304  
FXUS65 KREV 240955  
AFDREV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
155 AM PST WED FEB 24 2021  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND MUCH  
COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY. TEMPERATURES WARM AGAIN THURSDAY AND  
FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT DROPS IN FROM THE NORTH  
SATURDAY FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS. LIGHTER WINDS  
AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PREVAIL SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
NO BIG CHANGES THIS MORNING AS A DRY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO  
DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND BRING GUSTY NORTH TO  
NORTHEAST WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. THE GUSTY WINDS MAY  
PRODUCE LOCAL AREAS OF BLOWING DUST OFF THE DRY SINKS IN THE  
BASIN AND RANGE WHILE BRINGING CHOPPY AND ROUGH LAKE WATERS TO  
AREA LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE  
AROUND 15 DEGREES COLDER THAN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
A BRIEF SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BRING LIGHTER WINDS LATE TONIGHT  
INTO MIDDAY THURSDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM DROPS SOUTHEAST  
THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND EASTERN GREAT BASIN THURSDAY  
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE RIDGES  
LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST BREEZES  
DEVELOPING ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS EACH AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES  
WILL BOUNCE BACK WITH MOSTLY 50S ACROSS THE AREA THU-FRI. HOHMANN  
   
LONG TERM...SATURDAY AND BEYOND
 
 
MAIN CHANGE WAS TO DECREASE THE CHANCE OF SNOW WITH THE SLIDER ON  
SATURDAY. ENSEMBLES ARE NOW BACKING OFF ON THE WESTERN TRAJECTORY  
WITH THE VAST MAJORITY OF MEMBERS NOW TAKING THE SYSTEM TOO FAR EAST  
FOR ANY PRECIP. WE HAVE LEFT SOME SLIGHT CHANCES IN AS THERE ARE  
STILL 20% OF MEMBERS SHOWING IN THE CLUSTER ANALYSIS THAT COULD  
BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA WITH MINIMAL ACCUMULATIONS. ALONG  
WITH THAT CHANGE, TEMPERATURES DON'T LOOK QUITE AS COLD, NOR THE  
WINDS AS GUSTY EITHER.  
 
BEYOND THAT CHANGE, LITTLE WAS DONE IN THE LONG TERM. ENSEMBLES ARE  
NOW KEEPING THE UPPER LOW OFF THE COAST UNTIL AT LEAST MID-WEEK AND  
LIKELY BEYOND. WHEN THE LOW COMES IN, IF IT DOES AT ALL, IS TRENDING  
TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND AMONG MOST ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. STILL, THERE ARE A  
FEW (MAINLY GEFS MEMBERS) THAT BRING IT IN AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY  
AFTERNOON. FOR NOW, THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE DRIER EC  
SUITE FOR WEDNESDAY AS IT HAS THE MOST ENSEMBLE SUPPORT. X  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY WITH PEAK GUSTS TO 30 KTS AT  
THE TERMINALS, PEAKING FROM 20-02Z. SOME GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS  
OVER THE SIERRA CREST AS WELL WITH MTN WAVE TURBULENCE AND SOME  
LOCALIZED LLWS. LIGHTER NORTHWEST WINDS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY,  
BUT STILL GUSTING 20-25 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY  
EVENINGS. ANY CLOUD COVER LOOKS TO BE TOO HIGH AT THIS POINT AND  
VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. X  
 

 
 
   
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NV...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM PST THIS  
EVENING FOR PYRAMID LAKE IN NVZ004.  
 
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM PST THIS  
EVENING FOR LAKE TAHOE IN NVZ002.  
 
CA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM PST THIS  
EVENING FOR LAKE TAHOE IN CAZ072.  
 

 
 

 
 
FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...  
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO  
 
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