857
FXUS65 KLKN 052013
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
113 PM PDT TUE MAY 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW THROUGH THIS
EVENING
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE
* WARMING TREND WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: INCREASING CLOUDS HAVE CONTINUED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
INSTABILITY EXISTS AND HAVE PROMPTED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO
FORM ACROSS EASTERN ELKO COUNTY. THESE CELLS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING
TO THE SOUTH AND WEST AT ABOUT 20 TO 25 MPH. THESE CELLS ARE
PRODUCING A FEW STRIKES HERE AND THERE WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH SEEN
THUS FAR. SOME OF THE CELLS COULD GROW IN STRENGTH LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. THE
ACTIVITY WILL WANE THIS EVENING WITH CLOUDS SCATTERING OUT JUST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DIP INTO THE 30S AND
40S.
THE UPPER TROUGH THAT PASSED OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO
THE SOUTH AND CLOSING OFF OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TOMORROW.
RISING HEIGHTS DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE
IN STORE FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF
THE NORTH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 MPH. CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, MODELS ARE SHOWING UPPER RIDGING
MAINTAINING A GRIP ON THE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THIS WILL MEAN TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL
LEVELS THROUGH ABOUT FRIDAY WITH READINGS IN THE 70S AND 80S.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY
EACH AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. BY SUNDAY, HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB EVEN MORE WITH READINGS IN THE 80S FOR THE MOST PART. A
FEW NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES MAY BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONFIDENCE IN
THE WARMUP THROUGH THE PERIOD CONTINUES AT A MODERATE LEVEL. NO
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
ISOLD -TSRA REMAINS THE THREAT THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN TERMINALS WITH GUSTS TO 40KT
POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM. IN ADDITION, ANY STORM COULD BRING
TEMPORARY MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS WITH SOME BLDU
POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS TOMORROW WITH SOME
BREEZES TO 20KT.
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND
GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.
THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN SOUTHERN ELKO
COUNTY, NORTHERN WHITE PINE COUNTY, AND EUREKA COUNTY. OTHERWISE,
SKIES WILL CLEAR WITH GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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