628
FXUS63 KABR 232012
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
312 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY WILL RUN ABOUT 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL, MEANING HIGHS IS THE 60S AND 70S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND
50S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
NOT MUCH GOING ON FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOOKING OVER THE BOX AND
WHISKERS FOR HIGHS/LOWS FROM THE NBM WE REMAIN FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE
50TH PERCENTILE, WITH NOT A WHOLE LOT OF RANGE EVEN INTO NEXT WEEK
SUGGESTING A FAIRLY CONFIDENT FORECAST. ALSO, NOT REALLY MUCH OF A
DISCERNIBLE BIAS FROM WHERE THE DETERMINISTIC VALUES FALL IN THE
25TH/75TH PERCENTILE RANGES. AS SUCH, NO DEVIATION FROM THAT
FORECAST, WHICH IS ALSO TRENDING DRY.
OTHERWISE, BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW ANOTHER ROUND OF DAYTIME DRIVEN
SHALLOW CUMULUS ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA FOR SUNDAY, WITH MIXED WINDS
A FEW KTS LOWER IN COMPARISON TO TODAY. MOST FAVORABLE NIGHT FOR
RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS COMES WITH THE HIGH MOVING OVERHEAD MONDAY AM
- TUESDAY AM.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS ON A NORTH BREEZE. KATY WILL HAVE A CEILING, BUT
FROM HERE IT WILL BE VFR. CLOSE TO THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD WE
COULD SEE SOME MVFR CIGS BACK AT KATY.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...07
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