175
FXUS65 KLKN 261649
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
949 AM PDT MON OCT 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING
* SLIGHT CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
* DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
* INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES THIS WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING,
RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW.
ANY PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE
WILL REMAIN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
HIGHEST NEAR THE NEVADA/IDAHO BORDER. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL
BE NO HIGHER THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR
40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. TRAVEL
WILL BE DIFFICULT, PARTICULARLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT IS ANTICIPATED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW
SEASONAL VALUES. AN EASTERN PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM MAY BEGIN TO
IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS THIS STORM
SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE SILVER STATE. SNOW LEVELS COULD DROP TO
THE VALLEY FLOOR SATURDAY NIGHT. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH OF SNOW OR MORE FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 5 PM PDT SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31ST, 2026
UNTIL 4 PM PDT SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1ST, 2026:
AUSTIN - 50%
EUREKA - 25%
ELY - 20%
LAMOILLE - 20%
OWYHEE - 20%
SPRING CREEK - 15%
TONOPAH - 10%
WELLS - 10%
ELKO - 5%
CARLIN - 5%
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE POSSIBILITY OF
VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING DRY AND
RELATIVELY COOL CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MODERATE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN INCREASING PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND. NO
DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING, RESULTING IN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW. ANY PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE NO HIGHER THAN ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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