003
FXUS65 KLKN 051842
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1142 AM PDT FRI JUN 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON
* CRITICAL FIRE DANGER SATURDAY
* MUCH COOLER SUNDAY
* CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND FIFTEEN DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. NEAR RECORD HEAT IS EXPECTED
IN ELY AND EUREKA THIS AFTERNOON. THE CURRENT RECORD FOR MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURE MEASURED IN ELY ON JUNE 5TH IS 91 DEGREES, SET IN
2016. THE CURRENT RECORD FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MEASURED IN
EUREKA ON JUNE 5TH IS 93 DEGREES, SET IN 2016. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 30
MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE SERVICE AREA SATURDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM
11 AM PDT SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO
SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE SEVEN TO NINE DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND TEN DEGREES
COOLER THAN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 10,000 FEET MONDAY
EVENING, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 9,000 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN NORTHERN NEVADA. HERE
ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN OR MORE FOR
SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT:
OWYHEE - 65%
JACKPOT - 60%
SPRING CREEK - 55%
MCDERMITT - 50%
OROVADA - 50%
ELKO - 40%
CARLIN - 40%
WELLS - 40%
WINNEMUCCA - 35%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 35%
DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WEDNESDAY
AND PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN CRITICAL FIRE DANGER SATURDAY. HIGH
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING MUCH COOLER WEATHER SUNDAY. MODERATE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS EXPECTED AT KEKO,
KWMC, KTPH, KELY, AND KBAM.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND
GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS
7 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 11 AM PDT SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH
AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
87
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page