175
FXUS65 KLKN 100844
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
144 AM PDT WED JUN 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
* FAIR WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
FAIR WEATHER RETURNS TO NE NEVADA AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
OFFSHORE OF CALIFORNIA, AND A LONG WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO RESIDE
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS PATTERN KEEPS NE NEVADA UNDER WNW
FLOW ALOFT, WHICH FOR US IS NORMALLY A DRY PATTERN, AND THIS WEEK
IS NO EXCEPTION. THE MAIN FACTOR WILL BE OCCASIONAL SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS TRANSITING THE WESTERLY FLOW OVER CANADA AND DROPPING INTO
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THESE SYSTEM WILL ACT TO TIGHTEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER NV LEADING TO BREEZY WESTERLY TO WNW WINDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP WINDS ELEVATED
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH W-NW WINDS OF 15 MPH TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 35 MPH CONTINUING. THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY THE RIDGE
WILL BUILD SLOWLY EASTWARD, WITH HEIGHTS SLOWLY RISING DURING THE
WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX SOME ALLOWING
FOR WIND SPEEDS TO DROP DURING THE AFTERNOONS TO 10 MPH TO 20 MPH
WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST.
ANOTHER FACTOR WILL BE A SLOW WARM-UP OF TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO WARM FROM THE MID 70S
TO MID 80S WEDNESDAY, BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S BY THE
WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO WARM, FROM THE LOW 30S TO LOW
50S THURSDAY MORNING, RISING BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S
BY SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE HINTING AT DEVELOPING A SHORTWAVE
UPPER TROUGH SOMEWHERE OVER THE NW US LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY OF
NEXT WEEK. MODELS HAVE WAVERED ON THE LOCATION OF THIS TROUGH WITH
LITTLE TO NO RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IN EITHER THE GFS OR ECMWF
ENSEMBLES, AND THE LATEST IS NO EXCEPTION, ALTHOUGH BOTH SEEM TO
LIKE CENTRAL IDAHO THIS EVENING. STILL EVEN WITH THE PROXIMITY OF
THIS TROUGH, BOTH KEEP NV DRY WHILE ONLY ELEVATING WINDS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE SILVER STATE.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR QUIET, DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES LASTING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY OUT OF THE W-NW DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH GUSTS TO 25KT TO 35KT. LOCALIZED
AREAS OF BLDU FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV TERMINALS POSSIBLE
THROUGH 03Z WEDNESDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
A WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OFFSHORE OF CALIFORNIA, AND THE UPPER TROUGH RESIDES OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL PLACE NV IN BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES,
UNDER WNW FLOW ALOFT. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP WINDS BREEZY
WEDNESDAY, BUT AFTER THURSDAY THE RIDGE WILL BUILD EAST, ALLOWING
FOR THE WESTERLY WINDS RELAX A BIT DURING THE AFTERNOONS, TO 10 TO
20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, THIS WILL
BE OFFSET BY DRY CONDITIONS, AND WARMING TEMPERATURES PEEKING IN
THE MID 80S TO MID 90S BY THE WEEKEND.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...98
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