698
FXUS65 KLKN 272036
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
136 PM PDT WED MAY 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG, GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS IN EASTERN NEVADA TODAY
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
* MUCH COOLER TODAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS SITTING OVER
WESTERN NEVADA AND IS EXPECTED TO STAY THERE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. STRONG WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING IN EASTERN NEVADA
AS A RESULT OF THIS LOW AND A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. THE OUTER BANDS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE
EXPECTED TO BRING REPEATED ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. SOME OF THIS
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS,
WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO AROUND 7000 FEET SOME NIGHTS THIS
WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S WHILE THE
LOW PERSISTS, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S AND LOW 40S. A FEW OF
THE COLDEST VALLEYS WILL EVEN DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MOBILE AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY FRIDAY, MAKING
ITS EXIT TO THE NORTH AND EAST. NORTHWEST TO ZONAL FLOW WILL TAKE
ITS PLACE, ALLOWING DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP, WITH
HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 70S/LOW 80S BY TUESDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE REGARDING THE
STALLED LOW AND ITS IMPACTS AND TIMING. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN
PRECIPITATION TOTALS AS THEY CONTINUE TO CHANGE FROM SLIGHT
VARIANCES IN THE POSITIONING OF THE LOW. MODERATE CONFIDENCE
REGARDING TIMING OF THE LOW EXIT AND THE ONSET OF NORTHWEST OR
ZONAL FLOW. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO BASE NBM OUTPUT WITH THIS
FORECAST.
AVIATION
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL SITES
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AROUND KWMC/KBAM/KTPH AND ANY DIRECT IMPACTS WOULD RESULT IN SHORT
LIVED DEGRADED VISIBILITY AND CEILINGS, AS WELL AS VARIABLE STRONG
WINDS. PREVAILING DAYTIME GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30KT ARE EXPECTED AT
KWMC/KBAM/KEKO/KENV AND UP TO 40KT AT KELY.
FIRE WEATHER
CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER WESTERN NEVADA WILL
CONTINUE TO GIVE PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN SNOW OVER
THE WESTERN FIRE ZONES THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THE EVENING. STRONG
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AFFECTING THE EASTERN FIRE ZONES WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS UNTIL THE EVENING WITH A WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM
TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE EVENING
HOURS. TOMORROW, BREEZY WINDS OVER THE EASTERN ZONES AGAIN WITH
LOWER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN SNOW DURING THE DAY WITH
HIGHER RH VALUES ABOVE THRESHOLDS. OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING,
PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND AFFECT ALL
FIRE ZONES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ031-033>035-039.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...97
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