506
FXUS65 KLKN 150740
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1240 AM PDT WED APR 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NV TODAY
* STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. GUSTY
WINDS AND SNOWFALL WILL PRODUCE MINOR TRAVEL IMPACTS, PRIMARILY
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA.
* GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IN PLACE FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY, THOUGH
BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT SUNDAY
* NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN DURING THE MONDAY TIMEFRAME
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1228 AM PDT WED APR 15 2026
LATEST GUIDANCE HAS SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ACROSS ELKO COUNTY
FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. THE WIND
ADVISORY CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY FROM 11AM THIS
MORNING THROUGH 11PM THIS EVENING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY ALONG WITH THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST
HUMBOLDT RANGE. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE FORECAST
AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: FAIR WEATHER IN PLACE TONIGHT WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S, LOW 20S IN THE TYPICAL
COLD SPOTS.
INCREASING WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL
TROF AND ATTENDANT SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST.
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF THE FRONT, THOUGH SHOWERS LOOK TO BE RELEGATED TO THE HIGH
TERRAIN. FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT, EXITING TO THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT. A BAND OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW WILL BE EMBEDDED ALONG THE FRONT AS IT TRAVERSES
THE FORECAST AREA. GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE SITUATED
OVER NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY, WEST OF US-93. 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST. A SKIFF TO 3 INCHES IS GENERALLY EXPECTED
ELSEWHERE. MINOR TRAVEL INCONVENIENCES SHOULD BE EXPECTED,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA, BASED ON THE TIMING OF THE FRONT. THOUGH GIVEN THAT THIS
IS A SPRING SEASON STORM AND SUB-SURFACE SOIL TEMPERATURES ARE
RELATIVELY WARM. ANY SLUSH UPS OR SNOW THAT STICKS TO THE ROAD
WILL DO SO UNDER HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES. WINDS SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY
POST FRONTAL AND REMAIN BREEZY.
DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH LIGHTER WINDS AS A PROGRESSIVE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN U.S. GENERALLY
FAIR WEATHER DEFINED BY WARMING TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON
BREEZES, ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH NOTABLY STRONGER
SOUTHWESTERLY GUSTS PRESENT AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW AND
DYNAMIC SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT ARE STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY FROM THE WEST. THIS LOOKS TO BRING
ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW TO THE REGION ALONG WITH CONTINUED
ELEVATED WINDS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A COLD FRONT
MOVING THRU THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THRU THURSDAY NIGHT.
CONTINUED HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS WEEKENDS WEATHER BECOMING
MODERATE IN REGARD TO THE NEXT WEATHER EVENT AND COLD FRONT
PASSAGE IN THE MONDAY TIME FRAME. SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO NBM POP
AND WEATHER GRIDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE NBM COMING IN MUCH TOO
EARLY WITH REGARD TO THE WEATHER EVENT WEDNESDAY. UTILIZED
VARIOUS MODEL BLENDS AND WPC GUIDANCE. NBM ALSO COMING IN MUCH
LOWER THAN PREVIOUS WITH SNOW AMOUNT. MANUALLY EDITED TO MAINTAIN
THE SNOW AMOUNT FORECAST PREVIOUSLY WHICH IS IN LINE WITH LATEST
MODEL DIAGNOSTICS AND ENSEMBLE MODEL FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS.
MAINTAINED NBM FORECAST ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TONIGHT
AND THRU THE DAY WEDNESDAY. BREEZES ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WILL
EASE THIS EVENING, THOUGH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG
ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
THRU THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS 25KT TO 30KT OR MORE WILL BE PRESENT
AT ALL TERMINALS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
NVZ030-031-034.
UPDATE...96
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page