415
FXUS63 KABR 200722
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
122 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 25 TO 40 MPH THIS MORNING WILL SUBSIDE
THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGEST GUSTS EXPECTED ALONG THE COTEAU.
- GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
WITH DWINDLING SNOW COVER. HIGHS IN THE 30S, 40S, 50S FOR MANY AREAS
THROUGHOUT PARTS OF THE WEEKEND/NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 122 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
A COLD FRONT IS MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT. BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, ALL THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE LEFT ARE SOME
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ALONG THE COTEAU WITH
GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE MORNING SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING BRINGING LIGHTER WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE DRY WEATHER
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL HANG AROUND AT LEAST THROUGH MID WEEK AS PASSING
SYSTEMS KEEP ANY PRECIP TO THE NORTH OR EAST.
A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL PUSH TEMPS ABOUT 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 50S
ON MONDAY. EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY AS UPPER RIDGING PERSISTS AND SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF SFC
LOW PRESSURE HELPS AID MIXING.
MAIN CONCERN THROUGH MID WEEK WILL BE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER AS FUELS
ARE DRY WHERE THERE IS NO SNOW PACK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1109 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
BETWEEN ROUGHLY 06Z AND 09Z, THERE MAY BE A FEW PATCHES OF RAIN OR
A RAIN/SNOW MIX BECOMING ALL SNOW AT KPIR/KMBG, AND JUST SOME
LIGHT SNOW AT KABR BRIEFLY. CONTINUING PROB30 GROUPS FOR THIS
POTENTIAL FOR THE TIME BEING. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL
EVENTUALLY CAUSE NORTHWEST WINDS TO GUST UP TO 25-30KTS FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS MORNING. MOST OF THE REGION SHOULD SETTLE INTO 10 TO
20KT NORTHWEST WINDS WITH SOME GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS LATER
TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...10
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