988  
FNUS75 KREV 201328  
FWSREV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVIS CREEK PILE BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
730 PM PST TUE FEB 19 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ANOTHER FAST-MOVING STORM SYSTEM DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE BURN AREA  
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MORE SNOW SHOWERS, LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AND  
MODERATE WINDS. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FRIDAY,  
ANOTHER STORM IS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE WEEKEND.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........22 AT IGNITION...MAX 29-32.  
RH..................80% AT IGNITION...MIN 62-65%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-14 MPH WITH GUSTS 20-24 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....50%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL THEN 4300-4600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION.........POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 15-18  
RH..................MAX 88-92%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 18-22 MPH IN  
THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....15%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENTILATION.........POOR TO FAIR.  
HAINES INDEX........3.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 25-28.  
RH..................MIN 62-65%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH-NORTHEAST 10-14 MPH SHIFTING TO EAST-  
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....5%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5200 FT AGL IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION.........MARGINAL INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MLF/WALLMANN  
REQUESTED BY...ROSENDO ALVAREZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1901642.1/REV  
.DELDT 02/20/19  
.EMAIL ROSENDOAALVAREZ@FS.FED.US  
 
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