982
FXUS65 KLKN 260706 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1206 AM PDT TUE MAY 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG, GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS IN WHILE PINE, NORTHEASTERN
NYE, AND SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTIES TODAY
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS MAY PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY
* A FEW INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER
NEVADA, WITH THE CENTRAL PORTION OVER THE SILVER STATE. THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
BY THIS AFTERNOON, BRINGING IN COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS,
INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE WITH SPEEDS
REACHING UP TO 20-30 MPH, GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ACROSS CENTRAL
NEVADA IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL INTO
THE 70S BEHIND THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES COOLING INTO THE 50S TO 60S.
OVERNIGHT, TEMPERATURES DROP TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE
REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE RAIN IN THE VALLEYS WITH
MOUNTAIN SNOW AS SNOW LEVELS DROP TO JUST AROUND 6000 FEET. LATEST
MODEL RUNS SHOWING SLIGHT INCREASE TO PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH
PASSES AND SUMMITS ALONG US-50 SEEING UP TO A TRACE TO ONE INCH OF
SNOW OVERNIGHT.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, UPPER RIDGING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL CONUS
WILL STALL THE LOW PRESSURE'S MOVEMENT, KEEPING IT CENTERED OVER
NEVADA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THURSDAY, BECOMING MORE LOCALIZED ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA BY
FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES STAY COOL WITH HIGHS EXPECTED A COUPLE
OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THIS TIME OF YEAR IN THE 60S, YET MOUNTAIN
SNOW EXPECTED TO BE TRENDING DOWN EACH DAY AS SNOW LEVELS STAY
ABOVE 7500 FEET. WINDS WILL ALSO BE TRENDING DOWN WITH BREEZY
WINDS OVER EASTERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY, BECOMING LIGHT WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE LOW REMAINS CENTERED OVER
THE STATE.
SATURDAY, THE SYSTEM WILL PUSH NORTH MERGING INTO A LONGWAVE
TROUGH OVER CANADA. CHANCES FOR SOME LINGERING SHOWERS REMAIN
ACROSS THE STATE IN THE MORNING, BUT PROBABILITIES REMAIN LOW
BELOW 20% FOR ANY WETTING RAIN. BY THE AFTERNOON, QUIET WEATHER
CONDITIONS RETURN. WARMING TEMPERATURE TREND STARTING SATURDAY
WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE 70S. BY MONDAY, TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
REACH BACK INTO THE 80S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR STRONG, GUSTY
WINDS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY, WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF ACTIVE
WEATHER WITH THE PASSING COLD FRONT. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN
THE LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER NEVADA THROUGH FRIDAY.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS OVER ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY BE
BETWEEN 15-25 KTS, HOWEVER STRONGER WIND GUSTS EXPECTED UP TO 40
KTS. GUSTY WINDS MAY RESULT IN BLOWING DUST WHICH COULD LOWER VIS
BELOW 6SM.
FIRE WEATHER
STRONGER WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE TOWARDS CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY AS THE
STORM FRONT MOVES OVER THE SILVER STATE, RESULTING IN GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH OVER ZONES 425 AND 426. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE
ZONES, WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THOSE ZONES AS RH
VALUES DROP BELOW 15%, HOWEVER FUEL MOISTURE REMAINS ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLD.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT
THIS EVENING NVZ033>035-039-041
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page