776  
FNUS71 KAKQ 121014  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MEC07520...VA DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
614 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SUNNY SKIES AND DRY WEATHER TODAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS  
MORNING, BECOMING S LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MIN  
RH DROPS TO AROUND 25% THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, WITH THE NEXT WETTING RAIN NOT  
ANTICIPATED UNTIL SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (52200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 69 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 0 2 3 4 10 16 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 43 50 56 63 67 71 74 75 76 77  
RH..............67 67 58 49 41 36 31 28 27 26 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW N N NE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW N NE E S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 8 10 12  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
ADI.............3 4 4 5 8 12 16 23 38 56 69  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 4 5 8 11 16 27 41 52  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................1 TO 41.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 30 34 28 23 17 13 9 6 10 14 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 70 64 62 59 57 56 54 53 51 50 48  
RH..............27 33 41 46 51 57 57 61 61 66 68 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 6 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............41 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..30 11 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 1  
TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 8  
TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (24100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................1 TO 31.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 42 54 54 54 53 60 66 72 70 67 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 45 50 54 59 63 66 70 71 70 71  
RH..............76 83 86 77 69 62 54 48 42 41 42 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW N N NE E SE SE SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 1 1 2 6 8 8 8 8 8 9 9  
LVORI...........4 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2  
ADI.............1 1 1 3 7 13 18 22 26 28 31 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 0 0 2 5 9 12 15 18 20 22 24  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...BUTNER  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2506088.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 03/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.MCCLELLAND@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV  
 
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