787
FXUS65 KABQ 202319
AFDABQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
419 PM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 403 PM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER PERSISTS WITH NUMEROUS HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS CHALLENGED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- LOW ELEVATION RAIN AND HIGH MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL RETURN CHRISTMAS
EVE OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND SPREAD SLOWLY EAST INTO CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT IN
AREAS ABOVE 9,000 FEET.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING THRU SUNDAY AS A SPRAWLING
RIDGE MOVES EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MX. NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG AND
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MT CHAIN ARE GUSTING IN THE 25 TO 35KT RANGE
AS OF 1230PM WHILE NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE OVER NORTHEAST NM IN
THE WAKE OF A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTH AND WEST THRU TONIGHT AS A 1028MB SURFACE HIGH BUILDS SOUTH
ACROSS OK. MIN TEMPS WILL TREND 15 TO 25F COOLER TONIGHT OVER
EASTERN NM BUT WITH READINGS STILL 5 TO 10F ABOVE NORMAL. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY SUNDAY WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS AGAIN ACROSS THE PLAINS BY THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPS WILL
RECOVER NEAR RECORD HIGH TERRITORY AGAIN. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
PERSIST SUNDAY NIGHT OVER EASTERN NM WITH READINGS ONCE AGAIN 10
TO 20F ABOVE NORMAL. CENTRAL AND WESTERN NM WILL REMAIN TRANQUIL
WITH LIGHT WINDS, MID SLOPE INVERSIONS, AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
THRU SUNDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
A WEAK PERTURBATION IN ZONAL FLOW ALOFT EXITING THE FRONT RANGE
MONDAY MORNING WILL HELP TO DEEPEN SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER FAR
NORTHEAST NM. THIS WILL CREATE BREEZY WEST WINDS OVER EASTERN NM
WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW LEADING TO WIDESPREAD RECORD HIGHS MONDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIP INTO NORTHEAST NM MONDAY
NIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS FOR TUESDAY. OTHERWISE, HEIGHTS
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE RISING WITH LIGHTER WINDS AREAWIDE AND MORE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.
SOME CHANGES BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER HIGH SHIFTS EAST AND A
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP SLIDES INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS AHEAD OF A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST. MORE CLOUD COVER WILL SLIDE
OVER THE REGION WITH SLIGHTLY BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WEDNESDAY AND
MORE NEAR-RECORD WARMTH. ENOUGH MOISTURE WITH OROGRAPHIC FORCING
OVER FAR WESTERN AND NORTHWEST NM MAY HELP TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME HIGH
TERRAIN RAIN AND SNOW. SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE 9,000 FT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 403 PM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL SUBSIDE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING WITH LOTS
OF HIGH, FAIR WEATHER CIRRUS CLOUDS CONTINUING TO MOVE OVERHEAD.
THESE WILL THIN OUT SOME INTO SUNDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT IN THE EASTERN PLAINS AS A
WEAK AND DRY FRONT MOVES IN THROUGH THE EVENING. LIGHT TO
MODERATE GUSTS OF 15-25 KT WILL THEN DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN
MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1247 PM MST SAT DEC 20 2025
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NM
THIS AFTERNOON WILL EASE BY SUNSET AS A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHEAST. SUNDAY WILL BE TRANQUIL AGAIN WITH
LIGHTER WINDS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER MIN HUMIDITY. RIDGETOP WINDS
WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTS SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH WEST WINDS GUSTING TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25MPH OVER NORTHEAST AND
EAST-CENTRAL NM MONDAY. RECORD HIGH TEMPS AND MIN HUMIDITY FROM
10 TO 15% WILL ALSO BE COMMON. TUESDAY WILL BE VERY DRY AND MILD
AGAIN BUT WITH LIGHTER WINDS. VENT RATES THRU THIS PERIOD WILL BE
A MIXED BAG OF POOR TO GOOD WITH THE HIGHER RATES MAINLY CONFINED
TO EASTERN NM. A PATTERN CHANGE MAY BEGIN WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHER
HUMIDITY, MORE CLOUDS, AND PERHAPS SOME WETTING PRECIPITATION FOR
THE FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN HIGH TERRAIN. SNOW LEVELS ARE LIKELY
TO REMAIN ABOVE 9,000 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
FARMINGTON...................... 31 59 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
DULCE........................... 22 58 24 61 / 0 0 0 0
CUBA............................ 30 60 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
GALLUP.......................... 26 62 26 64 / 0 0 0 0
EL MORRO........................ 32 61 33 64 / 0 0 0 0
GRANTS.......................... 27 66 27 67 / 0 0 0 0
QUEMADO......................... 32 65 31 67 / 0 0 0 0
MAGDALENA....................... 39 66 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
DATIL........................... 34 64 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
RESERVE......................... 28 71 29 72 / 0 0 0 0
GLENWOOD........................ 32 74 32 76 / 0 0 0 0
CHAMA........................... 26 52 28 55 / 0 0 0 0
LOS ALAMOS...................... 35 57 37 60 / 0 0 0 0
PECOS........................... 32 59 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
CERRO/QUESTA.................... 33 54 35 58 / 0 0 0 0
RED RIVER....................... 28 52 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
ANGEL FIRE...................... 21 53 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
TAOS............................ 26 58 27 61 / 0 0 0 0
MORA............................ 31 62 36 66 / 0 0 0 0
ESPANOLA........................ 29 64 30 66 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE........................ 36 58 37 60 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 32 59 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 42 63 42 64 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 37 65 38 66 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 35 67 35 68 / 0 0 0 0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 37 64 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
BELEN........................... 32 67 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
BERNALILLO...................... 36 66 37 66 / 0 0 0 0
BOSQUE FARMS.................... 31 67 31 67 / 0 0 0 0
CORRALES........................ 36 66 36 67 / 0 0 0 0
LOS LUNAS....................... 33 67 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
PLACITAS........................ 38 62 39 63 / 0 0 0 0
RIO RANCHO...................... 36 64 37 66 / 0 0 0 0
SOCORRO......................... 37 70 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 36 59 37 61 / 0 0 0 0
TIJERAS......................... 32 64 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
EDGEWOOD........................ 31 65 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 28 65 29 67 / 0 0 0 0
CLINES CORNERS.................. 33 60 35 63 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAINAIR..................... 36 65 36 66 / 0 0 0 0
GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 36 65 37 66 / 0 0 0 0
CARRIZOZO....................... 40 68 40 69 / 0 0 0 0
RUIDOSO......................... 41 65 43 67 / 0 0 0 0
CAPULIN......................... 25 59 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
RATON........................... 25 60 32 70 / 0 0 0 0
SPRINGER........................ 24 64 31 72 / 0 0 0 0
LAS VEGAS....................... 31 62 36 69 / 0 0 0 0
CLAYTON......................... 27 57 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
ROY............................. 26 59 36 73 / 0 0 0 0
CONCHAS......................... 29 67 37 79 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA ROSA...................... 31 67 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
TUCUMCARI....................... 28 67 40 80 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVIS.......................... 31 64 40 76 / 0 0 0 0
PORTALES........................ 29 66 37 77 / 0 0 0 0
FORT SUMNER..................... 31 64 33 77 / 0 0 0 0
ROSWELL......................... 36 66 34 74 / 0 0 0 0
PICACHO......................... 40 70 41 78 / 0 0 0 0
ELK............................. 38 74 39 78 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...52
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