447
FXUS65 KREV 161954
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1254 PM PDT THU OCT 16 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* A WARMING TREND WITH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
* ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW MAY ARRIVE BY SUNDAY
INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE HAS STARTED TO BUILD IN TODAY AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE EACH DAY TO A
COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE THEY START TO
FALL BACK TO NEAR AVERAGE MONDAY ONWARD. OUR NEXT SYSTEM LOOKS TO
MOVE IN ON SUNDAY WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SCRAPES BY TO OUR
NORTH. AS OF RIGHT NOW THERE'S ONLY A 20% CHANCE OF SNOW OVER THE
WARNER MOUNTAINS ABOVE 8000', AND A 10% CHANCE OF RAIN FOR
SURPRISE VALLEY AND NORTHERN WASHOE COUNTY. QPF WILL BE MINIMAL
WITH UP TO 0.05" AND UP TO A TRACE OF SNOW EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD OUT OF THIS
SYSTEM. WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FROM PYRAMID LAKE NORTHWARD TO THE OR/NV BORDER,
OTHERWISE UP TO 25-30 MPH ELSEWHERE. AFTER SUNDAY, HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES IN ONCE AGAIN, KEEPING OUR AREA SUNNY AND DRY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
-JUSTIN
AVIATION
* 40-50% CHANCE TO SEE FZFG AT KTRK OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BETWEEN
07-17Z, OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS FOR REMAINING EASTERN SIERRA
AND WESTERN NV TERMINALS. WINDS ARE OVERALL LIGHT (<10KT) OUT
OF THE NORTH AT ALL TERMINALS.
-JUSTIN
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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