815
FXUS65 KLKN 190739
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1239 AM PDT SUN APR 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY TODAY AND MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING WARMER
* BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
ACROSS NORTHERN NV AND UP TO 25 MPH ACROSS CENTRAL NV
* WINDS MONDAY TREND HIGHER WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 30 MPH ACROSS
NORTHERN NV AND 30 TO 50 MPH GUSTS ACROSS CENTRAL NV
* A STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH STRONG WINDS,
AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
* COLDER TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1204 AM PDT SUN APR 19 2026
CURRENT FORECAST IS TRACKING WELL AT THIS TIME AND NO UPDATES ARE
PLANNED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A FEW MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
STREAMING ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE PEAKING THROUGH. THIS IS ALL DUE TO A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BE AFFECTING THE AREA'S WEATHER FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. QUIET AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE OVERHEAD AND THEN HEAD EAST OF THE
AREA ON SUNDAY. THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY IN NATURE
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS WARMING INTO THE 60S AND 70S BY THE
AFTERNOON. A FEW AFTERNOON BREEZES WILL DEVELOP DURING THIS TIME,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA WHERE WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. DRY AND QUIET WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH LOWS WARMER THAN THE
PREVIOUS MORNING WITH READINGS INTO THE 30S AND LIGHT WINDS.
BY MONDAY, A LARGE CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL BE WOBBLING TOWARDS THE
WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE FORECAST AREA AND ADDITIONAL WARMING IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL
RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS ABOUT FOUR TO SEVEN DEGREES WARMER THAN
ON SUNDAY. EVEN WITH THIS WARMING, ONLY ONE CLIMATE SITE WILL BE
NEAR ITS RECORD. ELKO AIRPORT'S CURRENT RECORD OF 82 DEGREES WAS
SET BACK IN 1994 WHILE THE FORECAST HIGH WILL BE 79 DEGREES ON
MONDAY. ALL OTHER LOCATIONS WILL BE IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES
FOR HIGHS. WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ON MONDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE DUE TO THE SLOW FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
INCOMING CUTOFF TROUGH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S.
THE MAIN UPPER LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OFF THE COAST,
THOUGH PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF
CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
DRY DURING THE MORNING BUT MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE
DAY. STRONG WINDS WILL BE DEVELOPING DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN CENTRAL
NEVADA WHERE SPEEDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION,
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH READINGS IN
THE 70S. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH DURING THE
OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 40S.
BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO FILL
THOUGH COOL AND SHOWERY, WET CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE 50S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR NORMAL.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE CONTINUES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH
RESPECT TO THE WARMING AND DRY CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE HAS RISEN TO
AROUND LOW TO MODERATE WITH REGARDS TO THE INCOMING CUTOFF SYSTEM
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS
WILL BE BREEZY ACROSS THE CENTRAL TAF SITES OF KTPH AND KELY WITH
GUSTS TO 30KT. OTHER LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA WILL SEE WINDS
LESS THAN 15KT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
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