477
FXUS65 KLKN 022024
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
124 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* BLOWING DUST MAY RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES TODAY
* BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS
* PERIODS OF RAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: SATELLITE SHOWS WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER
TODAY WHICH WILL ASSIST IN KEEPING TEMPERATURES AROUND TEN DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL TODAY. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY ALSO BE ABLE TO
FORM IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY BUT NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE SURFACE. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE
ALONG THE NORTHERN STATE BORDER DUE TO A LOW PRESSURE CENTER
MOVING ONSHORE IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
STRONG, PARTICULARLY IN WHITE PINE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTIES,
AND CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO RESTRICT TEMPERATURES. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MEANDER AROUND THE PACNW FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, KEEPING
TEMPERATURES LOWER AND WINDS STRONGER. FOR SUNDAY THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
AND BRING MUCH STRONGER MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. THE EXTENT
OF IMPACTS FROM THIS MOISTURE ARE STILL IN FLUX, HOWEVER SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA FOR SUNDAY, WITH WEAKER STORMS ANTICIPATED TO LINGER FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. INCREASING CONFIDENCE REGARDING STORMS THIS
WEEKEND, CURRENTLY SITTING AROUND THE MODERATE LEVEL. NO CHANGES
TO NBM OUTPUT.
AVIATION
CURRENT SATELLITE INDICATES OVERCAST SKIES AT ALL
SITES EXCEPT KTPH, ALTHOUGH CEILINGS ARE WELL ABOVE VFR
THRESHOLDS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES,
ALTHOUGH KWMC AND KBAM MAY SEE SOME VISIBILITY IMPACTS FROM
BLOWING DUST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED AT
ALL SITES EXCEPT KENV THROUGH THIS EVENING AND ARE ANTICIPATED TO
RETURN FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS WELL.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED WINDS IN ZONE 437 TODAY MAY BRING BLOWING
DUST TO THE CALICO AND MCCONNELL FIRES. ON THURSDAY, WINDS WILL BE
CRITICAL IN ZONE 425 AND SOUTHERN ZONE 470, HOWEVER SUB CRITICAL
FUELS AND HUMIDITY BRING THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT TO
ELEVATED. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND BUT INCREASING MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO NEGATE ANY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE DURING THIS PERIOD.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...94
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