122
FXUS65 KLKN 270908
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
208 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY
* STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
* CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
* A FREEZE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE POTENTIAL OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING
* A FROST ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE
WASHINGTON STATE COASTLINE EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS MAINLY
HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE WA COAST THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT SOUTH
AND EAST TO CENTER OVER EASTERN OREGON BY THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG
H3 JET ENERGY OF AROUND 125KTS TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY,
RESULTING IN WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 50
MPH ACROSS MOST OF NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL NV FROM LATE THIS
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. WHILE RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH THE REGION NORTH OF I-80 TODAY, DRY
CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS SOUTH OF I-80 ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT
IN AREAS OF BLOWING DUST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. VISIBILITIES
MAY AT TIMES BE REDUCED TO 3 MILES OR LESS. MUCH COOLER TODAY WITH
HIGHS ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA IN THE 50S AND 60S.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WEAKENS TONIGHT AS IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT
SOUTH AND EAST. A COLD NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT WILL HELP LOW
TEMPERATURE DIP INTO THE 30S ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A FROST ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF ELKO COUNTY FOR TONIGHT.
THE COLD AIR MASS LINGERS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN SUNDAY WITH A
35% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA. REINFORCING LOW PRESSURE DIGGING SOUTH THROUGH CA SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY WILL HELP HOLD THE COLD AIR MASS OVER NV, WITH
LOW TEMPERATURES TRENDING STILL COLDER MONDAY MORNING, WHERE LOW
30S TO UPPER 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS
ACROSS BOTH NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV. BROAD TROUGH ENERGY CONTINUES
ACROSS THE WESTERN US THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK KEEPING
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IS GUSTY WEST
WIND TODAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NV TODAY. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE
OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL NV TODAY,
THOUGH RHS MAY ONLY LOWER INTO THE 15-20% RANGE ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF ZONES 425 AND 427. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE OF LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ACROSS ELKO COUNTY LOWERING INTO THE LOW TO
MID 30S. NO DEVIATION FROM THE NBM WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.
AVIATION
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION TODAY WITH
SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA, ALONG WITH A 15-25%
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AT KWMC, KBAM AND KEKO. STRONG WESTERLY
WINDS DEVELOP BY LATE THIS SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION, WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
INTO THIS EVENING. BLOWING DUST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NV
WHERE VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO 3SM OR LESS AT TIMES. LIGHTER
RAIN SHOWERS LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST TODAY ACROSS
MAINLY ZONES 437, 438, 469 AND 470. WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30
MPH AND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. STRONGEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ZONES 470, 425, 426 AND 427. DRY CONDITIONS
AND CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF CENTRAL NV, WITH RED FLAG WARNINGS IN EFFECT FROM 11AM
THROUGH 11PM TODAY IN ZONES 425, 426 AND 427.
MUCH COLDER TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LINGER ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NV ON
SUNDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO TREND COOLER THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEKEND.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM SATURDAY FOR NVZ425>427.
FREEZE WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING NVZ031-039.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
NVZ033>041.
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96
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