808
FXUS65 KLKN 180701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSEASONABLY WARM BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON
* COOLING TREND THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
* VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: ALL MODELS ARE DEPICTING AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DIVING TO THE SOUTH FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
STATES TO JUST OFF THE COAST OF WESTERN CALIFORNIA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 40 MPH.
HIGHS WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER WITH READINGS IN THE 50S AND
60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S.
A SLOW FORWARD PROGRESSION IS IN STORE FOR THIS STORM SYSTEM AS IT
TRIES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY. VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ARE LIKELY
EACH DAY. THE ESTIMATED THREE DAY FORECAST AMOUNTS FOR PRECIPITATION
AND SNOWFALL ARE COMING IN AROUND ONE-HALF TO TWO-THIRDS OF AN INCH
OF RAINFALL IN THE VALLEYS WITH ONE TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS
THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS. AFTERNOON HIGHS BOTH OF
THESE DAYS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
30S AND 40S.
THE SYSTEM MAY BE EXITING EAST BY THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WEEK.
HIGHS WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE, WITH READINGS IN THE 50S AND 60S
AND LOWS IN THE 30S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
SHORT TERM GRIDS AS NBM IS HANDLING THE FORECAST WELL. CONFIDENCE
IN THE FORECAST REMAINS HIGH THROUGH MONDAY. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES
TO BE MODERATE WITH RESPECT TO THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE
FORECAST NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE CHANCES OF A COLD FRONT
LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH THIS
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE TWO TO FOUR DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN
PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...86
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