978  
FXCN01 CWHF 012110  
 
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX  
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE  
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 2130Z ON  
MONDAY 01 DEC  
 
===================================================================  
KEY FORECAST POINTS:  
 
- RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING  
- SUNNY BUT COLD AND WINDY ON FRIDAY  
 
===================================================================  
SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 1800Z 01 DEC TO 0400Z 03 DEC.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS  
CONFIDENCE: HIGH  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: DIMINISHING NORTHWESTERLIES TONIGHT ALONG WITH A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. RAIN..LIKELY INITIALLY MIXED  
WITH SNOW..IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0400Z 03 DEC TO 0400Z 06 DEC.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS  
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM TO HIGH  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: RAIN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING POSSIBLY BECOMING MIXED  
WITH SNOW ONCE AGAIN BEFORE ENDING NEAR NOON. STRONG TO GALE FORCE  
NORTHERLIES DIMINISH TO LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLIES LATE IN  
THE DAY AS THE RESPONSIBLE LOW PRESSURE CENTRE MOVES AWAY. ON  
THURSDAY AN APPROACHING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING STRONG  
SOUTHWESTERLIES. ON THURSDAY NIGHT WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY AND  
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO FLURRIES IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH. MAINLY  
SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY BUT  
STRONG NORTHWESTERLIES ALONG WITH COLD TEMPERATURES WILL GIVE US  
LIKELY OUR COLDEST DAY OF THE SEASON THUS FAR.  
 
END/METOC-HFX  
 
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