457
FXUS65 KLKN 061039
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
239 AM PST THU NOV 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 219 AM PST THU NOV 6 2025
* COOLER TODAY BEFORE A WARMING TREND BEGINS FRIDAY, PERSISTING
THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 219 AM PST THU NOV 6 2025
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE
REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: COOLER TEMPERATURES IN STORE TODAY AS A
RESULT OF YESTERDAYS FRONTAL PASSAGE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
MOSTLY BE IN THE 50S. ISOLATED AND LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW SHOWERS RETURN THIS EVENING ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80 AS
MODEST UPPER ENERGY PASSES THRU NORTHERN NEVADA. ANY RAIN ACCUMULATION
WILL BE LIGHT AND LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. CONDITIONS BECOME
DRY BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
WESTERN U.S. THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND THRU THE WEEKEND WITH
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE 60S BY SUNDAY. THIS
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THRU AT LEAST TUESDAY, WHEN MODEL
AGREEMENT BREAKS DOWN AND UNCERTAINTY INCREASES SHARPLY. THE
CURRENT INDICATION IS THAT ANOTHER STRONG TROF WILL BREAK DOWN THE
RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK, BUT THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM IS STILL VERY
MUCH IN FLUX.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORMATION
OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT LOW CONFIDENCE
REGARDING WHEN AND HOW IT WILL BREAK DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LIGHTER TODAY AND TONIGHT, RESIDING AROUND
10KT OR LESS AT ALL TERMINALS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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