614
FXUS65 KREV 112008
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1208 PM PST WED FEB 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* IMPACTS TO THE PM COMMUTE REMAIN LIKELY TODAY DUE TO LINGERING
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE SIERRA, AS WELL AS LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW MIX
DOWN IN WESTERN NEVADA.
* A BREAK IN ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST SATURDAY WITH A SLIGHT WARMUP AND LIGHTER WINDS.
* INCREASED RISK OF WINTER STORMS RETURN SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD TRAVEL
IMPACTS FOR THE SIERRA AND FOR THE LOWER VALLEYS.
DISCUSSION
AS THE MORNING HAS PROGRESSED, THE PERSISTENT CLOUD DECK OVER THE
SIERRA FRONT HAS LIFTED, ALLOWING FOR PATCHES OF BLUE SKY. LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY
THOUGH IF THE SKY CLEARS MORE, WE COULD SEE A 10-15% CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
HUG THE SIERRA TODAY, AND LIGHTNING THAT DEVELOPS MAY BRING
IMPACTS TO SKI LIFT OPERATIONS AND BACKCOUNTRY RECREATION.
CAMS HINT AT WRAP AROUND SHOWER POTENTIAL OUT IN THE BASIN AND
RANGE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRAGS
SOUTH AND INLAND OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS RELATIVELY CLEAR SKIES OUT THERE, WHICH WILL BRING
NEEDED SURFACE HEATING FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AROUND
SUNSET TONIGHT.
BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING, ANY LINGERING SHOWERS ALONG THE SIERRA
SHOULD DISSIPATE. DRY CONDITIONS MOVE IN AS BRIEF RIDGING DEVELOPS
OVERHEAD. THIS WEEKEND IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE PLEASANT! AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL GET BACK UP TO NEAR NORMAL WITH MID 50S FOR VALLEYS AND
LOW 40S FOR SIERRA COMMUNITIES. LIGHT WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER STRONGER, COLDER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN AS
EARLY AS LATE SUNDAY, HAVING ORIGINATED FROM ALASKA. WHILE IT'S
STILL 5+ DAYS OUT, THE NBM IS PUTTING SNOW LEVELS AROUND 5000' BY
MONDAY. TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS OVER SIERRA PASSES ARE LIKELY BY THE
END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, WITH UP TO 2 FEET OF SNOW FORECASTED
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SIERRA CREST. CONSIDER ADJUSTING
TRAVEL PLANS AND MAKE SURE TO STAY UP TO DATE ON THE FORECAST BY
CHECKING BACK HERE AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES AND DETAILS GET IRONED
OUT. ADDITIONALLY, MONITOR ROAD CONDITIONS BY CHECKING OUT
CALTRANS QUICKMAP AND NVROADS.
-GIRALTE
AVIATION
MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER WESTERN NV ALONG WITH LIFR/IFR
CONDITIONS OVER THE SIERRA. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES AND PRECIPITATION INTENSITY DECREASES. HOWEVER, MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN THE SIERRA THROUGH 12Z
TOMORROW AS SHOWERS CONTINUE TO HUG THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS WILL
ALSO BRING MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING.
THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDER (10-15%) UNTIL 00Z
AROUND THE TAHOE BASIN AND THE SIERRA FRONT TODAY. HOWEVER,
CHANCES WILL DIMINISH IF WE DON'T GET ENOUGH CLEARING SKIES.
FZFG MAY DEVELOP AT KTRK TOMORROW MORNING, WITH INCREASING CHANCES
THIS WEEKEND DUE TO CLEARING SKIES.
-GIRALTE
AVALANCHE
IMPACTS FROM HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY RIDGE WINDS WILL DIMINISH
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
* SNOW TOTALS, LEVELS, AND RATES: AN ADDITIONAL 1-5 INCHES OF SNOW
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE END OF TODAY (LOCALLY UP TO 8" IN SOUTHERN
MONO COUNTY) ACROSS ALL AVALANCHE CENTER TERRAIN WITH SNOWFALL
RATES LESS THAN 1"/HR. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP BELOW 5500 FT BY
SUNSET TONIGHT.
* SLRS AND SWE: REPORTS AROUND THE TAHOE BASIN HAVE CONFIRMED SLRS
OF 12:1, AND THEY MAY INCREASE UP TO 13-14:1 AS THE DAY WRAPS
UP. REMAINING SWE OF 0.1-0.5".
* RIDGETOP GUSTS: SSW GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND DECREASING THROUGH
THE DAY.
-GIRALTE/HC
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON NVZ002.
CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON CAZ071>073.
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