919
FXUS65 KLKN 311734
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1034 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* COOLING TREND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
* PERIODS OF RAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING, RESULTING IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
EASTERN NEVADA. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG. THE
PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. A COOLING TREND IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE SEVEN
TO NINE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
COAST OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THURSDAY. THIS CYCLONE ALOFT WILL
MEANDER AROUND THE COAST OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE LOCATED IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC, JUST WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THESE TWO STORM SYSTEMS MAY INTERACT
WITH EACH OTHER, DRAWING ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE NORTHWARD. AT THIS
TIME, LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THIS SCENARIO. TIMING,
COVERAGE, AND EXTENT OF ANY PRECIPITATION LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL NEED TO BE FURTHER REFINED IN THE UPCOMING
FEW DAYS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A
COOLING TREND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN
PERIODS OF RAIN THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF KEKO,
KELY, AND KBAM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. DIRECT
THUNDERSTORM IMPACT CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS
WILL BE ERRATIC WIND GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY TUESDAY DUE TO SOUTHWEST WIND
GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS
12 PERCENT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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