051
FXUS65 KLKN 031956
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1256 PM PDT THU SEP 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS
* PERIODS OF RAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES ITS
JOURNEY AROUND THE PACNW, BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES, STRONG
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL. A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA, RESULTING IN STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA AND TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S IN NORTHERN
NEVADA TO THE LOW 80S IN CENTRAL NEVADA. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY, PARTICULARLY IN WHITE PINE, NORTHEAST
NYE AND SOUTHEAST ELKO COUNTIES. MOISTURE AVAILABILITY STARTING
SUNDAY HAS BEEN TRENDING DOWNWARD THE LAST SEVERAL FORECASTS AND
PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL HAS NOTICEABLY DECREASED ALONG WITH IT.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BE
FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR SUNDAY BUT
ACCUMULATION TOTALS HAVE DROPPED TO 0.05 INCHES AT BEST, WITH MOST
OF THE AREA EXPECTING A TRACE OR LESS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DRY
OUT BY MONDAY MORNING, ALLOWING A DRY BUT COOL DAY, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR MID WEEK EVEN AS TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE 80S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN COOL
TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEEKEND STORM
CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO BE MODERATE, WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN STORM
POTENTIAL NEXT WEEK. NO CHANGES FROM THE NBM.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES
EXCEPT KENV WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AVOID THE GUSTS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT KELY, WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 35KT, AND OTHER
SITES AVERAGING 25 TO 30KT. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT KWMC
OVERNIGHT WHILE ALL OTHER SITES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY.
FIRE WEATHER
CRITICAL WINDS CONTINUE TO BE MITIGATED BY NON
CRITICAL HUMIDITY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST TOMORROW IN ZONES 425,
426 AND SOUTHERN 470 WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH EXPECTED, HOWEVER RH
WILL BE 15 TO 25 PERCENT. GUSTS DECREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH FOR
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...94
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