070
FXUS65 KLKN 241802
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1102 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN EASTERN NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDTIONS ARE LIKELY IN MOST OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY
* STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING
* MUCH COOLER THIS WEEKEND
* A FROST ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PASSAGE OF
THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRIGGER ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE
PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH, SMALL
HAIL, AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY (15-29%) OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EASTERN WHITE PINE
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT IS ANTICIPATED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN EASTERN NEVADA THURSDAY DUE TO
WEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY DUE TO WEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 40
MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.
A CYCLONE ALOFT WILL MEANDER AROUND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS
WEEKEND. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA SATURDAY. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED THIS
WEEKEND. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE SIXTEEN TO EIGHTEEN DEGREES
BELOW SEASONAL VALUES. LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE
ELEVEN TO THIRTEEN DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL VALUES. A FROST
ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HERE ARE
PROBABILITIES OF MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 35 DEGREES OR LOWER FOR
SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY NIGHT:
MONTELLO - 80%
SPRING CREEK - 75%
WELLS - 75%
EUREKA - 75%
RUBY LAKE - 75%
ELY - 70%
CARLIN - 70%
ELKO - 65%
RUTH - 55%
JACKPOT - 50%
A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. DESPITE THIS
WARMING TREND, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL VALUES. DRY
WEATHER WILL PREVAIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDTIONS IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA FRIDAY. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING STRONG WIND
GUSTS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY EVENING. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING
WIDESPREAD FROST IN THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM
MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. VCTS AT KELY AND KENV THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS EXPECTED AT
KELY AND KBAM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WIND GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS ANTICIPATED AT KEKO, KWMC, KENV, AND KTPH
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN
NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM
HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY DUE TO WEST WIND GUSTS
NEAR 40 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NVZ 424, 425, 426, 427, 438, 469, AND 470
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