470
FXUS65 KLKN 290702 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1202 AM PDT FRI MAY 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING
* WARMING TREND SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY THIS
AFTERNOON, ALTHOUGH REMAINING WEAKER THAN THOSE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT’S BEEN DRIVING OUR WEATHER RECENTLY
WILL GET ABSORBED BACK INTO THE BROADER PATTERN TONIGHT, EXITING TO
THE EAST, BUT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FOLLOWING RIGHT BEHIND IT WILL
SPARK A FEW FINAL SHOWERS IN EASTERN NEVADA SATURDAY. ZONAL FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE, ALLOWING FOR DRY AND
WARMING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES BEGIN IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR SATURDAY AND ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH THE MID 80S BY WEDNESDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CONTINUING
UNSETTLED AND WET WEATHER TODAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN SHOWERS ON
SATURDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN ZONAL FLOW TO START NEXT WEEK, BUT
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT ZONAL FLOW WOULD RESULT IN DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS. NO ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO BASE NBM OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AROUND KTPH, KWMC, AND KBAM THIS
AFTERNOON, BUT DIRECT IMPACTS TO THE TERMINAL ARE NOT EXPECTED.
THERE IS ALSO A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AT KEKO AND KELY THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH VCTS IN PLACE THERE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WOULD ALSO
HAVE DECREASED VISIBILITY AND CEILINGS, AS WELL AS STRONG WINDS.
FIRE WEATHER
PRECIPITATION CONTINUES IN NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY, WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT OF
THE PRECIPITATION, MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE 30%
TODAY AND ABOVE 20% SATURDAY, BEFORE RETURNING TO THE TEENS FOR
SUNDAY ONWARD.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
94
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