469
FXUS65 KLKN 140736
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1236 AM PDT SAT MAR 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM CLIPS NORTHERN NEVADA THIS WEEKEND.
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY WITH PATCHY BLOWING DUST POSSIBLE.
* TEMPERATURES WILL TURN COOLER FOR THE WEEKEND BUT WARMING WILL
RE-COMMENCE THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK.
* NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION INTO NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1226 AM PDT SAT MAR 14 2026
CURRENT FORECAST IS TRACKING WELL. NO UPDATES NEEDED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
THIS AFTERNOON AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL DIVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE
IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE. ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED WITH LIMITED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS SEEN ACROSS THOSE
LOCALES NORTH OF THE I-80 CORRIDOR. AT THIS TIME, FORECAST
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 0.10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE MAIN STORY WILL BE THE VERY STRONG WINDS.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY. MOST
LOCALES ARE IN A WIND ADVISORY WHERE WINDS WILL BE 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH, THOUGH A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY AND THE RUBY MOUNTAINS.
WINDS HERE ARE EXPECTED TO BE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AND THEN
DIMINISH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 60S TO LOW 70S. ANY
LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN THE NORTH THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA
SUNDAY WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS ON SATURDAY WITH
INTERMITTENT GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH ACROSS THE AREA. LOOK FOR COOLER
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS COOLER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S TO 60S. QUIET WEATHER
CONTINUES AT NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S.
ALL MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATING THE
WEATHER AS IT DRIFTS TO THE EAST FROM MONDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. THERE ARE STRONG INDICATIONS THAT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL
CLIMB TO RECORD TERRITORY NEXT WEEK WITH READINGS IN THE 70S,
CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 80S POSSIBLY BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND
LASTING THROUGH THE WEEK. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WITH REGARDS
TO THE INCOMING WAVE TO THE AREA. WITH RESPECT TO WINDS, CONTINUED
TO USE A BLEND OF 90 PERCENTILE WINDS AND NBM FORECAST FOR THE
WIND ADVISORY LOCATIONS WITH A BLEND OF 95TH PERCENTILE WINDS AND
NBM FORECAST FOR THE HIGH WIND WARNING. CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE,
THOUGH INCREASING, FOR THE BIG WARMUP NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE MAIN FLIGHT CATEGORY OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STRONG W-NW WINDS DEVELOP TODAY WITH SPEEDS
20-30G45KT ACROSS ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT KENV WHERE STRONGER WINDS
25-35G50-55KT ARE POSSIBLE. PATCHY BLDU MAY AFFECT TERMINALS
THROUGH THE DAY WITH REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY TO ONE MILE OR LESS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
NVZ030-035>038-040.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING NVZ031-033-034-039.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
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