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FXUS65 KLKN 140701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT WED OCT 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* COLD TONIGHT
* WARMING TREND THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
* UNSEASONABLY WARM THIS WEEKEND
* A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT NEVADA EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE
ROCKY MOUNTAINS TODAY. LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT WILL BE AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MINIMUM APPARENT TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST
VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN IDAHO
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, LEADING TO A WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPERATURES
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ABOUT
FIVE DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE A
COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES. A PLEASANT AND DRY WEEKEND
IS IN STORE FOR THE SILVER STATE.
LOOKING AT OUR NEXT SET-UP, THOSE OF US WHO GREATLY ENJOY WINTER
WEATHER WILL BE VERY PLEASED AS A POLAR JET HAS THE POTENTIAL OF
WORKING IT’S WAY BACK INTO OUR AREA. THIS WILL CONTAIN A DEEP LOW
BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK,
DROPPING HIGHS BACK DOWN TO THE 40S AND 50S, AND OUR LOWS INTO THE
20S AND 30S. THIS FRONT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
PRECIPITATION NEXT MONDAY AND TUESDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND
AMOUNTS ARE LOW AS WE ARE NEARLY A FULL WEEK AWAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS STARTING THURSDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TEMPERATURES
DECREASING ALONG THE FRONT NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE IN
PRECIPITATION TYPES, PLACEMENT, AND TIMING NEXT WEEK. NO DEVIATIONS
FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT WILL BE
AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A WARMING
TREND IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE A COUPLE
OF DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES. AFTER AN UNSEASONABLY WARM
WEEKEND, A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE SILVER STATE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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