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FXCN31 CWHX 010600
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2.51 AM NDT
SATURDAY 01 NOVEMBER 2025.
THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT FROM THE CHC ON POST-TROPICAL STORM
MELISSA
1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION
AT 3.30 AM NDT, POST-TROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
46.8 N AND LONGITUDE 52.4 W, ABOUT 29 NAUTICAL MILES OR 54 KM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
65 KNOTS (120 KM/H) AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 966 MB. MELISSA IS MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 43 KNOTS (80 KM/H).
2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH
DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
NDT MB KTS KMH
NOV 01 3.30 AM 46.8N 52.4W 966 65 120 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 01 9.30 AM 49.8N 48.4W 968 60 111 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 01 3.30 PM 51.5N 45.9W 965 60 111 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 01 9.30 PM 53.1N 43.1W 964 60 111 POST-TROPICAL
NOV 02 2.30 AM 54.0N 40.5W 962 55 102 POST-TROPICAL
3. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
A. ANALYSIS
POST-TROPICAL MELISSA IS CURRENTLY LOCATED EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
AVALON PENINSULA. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTRE CONSISTS OF MAINLY CUMULUS AND
STRTOCUMULS CLOUDS AS THE AREA OF DEEPER CONVECTION HAS BEEN STRIPPED
OFF WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST. HOWEVER, THE PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO
ABOUT 966 MB DUE TO SOME BAROCLINIC FORCING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KTS AND MOTION IS TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 43 KTS.
B. PROGNOSTIC
POST-TROPICAL MELISSA WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD EARLY
THIS MORNING CROSSING THE NORTHERN END OF THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS
WHILE BEING STEERED BETWEEN A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN CANADA
AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. MELISSA'S
SPEED WILL SLOW DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING AS AN UPPER
LOW CATCHES UP TO THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. BY THAT TIME THE REMNANTS
WILL BE WELL NORTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND MARINE WATERS.
C. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
01/06Z 190 305 225 130 90 185 80 0 0 100 0 0
01/12Z 220 350 270 140 90 145 80 0 0 0 0 0
01/18Z 210 350 260 160 70 90 65 0 0 0 0 0
02/00Z 210 340 250 160 60 70 60 0 0 0 0 0
02/06Z 180 320 250 170 50 70 60 0 0 0 0 0
END/MARCH
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