744
FXUS63 KABR 182124
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
324 PM CST THU DEC 18 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET AND SHORTLY AFTER,
ALTHOUGH STILL STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING WIND CHILLS FROM 15 BELOW
TO 25 BELOW ZERO OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTH/NORTHEAST SD AND WEST
CENTRAL MN.
- WEAK SYSTEM FRIDAY/FRIDAY EVENING BRINGS SMALL CHANCES (20-40%)
FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE, ALTHOUGH
MINIMAL IMPACTS EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 324 PM CST THU DEC 18 2025
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS
WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISH AND LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES TO PUSH OFF TO THE
EAST INTO MN. WILL BE DROPPING HEADLINES FROM WEST TO EAST AS WE
HEAD INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS WELL. STILL SOME PRETTY STRONG WINDS
GUSTING FROM 50 TO 65 MPH, BUT THOSE GUSTS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE FROM
WEST TO EAST AS WE APPROACH SUNSET AND SHORTLY AFTER. WILL BE
DEALING WITH SOME RATHER COLD WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN/NORTHEAST SD INTO WEST CENTRAL MN, WITH READINGS FROM 15
BELOW TO PERHAPS AS COLD AS 25 BELOW ZERO.
WEAK SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE DAKOTAS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING. IT
APPEARS MOST PRECIP ON FRIDAY STAYS ACROSS ND ACCORDING TO VARIOUS
MODEL REFLECTIVITY OUTPUT, ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME SOLUTIONS THAT
TRY TO BRING SOME LIGHT MIXED PRECIP ACROSS FAR NORTHERN SD, SO HAVE
ADDED LOW POPS (20-30%) FOR THIS. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION, BUT AMOUNTS LOOK TO HAVE MINIMAL
IMPACTS AT THIS TIME.
LOOKING AHEAD TOWARDS THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, DON'T SEE ANY
MAJOR SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE REGION AND THE FORECAST IS MAINLY DRY
FOR THE TIME BEING. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL
WITH NO SIGNS OF ANY ARCTIC AIR INTRUSIONS FOR THE TIME BEING.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST THU DEC 18 2025
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
HIGH WINDS GUSTING OVER 50 KNOTS STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS. OTHERWISE, -SN/SN STILL AFFECTING KABR/KATY AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD, WITH PERIODIC VSBY REDUCTION BELOW 1SM IN
BLSN (BLOWING SNOW). MVFR CIGS MAY ALSO AFFECT KABR/KATY DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AFTER SUNSET, WITH SURFACE
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY ON FRIDAY.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR SDZ007-008-011-
019>023.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
SDZ019>023.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR SDZ005-006-010-
017-018-036-037-051.
BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR SDZ007-008-011.
MN...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MNZ039-046.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MNZ039-
046.
DISCUSSION...TMT
AVIATION...TMT
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