217
FXUS65 KLKN 072037
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1237 PM PST SAT MAR 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* REMEMBER TO SET YOU CLOCKS FORWARD TONIGHT FOR DAYLIGHT SAVING
TIME!
* REX BLOCK PATTERN OVER THE WEST COAST FOR THE WEEKEND
* WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK
* NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA DURING THE AFTERNOON EACH DAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
QUIET WEATHER WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES AND PARTY TO MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE SILVER STATE THIS WEEK. WHAT HAS BEEN
THE THEME FOR THIS WINTER, A REX BLOCKING PATTERN IS TAKING SHAPE
OFF THE WEST COAST. THIS PATTERN FEATURING A CUTOFF LOW OFF THE
NORTHERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A CAPPING SHORTWAVE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE DUE NORTH OFF THE COAST OF EUREKA, CALIFORNIA WILL
KEEP THE PATTERN DRY, AND UNSEASONABLY WARM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARMING BACK INTO THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S BY MONDAY, WHICH WILL
BE CLOSE TO A FEW RECORDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. TUESDAY A WEAK
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH WILL DIG FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OVER THE PACIFIC
NW TO BREAK THE REX BLOCK, BY FORCING THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN
NEVADA WEST OUT TO SEA, AND BY PICKING UP THE CUTOFF LOW AND
BRINGING IT INTO THE MAIN WESTERLY FLOW. THIS TROUGH, WILL ALSO
PUSH A COOL FRONT INTO NORTHERN NEVADA, WHICH WILL KNOCK
TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES, AND ACT TO ENHANCE WESTERLY WINDS
TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE, AS AN UPPER
LEVEL JET STREAM TRIES TO SHIFT SOUTH INTO NEVADA. UNFORTUNATELY,
THIS SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH DRY, AS ANY MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN
OVER ID. WEDNESDAY THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD
BACK ANEW, OVER MUCH OF THE SW US. THIS WILL LEAD TO A NEW ROUND
OF WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE REACHING BACK INTO RECORD TERRITORY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S TO LOW 70S BY FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO BREEZY OUT
OF THE WEST TO SW AT 5 MPH TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOONS. AS FOR OUR NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION, MODELS ARE HINTING AT A UPPER TROUGH CLIPPING
NORTHERN NEVADA WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE SATURDAY, AT THE
VERY EDGE OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD, BUT CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW AT
THIS TIME.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A QUIET PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH
MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR A UPPER TROUGH PUSHING A COOL
FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA BRINGING STRONGER WEST WINDS AND
INCREASING CLOUDS.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR RECORD TO
RECORD TEMPERATURES FOR THIS WEEKEND, AND AGAIN FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE FOR A WEAK SYSTEM BRINGING ISOLATED LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN NEVADA LATE SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT TO
BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5KT TO 15KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
25KT POSSIBLE, AND CIGS ABOVE 15KFT.
KENV REMAINS AMD NOT SKED DUE TO COMMUNICATION DISRUPTION.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
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