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FXUS65 KLKN 021836
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1136 AM PDT SAT MAY 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSEASONABLY WARM THIS WEEKEND
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW MONDAY AND TUESDAY
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BOTH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOON
* COOLING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND
NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA THIS WEEKEND, RESULTING IN
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE SEVEN TO NINE
DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 9,000 FEET MONDAY
MORNING, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 8,000 FEET MONDAY NIGHT. THE
MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
MONDAY EVENING. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF
RAIN OR MORE FOR LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 5
AM PDT MONDAY, MAY 4TH, 2026 UNTIL 5 AM PDT TUESDAY, MAY 5TH,
2026:
AUSTIN - 81%
SPRING CREEK - 68%
LAMOILLE - 67%
WINNEMUCCA - 61%
ELKO - 58%
TONOPAH - 58%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 56%
OWYHEE - 52%
JACKPOT - 51%
EUREKA - 47%
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SILVER STATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, RESULTING IN A WARMING
TREND. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE TWELVE TO FOURTEEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER THIS WEEKEND. HIGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A COOLING TREND MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE POSSIBILITY OF A
FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BOTH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH WIND GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED AT KELY
AND KTPH THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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