390
FXUS65 KLKN 261039
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
339 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
* CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NE NEVADA DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
* STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING
* CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
* A FROST ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHING NEVADA
FROM THE NW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED ALONG THE BC COASTLINE.
NOTICEABLY COOLER ACROSS NORTHERN NV TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOW 80S. WARMER ACROSS CENTRAL NV WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOW
90S. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE CWA TODAY,
WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS RANGING FROM 15 TO 25 MPH
GUSTING IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE FOR MOST LOCATIONS. SLIGHTLY
STRONGER WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH GUSTING 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN ELKO COUNTY AND
EASTERN WHITE PINE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ACROSS
MAINLY NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA INCLUDING HUMBOLDT,
WESTERN ELKO, LANDER AND PORTIONS OF EUREKA COUNTIES TODAY, THERE
WILL BE A 15 TO 40% CHANCE OF RAIN ALONG WITH A 15% CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF BC WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SE TOWARD
NEVADA TONIGHT, WITH STRONG JET ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING LOW MOVING OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV SATURDAY.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL COOL INTO THE 60S TO LOW 70S, HOWEVER WINDS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH
GUSTS OF 30 TO 50 MPH LIKELY IN MOST VALLEYS. SLIGHTLY STRONGER
WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON REMAINS FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH
PREVIOUS GUIDANCE, WITH THE SYSTEM STILL EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND GREAT BASIN REGION BY SATURDAY
EVENING. MUCH COOLER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. LOWS
EACH NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S FOR MOST
VALLEY LOCATIONS. LOCAL AREAS SUCH AS RUBY VALLEY AND CLOVER
VALLEY EAST OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS HIGHER ELEVATION
VALLEYS ACROSS ELKO COUNTY MAY SEE TEMPERATURES DIP INTO THE LOW
30S OR EVEN UPPER 20S SUNDAY MORNING. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERING OVER NORTHERN NV SUNDAY NIGHT, LOW TEMPERATURES
OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING MAY DROP INTO THE LOW 30S TO UPPER
20S ACROSS MOST OF ELKO COUNTY AND ALSO THROUGHOUT MANY VALLEYS
ACROSS CENTRAL NV. FROST ADVISORY OR FREEZE WARNING TEMPERATURES
LEVELS ARE LOOKING MORE LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND GREAT BASIN
WEAKENS EARLY NEXT WEEK, HOWEVER GENERAL TROUGH ENERGY REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO TREND WARMER EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S MONDAY, REACHING MID TO UPPER 80S
BY THURSDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN BREEZY
CONDITIONS TODAY, THEN BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY.
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY HOWEVER AS TO WHETHER OR NOT WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL REACH ADVISORY LEVELS IN VALLEY LOCATIONS ACROSS
EASTERN ELKO AND EASTERN WHITE PINE COUNTIES. MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT
REACHING UPPER 20S TO MID 30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. NO
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM GUIDANCE TODAY.
AVIATION
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY, RESULTING IN INCREASING AND LOWERING CLOUDS THROUGH THE
DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN AND WEST-CENTRAL NV TODAY, WITH A 25-40%
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A 15% CHANCE OF TS AT KWMC, KBAM AND KEKO.
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY, BRINGING INCREASING AND LOWERING CLOUDS ALONG WITH GUSTY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO ALL ZONES. THERE WILL ALSO BE A 15 TO 40
PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN ALONG WITH A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON,
MAINLY ACROSS ZONES 437, 438, 469 AND 424, THEN INTO PORTIONS OF ZONE
427 LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
MAY DEVELOP TODAY WOULD LIKE BE A MIX OF WET AND DRY. LIGHT RAIN
SHOWER ACTIVITY LINGERS GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 425, 426, 427 AND 470 TODAY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES.
MUCH COOLER ON SATURDAY WITH STRONGER WINDS FOR ALL ZONES AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHING FROM THE PACIFIC NW BEGINS TO MOVE IN
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY WILL AGAIN BE MAINLY CONFINED TO AREAS NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 80. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RHS ACROSS ZONES
425, 426 AND 427. ELEVATED TO CRITICAL WIND AND RH CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF FWZ470 SATURDAY, WITH MUCH
HIGHER RHS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THAT ZONE.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 11 PM THIS
EVENING FOR NVZ 425, 426, 427, AND 470
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
FOR NVZ 425, 426, 427
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page