869
FXUS65 KLKN 150701 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMING TREND TODAY AND FRIDAY
* UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER THIS WEEKEND
* A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT EASTERN NEVADA EARLY NEXT WEEK
* MUCH COOLER TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD OVER OUR AREA, BRINGING WITH IT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, DRIER
CONDITIONS, AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE AROUND
FIVE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL REMAIN ABOVE
SEASONAL VALUES THIS WEEKEND.
LOOKING AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK, A POLAR JET WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY TO
OUR REGION, BRINGING WITH IT THE CHANCE FOR WINTER WEATHER AND
COLDER TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL REDUCE OUR HIGHS BACK TO THE 40S AND 50S, AS WELL AS
BRING WITH IT THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A
COLDER AIR MASS WILL ALSO BRING OUR LOWS DOWN INTO THE 20S AND 30S
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THESE LOWS BRING US THE SLIGHTEST BIT OF HOPE AT
BUILDING THE FIRST SNOWMAN OF THE SEASON, CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING
AND INTENSITY OF THIS FORECAST IS STILL LOW.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
FOR COOLING TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS
REGARDING THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM
MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE
AROUND FIVE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL REMAIN ABOVE
SEASONAL VALUES THIS WEEKEND. A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT EASTERN
NEVADA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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