269
FXUS65 KLKN 172128
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
128 PM PST WED DEC 17 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 116 PM PST WED DEC 17 2025
* UNSEASONABLY WARM EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND ELEVATED SNOW, FOCUSED ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA, LASTING THROUGH AT LEAST CHRISTMAS EVE
* BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH
ADVISORY LEVELS
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: STRONG WINDS ARE ONGOING ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT FOR MOST OF ELKO COUNTY, AND WIND ADVISORIES COVER THE REST
OF THE FORECAST AREA, EXCLUDING NORTHERN NYE COUNTY, ALL EXPIRING
AT 8 PM PST TODAY. ADDITIONALLY, A BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR ELKO COUNTY AND NORTHERN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES
THROUGH 6 PM PST TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIE DOWN THIS
EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT CAUSING THEM RELAXES. THE STORY
FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST WILL BE PRECIPITATION, AS THE UPPER
LEVEL PATTERN LOOKS SET TO FUNNEL PACIFIC MOISTURE ONSHORE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AMERICAN WEST. THE FIRST ROUND LOOKS SET TO BRING
LIGHT SHOWERS TO NORTHERN NEVADA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
DRYING OUT DURING THE DAY. THE SECOND ROUND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
IN NORTHERN NEVADA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO MERGE
WITH THE NEXT FEW ROUNDS, RESULTING IN CONTINUING SHOWER ACTIVITY
THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, WITH THE
HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY (UP TO HALF AN INCH OF
LIQUID MAINLY NORTH OF I-80), A DRIER PERIOD ON TUESDAY AS SHOWERS
RECEDE NORTH, AND ANOTHER WET PERIOD AS SHOWERS EXPAND AND
INTENSIFY FOR CHRISTMAS EVE. SHOWERS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AS RAIN DUE TO SNOW LEVELS AVERAGING 7-8000 FEET AND
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S, BUT MOUNTAIN PEAKS AND SOME
PASSES ARE LIKELY TO PICK UP MEASURABLE SNOW ACCUMULATION. WINDS
REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE WEEK BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO APPROACH
ADVISORY CRITERIA AT THIS TIME. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE 20S AND 30S TONIGHT AND THE 30S AND 40S THROUGH THE REST OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: BLENDED NBM AND NBM 90TH
PERCENTILE FOR WIND SPEEDS THROUGH TONIGHT, TO BETTER REFLECT THE
ONGOING WIND EVENT AND HOW IT IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE. CONFIDENCE IS
HIGH FOR CONTINUED SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD,
BUT INTENSITY, COVERAGE AND ACCUMULATIONS HAVE MODERATE-LOW
CONFIDENCE.
AVIATION
STRONG TO VERY STRONG WINDS WITH PATCHY BLDU CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERNMOST TAF SITES OF KBAM-KEKO-
KENV THROUGH 02Z THIS EVENING. PATCHY BLDU COULD TEMPORARILY
REDUCE VSBY AND CIGS TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS TO ONE MILE OR LESS.
AFTER 04Z, EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
TOMORROW AFTERNOON EXPECT WINDS S-SW10-20G30KT ACROSS THE AREA.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING NVZ030-035>038.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PST THIS EVENING NVZ031-033-034-039.
BLOWING DUST ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM PST THIS EVENING
NVZ031-033-034-036-038-039.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...86
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