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LATE
WEDNESDAY THRU WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING WHEN ERRATICALLY
PLACED AND TIMED HIGH WIND GUSTS WILL IMPACT AREAS ALONG AND
IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTS STRETCHING SOUTHWARD
THRU THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 27 54 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 20 55 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 25 57 28 54 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 17 61 23 60 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 28 58 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 19 63 24 61 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 27 62 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 33 64 38 61 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 30 62 35 58 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 25 70 27 69 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 24 72 25 73 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 25 50 23 48 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 33 55 34 53 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 31 56 34 57 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 30 53 29 50 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 26 45 25 43 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 10 51 23 48 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 19 56 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 30 60 35 55 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 25 61 32 61 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 34 55 35 55 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 29 57 31 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 38 59 40 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 31 60 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 24 62 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 32 61 36 63 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 20 62 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 31 62 35 63 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 19 62 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 30 62 35 64 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 21 62 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 35 58 38 58 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 32 61 35 63 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 32 66 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 33 55 36 55 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 33 56 37 56 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 29 59 37 58 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 21 61 35 60 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 29 57 36 55 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 30 60 37 59 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 30 60 36 60 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 33 63 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 35 60 41 60 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 28 60 28 48 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 26 63 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 24 66 31 57 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 30 62 38 55 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 33 65 33 50 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 29 65 35 51 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 28 72 38 59 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 31 68 41 59 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 28 70 36 58 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 33 68 38 59 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 30 69 38 61 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 29 68 40 62 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 31 68 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 35 72 43 69 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 33 71 40 70 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR NMZ214-215-223-228-229-233.
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...52
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