026  
FXUS65 KLKN 121954  
AFDLKN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV  
1254 PM PDT FRI APR 12 2024  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
LOOK FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN AGAIN ON  
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE VERY GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST IN  
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS SATURDAY, WHICH MAY RESULT IN  
BLOWING DUST AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. MUCH COOLER EXPECTED SATURDAY  
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH LIGHT SNOW REACHING SOME OF THE VALLEY  
LOCATIONS.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SKIES ARE MAINLY  
SUNNY IN CENTRAL NEVADA, WITH PARTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS IN NORTHERN  
NEVADA. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHERN PARTS OF  
THE FORECAST AREA AND HAVE ALLOWED FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOOK FOR THESE STORMS TO DIMINISH DURING THE  
OVERNIGHT, THOUGH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE.  
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S.  
 
FOR TOMORROW AND SATURDAY NIGHT, STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP,  
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN  
ISSUED FOR ALL OF LANDER/EUREKA, NORTHEASTERN NYE, AND WHITE PINE  
COUNTIES FOR WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH AND GUSTS TO 55 MPH. MEANWHILE, A  
HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY FOR WINDS  
30 TO 40 MPH AND GUSTS TO 65 MPH. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WITH  
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS TO A MILE OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS IS  
RESPONSE TO A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL BE COMING  
ASHORE SATURDAY. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION AS  
THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST. THIS WILL INCLUDE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
AS WELL WITH SOME DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S. BY SATURDAY NIGHT, ALL  
MODELS ARE SHOWING A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS NORTHERN AND  
CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS WILL USHER IN A COLDER AIR MASS WITH SNOW  
LEVELS LOWERING TO 5000 TO 5500 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.  
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO  
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS, BUT LESS SO IN THE  
VALLEYS.  
   
LONG TERM
 
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.  
 
DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND SUNDAY, POSITIONED  
OVER NEVADA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED  
DURING THE DAY AND MOST OF SUNDAY NIGHT. GREATEST VALLEY RAIN AND  
RAIN/SNOW MIX ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN AND NEAR HUMBOLDT COUNTY  
SUNDAY MORNING AS PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO MOVE IN FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST. VALLEY LIQUID TOTALS OF 0.10” TO 0.25” GENERALLY  
EXPECTED IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY. INSTABILITY SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE  
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH A LOW PROBABILITY,  
LESS THAN 10%, FOR A RUMBLE OF THUNDER. AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL BE  
GENERALLY BRIEF WITH GRAUPEL LIKELY UNDER ANY STRONGER SHOWERS.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ELEVATED SUNDAY BUT NOT BE AS STRONG AS  
THEY WERE SATURDAY, REMAINING SUB ADVISORY LEVELS. SHOWERS AND  
WINDS DISSIPATE SUNDAY NIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE LOW  
CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EAST OUT OF THE AREA. COOLER TEMPERATURES  
SUNDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S AND OVERNIGHT  
LOWS IN THE LOW 20S TO LOW 30S.  
 
LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS MONDAY MORNING WITHIN WHITE PINE AND  
PORTIONS OF EASTERN ELKO COUNTIES, BECOMING MOSTLY DRY FOR THE  
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS MAY REAPPEAR ACROSS  
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AS MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE  
LOW WHILE IT IS POSITIONED OVER UTAH. NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES WILL  
ALSO BE IN PLACE DURING THE DAY. LATEST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HAS  
BEGUN TO PULL BACK ON THE PROSPECT OF A DEEP LOW AND ROBUST COLD  
FRONT MOVING INTO NEVADA FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY. PROBABILITY OF  
PRECIPITATION DECREASES TO 10-25% FOR NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS NOW INDICATED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA.  
NORTHWESTERLY AFTERNOON BREEZES LIKELY THRU MID WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IMPACTING KEKO,  
KBAM, AND KWMC DISSIPATE THRU THIS EVENING AND THE FIRST PART OF  
THE NIGHT. WINDS ALSO BECOME LIGHT TO BREEZY OVERNIGHT. STRONG  
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST SATURDAY WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS  
STRONGEST AT KTPH, REACHING 45 TO 55KTS. BLOWING DUST LIKELY  
PRODUCES HAZE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA WITH REDUCTIONS IN  
VISIBILITY ALSO POSSIBLE, PRIMARILY AT KTPH, WHERE WINDS WILL BE  
STRONGEST. MUCH ANTICIPATED ROUND OF SHOWERS WITH WIDER COVERAGE  
MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING. AN EMBEDDED WEAK  
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ACTIVITY BEGINS AT KTPH  
AROUND 04Z SUNDAY, AND KWMC AROUND 07Z SUNDAY.  
 

 
   
HYDROLOGY
 
ACCELERATED MELTING OF THE MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK  
CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE  
NORMAL. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY AND SATURDAY WILL ALSO  
CONTRIBUTE TO THE INCREASED RATE OF SNOWMELT, WITH ELEVATED AND  
SWIFT FLOWS ON MANY REGIONAL WATERWAYS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY  
NIGHT. THE BRUNEAU RIVER IS CURRENTLY IN ACTION STAGE, AND MAY  
REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TODAY OR ON SATURDAY. THE OWYHEE  
RIVER NEAR MOUNTAIN CITY IS CURRENTLY VERY CLOSE TO ACTION STAGE,  
AND WILL LIKELY REACH AND REMAIN ABOVE ACTION STAGE LATE THIS  
EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AFTER ANOTHER DAY OF WARM  
TEMPERATURES.  
 

 
   
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY NORTHEASTERN NYE  
COUNTY...NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTY...  
SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY...WHITE PINE  
COUNTY.  
 
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY NORTHWESTERN  
NYE COUNTY.  
 

 
 

 
 
86/92/92  
 
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