853
FNUS73 KABR 291814
FWSABR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASEY TIBBS HILL/LAND SLIDE...STANLEY COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
114 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 CDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
HOT AND HUMID FOR THE REST OF THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
REACHING THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100. ADDING IN DEWPOINTS RANGING
IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S, HEAT INDEX VALUES COULD REACH AS
HIGH AS 103 DEGREES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST
BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. THERE IS A 40
PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES
(60-80%) THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THERE IS A
MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1/5) FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OF 60 TO POTENTIALLY 70 MPH. CHANCE FOR 0.50" OR MORE OF
RAINFALL, TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, IS 75%. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF AN INCH OR MORE IS 45%.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 51 55 60
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............94 96 97 98
RH..............51 46 41 36
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE
SURFACE WND SPD.15 16 17 17
SURFACE WND GST.23 24 25 26
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY SMOKE LATE IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................7 PERCENT INCREASING TO 29 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........64 63 54 62 71 77 81 81 81 85 89 84
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 20 10 10 20 40 40
TEMP............97 97 91 87 83 80 79 77 76 75 73 72
RH..............37 35 45 53 58 66 70 77 80 82 88 94
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S SE
SURFACE WND SPD.17 17 16 15 14 14 12 12 10 9 9 9
SURFACE WND GST.26 26 25 24 24 23 20 18 16 15 15 14
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................42 PERCENT INCREASING TO 54 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 58 PERCENT
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 41 PERCENT
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 28 PERCENT
INCREASING TO 49 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........77 81 79 60 50 58 67 59 60 78 79 78
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 60 60 70 60 70 40 50 40 30 60
TEMP............71 69 73 74 77 79 82 83 83 84 83 81
RH..............97 98 98 98 88 85 80 78 77 73 77 79
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S SE SE E N NW N
SURFACE WND SPD.8 9 8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 12
SURFACE WND GST.14 14 14 15 15 16 16 15 16 17 18 20
FORECASTER...MMM
REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN BAXTER - EM
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2618212.4/ABR
.DELDT 07/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DUSTIN.BAXTER@STANLEY.SDCOUNTY.GOV
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