434
FXUS65 KLKN 131828
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1128 AM PDT WED MAY 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EASTERN ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS IN THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MOST OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
* A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN
NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR EASTERN ELKO COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN NEVADA
UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING DUE TO SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT. A FEW STRONG
TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONCEIVABLE IN NORTHEASTERN
ELKO COUNTY, PARTICULARLY FROM JACKPOT TO WEST WENDOVER, THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA SUNDAY, RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. A
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE TWELVE TO FOURTEEN DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLOWLY BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY,
RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EASTERN ELKO COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN STRONG,
GUSTY WINDS IN THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A FEW
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEASTERN ELKO
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE
NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 KNOTS ANTICIPATED AT KENV THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 35
KNOTS EXPECTED AT KWMC, KEKO, AND KBAM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 KNOTS ANTICIPATED AT
KELY AND KTPH THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING DUE TO
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT. A COOLING TREND IS
ANTICIPATED THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 12 TO 14 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL VALUES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
NVZ030-031-034-036-038-039.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ033.
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