675
FNUS71 KAKQ 212045
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTERS WHARF RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
345 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY,
ALTHOUGH BY THURSDAY THE MAX TEMPERATURE WILL BE 10 DEGREES
HIGHER. MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE DOWN AROUND 40
PERCENT BOTH DAYS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTH OR NORTH-
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST ON THURSDAY
WHILE REMAING LIGHT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 3 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (41300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................42 TO 48, DECREASING AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45 35 24 20 15 11 12 12 13 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............15 17 18 20 21 22 22 23 22 20
RH..............67 58 56 51 47 45 43 41 41 47
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW NW N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 13 13 13 11 9 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 14 12 10 8 7 6 5 5
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............42 47 48 42 35 29 23 18 15 12
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..30 37 41 36 31 26 20 15 12 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 11.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 TO 2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........13 14 14 24 32 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............18 16 15 14 13 12
RH..............51 58 61 67 70 76
20 FT WIND......N 3 NE 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1000 800 500 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 2 NE 1 NE 2
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4
ADI.............2 2 2 1 1 1
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 4 3 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 17.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........37 54 62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10
TEMP............12 23 32
RH..............80 57 41
20 FT WIND......E 2G3 SW 4G6 W 4G7
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1100 1900
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 2 W 2 W 7
LVORI...........4 3 2
ADI.............2 3 17
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 12
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...MCGEE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KRONNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501012.0/AKQ
.DELDT 01/22/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC_KRONNER@FWS.GOV
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