499
FXUS65 KLKN 232128
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
228 PM PDT SAT MAY 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES 10-20% THROUGH THIS EARLY EVENING AND
SUNDAY AFTERNOON
* UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
* CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
FIRE WEATHER UPDATE
STRONG WINDS AND LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO
BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 437
ON MONDAY. HAVE THEREFORE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 12PM
MONDAY AFTERNOON TO 11PM MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEND UPDATED FIRE
WEATHER FORECAST SHORTLY.
FIRE WEATHER (PREVIOUS ISSUANCE)
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM DURING THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS TODAY. THESE ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
THIS EVENING. FOR TOMORROW, SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FIRE ZONES TO
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS (PROBABILITY OF
TEN TO TWENTY PERCENT). MAIN THREATS CONTINUE TO BE CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. BY
MONDAY, AN INCOMING EAST PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BE MOVING INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST STATES, AIMING TO DIVE TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER, ON MONDAY,
ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FIRE ZONE 437 AS WIND
SPEEDS GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES HOVERING BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST TUESDAY, WHERE SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS US HIGHWAY 50 IN CENTRAL
NEVADA. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL COOL, THOUGH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN AROUND 10 TO 15 PERCENT OVER THE
CENTRAL FIRE ZONES. LOOK FOR INCREASING CHANCES FOR VALLEY RAIN
SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE MID-WEEK WILL COOL
INTO THE 50S AND 60S.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. VCTS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. FOR SUNDAY, A WEAK TROUGH AXIS WILL SIT JUST
WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOOK FOR A FIFTEEN TO TWENTY PERCENT
PROBABILITY FOR AFTERNOON TS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE KEKO TERMINAL
AFTER 20Z WITH A TEN TO FIFTEEN PERCENT PROBABILITY AT KENV. MAIN
IMPACTS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND OUTFLOW WIND
GUSTS TO 45KT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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