393
FXUS65 KLKN 010701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT WED JUL 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN NORTHEASTERN NEVADA EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING TODAY AND THURSDAY
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING
* WARMING TREND TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE EXPECTED TO
RIDE THE BROADER TROUGH THROUGH THE AREA BEGINNING TODAY, BRINGING
INCREASED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. ISOLATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
IS ANTICIPATED FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH CAPE VALUES AROUND 200-400 J/KG.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE SITTING AROUND HALF AN INCH WHICH
USUALLY INDICATES A DRY THUNDER THREAT. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE IN
BETWEEN SHORTWAVE IMPACTS, RESULTING IN A DRIER AND MUCH MORE
MARGINAL CONVECTIVE ATMOSPHERE. WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE
IN CENTRAL NEVADA ON THURSDAY, WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH. TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEK AND ESPECIALLY INCREASE THIS
WEEKEND AS THE TROUGH FINALLY GIVES WAY TO A RIDGING PATTERN. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOW TO MID 90S FOR THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGHS REMAINING IN THE LOW TO MID 90S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WARM
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN CONVECTION
TODAY, BUT LOW CONFIDENCE FOR THURSDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN CALM
WEATHER AFTER FRIDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND WINDS UNDER 10KT EXPECTED AT ALL SITES.
FIRE WEATHER
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING TODAY
AND THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY ANTECEDENT LOW RH VALUES COMBINED WITH
ELEVATED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH AND GUSTS OF 25-
30 MPH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 425/426/427, RESULTING IN AN ELEVATED
RISK OF WILDFIRES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...99
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