497
FXUS65 KLKN 210921
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
221 AM PDT SUN JUN 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF ELKO AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
WHITE PINE COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON
* SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AT ALL OTHER LOCATIONS
* WARMING TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 90S FOR ALL
LOCATIONS
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR AT THIS TIME WITH
DRY AND QUIET CONDITIONS. FOR TODAY, EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND CAPE IS NOTED AROUND THE
JARBIDGE WILDERNESS AND NORTHEASTERN WHITE PINE COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON AND SO ADJUSTED POPS AND WX SLIGHTLY TO INCLUDE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE, NOT TOO MUCH GOING ON WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S AND WINDS LESS THAN 20 MPH. LOOK FOR QUIET AND
DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE DURING THIS
TIME AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BUILDS
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO WARMING AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY MID-WEEK. HEATRISK IS ONLY SHOWING MINOR
LEVELS AT THIS TIME THOUGH PEOPLE WHO ARE HEAT SENSITIVE MAY HAVE
MINOR ISSUES. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT WITH THE TYPICAL
AFTERNOON BREEZES. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF AS MANY
AREAS WILL SEE READINGS IN THE 50S.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, MODELS ARE SHOWING THE
UPPER RIDGE MAINTAINING POSITION AROUND NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS MAY
BRING LIMITED MID-LEVEL MOISTURE TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST-
CENTRAL NEVADA BY THURSDAY AS SOUTHWEST FLOW DOMINATES. THIS COULD
BRING ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS TO EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THAT WILL
NEED TO BE WATCHED. COOLING BACK INTO THE 80S IS POSSIBLE BY THE
WEEKEND AS WELL.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE NBM
FOR THE AFTERNOON PERIOD, ADDING ISOLATED THUNDER TO JARBIDGE AND
NE WHITE PINE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MID-WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THOUGH GUSTS TO 20KT ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL TERMINALS KELY AND
KTPH.
FIRE WEATHER
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM (PROBABILITY TEN
PERCENT) EXPECTED ALONG THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF ZONES 469 AND
470, AND ALSO ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF 425. OTHERWISE,
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
WARMING ONCE AGAIN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. ANOTHER SHOT OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON
BUT PROBABILITY REMAINS AT AROUND TEN TO FIFTEEN PERCENT AT THIS
TIME, MAINLY OVER EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY
BREEZY THOUGH NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOTED AT THIS TIME.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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