688
FXUS65 KLKN 251907
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1207 PM PDT WED MAR 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* NEAR TO RECORD WARMTH CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA THRU THE WEEKEND
* STRONG WINDS OVER NORTHERN NV EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOON
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THRU THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: FOR THE FIRST TIME IN OVER A WEEK,
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT FORECAST FOR TOMORROW, THE
RESULT OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE OVER NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT. THE
RELIEF WILL BE SHORT LIVED HOWEVER, AS SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES,
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO THE 70S FOR THE WEEKEND.
COOLING CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST TO START NEXT WEEK AS LONG RANGE
MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRENGTHENING
JUST OFF THE PACIFIC COAST. INITIALLY THIS SYSTEM WILL FUNNEL
PACIFIC MOISTURE ONSHORE, BEFORE BEGINNING TO TRAVEL ONSHORE TO
DIRECTLY IMPACT THE COVERAGE AREA BY MIDWEEK. PRECIPITATION
POTENTIAL REMAINS SIGNIFICANT, WITH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
HAVING A 15% CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DURING AT LEAST ONE SIX HOUR
PERIOD MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH MUCH STRONGER POTENTIAL IN
NORTHERN NEVADA.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TEMPORARY
COOLING THEN CONTINUED NEAR TO RECORD TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND. LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN ONSET TIMING. BLENDED
NBM WITH NBM 25TH IN THE USUAL COLD VALLEYS FOR TONIGHT’S LOW
TEMPERATURES AS BASE NBM HAS BEEN RUNNING WARM AGAIN.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS, WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS UP TO 25KT AT ALL SITES
EXCEPT KTPH. A FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS KWMC/KBAM/KEKO/KENV WILL
ALSO RESULT IN A TRANSITION TO LIGHTER NORTHERLY WINDS DURING THE
LATE EVENING HOURS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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