361
FNUS75 KREV 150430
FWSREV
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK WELL FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
930 PM PDT THU MAY 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.
DISCUSSION
* TERRAIN DRIVEN DIURNAL WINDS FRIDAY WITH DRY AFTERNOON CONDITIONS
AND POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES.
* A SERIES OF DRY COLD FRONTS THIS WEEKEND WILL BRING BREEZY NORTH
WINDS, WITH A DECREASE IN TEMPERATURES, ESP ON SUNDAY.
* WHILE THE MAJORITY OF SCENARIOS KEEP THE BURN SITE DRY,
THERE IS A 5% CHANCE FOR A FEW SPRINKLES SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT,
BUT CHANCES FOR EVEN 0.01 INCH OF RAIN ARE SLIM TO NONE.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-73.
RH..................MIN 14-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 3-7 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CHC WETTING RAIN....0%.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
VENTILATION.........FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45-47.
RH..................MAX 30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
2 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CHC WETTING RAIN....0%.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR OVERNIGHT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62-65.
RH..................MIN 20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 3-7 MPH BECOMING NORTH 11-16 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHC WETTING RAIN....0%.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........POOR TO FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW WHITE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613699.0/REV
.DELDT 05/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ADWHITE@BLM.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page