628
FXUS65 KLKN 180841
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
141 AM PDT FRI SEP 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE OREGON AND
IDAHO BORDERS, AS WELL AS THE UTAH BORDER, THRU THIS EVENING
* GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER THIS WEEKEND
* POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA IN THE MONDAY/TUESDAY
TIME FRAME
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: CUT OFF LOW EJECTS EAST ALONG THE
NORTHERN NEVADA BORDER TODAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVING THRU NORTHERN NEVADA FROM THE WEST. WEST-
NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT TODAY, THOUGH WINDS WILL BE MORE
MODEST THAN YESTERDAY WITH GUSTS REMAINING LESS THAN 30 MPH. LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
IDAHO AND OREGON BORDERS AS WELL AS THE UTAH BORDER THRU THIS
EVENING. ANY RAIN ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AROUND 0.10 INCHES OR
LESS AND THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR ACCUMULATING RAINFALL WILL BE
ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY. WILL MAINTAIN A LOW CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO SATURDAY FOR THE FAR
NORTHEAST PORTION OF ELKO COUNTY, BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING, WEATHER
WILL BE FAIR THRU THE WEEKEND. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM THRU THE WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HIGHS RETURNING TO THE MID 70S
TO MID 80S BY SUNDAY.
A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA IN THE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY TIME FRAME AS A MODEST PACIFIC LOW MOVES INTO
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA FROM THE WEST. THAT SAID, LATEST NUMERICAL
MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE
LOW, WHICH WILL BE THE DETERMINING FACTOR WITH REGARD TO RAIN
POTENTIAL. FAIR WEATHER LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN NV
BORDERS TODAY, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE WITH REGARD TO RAIN
ACCUMULATION. SIGNIFICANT GRID EDITS REQUIRED WITHIN POP GRIDS TO
BETTER REPRESENT RAIN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY AND
THIS EVENING.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FLIGHT CONDITIONS
THRU FRIDAY NIGHT. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THRU NORTHERN
NEVADA FROM THE WEST TODAY WILL PRODUCE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES
THOUGH GUSTS WILL BE AROUND 25KT OR LESS AT ALL TERMINALS. THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE OF VCTS AND SHRA AT KENV TODAY AND THIS EVENING,
THOUGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE TAF. VCTS
AND SHRA WILL BE MORE PREVALENT TO THE EAST WITHIN UTAH AND
SOUTHEAST IDAHO.
FIRE WEATHER
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH A PARENT
CUT OFF LOW WILL PASS THRU NORTHERN NEVADA FROM THE WEST TODAY.
WEST- NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT THOUGH GUSTS WILL
REMAIN LESS THAN 30 MPH. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE FOR LIGHT SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PRESENT THRU THIS EVENING ALONG THE
IDAHO/OREGON BORDER AS WELL AS THE UTAH BORDER. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE (10% TO 20%) OF WETTING RAINS. LOW CHANCE OF ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CARRYING INTO SATURDAY FOR THE NORTHERN
HALF OF ZONE 470 BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING, WEATHER WILL BE FAIR THIS
WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
A MODEST PACIFIC LOW LOOKS TO MOVE THRU SOUTHERN NEVADA EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THERE IS A CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN WITHIN CENTRAL NEVADA
THOUGH LATEST NUMERICAL MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT ON
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW, WHICH WILL BE THE DETERMINING FACTOR
WITH REGARD TO RAIN.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
FIRE WEATHER...92
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