056
FXUS65 KLKN 042026
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
126 PM PDT FRI SEP 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THIS
EVENING
* SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING, THEN PARTIAL
CLEARING
* AT OR JUST BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
* PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE EXPECTED INTO
THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS SEEN FROM SOME REMOTE
OBSERVATION PLATFORMS FOR THE MORNING ARE COMING IN WITH A TENTH
OR SO, THOUGH TWENTY-FOUR HOUR TOTALS OF A THIRD OF AN INCH WAS
RECORDED AT TEXAS SPRINGS AND DOUBLE H. FURTHER EAST AND SOUTH,
SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ACROSS NORTHWEST OREGON AT THIS TIME AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR
BRINGING THE LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO HUMBOLDT COUNTY. SOUTHWEST
FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEVADA ARE KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY
SUNNY. FOR TONIGHT, EXPECT ANY RAIN SHOWERS TO DIMINISH DURING
THE OVERNIGHT WITH SKIES GRADUALLY CLEARING. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
SATURDAY. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH THE DAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S. WINDS WILL AGAIN BE BREEZY TO
LOCALLY WINDY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. OTHER LOCALES WILL SEE OCCASIONAL BREEZY CONDITIONS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S ONCE AGAIN. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S.
A PIECE OF ENERGY WILL MOVE AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH ACROSS
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA FOR SUNDAY. SOME
MOISTURE FROM A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BE
PICKED UP BY THE UPPER TROUGH, BRINGING RAIN SHOWERS TO THE NORTH
AND CENTRAL LOCALES. AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE
WITH AMOUNTS OF FIVE-HUNDREDTHS TO A TENTH. HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN
THE 70S AND 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
FROM MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THOUGH THERE ARE POSSIBLE OPPORTUNITIES FOR LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM EACH AFTERNOON FROM ROUGHLY WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. CONFIDENCE IS QUITE LOW AT THIS
TIME IN THIS SCENARIO. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
70S AND 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S. AFTERNOON BREEZES TO 20
TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN COOL
TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEEKEND STORM
CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO BE MODERATE, WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN STORM
POTENTIAL NEXT WEEK. NO CHANGES WERE MADE FROM THE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FLIGHT CATEGORY
FOR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BLDU MAY AFFECT KBAM
DURING THIS PERIOD WITH TEMPORARY VSBY RESTRICTIONS TO MVFR. WINDS
WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BUT CAN BE EXPECTED
TO BECOME BREEZY TO WINDY SATURDAY AFTER 18Z S-SW15-20G35KT.
FIRE WEATHER
BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THIS EARLY EVENING. THOUGH WIND GUSTS IN
CENTRAL NEVADA ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 30 MPH, MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL HOVER AT OR JUST ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED TOMORROW ACROSS FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 425-427. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS FIRE ZONES 437 AND PORTIONS OF 438 THIS
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
BUT LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES,
BRINGING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE
AT OR JUST BELOW NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON BREEZES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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