551
FXUS65 KLKN 022036
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1236 PM PST TUE DEC 2 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1129 AM PST TUE DEC 2 2025
* A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, WITH
SNOWFALL MAINLY CONFINED TO MOUNTAINS OF ELKO COUNTY
* ANOTHER VERY COLD MORNING EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
* LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES IS PUSHING A SHORT WAVE ACROSS NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH THIS EVENING
KEEPING TEMPERATURES COLDER ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING OVER MAINLY ELKO COUNTY. A SHIFT TO THE EASTERN BORDER FOR
PRECIPITATION CHANCES OCCURS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE GENERAL
PATTERN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS, HOWEVER, IS BEING DICTATED BY THE
WELL-ENTRENCHED PACIFIC HIGH OVER THE OCEAN THAT KEEPS NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK.
A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL CARRY SUFFICIENT MOISTURE INTO THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE SILVER STATE ON THURSDAY. ENOUGH FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM WILL CREATE LIGHT RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW ACTIVITY
STARTING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SLOW MOVING FEATURE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CURRENT GUIDANCE SHOWS BEST
PROBABILITIES (~80%) FOR 24-HR SNOWFALL RESIDE IN THE JARBIDGE
WILDERNESS AREA AND ELEVATIONS ALONG THE NORTHERN CORRIDORS OF
SR-225 AND US-93. THE BULK OF THIS PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO FALL ON
SATURDAY.
ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS IN THE VALLEYS WILL BE RAIN SHOWER
ACTIVITY AS MORE ZONAL FLOW IN THE NORTHERN FLANK OF THE
PERSISTENT HIGH WILL RAISE AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND BACK INTO THE 50S. BEYOND THE WEEKEND THE NEXT ORGANIZED
TROUGH AND STORM SYSTEM IS SHAPING UP FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY OVER ELKO COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING AS WELL AS
COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REGION BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY
PASSING THROUGH TONIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE ON A SYSTEM
BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO
WHOLESALE CHANGE TO GRIDS IS NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
INTERMITTENT MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR KWMC, KBAM, KEKO, KELY, KENV MAINLY
ASSOCIATED WITH CIGS AT OR BELOW 3K FEET. LOWERED CIGS WILL BEGIN
TO IMPACT THESE TERMINALS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE
EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY AM. LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IS FORECAST
FOR KEKO AND KELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A MIX
OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IS FORECAST AT KENV
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TUESDAY AFTERNOON
WIND GUSTS AT KBAM AND KTPH WILL RANGE 22-25KTS BEFORE DIMINISHING
AFTER SUNSET. WIND GUSTS AT KENV NEAR 25KTS ARE EXPECTED AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND WILL LAST THROUGH MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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