275
FXUS65 KLKN 170701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT SAT OCT 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER THIS WEEKEND
* COOLING TREND MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
* VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXITING THE REGION
WILL LEAVE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, KEEPING THE WEATHER RELATIVELY CALM
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 30S/LOW 40S BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR A CHANCE TO GO OUTSIDE AND ENJOY THE
OUTDOORS, THE BEST CHANCES FOR THIS ARE THIS WEEKEND, AS LOOKING
INTO NEXT WEEK WE START TO SEE INFLUENCES OF THE POLAR JET.
STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON, THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
EXTEND INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, BRINGING PLENTY OF PACIFIC MOISTURE
AND LIFT TO OUR REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCES ON THURSDAY. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION TYPES,
TEMPERATURES REMAIN HIGH KEEPING IT MOSTLY RAIN, HOWEVER SOME
MOUNTAIN PEAKS WILL SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OVERNIGHT SNOW. AS A
RESULT OF PRECIPITATION AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER, HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP TO THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S, WHILE LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
DROP TO THE MID 30S. MODELS CONTINUE TO PUSH BACK THE TIMING OF A
COLD FRONT INTO LATE NEXT WEEK, CONTINUING TO GIVE LOW CONFIDENCE ON
TIMING AND INTENSITY AT THIS TIME.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH MONDAY. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN THE PRECIPITATION AND
TEMPERATURE CHANGE NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE CHANCES OF A
COLD FRONT LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
WEEKEND WILL BE TWO TO FOUR DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. A COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF VALLEY
RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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