773
FXUS65 KLKN 231917
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1217 PM PDT MON MAR 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY IS DEPICTING
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON. SOME PEAKS OF SUN FROM TIME TO TIME
ARE NOTED. FOR TONIGHT, EXPECT QUIET AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WITH
LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
LOOK FOR THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS TO BE AT ITS MAXIMUM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A REPEAT OF WARM AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S. WINDS WILL BE A
BIT BREEZY DURING THE AFTERNOON, WITH SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. HERE ARE SOME PROBABILITIES
FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 80 DEGREES FOR SELECT LOCATIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TUESDAY:
AUSTIN - 0%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 85%
ELKO - 70%
ELY - 25%
EUREKA - 10%
JACKPOT - 25%
JARBIDGE - 0%
OWYHEE - 0%
RUTH - 0%
SPRING CREEK - 25%
TONOPAH - 60%
WELLS - 25%
WEST WENDOVER - 80%
WILDHORSE RES - 0%
WINNEMUCCA - 55%
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ON TUESDAY WILL REMAIN DRY AND QUIET WITH LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S WITH LIGHT WINDS.
MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND
NORTHERN MEXICO. LOOK FOR SOME AFTERNOON BREEZES TO PICK UP ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA OUT OF THE WEST WITH WIND SPEEDS OF
10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. HIGHS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WILL RISE INTO THE 70S TO LOW 80S. HERE ARE SOME PROBABILITIES
FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 80 DEGREES FOR SELECT LOCATIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FOR WEDNESDAY:
AUSTIN - 0%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN -70%
ELKO - 65%
ELY - 45%
EUREKA - 45%
JACKPOT - 25%
JARBIDGE - 2%
OWYHEE - 5%
RUTH - 0%
SPRING CREEK - 35%
TONOPAH - 45%
WELLS - 50%
WEST WENDOVER - 85%
WILDHORSE RES - 0%
WINNEMUCCA - 15%
MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY AND CALM
WEATHER WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE, WITH WEST TO EAST FLOW DOMINATING
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY. A RATHER DISTINCT COOL DOWN IS
LOOKING INCREASINGLY LIKELY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
60S AND 70S. THOUGH THIS COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED TO BRING READINGS TEN
TO FIFTEEN DEGREES LOWER THAN WEDNESDAY`S HIGHS, IT IS STILL ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY BREEZY,
WITH NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH. LOOK FOR QUIET AND
DRY TO CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
ON FRIDAY, MODELS ARE SHOWING WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE WEST COAST,
BUT CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY AND WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
LEVELS WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S. A FEW
HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ARE POSSIBLE AS
FORECAST HIGHS ARE CURRENTLY WITHIN THREE DEGREES. QUIET WEATHER
IS EXPECTED FOR THE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
IT CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER UNEVENTFUL FOR SATURDAY. THE AREA WILL
BE UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR
RECORDING SETTING HIGH TEMPERATURES AT ALL LOCATIONS. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THOUGH WELL OFF IN THE DISTANCE, MODELS ARE TRYING TO WORK
MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THOUGH HIGHS
ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE 70S, IT WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER ON
MONDAY. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
IS VERY HIGH. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST 10-20G30KT. WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL NEVADA
TERMINALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LESS, STAYING BELOW 15KT.
CLIMATE
RECORDS CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA AND THE
NEXT TWO DAYS WILL KEEP THIS TREND INTACT. HERE IS THE CURRENT
ROUND OF FORECAST VERSUS RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES (INCLUDING THE
YEAR THEY WERE SET) FOR MARCH 24 AND 25:
MARCH 24:
KEKO: 72/1956 79
KELY: 72/1908 80
KP68: 71/2022 81
KTPH: 75/2022 84
KWMC: 76/2022 81
MARCH 25:
KEKO: 77/2022 80
KELY: 74/2022 81
KP68: 76/2022 80
KTPH: 79/2022 83
KWMC: 80/2022 79
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
CLIMATE...86
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