282
FXUS65 KLKN 211956
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1256 PM PDT MON SEP 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IMPACT CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA
TODAY AND TOMORROW
* FAIR WEATHER RETURNS WEDNESDAY THOUGH BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT AT
THE END OF THE WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: CURRENT SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS A PACIFIC LOW ADVECTING MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO FACILITATE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS, WITH STORMS EXPECTED TO EXPAND INTO EASTERN
ELKO COUNTY OVERNIGHT. STORMS PERSIST UNTIL LATE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, BY WHICH POINT THE LOW WILL HAVE TRAVELED FAR ENOUGH
EAST TO CUT OFF MOISTURE OVER NEVADA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATION LOOKS
VERY HIT OR MISS AT THIS TIME BUT THE STRONGER STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG THEIR PATH.
CLOUD COVER WITH THESE STORMS IS ALSO EXPECTED TO LIMIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW, WITH HUMBOLDT COUNTY SEEING HIGHS AROUND 80
WHILE MORE EASTERN LOCATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE LOWER 70S.
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND HIGHS RETURNING TO THE LOW 80S ACROSS THE AREA. A
NEW UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CLIP THE AREA FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM, HOWEVER WINDS WILL INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES DECREASE.
COOL AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO START NEXT
WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TOMORROW. CONFIDENCE REMAINS MODERATE FOR
RAINFALL TOTALS. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN FAIR WEATHER THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. NO CHANGES TO NBM OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND WINDS UNDER 10KT WILL PREVAIL AT
KWMC/KBAM/KEKO THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KENV IS ALSO EXPECTING
VFR AND LIGHT WINDS, HOWEVER SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO ENTER THE
VICINITY AROUND 06Z. KTPH AND KELY ARE EXPECTING THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS, LOWERED CEILINGS AND
BRIEF LOWERED VISIBILITY EXPECTED WITH STORMS. PREVAILING
AFTERNOON WINDS WILL ALSO GUST AROUND 20KT.
FIRE WEATHER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN ZONES
425, 426 AND 427 TODAY, SPREADING INTO ZONES 469 AND 470
OVERNIGHT. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS ALTHOUGH NOT
GUARANTEED, WITH THE BEST ODDS CENTERED IN ZONE 425. WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO DRY OUT TOMORROW EVENING, BECOMING FAIR THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. INCREASINGLY GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
THIS WEEKEND.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...94
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