107
FXUS63 KABR 081837
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1237 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A FAST MOVING BAND OF LIGHT SNOW MIGRATES WEST TO EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA MID-DAY FRIDAY. LITTLE IF ANY
ACCUMULATIONS ANTICIPATED.
- ~20-30% CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY, BUT ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN A HALF INCH
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
- EXCEPT FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S ON
SATURDAY, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST DURING THE 7-DAY
FORECAST, WITH 30S AND 40S FOR HIGHS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CST THU JAN 8 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE PLAINS ON FRIDAY BRINGING A
NARROW CORRIDOR OF INCREASED MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND SOME DECENT
FORCING. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE BREEZY WITH 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTS. NBM
CONTINUES TO WASH OUT ANY POPS BUT ADDED IN SOME HI-RES POPS AND QPF
TO GET A MENTION OF SHOWERS IN THERE THAT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LITTLE IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE, BUT ANY
SNOW FALLING MAY CAUSE VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS AS THE WINDS BLOW IT
AROUND.
THAT UPPER TROUGH/UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRAW WRAP AROUND
NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW SHOWERS INTO EASTERN SD AND WEST CENTRAL MN
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME REACHING INTO CENTRAL
SD (MAINLY WEST RIVER) EITHER IN AN ENHANCED JET STREAK REGION.
SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING SHUTTING OFF
THE SHOWERS. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ENERGY MAY
SET OFF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN IN THE CAA IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
ON SATURDAY, TEMPERATURES QUICKLY REBOUND ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
PUSHING INTO THE 40S AND 50S ON TUESDAY. THE ONE MODERATING FACTOR
FOR THAT WAA COULD BE ANY LOW CLOUDS/FOG THAT DEVELOP.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST THU JAN 8 2026
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...20
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