734  
FNUS71 KAKQ 122300  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUTCHENSON...FWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
700 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE TONIGHT  
INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. PATCHY  
FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, BUT THIS  
SHOULD DISSIPATE THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE, GENERALLY MOSTLY  
SUNNY WITH LIMITED MIXING DUE TO A NORTHEAST WIND BEHIND THE  
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................3 TO 18.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 86 84 81 79 77 69 64 55 49 43 41  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 41 42 43 47 50 52 55 56 57 58 58  
RH..............96 100 96 96 83 77 74 66 66 64 59 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8  
LVORI...........8 8 6 6 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
ADI.............3 8 7 7 10 13 14 14 14 15 17 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 4 7 9 9 9 10 10 11 12  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................3 TO 15.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........46 48 54 64 67 71 78 86 92 96 97 97  
WEATHER COV..... PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............56 54 50 49 47 46 46 45 45 45 44 44  
RH..............64 69 80 86 93 96 93 96 93 93 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 6  
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 6 7 6 7 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............15 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 7 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO  
7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4 TO 17.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 94 94 83 73 62 51 39 28 20 14 11  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 44 43 46 49 51 53 55 57 58 59 60  
RH..............93 93 93 86 80 77 71 69 67 64 60 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 6 6 5 6 6 7 7 6 6  
LVORI...........6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
ADI.............4 7 7 7 9 10 12 15 17 17 16 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 11 11 11  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN  
REQUESTED BY...NAWROT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2506200.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 03/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GENE_NAWROT@FWS.GOV  
 
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