108
FXUS65 KLKN 121850
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1150 AM PDT TUE MAY 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* HIGH PRESSURE PRODUCES WARM AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
* RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED
BY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
* GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: UPPER RIDGE IS STILL ON TRACK TO KEEP
DRY WEATHER WITH POTENTIAL FOR RECORD BREAKING HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY IS EXPECTED TO REACH ABOVE 80S
DEGREES ACROSS THE REGION WITH AN 80-100% CHANCE THAT NORTHERN
NEVADA WILL SEE ABOVE 85 DEGREES. TOMORROW, THE CHANCES FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REACH ABOVE 80 DEGREES DROP TO 40% FOR NORTHERN
NEVADA (EXCEPT FOR WEST WENDOVER EXPECTED TO SEE 90 DEGREES). SOME
BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL NEVADA WITH SPEEDS UP TO 10-15
MPH, GUSTS 20-25 MPH.
WEDNESDAY, LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN THE UPPER
RIDGE AND PUSH TO A MORE ZONAL FLOW BY THE EVENING. MAIN CONCERNS
IS HIGH WINDS ACROSS THE REGION WITH STRONGER WINDS IN NORTHERN
NEVADA UP TO 20-25 MPH, GUSTS 35-45 MPH WHICH PROMPTED A WIND
ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN NEVADA FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM. HIGH WINDS MAY
CAUSE BLOWING DUST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE REGION WHICH MAY LIMIT
VISIBILITY. RECENT MODEL TRENDS ARE NOW SHOWING NO CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN NEVADA, AS THE LOW PRESSURE STAYS TO THE
NORTH. SOME CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP AS THERE WILL BE MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WETTING
RAINS. THERE IS STILL A 15% CHANCE FOR SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER
NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO STAY IN PLACE OVER NEVADA FOR THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEK, KEEPING THE UPPER RIDGE FROM
BUILDING BACK UP. THIS WILL AID IN STARTING A COOLING TEMPERATURE
TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BRINGING TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S, AND TO NEAR
NORMAL BY SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL START BACK ON A WARMING TREND
BY MONDAY, BUT STAY RELATIVELY IN THE 70S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR WARM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH POTENTIAL RECORD BREAKING TEMPS. HIGH
CONFIDENCE FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS TOMORROW PROMPTING A WIND
ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN NEVADA. LOW CONFIDENCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY OVER NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR COOLING
TEMPERATURE TREND THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ADJUST WINDS GRIDS
IN THE NBM TO BETTER REFLECT RECENT MODEL RUNS.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOUR PERIOD. BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS OVER ALL TERMINALS
(EXCEPT FOR KENV) WITH SPEEDS UP TO 10-12 KTS, GUSTS 20-25 KTS.
TOMORROW, WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER ACROSS THE REGION
WITH SPEEDS UP TO 15-20 KTS, GUSTS 30-35 KTS WITH STRONGEST WINDS
OVER THE NORTHERN TERMINALS. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL AID IN
DEVELOPING CIG LEVELS BETWEEN FL120-FL180. NO CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
TO IMPACT THE TERMINALS BUT DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT RULED OUT
OVER NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS, BUT STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE BLOWING DUST.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
NVZ030-031-033-034-036-038-039.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
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