468
FXUS65 KLKN 211820
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1120 AM PDT THU MAY 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMING TREND TODAY AND FRIDAY
* UNSEASONABLY WARM SATURDAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
* CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE SILVER STATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES EACH AFTERNOON SATURDAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY WILL BE
AROUND TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A STORM
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 8,000 FEET TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 7,000 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL WEDNESDAY.
STRONG, GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED, MAINLY IN
CENTRAL NEVADA, FROM 10 AM PDT TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT
TUESDAY EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED. BLOWING DUST
WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT,
PARTICULARLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF
MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR HIGHER FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA ON TUESDAY, MAY 26TH, 2026:
RUTH - 75%
EUREKA - 65%
LUND - 60%
ROUND MOUNTAIN - 60%
ELY - 55%
RUBY LAKE - 55%
WEST WENDOVER - 50%
ELKO - 45%
TONOPAH - 40%
SPRING CREEK - 25%
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A WARMING TREND TODAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES EACH AFTERNOON
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING
STRONG, GUSTY WINDS TUESDAY. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN VALLEY
RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN PARTS OF CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INCREASE IN NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG, GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ANTICIPATED TUESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL
BE AROUND TEN DEGREES COOLER THAN MONDAY AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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