289
FNUS73 KABR 071630
FWSABR
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK 2026...FORT PIERRE VFD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1130 AM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM, DRY, AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
POTENTIALLY CREATING SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. A
SLIGHT WARMUP WILL PUT HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S, WHICH WILL
HELP PUSH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DOWN BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT. WINDS
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST GUSTING TO 20 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR WILL BE
PRESENT IN THE AFTERNOON, COINCIDING WITH THESE DRY CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL DECREASE AND SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
BEGINNING FRIDAY EVENING, MAINTAINING THAT DIRECTION THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING, RETURNING TO A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. GUSTS BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MILES PER HOUR, BUT A
SLIGHT COOLDOWN INTO THE 60S WILL HELP KEEP HUMIDITY BETWEEN 30
AND 35 PERCENT AT THE MINIMUM, ABATING SOME OF THE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WHEN COMPARED TO FRIDAY'S SETUP.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(137600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (157600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 22 17 11 13 9 13 14 8 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 49 57 62 65 68 71 72 72 74
RH..............76 68 45 38 35 31 27 25 24 22
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 13 16 16 17 17 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 20 21 23 24 25 25 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.1 3.1 4.7 6.1 7.1 8.3 8.2 8.0 8.1
SMOKE DISPERSAL.PR PR FR GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL VGD
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (103200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........30 34 35 41 46 47 48 49 57 66 75 77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 73 70 64 58 56 55 53 52 50 49 48
RH..............23 25 30 37 44 47 47 50 52 56 58 60
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..15 12 8 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.23 21 13 9 8 8 9 12 13 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.2 7.4 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
SMOKE DISPERSAL.VGD VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(119100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........80 82 80 79 77 73 68 64 61 59 56 59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 46 49 53 56 58 61 63 64 65 65 65
RH..............65 71 66 59 55 51 44 39 37 35 34 34
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 10 12 13 13 14 15 16 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 15 17 18 18 20 21 22 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.7
SMOKE DISPERSAL.PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD
FORECASTER...BC
REQUESTED BY...LEVI FETTIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613016.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LEVI.FETTIG@TEDTURNER.COM
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