550
FXUS65 KLKN 201642
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
942 AM PDT SUN SEP 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING
* LIGHT RAINFALL IS LIKELY IN EASTERN NEVADA TUESDAY
* WARMING TREND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS
EASTWARD OVER THE SILVER STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AN
EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MAKE
LANDFALL IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA MONDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF
THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PUMP ENOUGH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY TO SUPPORT THE FORMATION OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
STRONG. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR
50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.
THE AFOREMENTIONED CYCLONE ALOFT WILL OPEN UP INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA TUESDAY,
RESULTING IN THE LIKELIHOOD OF LIGHT RAINFALL. WHITE PINE COUNTY
MAY RECEIVE WETTING RAINFALL, BUT RAIN AMOUNTS IS OTHER LOCATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND. BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. BREEZES SHOULD INCREASE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL NEVADA
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING THE LIKELIHOOD OF LIGHT RAINFALL IN EASTERN NEVADA
TUESDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A WARMING TREND WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS
WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES. LIGHT RAINFALL IS LIKELY IN EASTERN NEVADA
TUESDAY. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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