617
FXUS65 KLKN 281009
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
309 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FROST AND FREEZE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 AM THIS
SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NV
THIS AFTERNOON WITH NW WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 30 MPH
* A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NV TONIGHT THROUGH 8 AM MONDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS QUITE A BIT OF
MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVERAGE ACROSS NORTHERN NV, WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL NV. TEMPERATURES AT 3AM ARE GENERALLY IN THE
40S TO LOW 50S, WHICH IS A LITTLE WARMER THAN ORIGINALLY
FORECAST, THOUGH SOME HIGHER ELEVATION VALLEYS SUCH AS EUREKA HAVE
LOWERED INTO THE UPPER 30S SO FAR TONIGHT. AREAS THAT HANG ON TO
THE HEAVY CLOUD COVER THE REST OF TONIGHT MAY BE ABLE TO AVOID
REACHING THE FORECAST LOWS OF UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. FROST AND
FREEZE WARNINGS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 8AM THIS MORNING
HOWEVER AS ADDITIONAL COOLING IS EXPECTED EVEN UNDER HEAVY CLOUD
COVER.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
NV WITH MOST SHOWERS ENDING THIS EVENING. DRIER ACROSS CENTRAL NV
TODAY WITH NW WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 30 MPH. TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING CLOUD COVER WILL DIMINISH WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO DROP INTO THE LOW 30S TO MID 20S IN MOST OF THE VALLEY
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV.
BROAD TROUGH ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN US
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL, WITH
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. HIGHS REACH THE LOW TO MID 80S BY THURSDAY
AND MID TO UPPER 80S NEXT SATURDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF COOLER
TEMPERATURES PROMPTING FROST ADVISORY AND FREEZE WARNINGS THIS
MORNING. MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR LINGERING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE FOR FREEZE WATCH CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. NO CHANGES TO NBM GRIDS AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHEASTERN NEVADA TODAY, WITH MOST ACTIVITY ENDING THIS EVENING.
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES THIS AFTERNOON ARE: KWMC 10%, KBAM
15%, KEKO 25%, KENV 15%, KELY 10% AND KTPH 0%. NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY, WITH GUSTS AT
KTPH OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
FIRE WEATHER
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHEASTERN NEVADA TODAY. DRIER ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE
BREEZY NW WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RHS IN THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT
RANGE ARE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST RHS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS
OF NORTHERN NYE COUNTY INCLUDING MOST OF ZONE 426.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM PDT THIS MORNING NVZ031-035-037-038.
FREEZE WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
NVZ031-035>039.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM PDT THIS MORNING NVZ039.
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96
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