308
FXUS65 KLKN 261627
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
927 AM PDT SAT SEP 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PARTS OF EASTERN NEVADA
SUNDAY
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN MOST OF EASTERN NEVADA
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING
* SHOWERS LIKELY IN EAST CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY
* WARMING TREND TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE LOCATED
BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND AN
EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE TWO TO FOUR DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
TONIGHT. AN UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM IN THE BASE
OF THIS TROUGH NEAR THE CENTRAL COAST OF CALIFORNIA SUNDAY.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PARTS OF EASTERN
NEVADA SUNDAY DUE TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.
THE AFOREMENTIONED CYCLONE ALOFT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA MONDAY, RESULTING IN THE LIKELIHOOD OF
SHOWERS IN EAST CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONCEIVABLE IN MOST OF EASTERN NEVADA MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS
WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A WARMING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON,
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE SIX TO
EIGHT DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PARTS OF EASTERN
NEVADA SUNDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE POSSIBILITY OF
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN MOST OF EASTERN NEVADA MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS IN EAST CENTRAL NEVADA
MONDAY. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A WARMING TREND TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED AT KELY
AND KTPH THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PARTS OF EASTERN
NEVADA SUNDAY DUE TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT. A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOST OF EASTERN NEVADA MONDAY. THE
PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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