373
FXUS63 KABR 071711
AFDABR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1211 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GUST OUT
OF THE SOUTH 30 TO 45 MPH.
- THERE IS A 30 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING
MAINLY NORTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 12.
- WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND AGAIN GUST 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
- THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW THURSDAY.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
THE ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK, WITH WINDS OUT THE SOUTH
TO SOUTH-SOUTHEAST GUSTING 25-45 MPH. THE HIGHEST READINGS ARE
WEST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
AS OF 1 AM CDT, TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TEENS TO LOW 20S ACROSS
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH WINDS OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP THIS MORNING OVER
CENTRAL SD AND SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, GUSTING TO BETWEEN
30 AND 45 MPH AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.
AFTER TODAY, TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10-
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY,
POTENTIALLY GUSTING UP TO 45 MPH IN NORTH CENTRAL SD AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES RETURN TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH 30-60% CHANCES ACROSS NORTHERN SD. CHANCES
FOR MORE THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE STILL 15% OR LESS, HIGHEST
ALONG THE ND/SD BORDER. MORE RAIN CHANCES (20-35%) THURSDAY WITH
ANOTHER LOW. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN A TENTH OF
AN INCH. MORE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND STARTING SATURDAY MORNING
WITH WAA INDUCED SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY EVENING
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. CHANCES OF MORE THAN HALF AN INCH IN 48
HOURS (STARTING SUNDAY MORNING, ENDING TUESDAY MORNING) COME IN
AROUND 40-60% EAST OF THE JAMES RIVER, 20-40% WEST. THIS IS STILL
OUT TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SO AREAS OF HIGHEST
ACCUMULATION AND TIMING COULD CHANGE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
TERMINALS KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE
MAIN CONCERN IS MVFR CEILINGS AT PIR WHICH SHOULD EXIT EAST
PRIOR TO 18Z. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL GUST 25-38KTS THIS AFTERNOON
AND REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT AT ATY. MVFR TO POTENTIALLY IFR
CEILINGS WILL MOVE ACROSS ABR/ATY FROM 05Z TUESDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST 14Z. LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT ABR AND MBG, WHILE LEAST
LIKELY AND LEFT OUT OF THE FORECAST AT PIR AND ATY.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
UPDATE...06
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...06
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