879
FXUS65 KLKN 280702 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1202 AM PDT THU MAY 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG, GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS IN PARTS OF EASTERN NEVADA
TODAY
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND
FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* WARMING TREND SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS SITTING OVER
WESTERN NEVADA AND IS EXPECTED TO STAY THERE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THE OUTER BANDS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BRING
REPEATED ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
TOTALS IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS, WITH SNOW LEVELS
DROPPING TO AROUND 7000 FEET SOME NIGHTS THIS WEEK. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S WHILE THE LOW PERSISTS, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S AND LOW 40S. A FEW OF THE COLDEST VALLEYS
WILL EVEN DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
MOBILE AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY FRIDAY, MAKING ITS EXIT TO THE NORTH
AND EAST. NORTHWEST TO ZONAL FLOW WILL TAKE ITS PLACE, ALLOWING DRY
AND WARMING CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP, WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER
70S/LOW 80S BY TUESDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE REGARDING THE
STALLED LOW AND ITS IMPACTS AND TIMING. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN
PRECIPITATION TOTALS AS THEY CONTINUE TO CHANGE FROM SLIGHT
VARIANCES IN THE POSITIONING OF THE LOW. MODERATE CONFIDENCE
REGARDING TIMING OF THE LOW EXIT AND THE ONSET OF NORTHWEST OR
ZONAL FLOW. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO BASE NBM OUTPUT WITH THIS
FORECAST.
AVIATION
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AROUND
KWMC/KBAM/KTPH AND ANY DIRECT IMPACTS WOULD RESULT IN SHORT LIVED
DEGRADED VISIBILITY AND CEILINGS, AS WELL AS VARIABLE STRONG WINDS.
PREVAILING DAYTIME GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30KT ARE EXPECTED AT
KWMC/KBAM/KEKO/KENV AND UP TO 40KT AT KELY.
FIRE WEATHER
CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER WESTERN NEVADA WILL
CONTINUE TO GIVE PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN SNOW OVER
THE WESTERN FIRE ZONES THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THE EVENING. STRONG
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AFFECTING THE EASTERN FIRE ZONES TODAY. A FEW
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS. OVERNIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING, PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL MOVE
EASTWARD AND AFFECT ALL FIRE ZONES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM PDT TODAY NVZ035-037-039.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...97
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