067
FXUS65 KLKN 252158
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1202 PM PST WED FEB 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1200 PM PST WED FEB 25 2026
* NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
* NEXT ROUND OF ATMOSPHERIC ACTIVITY POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND WITH
CHANCE OF MORE PRECIPITATION
* PERIODS OF ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERNS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: DRIER WEATHER CONDITIONS BEGIN TO SETTLE
OVER NEVADA AS RESIDUAL RAIN SHOWERS DISSIPATE TOWARDS THE EAST.
CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN THROUGHOUT MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA BUT
WILL BEGIN TO SCATTER AND CLEAR OUT OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS KEEPING THE DRY WEATHER AROUND WHILE ALSO BRINGING
IN UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WITH SOME AREAS SEEING NEAR
RECORD CONDITIONS AS HIGHS WARM INTO THE 60S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
WITH SATURDAY SEEING TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S FOR CENTRAL NEVADA.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO WARM INTO THE 30S TO 40S WITH SOME AREAS
ALSO SEEING NEAR RECORD WARM LOWS.
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE PACIFIC
WILL PUSH INTO THE STATES WHICH WILL BRING IN A SLIGHT RELIEF TO
THE WARMER TEMPERATURES. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING IN MOISTURE
WITH CHANCES REACHING UP TO 40-60% CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION OF UP TO 0.05 INCHES IN THE VALLEYS. DUE TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES, THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AS RAIN AS SNOW LEVELS
STAY ABOVE 7500-8000 FEET, WITH ONLY MOUNTAIN TOPS POTENTIALLY
SEEING MORE SNOW. THE SYSTEM WILL SITUATE OVER NEVADA THROUGH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY KEEPING THE MOISTURE AND COOLER TEMPS, THEN
PUSH EASTWARD PREVENTING A REX BLOCK PATTERN FROM FULLY
DEVELOPING. AFTER THIS SYSTEM, ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH OVER
NEVADA LATE NEXT WEEK, HOWEVER MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON THE
TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE MAIN CONSISTENCY FROM THE
MODELS IS THAT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL IMPACT NEVADA LATE NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE OF NEAR RECORD
WARM TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE
OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IMPACTING NEVADA OVER THE WEEKEND
BRINGING MORE RAINS. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF ANOTHER SYSTEM
IMPACTING NEVADA NEXT WEEK YET LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE TIMING. NO
CHANGES TO NBM GRIDS AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD AS RESIDUAL RAIN SHOWERS CLEAR OUT. CLOUDS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ACROSS ALL TERMINALS BETWEEN FL050 TO FL100 WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BETWEEN FL100 TO FL200 THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS
(NORTHERLY/NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT KTPH AND KENV) AT 10-15 KTS
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS, DISSIPATING TO LIGHTER WINDS AT OR
BELOW 10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
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