370
FXUS65 KLKN 180701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT WED MAR 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1201 AM PDT WED MAR 18 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LARGE AND EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
AND NORTHERN MEXICO THIS WEEK. FURTHERMORE, MODEL SIMULATIONS
SHOW THIS ANTICYCLONE ALOFT MOVING EAST A LITTLE EACH DAY.
ADDITIONAL RECORD HIGHS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS MODELS SHOW
THE STRONG UPPER RIDGE REMAINING ATOP SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN ARIZONA. WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH
AFTERNOON BREEZES TO 25 MPH. THE FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN SEVERAL DEGREES GREATER THAN PREVIOUSLY SET DAILY RECORDS.
HERE ARE SOME PROBABILITIES FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 80
DEGREES FOR SELECT LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FOR
WEDNESDAY:
AUSTIN - 25%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 96%
ELKO - 75%
ELY - 35%
EUREKA - 30%
JACKPOT - 55%
JARBIDGE - 0%
OWYHEE - 30%
RUTH - 3%
SPRING CREEK - 25%
TONOPAH - 75%
WELLS - 25%
WEST WENDOVER - 65%
WILDHORSE RES - 0%
WINNEMUCCA - 75%
IT IS EXPECTED TO BE ALMOST SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURE-WISE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS LOWS ONLY COOL TO THE 40S AND 50S WITH LIGHT WINDS AND NO
APPRECIABLE WEATHER.
FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME AS THE UPPER RIDGE
DOMINATES THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH INTERMITTENT GUSTS
TO 20 MPH. SUNSHINE WILL ABOUND WITH MORE DAILY RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS IN THE 70S AND 80S. HERE ARE SOME
PROBABILITIES FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 80 DEGREES FOR
SELECT LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FOR THURSDAY:
AUSTIN - 40%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 100%
ELKO - 90%
ELY - 65%
EUREKA - 55%
JACKPOT - 75%
JARBIDGE - 0%
OWYHEE - 75%
RUTH - 10%
SPRING CREEK - 60%
TONOPAH - 100%
WELLS - 85%
WEST WENDOVER - 75%
WILDHORSE RES - 0%
WINNEMUCCA - 97%
QUIET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE
40S AND LOW 50S. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE WOBBLING SOUTH WITH A CENTER AROUND
SOUTHERN ARIZONA ON FRIDAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE ONCE AGAIN
EXPECTED TO BE IN RECORD TERRITORY. HERE ARE SOME PROBABILITIES
FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 80 DEGREES FOR SELECT LOCATIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FOR FRIDAY:
AUSTIN - 55%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 99%
ELKO - 99%
ELY - 80%
EUREKA - 80%
JACKPOT - 85%
JARBIDGE - 25%
OWYHEE - 90%
RUTH - 25%
SPRING CREEK - 95%
TONOPAH - 95%
WELLS - 90%
WEST WENDOVER - 75%
WILDHORSE RES - 5%
WINNEMUCCA - 96%
THE OVERNIGHT ON FRIDAY WILL BE SUMMER-LIKE WITH LOWS ONLY DIPPING
INTO THE 40S AND 50S. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
THE UPPER RIDGE IS SLIDE A LITTLE TO THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY. IT
WILL BE CENTERED AROUND NORTHERN MEXICO. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL
ONCE AGAIN BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 70S AND
LOW 80S. A FEW LOCATIONS COULD SEE ADDITIONAL RECORDS SET. HERE
ARE SOME PROBABILITIES FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 80
DEGREES FOR SELECT LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
FOR SATURDAY:
AUSTIN - 15%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 75%
ELKO - 50%
ELY - 40%
EUREKA - 20%
JACKPOT - 35%
JARBIDGE - 15%
OWYHEE - 25%
RUTH - 15%
SPRING CREEK - 25%
TONOPAH - 50%
WELLS - 45%
WEST WENDOVER - 80%
WILDHORSE RES - 4%
WINNEMUCCA - 55%
THE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTH THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH A WEST TO EAST FLOW SET UP MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THOUGH
READINGS WILL REMAIN IN THE 70S AND 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH AS A
STRONG RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS WILL BRING RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES TO MUCH
OF THE AREA. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CLIMATE
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WITH REGARDS TO A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEK. THIS WILL BRING WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS EVENTUALLY CLIMBING INTO THE 80S.
MULTIPLE, PROLONGED DAILY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK INCREASINGLY
LIKELY THIS WEEK. HERE ARE THE CURRENT SET OF RECORDS FOR THE FIVE
CLIMATE SITES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM MARCH 18-21.
ALSO INCLUDED ARE THE CURRENT FORECAST HIGH FOR EACH SITE FOR THE
DAY:
MARCH 18:
KEKO: 78/1910 81
KELY: 71/2007 80
KP68: 74/2004 81
KTPH: 75/2007 84
KWMC: 76/2004 82
MARCH 19:
KEKO: 74/1997 84
KELY: 73/1908 84
KP68: 74/1997 83
KTPH: 75/2004 86
KWMC: 79/1997 85
MARCH 20:
KEKO: 76/2004 86
KELY: 76/2004 85
KP68: 79/2004 87
KTPH: 79/2004 86
KWMC: 79/2004 87
MARCH 21:
KEKO: 78/2004 79
KELY: 76/2004 79
KP68: 79/2004 79
KTPH: 79/2004 82
KWMC: 80/2004 78
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
CLIMATE...86
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