491
FXUS65 KLKN 161729
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1029 AM PDT THU APR 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. GUSTY WINDS AND
SNOWFALL WILL PRODUCE MINOR TRAVEL IMPACTS, PRIMARILY ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA.
* GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IN PLACE FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY, THOUGH
BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT SUNDAY
* NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN EARLY NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1028 AM PDT THU APR 16 2026
WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST NYE COUNTY HAVE COME IN A LITTLE STRONGER
THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. DECIDED TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY STARTING AT
11AM AND GOING THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AT 5AM. ALL TEXT PRODUCTS
HAVE BEEN SENT.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW, BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS SHOWERS AND
SNOW. STRONG SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT,
GUSTING UP TO 50 MPH IN NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY AND AROUND 40 MPH IN
CENTRAL NEVADA TOMORROW. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN IN
HUMBOLDT AND NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY BEFORE QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO
SNOW AS IT SPREADS SOUTH AND EAST. SNOWFALL TOTALS HAVE DECREASED
SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY WITH UP TO AN INCH NOW FORECAST FOR
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND FOUR TO SIX INCHES FORECAST FOR MOUNTAIN
PEAKS. MINOR TRAVEL IMPACTS REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE TOMORROW, HOWEVER GROUND TEMPERATURES REMAIN RELATIVELY
WARM. DRY AND WARMING WEATHER BEGINS ON FRIDAY, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES BEGINNING IN THE 40S ON FRIDAY AND WARMING TO THE
UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S BY SUNDAY. ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE AREA BY SUNDAY, HOWEVER MODELS ARE SPLIT
ON TIMING, WITH A FASTER SOLUTION BRINGING LOCAL IMPACTS STARTING
MONDAY WHILE THE SLOWER SOLUTION HOLDS OFF UNTIL TUESDAY. THE
CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS THE FASTER SOLUTION. WHAT IS CONSISTENT
AT THIS TIME IS ANOTHER COOL WET AND WINDY SYSTEM THAT WILL NEED
TO BE WATCHED AS IT DEVELOPS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN SHOWERS, SNOW
AND COLD TODAY AND TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CALM
AND WARMING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NO DEVIATIONS FROM
BASE NBM INPUT AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
WINDS WEAKEN IN THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS AHEAD OF
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE, ALONG WITH LOWERING CEILINGS AND AN ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10Z AT KWMC, 11Z
FOR KBAM AND AROUND 12Z AT KEKO. VFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT
THESE TERMINALS TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY DUE TO SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY. SHOWERS TAPER OFF AT EACH OF THESE THREE TERMINALS LATER
THIS MORNING AS THE FRONT EXITS TO THE SOUTHEAST. WINDS INCREASE
AT ALL TERMINALS IN THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS WITH 12-22KTS
GUSTING 20-35KTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AT KTPH.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY NVZ040.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...96
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