289
FXUS65 KABQ 071939
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1239 PM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1155 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
- THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND, LEADING TO SNOWMELT ACROSS MIDSLOPE AND HIGH
TERRAIN AREAS.
- NORTHWEST CROSSWINDS WILL PROBABLY BECOME MODERATELY STRONG OVER
THE MOUNTAINS AND EAST CENTRAL AREAS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, AND
BEYOND. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL VARY FROM NEAR 1991-2020
AVERAGES OVER THE FOUR CORNERS TO AROUND 8 DEGREES ABOVE THE
AVERAGES OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
OTHERWISE, DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE LONG-TERM
FORECAST PERIOD AS WELL. WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE, DESPITE
BACKDOOR COLD FRONTS THAT PENETRATE THE EASTERN PLAINS BOTH
TUESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK
IN MOST LOCATIONS ON THURSDAY, WHEN READINGS WILL VARY AROUND
10-20 DEGREES ABOVE 30-YEAR AVERAGES. SOME NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST ON THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE NATIONAL BLEND OF MODELS HAS TEMPERATURES
COOLING AROUND 5 TO 14 DEGREES IN THE EAST ON FRIDAY, AND A FEW
DEGREES IN MANY WESTERN LOCATIONS TOO, AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH
DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL US, AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OFF THE WEST COAST.
OTHERWISE, NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY ON TUESDAY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST AREAS, MUCH LIKE THEY WERE
ON SATURDAY. PEAK GUSTS WILL PROBABLY REACH AROUND 50 MPH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN TORRANCE AND WESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES,
INCLUDING I-40 FROM CLINES CORNERS EASTWARD ALMOST ALL OF THE WAY
TO SANTA ROSA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1024 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT, THEN
DECREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1155 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS. AREAS OF POOR VENTILATION ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY, THEN BECOME WIDESPREAD WEDNESDAY.
AFTER AREAS OF VENTILATION IMPROVEMENT WITH THURSDAY'S BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT ON THE EASTERN PLAINS, POOR VENTILATION WILL BECOME
WIDESPREAD AGAIN ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 45 24 46 23 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 43 12 47 12 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 43 21 47 21 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 50 20 52 18 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 48 25 52 23 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 51 20 53 19 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 49 24 53 22 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 51 29 53 29 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 49 25 53 25 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 59 22 63 22 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 65 26 67 25 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 38 14 43 16 / 10 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 41 25 45 26 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 45 24 50 25 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 40 19 43 21 / 10 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 34 14 36 18 / 10 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 38 9 43 11 / 10 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 41 14 45 15 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 46 21 50 23 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 48 21 52 21 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 42 27 48 28 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 44 24 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 48 32 51 32 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 51 27 54 29 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 54 25 56 26 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 52 28 55 28 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 54 22 54 21 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 51 27 54 27 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 53 22 55 21 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 53 26 56 27 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 53 23 55 23 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 46 30 50 29 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 52 27 55 28 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 57 27 58 27 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 43 27 47 26 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 45 27 48 27 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 45 23 48 23 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 47 18 50 18 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 42 24 45 24 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 48 25 52 26 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 49 26 53 26 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 53 30 56 30 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 49 30 53 31 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 43 20 50 23 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 46 19 53 21 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 49 18 56 18 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 46 22 51 23 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 51 25 57 30 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 49 23 55 23 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 56 23 58 23 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 53 28 57 29 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 56 25 58 25 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 56 28 59 28 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 57 28 61 27 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 56 25 61 26 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 59 27 63 28 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 58 29 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 59 27 63 29 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...44
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