692
FXUS65 KLKN 171907
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1207 PM PDT FRI APR 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IN PLACE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY, THOUGH
BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT SUNDAY
* NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN OVER NEVADA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY AND TUESDAY
* TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AS
MODERATE UPPER RIDGING SITUATES OVER THE SOUTHWEST GRADUALLY
WARMING TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL ON SATURDAY, THEN ABOVE NORMAL
BY A FEW DEGREES INTO THE 70S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT WITH SOME AFTERNOON BREEZES SUNDAY ACROSS
CENTRAL NEVADA FROM THE SOUTH. BY MONDAY, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
STRONG WITH GUSTS UP TO 40-45 MPH FROM THE SOUTH OVER CENTRAL
NEVADA. MONDAY EVENING, THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE PUSHED TO
THE EAST AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN CONUS.
TUESDAY, TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS FROM THE LOW PRESSURE
MOVING IN OVER NEVADA WILL MAKE SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BE STRONGER AND MORE WIDESPREAD WITH SPEEDS UP TO 20-25 MPH,
GUSTS 45-50 MPH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND JUST NORTH OF THE US-50
CORRIDOR. THE WINDS WILL DISSIPATE AS SOON AS THE FRONT PASSES
WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR MORE PRECIPITATION MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN AS
TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS ABOVE 6000 FEET. MOUNTAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO SEE CHANCES OF SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT, INCREASING BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST AND
BEGIN TO DESTABILIZE ONCE IT'S OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS, BUT WILL
STILL GIVE CHANCES FOR MORE RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW, LASTING UNTIL
THURSDAY MORNING AS CHANCES PUSH TOWARDS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA.
DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO BELOW NORMAL IN THE 50S,
SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY AT OR ABOVE 6000 FEET STAYING IN
THE MOUNTAINS. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL
DESTABILIZE AND HEAD NORTHEAST, LEAVING A TRAILING TROUGH BEHIND
OVER NEVADA THAT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER BELOW NORMAL IN THE
50S.
FRIDAY, DISCREPANCIES IN THE MODELS INCREASE GREATLY WITH THE
OUTCOMES OF THE WEATHER CONDITIONS BEHIND THE LOW PRESSURE. THERE
IS AGREEMENT OF A TROUGH PATTERN STAYING OVER NEVADA, HOWEVER THE
MODELS DIFFER ON WHAT THIS PATTERN WILL DO WITH SOME SHOWING THE
PATTERN STAYING AS A WEAK TROUGH AND MORE WIDESPREAD, WHILE OTHERS
ARE SUGGESTING THE TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE PACIFIC COAST
AND BRING IN MORE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. FOR NOW, THE MAIN
CONSENSUS IS FAIRER WEATHER FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK
TO NORMAL IN THE 60S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE OF FAIR WEATHER
CONDITIONS LASTING THROUGH MONDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF STRONG
BREEZY GUSTS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MODERATE
CONFIDENCE OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM IMPACTING NEVADA TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY FOR MORE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION. LOW
CONFIDENCE ON A TROUGH PATTERN OVER NEVADA FRIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS OVER ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD WITH LIGHT WINDS BELOW 10 KTS EXCEPT FOR KTPH SEEING UP TO
11 KTS THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTH.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
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