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FXUS65 KLKN 061818
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1118 AM PDT MON APR 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSEASONABLY WARM TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY
* GUSTY WINDS IN NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
EVENING
* CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
* ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES TONIGHT. A WEAK ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE SHOULD PASS
EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN IDAHO TUESDAY. THIS FEEBLE ATMOSPHERIC
IMPULSE WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE WEAK ATMOSPHERIC
DISTURBANCE SHOULD TIGHTEN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS
NEAR 40 MPH ARE LIKELY IN NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY EVENING. THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLOWLY PASS EASTWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
AN UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN PACIFIC THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THIS CYCLONE ALOFT WILL TURN
SOUTHWARD FRIDAY NIGHT, PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE
CALIFORNIA COASTLINE. THE UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WELL AHEAD OF THIS STORM SYSTEM MAY DRAW
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEVADA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY EVENING. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF
RAIN OR MORE FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING:
WINNEMUCCA - 70%
WELLS - 70%
SPRING CREEK - 65%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 65%
AUSTIN - 65%
CARLIN - 55%
ELKO - 45%
EUREKA - 35%
ELY - 20%
WEST WENDOVER - 5%
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY EVENING. MODERATE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REGARDING VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. AMD NOT SKED AT KTPH DUE TO LACK OF WIND AND
CEILOMETER DATA.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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