533
FNUS71 KAKQ 161554
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR OBSERVATION DECK...DEPT OF INTERIOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1054 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY AND CONTINUED COLD AND DRY TODAY WITH S TO SSW WINDS
GUSTING TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH AND MIN RH OF 30-35% THIS AFTERNOON. RH
INCREASES ON SATURDAY TO ABOVE 40% AS ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.
INCREASING CLOUD COVER ON SATURDAY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS, WITH A FEW SNOW FLURRIES POSSIBLY MIXED IN.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8164 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (47494 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 TO 49.
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 9 14 13 11 10 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 34 36 37 37 38 36
RH..............37 35 32 32 35 35 42
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.8 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 13 14 15 16 14
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............49 43 41 45 37 37 16
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.46 40 38 43 47 45 8
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR FR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4485 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................7 TO 15.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 17 27 37 48 59 70 81 81 82 82 84
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RS RS
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20
TEMP............35 36 37 37 37 37 37 37 38 38 38 38
RH..............45 45 44 46 46 48 48 48 48 50 50 52
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 13 15 16 17 17 16 14 13 13
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............8 7 7 9 13 14 15 15 14 13 12 11
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 4 5 6 6 8 8 7 7 6 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE
OF RAIN IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6554 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (37260 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................13 TO 37.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 89 90 89 87 83 78 74 68 63 57 54
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RS RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 0 0
TEMP............38 38 39 40 42 43 44 45 45 46 45 44
RH..............54 54 54 57 55 55 55 58 58 58 62 65
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 8 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 18 18 18 18 16 14 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 20 21 21 20 18 16 13 10 10
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
ADI.............14 16 21 28 33 36 37 36 28 21 16 13
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 8 16 23 28 33 36 37 28 19 13 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...BARNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...TOD ADAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600340.0/AKQ
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES_T_ADAMS@FWS.GOV
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