768  
FNUS53 KAPX 120755  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
255 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2024  
   
..DRIER TODAY/ TONIGHT; RAIN CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRIER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS  
ABOVE. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL SWING SOUTHEAST BY THE AFTERNOON  
AND REMAIN LIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL GENERALLY DECEASE THROUGH THE  
DAY LEADING TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY THE AFTERNOON/ EVENING. MORE  
MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO RETURN TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY/  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING AND BECOMING  
BREEZY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-122115-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
255 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2024  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (172).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (430).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-122115-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
255 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2024  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (217).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (482).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-122115-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
255 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2024  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (198).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (394).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-122115-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
255 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2024  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (220).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (388).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-122115-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
255 AM EST TUE NOV 12 2024  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (207).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (42).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (409).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
 
 
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