190
WOCN31 CWHX 072252
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
FOR EASTERN CANADA
UPDATED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 7:52 P.M. ADT SATURDAY 7 OCTOBER 2023.
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TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR:
HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST
LUNENBURG COUNTY
QUEENS COUNTY
SHELBURNE COUNTY
YARMOUTH COUNTY
DIGBY COUNTY
ANNAPOLIS COUNTY
KINGS COUNTY
HANTS COUNTY
FUNDY
GRAND MANAN
LURCHER
BROWNS BANK
GEORGES BANK
SOUTHWESTERN SHORE
LAHAVE BANK
WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE
HALIFAX HARBOUR AND APPROACHES.
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==DISCUSSION==
THIS IS THE FINAL FORECAST BULLETIN FOR THE REMNANTS OF
POST-TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE. IT WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT TONIGHT AND
BE OFFICIALLY ENDED TOMORROW POSSIBLY WITH A SUMMARY OF OBSERVATIONS
AFTER THE STORM.
1. SUMMARY OF BASIC INFORMATION AT 7:00 P.M. ADT.
LOCATION: 37.0 NORTH 63.5 WEST.
ABOUT 850 KILOMETRES SOUTH OF YARMOUTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: ABOUT 90 KILOMETRES PER HOUR.
PRESENT MOVEMENT: NORTHEAST AROUND 30 KILOMETRES PER HOUR.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 994 MILLIBARS.
2. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY.
REMINDER: THIS BULLETIN IS IN EFFECT ONLY FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL
PARTS OF NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING HALIFAX AND ADJACENT WATERS. RAINFALL
AND WIND WARNINGS ARE BEING MANAGED BY THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION
CENTRE (ASPC).
THE REMNANTS OF PHILIPPE AND ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OF
SUBTROPICAL ORIGINS ARE NOW A COMBINED WEATHER SYSTEM THAT WILL
IMPACT PARTS OF THE MARITIMES WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY.
ALTHOUGH THIS BULLETIN WON'T BE EXTENDED EASTWARD, RECENT TRENDS IN
THE MODELS SHOW THAT WINDS MAY BE A BIT STRONGER THAN ORIGINALLY
EXPECTED OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL NOVA SCOTIA
INCLUDING CAPE BRETON. FORECAST UPDATES, IF NECESSARY, WILL BE
PROVIDED BY THE ASPC.
RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT OVER WESTERNMOST NOVA SCOTIA AND
WIND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR BASICALLY ALL OF ATLANTIC COASTAL
NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING THE HALIFAX REGION.
BY TOMORROW MORNING EVERYTHING WILL BE MERGED WITH A MUCH LARGER
THIRD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER QUEBEC.
A. WIND.
IMPACTS:
WE DON'T EXPECT WINDS TO BE AS STRONG AS HURRICANE LEE SO IMPACTS
MAY BE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE BREAKING OF SOME TREE BRANCHES WITH THE
OCCASIONAL POWER/UTILITY INTERRUPTION. IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR
FURNISHINGS OR HALLOWEEN DECORATIONS, IT WOULD BE A GOOD IDEA TO
SECURE THEM OR TAKE THEM IN FOR THE NIGHT.
DETAILS:
STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING 70 KILOMETRES PER HOUR ARE
EXPECTED WITH GUSTS TO 90 OVER EXPOSED AREAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHWESTERNMOST AREAS OF THE SOUTH SHORE OF
NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING YARMOUTH AND SHELBURNE THIS EVENING. THESE
WINDS WILL REACH THE HALIFAX AREA AND THE ANNAPOLIS VALLEY
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND DIMINISH SUNDAY
MORNING.
B. RAINFALL.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA BY LATER
THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVIER AT TIMES AND SPREAD EASTWARD
REACHING HALIFAX AND MOST OF THE ANNAPOLIS VALLEY BY MIDNIGHT AND
HANTS COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 60 MILLIMETRES
RANGE IN DIGBY, YARMOUTH, SHELBURNE, QUEENS AND LUNENBURG COUNTIES
WHERE THERE IS A RAINFALL WARNING IN EFFECT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 30
TO 40 MILLIMETRES ARE FORECAST FOR ANNAPOLIS AND KINGS COUNTIES AND
HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST. 20 TO 30 MILLIMETRES ARE
FORECAST FOR HANTS COUNTY.
C. SURGE/WAVES.
IMPACTS:
AS WITH THE WINDS, WE CERTAINLY DON'T EXPECT WAVES AND STORM SURGE
TO BE AS BAD AS LEE, BUT THE SAME STRETCH OF COAST IMPACTED BY LEE
WILL BE AFFECTED BY EX-PHILIPPE. THERE COULD BE SOME WAVE OVERWASH
AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND HIGH TIDE APPROXIMATELY 4:30 AM.
IT LOOKS LIKE THE PEAK CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR CLOSER TO LOW TIDE NOW,
WHICH IS MID-MORNING TOMORROW.
DETAILS:
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OVER MARINE AREAS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN EXCESS OF 5 METRES - POSSIBLY UP TO 8 METRES. THE
LARGEST WAVES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, SUBSIDING DURING THE DAY
TOMORROW.
WAVES AND WATER LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE PROBLEMATIC IN AND
AROUND THE BAY OF FUNDY DUE TO THE CURRENTLY LOWER-AMPLITUDE TIDAL
CYCLE.
3. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY.
STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LURCHER, BROWNS BANK, GEORGES BANK,
SOUTHWESTERN SHORE, LAHAVE BANK, WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE AND EAST SCOTIAN
SLOPE - SOUTHWESTERN HALF AS WELL AS THE WESTERN HALVES OF EASTERN
SHORE AND SABLE. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR FUNDY AND GRAND
MANAN.
FORECASTER: FOGARTY
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR ALERTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE
CENTRE AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
HTTP://WEATHER.GC.CA
END/ASPC
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