046  
FXCN01 CWHF 280738  
 
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX  
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE  
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 0830Z ON  
THURSDAY 28 MAY  
 
===================================================================  
KEY FORECAST POINTS:  
-STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE APPROACHES.  
-DRIZZLE AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS EXPECTED TODAY.  
-LOW CONFIDENCE FOR LONG-RANGE PERIOD IN DISORGANIZED PATTERN.  
 
===================================================================  
SHORT-RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0600Z 28 MAY TO 0300Z 30 MAY.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: CONSULTED CHIEFLY HRDPS/RDPS.  
CONFIDENCE: LOW TO MEDIUM.  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A MEANDERING LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST SOUTH OF NOVA  
SCOTIA IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE SOME STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE  
APPROACHES TODAY, FOLLOWED BY STRONG NORTH WINDS TONIGHT AND  
FRIDAY. WINDS SHOULD BE A BIT WEAKER WITHIN THE HARBOUR AND BEDFORD  
BASIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY COOL IN THE NORTHERLY  
FLOW. PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TODAY SHOULD BE  
MOSTLY JUST PERIODS OF DRIZZLE TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY JUST A CHANCE  
OF BOTH ON FRIDAY AS A SMALL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE POKES INTO NOVA  
SCOTIA FROM NEW BRUNSWICK.  
 
LONG-RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0300Z 30 MAY TO 0300Z 02 JUNE.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: CONSULTED CHIEFLY RDPS/GDPS/GFS.  
CONFIDENCE: LOW TO MEDIUM.  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: BENIGN CONDITIONS IN GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS  
EXPECTED FOR THE BULK OF THE LONG-RANGE PERIOD AS THE  
SYNOPTIC-SCALE PRESSURE PATTERN LOOKS TO BE QUITE DISORGANIZED.  
 
END/METOC-HFX  
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