989
FXUS65 KLKN 160920
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PDT TUE JUL 16 2019
SYNOPSIS
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE
NEVADA AND IDAHO BORDER THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH
THE STATE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. GENERALLY SOUTHWEST FLOW
THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST LATER ON TODAY.
THIS ALONG WITH SOME MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA MAY BE ENOUGH TO INITIATE SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
ALONG THE NV/ID BORDER WITH HIGHER CHANCES ACROSS THE JARBIDGE
AREA. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN WEDNESDAY BUT VERY WARM SUMMER
TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST.
LONG TERM
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. DRY ACROSS THE CWA
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
WEAK TROUGH ENERGY LINGERING OVER NV TUESDAY NIGHT LIFTS UP INTO
IDAHO BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON LEAVING A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS
OVER THE CWA WITH TEMPERATURES IN MOST LOCATIONS BEING NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. CWA REMAINS DRY THURSDAY ON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH MINIMAL TEMPERATURE VARIATION FROM DAY TO DAY.
THAT SAID, TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY OVER FAR NORTHERN HUMBOLDT
AND ELKO COUNTIES SHOULD FALL OFF A FEW DEGREES FROM FRIDAY'S
HIGHS AS THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PASSES THROUGH THE PACIFIC
NW AND EXITS INTO THE ROCKIES.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
BEYOND. VERY WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS WEEK. EXPECT TYPICAL SUMMERTIME TEMPERATURES
AND AFTERNOON BREEZES WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING INTO THE 20 TO
25 KTS RANGE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A LITTLE MID- LEVEL MOISTURE
COULD TRIGGER AN ISOLATED MAINLY "DRY" VIRGA- TYPE SHOWER OR
STORM ALONG THE IDAHO BORDER IN NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN
STORM-FREE INTO THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
NEVADA WITH CRITICAL FUELS ACROSS THE STATE IN ALL BUT WHITE PINE
COUNTY. A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS
POSSIBLE NORTH OF I-80 MAINLY IN NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY ALONG THE
NV/ID BORDER. SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST LATE TODAY. LONG TERM FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE DRY
WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S AND CRITICALLY LOW DAYTIME
RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
93/96/96/93
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