310
FXUS65 KLKN 120953
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
253 AM PDT SUN APR 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THIS EVENING
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY
* PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN SNOW CHANCES INCREASE TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES
* SNOW CHANCES INCREASE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 252 AM PDT SUN APR 12 2026
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: ONGOING PRECIPITATION WITH
ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY AROUND NORMAL IN THE 50S TO 60S, KEEPING THE
PRECIPITATION AS RAIN. HIGHEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
IN NORTHERN NEVADA AND AROUND THE I-80 CORRIDOR. STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA WITH SPEEDS UP TO 15-25 MPH, GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 35-45 MPH. BY THE AFTERNOON, A BRIEF LULL IN ACTIVE
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION AS THE FRONT PASSES OVER NEVADA.
BY TONIGHT, THE NEXT WAVE WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT OVER WESTERN NEVADA
MOVING EAST WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES, GIVING MORE PERIODS OF
PRECIPITATION AND INCREASE OF MOUNTAIN SNOW AS LOW TEMPERATURES
IN THE VALLEYS DROP TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING. SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED
TO REACH THE VALLEYS AS SNOW LEVELS STAY ABOVE 8000 FEET IN THE
AFTERNOON, BUT IS EXPECTED TO DROP BETWEEN 5500-6500 FEET BY
SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW LEVELS THROUGHOUT SUNDAY WILL REMAIN AROUND
THOSE LEVELS AFTER SUNRISE AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN THE 50S. MORE PRECIPITATION AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH
ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PICKING UP AGAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER WHITE PINE COUNTY WITH SPEEDS UP TO
20-30 MPH, GUSTS 45-55 MPH ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHER PASSES AND
SUMMITS. BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING, VALLEY RAIN WILL
TRANSITION TO SNOW AS SNOW LEVELS DROP TO BELOW 5000 FEET AS LOW
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 20S. VALLEY ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS UP TO 0.5 INCHES (UP
TO 1 INCH NEAR ELY). HIGHER PASSES AND SUMMITS COULD SEE UP TO
1-2 INCHES (2-3 INCHES ALONG US-50).
MONDAY, RAIN/SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED IN THE MORNING AND CONTINUE
TILL THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD AND
EXIT NEVADA BY THE END OF THE DAY. TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UP TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND LOW
50S. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO STAY JUST BELOW NORMAL IN
THE 20S.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, CALMER WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURN ACROSS
NEVADA WITH GRADUAL WARMING TEMPERATURES REACHING BACK INTO THE
60S AND LOW 70S BY WEDNESDAY. SOME BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS FROM THE
WEST EXPECTED TO INCREASE UP TO 10-15 MPH, GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25-30
MPH.
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING, MODELS SHOW BETTER
AGREEMENT OF ANOTHER ROUND OF WEATHER IMPACTING NORTHERN NEVADA
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER STRENGTHENS AND
CLIPS THE STATE. THE SYSTEM WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN NEVADA AND
BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR MORE PRECIPITATION. IT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO REACH INTO CENTRAL NEVADA AND STAY NORTH OF THE US-50
CORRIDOR. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MORE MOUNTAIN SNOW AS THIS SYSTEM WILL
ALSO BRING IN COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
EXPECTED TO SEE NORTHERN NEVADA IN THE 40S WHILE CENTRAL NEVADA
COOLS INTO THE 50S TO 60S. THURSDAY NIGHT LOWS EVEN COOLER WITH
TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW NORMAL INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO 20S.
OVERNIGHT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED AS THE MOISTURE WILL HAVE
PASSED OVER THE STATE BY THAT TIME.
FRIDAY AND INTO THE NEXT WEEKEND, MODELS BEGIN TO SHOW
DISCREPANCIES AFTER THE SYSTEM PASSES WITH SOME SHOWING AN UPPER
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WHILE OTHERS SHOW A MORE
ZONAL FLOW PERSISTING. THE CONSTANT WITH THE MODELS IS CALMER
WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
ONGOING WEATHER TODAY WILL KEEP VCSH AND -RA CONDITIONS ACROSS
ALL NORTHERN TERMINALS TODAY WITH THE CHANCE OF SEEING SOME VCTS
AND -TSRA THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE TAFS AS PROBS
ARE BELOW 30% AROUND THE TERMINALS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KENV.
GREATEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE
MORE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS PARTICULARLY IN NORTHEAST
NEVADA. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL TERMINALS WITH
SPEEDS UP TO 15-25 KTS, GUSTS 25-35 KTS IN KPTH AND 25-35 KTS,
GUSTS 40-50 KTS IN KELY. BY THE AFTERNOON, THE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITH LIGHTER WINDS (WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
KELY STILL SEEING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 15-25 KTS, GUSTS
25-35 KTS) UNTIL LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE NEXT WAVE
MOVES INTO NEVADA FROM THE WEST. -RA CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH
OVER TERMINALS KWMC, KBAM AND EVEN KTPH WITH PROB30 OF
TRANSITIONING TO -SN CONDITIONS AS COOLER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN.
THIS NEXT FRONT IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE WINDS ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS WITH SPEEDS UP TO 15-20 KTS, GUSTS 20-30 KTS WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF KELY STILL SEEING STRONG WINDS UP TO 20-25 KTS, GUSTS
30-35 KTS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON
NVZ035.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...97
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