100  
WTUS81 KAKQ 220323  
HLSAKQ  
MDZ021>025-NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ075>078-084>086-089-090-093-095>100-523>525-221130-  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 3  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA AL162023  
1123 PM EDT THU SEP 21 2023  
 
THIS PRODUCT COVERS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...  
AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE  
 
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST STRENGTHENING AND NOW  
PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS  
 
NEW INFORMATION  
---------------  
 
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:  
- NONE  
 
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:  
- A STORM SURGE WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT  
FOR ACCOMACK, CAMDEN, EASTERN CURRITUCK, GLOUCESTER,  
HAMPTON/POQUOSON, ISLE OF WIGHT, JAMES CITY, LANCASTER,  
MATHEWS, MIDDLESEX, NEWPORT NEWS, NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH,  
NORTHAMPTON, PASQUOTANK, PERQUIMANS, SUFFOLK, SURRY, VIRGINIA  
BEACH, WESTERN CURRITUCK, AND YORK  
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND STORM SURGE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT  
FOR BERTIE, CHOWAN, NORTHUMBERLAND, AND WESTMORELAND  
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CHESAPEAKE,  
DORCHESTER, GATES, HERTFORD, INLAND WORCESTER, MARYLAND  
BEACHES, RICHMOND, SOMERSET, AND WICOMICO  
 
* STORM INFORMATION:  
- ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH OF OCEAN CITY MD OR ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH  
OF NORFOLK VA  
- 29.5N 75.3W  
- STORM INTENSITY 40 MPH  
- MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 MPH  
 
SITUATION OVERVIEW  
------------------  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 REMAINS OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHEAST US  
COAST, AND WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD EASTERN  
NORTH CAROLINA AND THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH  
CAROLINA FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY, BEFORE LIFTING ACROSS EASTERN  
NORTH CAROLINA, SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA, AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA  
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. REGARDLESS OF EXACT TRACK, IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED  
FROM THIS SYSTEM OVER NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA, CENTRAL AND EASTERN  
VIRGINIA, AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE, WITH THE GREATEST  
IMPACTS ALONG THE COAST.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
EARLY SATURDAY AND COULD LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND SCATTERED POWER  
OUTAGES. AREAS OF MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE  
DURING HIGH TIDE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  
 
HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.  
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST, WITH 2-3 INCHES  
POSSIBLE INLAND. THERE IS ALSO A LIMITED THREAT OF TORNADOES ALONG THE  
COAST OF NORTHEAST NC.  
 
DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY  
DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS. SEAS BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET  
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO SUNDAY.  
 
POTENTIAL IMPACTS  
-----------------  
 
* WIND:  
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS  
CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE  
LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:  
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED  
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.  
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR  
UPROOTED, ESPECIALLY IF SOILS ARE SATURATED. SOME ROADWAY SIGNS  
WILL SUSTAIN DAMAGE.  
- A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING  
CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.  
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.  
 
* FLOODING RAIN:  
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT  
IMPACTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH  
CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS  
INCLUDE:  
- FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PROMPT EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES  
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN, WITH SWIFT  
CURRENTS, AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, AND  
DITCHES OVERFLOW.  
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES AND/OR WEAKEN  
FOUNDATIONS. SOME AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE AREAS OF RAPID  
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE  
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS  
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS  
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE EXPECTED.  
 
* SURGE:  
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS  
ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN VIRGINIA. POTENTIAL  
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:  
- SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY CAUSE INUNDATION OF  
NUMEROUS ROADS AND BUILDINGS, RESULTING IN A THREAT TO LIFE AND  
PROPERTY. FLOODING WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND FROM THE  
WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE FLOODING HOMES, BUSINESSES AND  
ISOLATING SOME NEIGHBORHOODS. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL RESULT  
IN ADDITIONAL DAMAGE NEAR THE SHORELINE.  
- NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT.  
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING SOME DUNES.  
- SEVERE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS  
EXPECTED. SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN  
UNPROTECTED MARINAS AND DOCKS.  
 
ALSO, PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED  
IMPACTS ACROSS THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.  
 
ELSEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH  
CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.  
 
* TORNADOES:  
PREPARE FOR A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT  
IMPACTS ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.  
 
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:  
- SOME TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE INTENSE. AS  
A RESULT, EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS COULD BE HINDERED IN  
AFFECTED AREAS.  
- SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, WITH A FEW AREAS  
OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.  
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE  
HOMES DEMOLISHED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES  
TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT.  
 
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS  
EASTERN VIRGINIA AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS  
----------------------------------  
 
* EVACUATIONS:  
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - LISTEN TO LOCAL OFFICIAL FOR RECOMMENDED  
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS, INCLUDING POSSIBLE EVACUATION. IF ORDERED TO  
EVACUATE, DO SO IMMEDIATELY.  
 
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:  
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND  
PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. ENSURE YOU ARE IN A  
SAFE LOCATION BEFORE THE ONSET OF STRONG WINDS OR POSSIBLE FLOODING.  
 
KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED. CELL PHONE CHARGERS FOR AUTOMOBILES  
CAN BE HELPFUL, BUT BE AWARE OF YOUR RISK FOR DEADLY CARBON MONOXIDE  
POISONING IF YOUR CAR IS LEFT IDLING IN A GARAGE OR OTHER POORLY  
VENTILATED AREA.  
 
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, BE SURE TO KNOW THE NAME OF THE CITY OR TOWN IN  
WHICH YOU ARE STAYING AND THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH  
IT RESIDES. LISTEN FOR THESE LOCATIONS IN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES. PAY  
ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.  
 
RAPIDLY RISING FLOOD WATERS ARE DEADLY. IF YOU ARE IN A FLOOD-PRONE  
AREA, CONSIDER MOVING TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED  
ROADWAY. REMEMBER, TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN!  
 
CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER.GOV, NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS  
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES  
TO THE FORECAST. ENSURE YOU HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS TO RECEIVE WEATHER  
WARNINGS.  
 
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:  
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE  
WWW.READYVIRGINIA.GOV, READYNC.ORG OR MEMA.MARYLAND.GOV  
- FOR THE LATEST WEATHER AND STORM INFORMATION GO TO  
WEATHER.GOV/WAKEFIELD  
 
NEXT UPDATE  
-----------  
 
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD VA AROUND 5 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS  
WARRANT.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab MD Page Main Text Page