580
FXUS65 KLKN 011039
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
339 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMING TREND CONTINUES TODAY.
* UNSEASONABLY WARM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
* NEAR RECORD WARMTH IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* NEAR RECORD WARMTH IS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. THE RESULT
OF INCREASING HEIGHTS WILL BE A WARMING TREND THAT WILL EXPAND
SOUTH AND EAST THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY WILL BE ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE
SEASONAL VALUES WITH READINGS IN THE 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
IN THE 40S
THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA AND SOUTHWEST
UTAH FRIDAY. THIS UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH
AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL BE AROUND FIFTEEN DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. NEAR RECORD WARMTH IS
ANTICIPATED IN ELKO, ELY, AND TONOPAH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NEAR
RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED IN ELKO, WINNEMUCCA, AND ELY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. NEAR RECORD WARMTH IS ANTICIPATED IN ELKO AND ELY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS EASTWARD ACROSS THE
SILVER STATE MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A DOWNWARD TEMPERATURE
TREND AND POSSIBLY A LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO. BE THAT AS IT MAY, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES BOTH MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NO ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE
NBM MODEL OUTPUT. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A WARMING
TREND THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN UNSEASONABLY
WARM WEATHER FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING NEAR RECORD WARMTH IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA BOTH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN NEAR RECORD WARMTH IN PARTS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE
UPCOMING 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND GUSTS
NEAR 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED AT KELY AND KTPH THIS AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOTED AT THIS TIME. A PERIOD OF WARMING
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FOR THIS AFTERNOON,
HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE AROUND
TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. NEAR RECORD WARMTH IS
EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON BREEZES TO 20 MPH.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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