857  
FXUS65 KLKN 160909  
AFDLKN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV  
209 AM PDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
SUNNY AND WARMER TODAY. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE  
ON SUNDAY, HOWEVER HIGH CLOUDS RETURN AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS  
BECOME BREEZY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SYSTEM. A MIX OF RAIN AND  
SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF NORTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NV  
ON MONDAY.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO  
BUILD OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION TODAY RESULTING IN SUNNY SKIES  
AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL BE IN THE 20S  
EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE WARMING INTO THE 60S OR LOW 70S THIS  
AFTERNOON. TROUGH ENERGY APPROACHING THE WEST COAST TONIGHT INTO  
SUNDAY WILL PUSH THE RIDGE FROM THE GREAT BASIN FARTHER EAST, WITH  
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT INCREASING OVER NV. HIGH CLOUDS WILL  
SPREAD IN ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, AND  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY. HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY  
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY, GENERALLY MID 60S TO LOW  
70S. LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BEGINS TO SPREAD INTO  
WESTERN PORTIONS OF HUMBOLDT COUNTY SUNDAY EVENING, WHICH WILL BE  
THE ONLY PRECIPITATION DURING THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD.  
 
   
LONG TERM
 
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY.  
 
MODEL AGREEMENT CONTINUES TO SEE THE ADVANCEMENT OF A NEW LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONGSIDE ITS ASSOCIATED TROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO  
MONDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM WITH  
LATEST GUIDANCE SEEING THE HEAVIEST OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING  
NORTH OF THE I-80 CORRIDOR FOR MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL  
HARD TO PIN DOWN WITH RECENT MODELS SHOWING THE BEST SNOW-LEVEL  
RESTING AROUND 4,000 TO 4,500 FEET IN ELEVATION, WHICH COULD BRING  
SNOW TO SOME VALLEYS. HOWEVER, TIMING WILL BE EVERYTHING AS DAY  
TIME HEATING WILL MAKE A MIX OR RAIN THE MORE LIKELY SCENARIO FOR  
THE LOWER LOCATIONS. FOR NOW, LOOK FOR MOST SNOW ACCUMULATION TO  
OCCUR AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH A FEW MOUNTAIN TOPS LOOKING TO  
ADD A FEW INCHES. WINDS WILL ALSO LOOK TO INCREASE ACROSS THE  
REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MAKES IT QUICK ENTRANCE AND  
EXIT OVER THE DAY.  
 
BY TUESDAY MORNING, MODEL AGREEMENT SEES THE TROUGH QUICKLY MOVE  
OFF TO THE NORTH LEAVING A RIDGE AND HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN  
BEHIND IT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL LOOK TO BE SITUATED OVER THE REGION  
FOR THE DAY AND POTENTIALLY THE REST OF NEXT WEEK FOR THE EASTERN  
SECTION OF NEVADA. MEANWHILE, THE WESTERN PORTION OF NEVADA  
BECOMES A BIT MORE COMPLICATED AS MODEL AGREEMENT STRUGGLES WITH  
AN OFF SHORE TROUGH MOVING IN. AS IT STANDS, LATEST RUNS SEE THE  
TROUGH RISE NORTH INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND BARLEY CLIP THE  
REGION. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY AS THE  
TROUGH CLIPS THE REGION WEDNESDAY, BUT LATEST GUIDANCE DOES NOT  
SEE MORE THAN THAT. FROM HERE, AGREEMENT ONLY GETS MESSIER WITH  
THE ONLY GENERAL CONSENSUS BEING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER TROUGH  
BRING ACTIVITY FOR THE WEEKEND.  
 
TEMPERATURES STAY A BIT MORE CONSISTENT AS WE SEE THE REGION  
SLOWLY WARM UP OVER NEXT WEEK. MONDAY WILL STILL LOOK TO BE THE  
COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S,  
BUT A RETURN TO THE 60S COULD HAPPEN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY FOR  
NORTHERN NEVADA. OVERNIGHTS WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR PATTERN WITH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS SLOWLY WARMING INTO THE  
30S BY THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
SUNNY TODAY WITH THE WARMING TREND CONTINUING.  
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE ON SUNDAY, HOWEVER HIGH CLOUDS  
RETURN AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BECOME BREEZY AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING SYSTEM. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER MOST  
OF NORTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NV ON MONDAY.  
 

 
   
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
96/94/94/96  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NV Page Main Text Page