051
FXUS63 KABR 070601
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
101 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GUST OUT
OF THE SOUTH 30 TO 45 MPH.
- THERE IS A 30 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING
MAINLY NORTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 12.
- WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND AGAIN GUST 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
- THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW THURSDAY.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
AS OF 1 AM CDT, TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TEENS TO LOW 20S ACROSS
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH WINDS OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP THIS MORNING OVER
CENTRAL SD AND SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, GUSTING TO BETWEEN
30 AND 45 MPH AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.
AFTER TODAY, TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10-
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY,
POTENTIALLY GUSTING UP TO 45 MPH IN NORTH CENTRAL SD AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES RETURN TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH 30-60% CHANCES ACROSS NORTHERN SD. CHANCES
FOR MORE THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE STILL 15% OR LESS, HIGHEST
ALONG THE ND/SD BORDER. MORE RAIN CHANCES (20-35%) THURSDAY WITH
ANOTHER LOW. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN A TENTH OF
AN INCH. MORE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND STARTING SATURDAY MORNING
WITH WAA INDUCED SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY EVENING
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. CHANCES OF MORE THAN HALF AN INCH IN 48
HOURS (STARTING SUNDAY MORNING, ENDING TUESDAY MORNING) COME IN
AROUND 40-60% EAST OF THE JAMES RIVER, 20-40% WEST. THIS IS STILL
OUT TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SO AREAS OF HIGHEST
ACCUMULATION AND TIMING COULD CHANGE.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
IFR CIGS MOVE INTO KATY THIS EVENING.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20
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