923
FXUS65 KLKN 041854
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1154 AM PDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND WITH A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
* POSSIBLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE NEXT WEEK RETURNS
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: RIDGING OVER THE SW CONUS WILL CONTINUE
TO KEEP A TIGHT LID ON THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE GREAT BASIN.
PLEASANT WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY PROPAGATES EASTWARD IT WILL
SHIFT THE WIND PROFILE OVER THE AREA TO MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW BY
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL HELP A GRADUAL WARMING TREND RETURN
AFTERNOON HIGHS BACK TO JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS FOR EARLY
APRIL.
THE RIDGE WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD CREATING ZONAL FLOW
OVER THE GREAT BASIN IN BETWEEN A ULT OVER WESTERN CANADA AND HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH OVER MEXICO. A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OFF THE CA COAST WILL BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE PATTERN OVER
THE STATE BY MID WEEK IN THE FORM OF SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
MOISTURE ADVECTION. MOISTURE FROM THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST WILL
INTERACT WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE BROAD LONG WAVE AXIS
JUST TO THE AREAS NORTH RESULTING IN SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY EVENING. AT THIS
TIME, MODEL DISAGREEMENT EXISTS ON EXACT TIMING, RAINFALL AMOUNTS,
AND POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN A
RIDGE CONTINUING FAIR WEATHER AND GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN IMPACTS FROM A LOW
PRESSURE LATE IN THE WEEK, INCLUDING TIMING AND ACCUMULATIONS OF
PRECIPITATION. NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED TO 0-3 DAY GRIDS AT
THIS TIME.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOUR PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCES FOR
NEXT WEATHER ACTIVITY RETURN MID-WEEK BY WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
THURSDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...97
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