800  
FNUS75 KABQ 171240  
FWSABQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOGOTE RIDGE FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM  
640 AM MDT THU SEP 17 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES SHOW THAT BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND THREE  
QUARTERS OF AN INCH FELL OVER THE WILDFIRE WITHIN THE PAST 24  
HOURS. SIMILAR AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A BATCH  
OF SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA NOW WILL END AROUND  
10 AM THIS MORNING. AFTER A BREAK MID-DAY, MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS  
WILL RE-DEVELOP DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS  
COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL RATES AND THERE IS A THREAT OF FLASH  
FLOODING TODAY. ANOTHER BATCH OF PERSISTENT SHOWERS IS LIKELY  
DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. STORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON. FRIDAY'S STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WIND  
GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL.  
 
NOTE: DUPLICATE FORECAST. ONE WAS ALREADY CREATED AND SENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND PATCHY FOG IN  
THE MORNING, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78-82 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 KNOTS.  
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/72111 KNOT-FT AT 1400 LOCAL.  
VENTILATION TREND...POOR/24198 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND  
GOOD/72000 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN  
THE EVENING, THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING.  
VENTILATION TREND...POOR/30000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING AND POOR/0  
KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.  
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-71 PERCENT.  
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 KNOTS.  
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/45000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.  
VENTILATION TREND...POOR/12049 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND  
FAIR/45000 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
FOR MORE INFORMATION AND SITUATIONAL AWARENESS GRAPHICS, PLEASE VISIT:  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ABQ/FORECASTS-FIREWEATHER-DSS  
 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...EVAN DAMORE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2622035.0/ABQ  
.DELDT 09/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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