595
FXUS65 KLKN 130828
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
128 AM PDT SAT JUN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FAIR WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND.
* CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH RESPECT TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
FAIR WEATHER, WARMING TEMPERATURES, AND LIGHT TO BREEZY AFTERNOON
WINDS CONTINUE AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST COAST.
WESTERLY AFTERNOON WINDS TO RUN AT 10 MPH TO 20 MPH WITH A FEW
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY A
QUICK MOVING TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH THE WNW FLOW OVER THE
PACIFIC NW. MODELS WHICH HAVE STRUGGLED WITH THIS FEATURE, NO SHOW
THIS TROUGH SPLITTING WITH THE MAIN ENERGY STAYING WITHIN THE
WESTERLY FLOW, AND A WEAK CUTOFF LOW OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. THIS
WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTH, BUT MODELS DO KEEP SPEEDS SIMILAR
TO PRIOR AFTERNOONS. WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE WEST TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. ALSO SUNDAY, A SMALL WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL BE PASSING
THROUGH ARIZONA, FOR THE MOST PART SENSIBLE WEATHER FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTH OF OUR AREA, BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE MAY MAKE IT
TO FAR SW WHITE PINE COUNTY TO TRIGGER A ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWER OR
TWO FOR GREAT BASIN NP. THE MAIN HEADLINE FEATURE WILL BE THE
WARM-UP OF TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK INTO THE NEXT. HIGH TEMPERATURES
LOOK TO WARM FROM THE LOW 80S TO LOW 90S THURSDAY, BACK INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S BY NEXT WEDNESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO
WARM, RISING BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S BY SUNDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR THE POTENTIAL HEAT
HEADLINES FOR ELKO COUNTY FOR NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR QUIET, DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES LASTING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THERE MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT ISSUES FOR
NORTHEASTERN NEVADA FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED WET OR DRY
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR SW WHITE PINE COUNTY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE WNW AT 10KT TO 20KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS EAST. WEST TO NW WINDS OF 10 TO 20
MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. A
SPLITTING TROUGH PASSING TO THE NORTH WILL SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE
NORTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY, BUT SPEEDS REMAIN SIMILAR. A SMALL
SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH ARIZONA ALONG WITH A WEAK UPPER LOW FROM
THE SPLITTING NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA, WILL TRY TO
PULL SOME MOISTURE INTO SOUTHERN WHITE PINE COUNTY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON TO TRIGGER ISOLATED MIX OF WET OR DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH
HIGHS PEEKING IN THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S BY NEXT WEDNESDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...98
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