191
FXUS65 KLKN 031936
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1236 PM PDT FRI APR 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND WITH A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND
* POSSIBLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE NEXT WEEK, BRINGING IN GRADUAL
COOLING TRENDS WITH A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: UPPER RIDGING STRENGTHENS OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS OVER THE WEEKEND, PROVIDING FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS
ALONG WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TEMPERATURE TREND WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S TO 50S THIS AFTERNOON, 60S BY TOMORROW,
AND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
LAST THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HIGHS STAYING IN THE 70S.
BY WEDNESDAY, MODELS ARE SHOWING A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
WITH ONE MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN CONUS ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER
AND ANOTHER OFF THE PACIFIC COASTLINE. THESE SYSTEMS WILL WEAKEN
THE UPPER RIDGE WITH THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTH ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER PROVIDING A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW INTO NEVADA AHEAD
OF THE SECOND SYSTEM WHICH WILL BRING IN COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGHS BACK INTO THE 60S.
THE SYSTEM OFF THE PACIFIC COAST WILL BE THE MORE IMPACTFUL OF
THE TWO FOR NEVADA AS IT WILL PUSH IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING, BRINGING BACK CHANCES
FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AS MODELS SHOW SLIGHT DEVIATIONS FROM
THE POSITION AND TIMING OF IMPACT. CHANCES AT THIS TIME FOR
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE AROUND 45-55% ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
NEVADA. ANY CHANCE OF SNOW FROM THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE 8000 FEET AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WARMER
COMPARED TO THE MOST RECENT WEATHER EVENT.
BY FRIDAY, DEVIATIONS WITHIN THE MODELS BECOME GREATER AS TO THE
STABILITY OF THE LOW PRESSURE WITH SOME SAYING IT WILL STRENGTHEN
TOWARDS THE SOUTH, WHILE OTHERS ARE SHOWING IT WEAKENING AND THEN
QUICKLY RESTRENGTHEN ALONG THE NORTHWEST. THE MODELS ARE STILL IN
AGREEMENT OF PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
NEVADA FOR FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE OF GRADUAL
WARMING TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH CONFIDENCE OF A COOLING TEMPERATURE RETURNING BY WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY
AFFECTING NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA BY THURSDAY. NO CHANGES TO
NBM GRIDS AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS AT KELY WILL
REACH NEAR 20KTS BEFORE DIMINISHING BY EARLY EVENING. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECASTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...99
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page