175
FXUS65 KLKN 181957
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1257 PM PDT MON MAY 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD WITH BELOW NORMAL READINGS AT ALL
LOCATIONS TODAY
* A SLOW WARMUP WILL START TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK
* STORM SYSTEM WILL CLIP NV THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MAY BRING A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS.
* MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND LOOKING QUIET WITH LIGHT WINDS AND HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
QUIET WEATHER RETURNS THIS WEEK AS NW FLOW ALOFT LOOKS TO KEEP NV
DRY, ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK INTO THE 80S BY THE
WEEKEND. OVERALL WEAK TROUGHING PATTERN OVER THE INTERIOR MOUNTAIN
WEST WILL KEEP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE GREAT BASIN
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK TO BE DRY WITH
LIGHT TO BREEZY NW WINDS. THURSDAY A QUICK MOVING UPPER TROUGH
WILL RIDE THE NW FLOW, BRINGING A WIND SHIFT LINE THROUGH NEVADA,
BUT MODELS KEEP THIS SYSTEM FAR ENOUGH TO THE NE THAT ONLY THE FAR
NE ELKO COUNTY COULD SEE A 10% CHANCE FOR A LIGHT SHOWER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, THIS FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS CENTRAL NV AND THIS MAY
BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE A ISOLATED SHOWER FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF N NYE
COUNTY FRIDAY. AFTER FRIDAY DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND
LASTING THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY. THE MAIN STORY THIS WEEK WILL BE
THE TEMPERATURES AS THE COLD AIR MASS LEFT IN THE WAKE OF SUNDAYS
STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO MODIFY AND WARM. HIGHS WILL START COOL IN
THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S MONDAY AFTERNOON AND WARM THROUGH THE
WEEK BACK INTO THE MID 70S TO MID 80S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS
WILL GRADUALLY WARM AS WELL STARTING IN THE LOW 20S TO LOW 30S
TUESDAY MORNING THE RISING BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO MID 50S BY THE
SATURDAY MORNING.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR QUIET, DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES LASTING THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS FAR NE NV
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, AND FOR N NYE COUNTY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH PUSHES A WIND SHIFT LINE THROUGH NV.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT TO
BREEZY AFTERNOON NORTHERLY WINDS.
KEKO REMAINS AMD NOT SKED DUE TO COMMUNICATION DISRUPTION.
FIRE WEATHER
LOW FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT KEEPS QUIET DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES
FOR MOST OF THE WEEK. A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL TRY AND CLIP NV
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY, HOWEVER MODELS WANT TO KEEP THIS
SYSTEM WELL TO OUR NORTH, BUT THERE COULD BE A LOW 10% CHANCE FOR
AN ISOLATED SHOWER. SATURDAY THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY
LOOK TO BE QUIET WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70 TO LOW 80S. WINDS WILL
FEATURE LIGHT TO BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS, GENERALLY OUT OF THE WNW
AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...98
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