953
FNUS71 KAKQ 131205
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR OWNLEY...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
805 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT LINGERS ALONG THE NC BORDER THIS MORNING,
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO AREAS
N OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP AS FAR SOUTH
AS YOUR LOCATION WHICH SHOULD KEEP WINDS LIGHT OUT OF THE SW. IF
THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER SOUTH THAN ANTICIPATED, AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT
TO THE NE AND MUCH LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 TO 15.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 48 55 63 66 68 71 67 63 60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 55 59 63 66 68 71 71 70 70
RH..............80 72 64 58 53 49 46 46 49 49
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S E NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 6 6 5 6 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W SW S S SE E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 6 3 2 3 7 9
LVORI...........5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............4 5 8 11 10 7 5 8 13 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 3 5 8 7 5 3 6 9 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 TO 16.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........62 64 67 68 70 71 70 68 67 68 69 71
WEATHER COV..... PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 59 54 52 51 49 48 48 47 46 46 45
RH..............60 67 77 83 83 89 93 89 93 96 93 96
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 11 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 12 13 14 15
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 6
ADI.............16 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 15 17
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13200 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................10 TO 31.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 76 79 71 64 57 49 41 33 33 32 31
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 45 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 57 58 57
RH..............100 96 93 89 83 80 74 72 67 69 67 69
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 14 14 13 12 10 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............10 23 26 28 30 31 28 26 24 22 21 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 18 18 19 20 21 19 18 16 15 14 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...JAMES CADDY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506301.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/13/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.CADDY@NCAGR.GOV
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