816
FXCN01 CWHF 021840
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 2030Z ON
SUNDAY 02 AUG
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KEY FORECAST POINTS:
- IFR FLYING CONDITIONS DEVELOPING THIS EVENING IN FOG AND CEILINGS
- SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE ON MONDAY
- A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUD WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLIES ON TUESDAY
- SUNSHINE AND HEAT RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
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SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 1800Z 02 AUG TO 0300Z 04 AUG.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: IFR FLYING CONDITIONS DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS FOG
INVADES THE HARBOUR FROM THE APPROACHES. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
STAY LOW ON MONDAY AS SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0300Z 04 AUG TO 0300Z 07 AUG.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM TO HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: STRONG SOUTHWESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH WITH SHOWERS ENDING AND PARTIAL CLEARING.
THE LONG-AWAITED BERMUDA HIGH BUILDS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
GIVING A MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALONG WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGH 20S. THE GFS CONTINUES TO WRAP MOISTURE
ODDLY AROUND THE HIGH TO THE NORTH BUT THIS SOLUTION CONTINUES TO
BE REJECTED. THE GDPS ALSO HAS SOME MOISTURE BUT IT IS FAR LESS AND
REMAINS WELL TO THE SOUTH.
END/METOC-HFX
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