258
FXUS65 KLKN 011942
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1242 PM PDT MON JUN 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND
* STRONGER WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY, AND COMBINED WITH LOW MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES, WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A FEW ECHOES CAN BE SEEN ON RADAR THIS
AFTERNOON THOUGH NO PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN NOTED ON REMOTE
OBSERVATION PLATFORMS. FOR TONIGHT, EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES OVER
THE REGION WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE
30S AND 40S.
A MAINLY WEST TO EAST FLOW WILL TAKE SHAPE ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH ROUGHLY FRIDAY, WITH A MINOR VARIANCE ON
FLOW THURSDAY. THIS WILL MEAN FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THIS PERIOD.
HIGHS WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AT ALL LOCATIONS WITH
READINGS IN THE 80S AND 90S. THERE IS A WEAK TROUGH PASSAGE
EXPECTED THURSDAY, WHICH WILL BRING A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING FOR
THE AFTERNOON BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HIGHS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S.
BY LATE WEEK, A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST STATES. WHILE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM
WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA, THE RESULTING TIGHTENING OF
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BRING ABOUT AN INCREASE WIND SPEEDS
ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY. FUTURE SCRUTINY OF MODEL RUNS WILL BE
REQUIRED TO CHECK FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF WIND AND FIRE WEATHER
HEADLINES FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL
BE IN THE 80S AND 90S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HAD TO ADD IN LOW END POPS AND
WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER AND EAST-CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA FOR TODAY DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY, LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE, AND LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS. NO
OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
COVERAGE AND TIMING OF AFTERNOON SPRINKLES/STORMS TODAY.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WITH REGARDS TO INCREASINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. NO PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY BE BREEZY WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
20KT.
FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT,
WITH OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH THROUGH MID-WEEK, WITH
WINDS BECOMING MORE BREEZY WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGIT TO LOW TEEN RANGE EACH
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS WARMING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MID-
WEEK. BY SATURDAY, WINDS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
BE ELEVATED TO CRITICAL AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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