623
FXUS65 KLKN 011637
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
937 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN EASTERN ELKO COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* COOLING TREND TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
* PERIODS OF RAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT,
RESULTING IN SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH, WITH
GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED IN EASTERN ELKO COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL
BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES. A COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE AROUND TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.
AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
COAST OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THURSDAY. THIS CYCLONE ALOFT WILL
MEANDER AROUND THE COAST OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE LOCATED IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC, JUST WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THESE TWO STORM SYSTEMS MAY INTERACT
WITH EACH OTHER, DRAWING ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE NORTHWARD. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS SLOWLY INCREASING REGARDING THIS SCENARIO.
REGARDLESS, TIMING, COVERAGE, AND EXTENT OF ANY PRECIPITATION
LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL NEED TO BE FURTHER
REFINED IN THE UPCOMING FEW DAYS. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN OR MORE FORE SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 5 AM PDT SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 6TH, 2026 UNTIL
5 AM PDT TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8TH, 2026:
ELY - 65%
WELLS - 55%
JACKPOT - 55%
WEST WENDOVER - 50%
ELKO - 45%
SPRING CREEK - 45%
TONOPAH - 45%
EUREKA - 45%
CARLIN - 45%
OWYHEE - 40%
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE
REGARDING A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN ELKO COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN BREEZY
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH REGARDING A COOLING
TREND TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS SLOWLY
INCREASING REGARDING PERIODS OF RAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN ELKO COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY TODAY DUE TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 11%.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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