749
FXUS63 KABR 211106 AAA
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
506 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
IS EXPECTED. HIGHS WILL PEAK DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WHERE
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE 40S TO 50S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW BUT RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL SEE SFC TEMPS
RISE INTO THE 30S AND 40S TODAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES,
OCCASIONALLY WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY 15 TO 25 DEGREES, ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THURSDAY UNDER WHAT BECOMES A FAIRLY PERSISTENT RIDGE ALOFT.
DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO PREVAIL THROUGH MID WEEK. HOWEVER, THERE IS A
SIGNAL ON THE HI-RES CAMS FOR A NARROW, QUICK MOVING WAA BAND THIS
EVENING. KEPT POPS BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR NOW SINCE THERE IS A
SIGNIFICANT DRY LAYER THAT ANY PRECIP WOULD NEED TO OVERCOME. AT
THIS TIME, SPRINKLES APPEAR THE MOST LIKELY, IF ANYTHING MANAGES TO
REACH THE SURFACE. BETTER CHANCES EXIST TO THE EAST IN MN ON DEEPER
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WITH THE WARM FRONT AND SOME SHORTWAVE
ENHANCEMENT. THE SFC LOW OVER THE ROCKIES DRIFTS EAST MONDAY BUT
DOESN'T APPEAR TO PRODUCE MUCH OF ANYTHING WEATHER-WISE. A SIMILAR
SCENARIO SETS UP ON THURSDAY WITH A DRY, MEANDERING SFC LOW DRIFTING
EAST INTO NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA. THE ONE DIFFERENCE WILL BE THE
CAA THAT PUSHES IN BEHIND THE SECOND LOW ON THURSDAY NIGHT RETURNING
TEMPS TO MORE SEASONABLE VALUES.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 505 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...20
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page