407
FXUS63 KABR 230522 AAC
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1222 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK WILL RUN
ABOUT 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL, MEANING HIGHS IS THE 60S
AND 70S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1221 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
UPDATED DISCUSSION FOR THE 06Z TAFS BELOW.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 821 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
SECOND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IN AS MANY DAYS IS IN PROGRESS OVER
THE CWA. DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S AND 20-30MPH GUSTS ARE MOVING INTO
THE CWA FROM THE NORTH, BEHIND THIS FRONT. GOING FORECAST NEEDS NO
ADJUSTMENTS AT THIS TIME.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
SEE BELOW FOR AN AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAFS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 225 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
WHAT A DIFFERENCE A DAY MAKES IN REGARDS TO THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY!
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 70S ON THEIR WAY TO THE LOW TO MID 80S, WITH
DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S AND FALLING WITH DRIER AIR
COMING OUT OF MONTANA/SOUTHERN CANADA. THE CORE OF THE COOLEST AIR
SETTLES OVER THE WESTERN LAKES REGION, AND PERSISTS FROM THE WEEKEND
WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. 850MB TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT AT 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS BELOW CLIMO SUNDAY/MONDAY RETURNING BACK TOWARDS
CLIMATOLOGICAL 'NORMAL' MID-WEEK. MIXED WINDS THANKS TO A GRADIENT
TOMORROW TOP OUT AROUND 20 TO 25KTS AND THE LOW LEVEL COOL AIRMASS
WILL DESTABILIZE BENEATH THE MID LEVEL INVERSION FOR SOME DAYTIME
DRIVEN SHALLOW CUMULUS. OTHER THAN THAT IT WILL REMAIN DRY UNTIL
MAYBE THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1221 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL TERMINALS WITH A NORTH WIND.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
UPDATE...MMM
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...MMM
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