321
FXUS65 KLKN 212005
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1205 PM PST SAT FEB 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1205 PM PST SAT FEB 21 2026
* WARMING TREND SUNDAY AND MONDAY
* PERIODS OF MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VALLEY RAIN IN NORTHERN NEVADA
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* UNSEASONABLY WARM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MINIMUM APPARENT TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE
NEAR ZERO DEGREES IN THE COLDEST VALLEYS OF WHITE PINE AND
SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT FIVE
DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.
AN EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF MOUNTAIN SNOW AND
VALLEY RAIN. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 7,000 FEET TUESDAY
MORNING, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 6,000 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL TUESDAY NIGHT. HERE ARE
PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR MORE OF RAIN FOR SELECT
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING:
OWYHEE - 90%
WELLS - 85%
SPRING CREEK - 75%
ELKO - 65%
CARLIN - 65%
JACKPOT - 65%
OROVADA - 65%
MCDERMITT - 55%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 45%
WINNEMUCCA - 40%
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY OVER CALIFORNIA THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY, LEADING TO UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER FOR THE SERVICE AREA.
HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE ELEVEN TO THIRTEEN DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL
VALUES. BOTTOM LINE WARM AND DRY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A WARMING TREND SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MODERATE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN PERIODS OF MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VALLEY RAIN IN NORTHERN
NEVADA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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