760
FXUS65 KREV 160925
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
225 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARM AND DRY WEATHER PREVAILS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH EAST TO
SOUTHEAST BREEZES THIS AFTERNOON.
* INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY ELEVATE FIRE CONCERNS AND
POSE IMPACTS TO RECREATION AND TRAVEL ON MONDAY.
* CHANCES OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW INCREASES BETWEEN TUESDAY AND
THURSDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
DISCUSSION
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS REMAIN STRONG EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG THE
SIERRA CREST WHERE GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH ARE NOTED IN 1 AM SURFACE OBS.
RIDGE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE MORNING, BUT
SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. ELSEWHERE, BREEZY
E/SE WINDS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH POSING
MINOR FIRE CONCERNS IN FAR NE CALIFORNIA AND NW NEVADA. OTHERWISE, A
WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S EACH DAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A DEEPENING EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH WILL ENCOURAGE GUSTY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH
PROBABILITY OF 30+ MPH WIND GUSTS. THESE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL
SUPPORT AREAS OF ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH IMPACTS TO RECREATION AND AIR/GROUND TRAVEL.
CHANCES OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW INCREASE BETWEEN TUESDAY AND
THURSDAY, BUT DIFFERENCES IN TROUGH EVOLUTION MAKES THIS A LOWER
CONFIDENCE FORECAST. LATEST BLENDED GUIDANCE DOES FAVOR AREAS SOUTH
OF I-80 WHERE CHANCES (50-70%) ARE HIGHER, BUT EXACT TIMING AND
AMOUNTS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN FOR NOW.
-SALAS
AVIATION
EASTERLY FL100 WINDS OF 30-35 KT WILL MAINTAIN MOUNTAIN WAVE
TURBULENCE CONCERNS ALONG AND WEST OF THE SIERRA CREST THROUGH 15Z
THIS MORNING. E/SE SURFACE GUSTS UP TO 15 KTS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AT ALL AREA TERMINALS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT WIDESPREAD VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
-SALAS
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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