034
FXUS65 KLKN 300701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT TUE JUN 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING
* WARMING TREND TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: PERSISTENT RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN US
WILL SLOW THE RETREAT OF THE TROUGH OVER THE WEST BUT A SLOW WARMING
TREND IS STILL EXPECTED, WITH HIGHS INCREASING TO THE 80S BY FRIDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL MOSTLY REMAIN DRY DURING THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH A WEAK
LOW CENTER RIDING THE TROUGH ON WEDNESDAY COULD SPARK SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY. WINDS WILL
MOSTLY BE LIGHT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THURSDAY WHEN BREEZY
CONDITIONS DEVELOP IN CENTRAL NEVADA. THE HIGH TO THE EAST
DIMINISHES BY THE WEEKEND, ALLOWING THE UPPER AIR PATTERN TO
PROGRESS AND RIDGING TO BEGIN TO RETURN TO THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO SPIKE FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, WITH TEMPERATURES
REACHING THE MID 90S AND SOME EARLY, LOW CONFIDENCE, EXCESSIVE HEAT
INDICATORS DEVELOPING. HEAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK,
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 90S AND BREEZY CONDITIONS RETURNING IN CENTRAL
NEVADA.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN INCREASING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN EXCESSIVE
HEAT POTENTIAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IS LOW. LOW CONFIDENCE IN
SHOWER AND THUNDER POTENTIAL ON WEDNESDAY, AND MODERATE CONFIDENCE
IN QUIET CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST. NO CHANGES WERE
MADE TO BASE NBM OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND WINDS LESS THAN 10KT AT ALL SITES TODAY.
FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS DRY OUT STARTING WEDNESDAY, IN CONNECTION WITH A WARMING
TREND. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN CENTRAL
NEVADA THURSDAY DUE TO WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT, WITH ABOUT A 20% CHANCE OF
WINDS INCREASING TO ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. WINDS DIE DOWN AGAIN
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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