981
FXUS65 KLKN 031921
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1221 PM PDT SUN MAY 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOW BEGINNING THIS
AFTERNOON, PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY
* THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS
* DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW AND MID 80S BY FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT
NORTHEASTERN NEVADA TONIGHT, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION
LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S AND SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN UP AT 8-9000 FEET, MEANING PRECIPITATION WILL BE RAIN
FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE AREA. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO MIX IN EACH AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING INCREASES
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FOUND
ALONG A LINE FROM NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY TO NORTH-CENTRAL ELKO
COUNTY, WHERE UP TO HALF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT, BUT THE ENTIRE COVERAGE AREA HAS AT LEAST A 15% CHANCE OF
SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME. THE DAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION AND HIGHEST TOTALS IS EXPECTED TO BE
MONDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS ANTICIPATED AFTER THIS SYSTEM
CLEARS TUESDAY NIGHT, WHICH WILL LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMING TEMPERATURES BEGINNING WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT, HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 80S BY THE END OF THE WEEK,
ROUGHLY 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL ALSO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
EXPECTED COMPARED TO NORMAL LOWS IN THE 30S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION
THROUGH TUESDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL. LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN RIDGING FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED AT
KWMC/KBAM/KEKO/KENV THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KELY AND KTPH CAN
ALSO EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS, HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO GUST 20-30KT AND THERE ARE CHANCES FOR A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM TO TEMPORARILY IMPACT THE TERMINAL AT BOTH SITES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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