950
FXUS65 KLKN 111901
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 PM PDT MON MAY 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* HIGH PRESSURE PRODUCES WARM AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
* RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY,
FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
* A LOW CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS NORTH OF
I-80 WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF ADVISORY LEVEL WIND SPEEDS ON
WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST
CONTINUES TO KEEP WEATHER CONDITIONS DRY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
WITH A 75-100% PROBABILITY FOR TEMPERATURES TO REACH OR EXCEED 85
DEGREES. BY WEDNESDAY, COOLER TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MOVE IN ALBEIT
WITH HIGHS STILL SEEING A 30% CHANCE OF REACHING ABOVE 80 DEGREES
(WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WEST WENDOVER NEAR 90 DEGREES).
HIGH WINDS FOR WEDNESDAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS FROM A HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND A LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE
PACIFIC COAST. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST,
KICKING THE HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. WINDS WILL START
COMING FROM THE SOUTH AND TRANSITION TO A MORE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
BY THE EVENING WITH SPEEDS UP TO 20-30 MPH, GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35-40
MPH. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL PUSH INTO NEVADA
WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME ACTIVE WEATHER OVER NORTHERN
NEVADA NORTH OF I-80, HOWEVER PROBABILITIES ARE DROPPING BELOW 10%
NOW FROM RECENT MODEL RUNS ARE TRENDING MORE INTO THE DRIER
SOLUTION OVER THE REGION.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, QUIET WEATHER RETURNS OVER NEVADA AS
THE LOW PRESSURE WEAKENS TO THE NORTH, LEAVING A NEAR ZONAL FLOW
OVER THE REGION WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AS HIGHS DROP INTO
THE 70S WITH A FEW SPOTS STAYING IN THE 80S FRIDAY, AND REACHING
TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY. WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIGHT
FOR MANY OF THE DAYS WITH SOME BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS SATURDAY UP
TO 10-15 MPH, GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE OF NEAR RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TOMORROW. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF
COOLING TREND WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LOW CONFIDENCE FOR
SHOWER ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR HIGH WINDS
WEDNESDAY PROMPTING POTENTIAL WIND ADVISORY. ADJUSTED WINDS IN THE
NBM TO BETTER REFLECT RECENT MODEL RUNS.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY AND CLEAR SKIES WITH A FEW HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS OVERHEAD AT TIMES. SOUTHWESTERLY AFTERNOON BREEZES WILL
ALSO BE IN PLACE WITH GUSTS GENERALLY BETWEEN 20KT AND 25KT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...92
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