969  
FXUS65 KLKN 140928  
AFDLKN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV  
228 AM PDT MON JUL 14 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 133 AM PDT MON JUL 14 2025  
 
* TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS  
IN THE MID 90S TO LOW 100S  
 
* HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM TUESDAY  
 
* ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY  
 
* FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW  
HUMIDITY FOR TUESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 425  
 

 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 133 AM PDT MON JUL 14 2025  
 
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT  
BASIN REGION TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING WARMER. HIGHS THIS  
AFTERNOON WILL REACH UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S IN MOST VALLEY  
LOCATIONS. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY. A HEAT ADVISORY  
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.  
 
THERE IS A 10 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR. TUESDAY  
A TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST WHICH WILL BRING  
INCREASED INSTABILITY TO MUCH OF NORTHERN NV WHERE ISOLATED TO  
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE (10 TO 25% CHANCE). BEST  
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN ELKO COUNTY.  
WHILE MOST OF NORTHERN NEVADA WILL HAVE BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS ON  
TUESDAY, EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA WILL HAVE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 15  
TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. A WEAKENED RIDGE REMAINS  
OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES  
COOLER. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISE ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ON  
FRIDAY WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO  
WHITE PINE AND NORTHERN NYE COUNTIES.  
 
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WELL ABOVE  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND  
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. MODERATE  
TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN ELKO  
COUNTY TUESDAY. DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM CONTINUE TODAY AND  
TUESDAY WITH RESPECT TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. USED A BLEND OF 2  
PARTS NBM AND 1 PART NBM90PCT FOR WINDS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  
 

 
 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT  
WITH NO PRECIPITATION ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. MONDAY AFTERNOON  
DIURNAL BREEZES WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT FOR KTPH WHERE GUSTS OF 20KTS  
ARE FORECAST UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.  
 
AMD NOT SKED AT KELY DUE TO MALFUNCTIONING VIS SENSOR.  
 

 
 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
MONDAY AFTERNOON A PASSING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WILL INITIATE  
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN NV BORDER IN ZONES  
437/438/469/470 MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TUESDAY AFTERNOON  
THE DRY THUNDERSTORM THREAT EXPANDS TO INCLUDE ZONES  
424/425/427/438/469/470.  
 
IN ADDITION TO THUNDERSTORMS, STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING  
15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30-35 MPH COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON RH  
VALUES OF 5-10% HAVE PROMPTED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONE 425  
FROM 11AM UNTIL 10PM PDT TUESDAY EVENING. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT  
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ZONES  
425/426/427/469/470.  
 

 
 
   
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY NVZ030-033-036>038-040-041.  
 
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING  
NVZ425.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...96  
AVIATION...99  
FIRE WEATHER...99  
 
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