914
FXUS65 KLKN 141850
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1146 AM PDT THU MAY 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
* TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN COOLING TODAY, LASTING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND
* OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO BELOW FREEZING BEGINNING
FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
* CHANCE OF ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THIS WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER NEVADA
WILL BE THE MAIN DRIVE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH LIGHT WINDS
AND A COOLING TEMPERATURE TREND. OVER THE WEEKEND, AN UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD CLIPPING
NORTHERN NEVADA BY SATURDAY, INTO SUNDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL SHIFT
WIND PATTERNS TO A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THAT WILL BRING IN MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH PROBABILITIES OF 80-100% THAT HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN THE 50S WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING BELOW FREEZING INTO THE 20S. ALONG WITH
THE TROUGH, RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO INCREASE AND PUSH
INTO NORTHERN NEVADA THAT WILL GIVE CHANCES FOR SOME RAIN SHOWERS
AND MOUNTAIN SNOW. CONFIDENCE IS LOW HOWEVER AS MODELS ARE SPLIT
WITH HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL BE IN THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH SOME MODELS INDICATING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BELOW 0.3
INCHES. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL OVER EASTERN
PORTIONS OF NEVADA IN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES. ACCUMULATION
AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT IN THE VALLEYS, BUT STILL SEE UPWARDS
OF 50-70% OF UP TO 0.02 INCHES OF RAIN, WHILE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
AND MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET WILL START SEEING SNOW AS SNOW
LEVELS DROP BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ARRIVES. OVERNIGHT, RAIN WILL
TRANSITION TO SNOW WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING AROUND 4000 FEET.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE VALLEYS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MUCH WITH
VALUES RANGING FROM A TRACE TO 0.1 INCHES, WHILE PASSES AND
SUMMITS ALONG EASTERN I-80 AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE, UP TO 1
INCH OF SNOW. JARBIDGE WILDERNESS AREA, RUBY MOUNTAINS, AND
MOUNTAIN RANGES IN WHITE PINE COUNTY COULD SEE UP TO 1-3 INCHES OF
FRESH SNOW. WINDS ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE UPPER TROUGH
PASSES OVER NEVADA WITH AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS UP TO 30-40 MPH OR MORE.
MONDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEK, THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH EAST AND
EXIT THE STATE, RETURNING QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WARMING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL IN THE 70S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE OF QUIET WEATHER
CONDITIONS WITH COOLING TEMPERATURES TRENDS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES TO
FREEZING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
CONFIDENCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW OVER THE WEEKEND.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK. NO CHANGES TO THE NBM GRIDS AT THIS
TIME.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS OVER ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD WITH GENERAL LIGHT WINDS AT OR BELOW 10 KTS WITH A FEW
GUSTS UP TO 17 KTS POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page