351  
FNUS71 KALY 221144  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTERNUT FIRE...MASSACHUSETTS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
644 AM EST FRI NOV 22 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EST ON NOVEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING TRANSITIONS TO RAIN  
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON THEN SWITCHES BACK TO MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW  
SHOWERS TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DECREASE LATER TONIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY MORNING WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR TOMORROW WITH A FEW  
LINGERING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY  
TODAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............32.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 99 99 98 97 96 93 91 89 86  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS RS RS RS RS RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 80 70 70 70 70 70 80 70  
TEMP............35 34 34 35 36 37 38 38 39 39 38  
DEWPOINT........31 31 31 32 32 32 33 33 33 33 34  
RH..............85 89 89 89 85 82 82 82 79 79 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 14 14 13 12 10 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 24 25 25 25 24 22 20 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 23 24 24 24 22 20 17 17  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN  
THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO  
15 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........84 82 76 70 64 70 76 82 85 89 92 90  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RS RS RS RS RS RS RS  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 40 40 30 40 40 40 40 40 30 40  
TEMP............37 37 37 36 36 35 35 34 34 34 34 33  
DEWPOINT........35 36 36 35 35 35 34 34 34 34 34 33  
RH..............92 96 96 96 96 98 97 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 12 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E E E NE NE N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 14 13 12 10 10 10 12 13 15  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 28  
TO 32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 86 83 80 77 77 78 78 79 81 82 81  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............33 34 35 37 38 39 40 41 41 41 40 40  
DEWPOINT........33 34 35 35 36 36 36 36 35 35 34 34  
RH..............100 100 98 94 92 90 86 82 80 78 79 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 20 22 24 26 29 30 31 31 31 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 22 25 28 30 31 32 32 30 29 28  
 
 
FORECASTER...WEBB  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN MOREAU  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2427070.2/ALY  
.DELDT 11/22/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.MOREAU@MASS.GOV  
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