729
FXUS65 KLKN 291754
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1054 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* SMOKE FROM AREA WILDFIRES CAUSING RESPIRATORY ISSUES OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY
* NEAR RECORD HEAT IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH
AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
* MODERATE RISK OF HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES FOR HEAT-SENSITIVE
GROUPS EACH AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST WILL SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE AIR QUALITY IS EXPECTED TO BE UNHEALTHY FOR
SENSITIVE GROUPS TODAY DUE TO SMOKE FROM AREA WILDFIRES. AN AIR
QUALITY ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND
GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES.
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CREEPS
CLOSER TO THE SILVER STATE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, THE HEAT WILL
BUILD. RECORD HEAT IS EXPECTED IN ELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NEAR
RECORD HEAT IS ANTICIPATED IN ELKO AND EUREKA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
RECORD HEAT IS EXPECTED IN ELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NEAR RECORD
HEAT IS ANTICIPATED IN ELKO, WINNEMUCCA, EUREKA, AND TONOPAH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RECORD HEAT IS EXPECTED IN ELY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. NEAR RECORD HEAT IS ANTICIPATED IN EUREKA AND TONOPAH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HEAT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES
OF TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA ON SATURDAY, AUGUST 1ST, 2026:
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 95%
CARLIN - 95%
ELKO - 90%
WINNEMUCCA - 90%
WEST WENDOVER - 90%
WELLS - 90%
SPRING CREEK - 80%
TONOPAH - 80%
ELY - 75%
EUREKA - 75%
HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND FIVE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE SEVEN TO NINE DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.
HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: MEDIUM FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING SMOKE FROM AREA WILDFIRES CAUSING RESPIRATORY ISSUES
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY. MEDIUM FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING
NEAR RECORD HEAT IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH
AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A
MODERATE RISK OF HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES FOR HEAT-SENSITIVE
GROUPS EACH AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO DEVIATIONS FROM
THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
MVFR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES DUE TO SMOKE AND HAZE AT KWMC,
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT
LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF
KELY AND KENV THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. DIRECT IMPACT
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL
BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND TEN DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
87
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