585
FXUS65 KLKN 180949
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
149 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 116 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2025
* ON AND OFF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA
THROUGH TONIGHT
* LIGHT SNOW ON PASSES AND SUMMITS ALONG HIGHWAY 50 THROUGH
WEDNESDAY
* COOLING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 116 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2025
THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS
MORNING.
AVIATION UPDATE
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TODAY.
ISOLD/SCT -SHRA EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE
CENTRAL TERMINALS WITH MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS. WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15KT ACROSS ALL SITES.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM OVER CALIFORNIA
WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TODAY, THEN EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA
TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM HOWEVER IS
EXPECTED TO STAY CONFINED OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. SNOW LEVELS WILL
HOVER BETWEEN 6000 FEET TO 7000 FEET OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LIGHT
SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER HIGH PASSES AND SUMMITS ALONG HIGHWAY 50.
ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS WAY TOWARDS
THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WEDNESDAY, MAKING LANDFALL BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN WHILE PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. LIGHT PRECIPITAION WILL AGAIN BE
MAINLY CONFINED TOWARDS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. SNOW LEVELS
REMAIN AROUND 6000-7000 FEET. A COOLING TREND SINCE MONDAY WILL
LAST THROUGH THURSDAY, MAKING HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AROUND
FIVE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY, UPPER RIDGING RETURNS OVER THE SILVER
STATE, GRADUALLY INCREASING TEMPERATURES. A THIRD LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MAKES ITS WAY TOWARD SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES, HOWEVER
MODELS ARE SHOWING THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FURTHER SOUTH TOWARDS
MEXICO, BYPASSING NEVADA.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR LIGHT
SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN LIGHT SNOW ON HIGH SUMMITS AND PASSES ALONG
HIGHWAY 50. MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON COOLING TREND THROUGH THURSDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL NORTHERN
TERMINALS TODAY. VFR CONDITIONS DOMINANT OVER KTPH AND KELY,
HOWEVER MVFR AND LOWER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO LIGHT
SHOWERS FROM THE ONGOING WEATHER SYSTEM. WINDS FROM THE SOUTH
SHIFTING FROM THE SOUTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD TONIGHT,
WITH SPEEDS OF 5-11 KTS AT NORTHERN TERMINALS, 10-15 KTS GUSTS
20-25 KTS AT KTPH AND KELY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
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