677
FXUS65 KLKN 180731
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1231 AM PDT SAT APR 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IN PLACE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY, THOUGH
BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT SUNDAY
* NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN OVER NEVADA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY AND TUESDAY
* TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1212 AM PDT SAT APR 18 2026
CURRENT FORECAST IS TRACKING WELL AT THIS TIME AND NO UPDATES ARE
PLANNED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. ABOVE NORMAL BY A FEW
DEGREES INTO THE 70S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE LIGHT WITH SOME AFTERNOON BREEZES SUNDAY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
FROM THE SOUTH. BY MONDAY, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONG WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40-45 MPH FROM THE SOUTH OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. MONDAY
EVENING, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE PUSHED TO THE EAST AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN CONUS.
TUESDAY, TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS FROM THE LOW PRESSURE
MOVING IN OVER NEVADA WILL MAKE SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BE STRONGER AND MORE WIDESPREAD WITH SPEEDS UP TO 20-25 MPH,
GUSTS 45-50 MPH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND JUST NORTH OF THE US-50
CORRIDOR. THE WINDS WILL DISSIPATE AS SOON AS THE FRONT PASSES
WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR MORE PRECIPITATION MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN AS
TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS ABOVE 6000 FEET. MOUNTAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO SEE CHANCES OF SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT, INCREASING BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST AND
BEGIN TO DESTABILIZE ONCE IT'S OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS, BUT WILL
STILL GIVE CHANCES FOR MORE RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW, LASTING UNTIL
THURSDAY MORNING AS CHANCES PUSH TOWARDS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA.
DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO BELOW NORMAL IN THE 50S,
SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY AT OR ABOVE 6000 FEET STAYING IN
THE MOUNTAINS. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL
DESTABILIZE AND HEAD NORTHEAST, LEAVING A TRAILING TROUGH BEHIND
OVER NEVADA THAT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER BELOW NORMAL IN THE
50S.
FRIDAY, DISCREPANCIES IN THE MODELS INCREASE GREATLY WITH THE
OUTCOMES OF THE WEATHER CONDITIONS BEHIND THE LOW PRESSURE. THERE
IS AGREEMENT OF A TROUGH PATTERN STAYING OVER NEVADA, HOWEVER THE
MODELS DIFFER ON WHAT THIS PATTERN WILL DO WITH SOME SHOWING THE
PATTERN STAYING AS A WEAK TROUGH AND MORE WIDESPREAD, WHILE OTHERS
ARE SUGGESTING THE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE PACIFIC COAST
AND BRING IN MORE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. FOR NOW, THE MAIN
CONSENSUS IS FAIRER WEATHER FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK
TO NORMAL IN THE 60S.
AVIATION
DRY TODAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES TODAY, WITH PERIODS OF BKN120-150 LIKELY. WINDS OF 10KTS
OR LESS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KBAM KEKO AND KENV. FOR KELY AND
KTPH SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10G20KT ARE EXPECTED FROM 18Z-00Z. LIGHT
WINDS AT ALL TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...96
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