526
FNUS53 KAPX 111928
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
228 PM EST MON NOV 11 2024
..GUSTY WINDS WITH COLDER AND WETTER WEATHER
DISCUSSION
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. WINDS WILL TURN NORTH AND QUICKLY SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. DRIER AIR WILL WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION FOR TUESDAY,
HOWEVER EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. MORE MOISTURE
AND RAIN CHANCES ARE ON THE HORIZON. WEDNESDAY IS WHEN HUMIDITY
LEVELS SHOULD START TO RISE AND SOUTHEAST WINDS BEGIN TO BECOME
BREEZY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-120930-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
228 PM EST MON NOV 11 2024
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (167).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (141).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (369).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-120930-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
228 PM EST MON NOV 11 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 35-40 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (201).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (183).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (431).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ020-025>027-120930-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
228 PM EST MON NOV 11 2024
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (356).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ031>033-120930-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
228 PM EST MON NOV 11 2024
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (51).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (145).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (349).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-120930-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
228 PM EST MON NOV 11 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (106).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (134).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (363).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
ELD
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