405
FXUS63 KABR 240134 AAB
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
834 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY WILL RUN ABOUT 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL, MEANING HIGHS IS THE 60S AND 70S WITH LOWS IN THE 40S
AND 50S.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 832 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
UNSEASONABLY COOL AND DRY AIRMASS CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH OUT OF
CANADA. LOWS IN THE 40S LOOK GOOD. NO CHANGES PLANNED TO THE
TONIGHT PERIOD FORECAST.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
SEE BELOW FOR AN AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE 00Z TAFS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
NOT MUCH GOING ON FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOOKING OVER THE BOX AND
WHISKERS FOR HIGHS/LOWS FROM THE NBM WE REMAIN FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE
50TH PERCENTILE, WITH NOT A WHOLE LOT OF RANGE EVEN INTO NEXT WEEK
SUGGESTING A FAIRLY CONFIDENT FORECAST. ALSO, NOT REALLY MUCH OF A
DISCERNIBLE BIAS FROM WHERE THE DETERMINISTIC VALUES FALL IN THE
25TH/75TH PERCENTILE RANGES. AS SUCH, NO DEVIATION FROM THAT
FORECAST, WHICH IS ALSO TRENDING DRY.
OTHERWISE, BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW ANOTHER ROUND OF DAYTIME DRIVEN
SHALLOW CUMULUS ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA FOR SUNDAY, WITH MIXED WINDS
A FEW KTS LOWER IN COMPARISON TO TODAY. MOST FAVORABLE NIGHT FOR
RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS COMES WITH THE HIGH MOVING OVERHEAD MONDAY AM
- TUESDAY AM.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
CANADA HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO NOSE INTO THE REGION. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
UPDATE...10
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...10
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