015
FXUS65 KLKN 101928
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1228 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSEASONABLY WARM TODAY AND FRIDAY
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY
* TURNING COOLER THIS WEEKEND
* NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: CALM WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE
THE DOMINANT FACTOR TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM
TEMPERATURES AS HIGHS WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TO NEAR
90 DEGREES. THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, SLIGHT CHANCES (10-30%) OF
SOME RAIN SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA AS TROPICAL
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF THE PACIFIC HURRICANES MOVE ACROSS
THE STATE TODAY. TRACE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION MAY REACH INTO THE
VALLEYS OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES COOL, BUT MUCH OF THE RAIN IS
EXPECTED OVER MOUNTAIN PEAKS. WEATHER CLEARS OUT FRIDAY TO SUNNY
CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WITH WINDS INCREASING IN
THE AFTERNOON UP TO 10-15 MPH, GUSTS 20-25 MPH AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST BEGINS TO PUSH INTO NORTHWESTERN CONUS,
TIGHTENING WEATHER GRADIENTS. BY SATURDAY, STRONG GUSTY WINDS
EXPECTED AS THE GRADIENTS TIGHTEN FURTHER WITH WIND SPEEDS UP TO
20-25 MPH, GUSTS UP TO 35-45 MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE
A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, BUT COOLER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE IN
KEEPING HIGHS IN THE 80S WITH MUCH OF THE COLD AIR REACHING BY
MIDNIGHT AS LOWS DROP INTO THE 40S WITH A FEW VALLEYS INTO THE 30S.
SUNDAY, WINDS WILL BE MUCH WEAKER WITH A FEW BREEZY GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOONS. TEMPERATURES SHIFT TO THE OPPOSITE
SPECTRUM WITH HIGHS NOW EXPECTED TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S-70S (80S FOR PARTS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA IN N. NYE COUNTY AND WHITE PINE COUNTY).
OVERNIGHT LOWS DROP TO NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND
40S WITH SOME VALLEYS BELOW FREEZING. MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO SEE
MUCH THE SAME AS SUNDAY WITH HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S TO 40S. BY TUESDAY AND INTO MID-
WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL SLIGHTLY WARM UP BUT STAY WITHIN NORMAL.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN REGARDS TO
WARM TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND
TOMORROW. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN STRONG GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN COOLER TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY BEING SEVERAL
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIODS WITH SOME SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS UP TO 10-12 KTS, GUSTS
20-25 KTS. TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF THE PACIFIC
HURRICANES INCREASING CHANCES FOR VCSH AND -SHRA CONDITIONS ACROSS
ALL TERMINAL THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
CALM WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS MOISTURE FROM
THE REMNANTS OF THE PACIFIC HURRICANES MOVE ACROSS NEVADA. CHANCE
OF WETTING RAIN REMAIN LOW WITH VALLEYS SEEING TRACE AMOUNTS, UP
TO 0.01 INCHES. A FEW MOUNTAIN PEAKS MAY SEE UP TO 0.1 INCH. FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL ZONES 11 AM TO 8 PM SATURDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTY WINDS REACHING UP TO
40-45 MPH AND LOW HUMIDITY. COOLING TEMPERATURE TREND THIS WEEKEND
WITH TEMPERATURES BEING SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH 18Z SATURDAY UNTIL 9Z SUNDAY FOR ZONES 424,
425, 426, 427, 437, 438, 469, AND 470.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
FIRE WEATHER...97
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